Strong Frontal System

Decision Support Briefing #1 Current Hazards

As of: 500 PM Apr 15, 2018

What Has Changed?

Flood Watch issued for Northeastern New
Jersey and Portions of the Lower Hudson
Valley for Tonight into Monday Afternoon

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 Main Points

Hazard Impacts Location Timing

• 2 to 3 inches of rain
Heavy Rain • Minor to locally Moderate
Flooding of Urban Areas, Low-
lying Roads, and Small Streams.
• Minor to locally moderate coastal
flooding.
Coastal • Inundation of 1 to locally 2 ft
Impacts above ground in vulnerable
areas.
• Minor Dune Erosion possible.
Entire Tri-State Region Late Tonight into Monday
Afternoon
Vulnerable locales along
NY/NJ Harbor, Jamaica
Bay, Western Great During times of High Tide
Tonight and Monday Morning
South Bays, and W LI
Sound

• 15 to 30 MPH with gusts to 40

mph.
Winds • Isolated Power Outages. Few Coastal Areas Through Monday Afternoon
Downed Tree Limbs.

• Wind gusts of 35 to 40 KT.

Marine • Seas of 9 to 14 ft on the Ocean Nearshore Waters Through Monday Afternoon
and 4 to 7 ft on LI Sound.

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 Summary of Greatest Impacts
Heavy Rain: Entire Tri-State Region
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Coastal Impacts: Vulnerable locales along NY/NJ Harbor,

Jamaica Bay, Western Great South Bays, and W LI Sound
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Strong Winds: Entire Tri-State Region

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Marine: Nearshore Waters

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

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 Heavy Rain
Hazards:
 Total rainfall of 2 to 3 inches across the Entire
Tri-State.
 Rainfall rates of 1”/hr possible with a band of
heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms moving
across the region Monday Morning into
Afternoon.

Impacts:
 Minor to locally Moderate Flooding of Urban
and Poor Drainage Areas.
Day 1
2 - Excessive Rainfall Outlook
3  Minor to locally Moderate flooding of quick
responding small rivers and streams across
the Northeastern NJ and the Lower Hudson
Valley. (Flood Watch in Effect)

Timing:
 Heaviest rain late tonight into Monday
Afternoon.

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 Coastal Flooding
Coastal Flood Hazards and Impacts:
Marine / Coastal Hazards  Minor to locally Moderate coastal flooding.
 Inundation of 1 to locally 2 ft above ground
in vulnerable coastal locales in the Advisory
area.
 A few waterfront road closures and shallow
flooding of waterfront properties.

Shoreline Hazards and Impacts:

 5-8’ breaking waves along the oceanfront,
resulting in widespread beach flooding and
erosion. Minor dune erosion possible.

 3 to 5’ breaking waves along W LI Sound

may result in locally moderate coastal
flooding along shoreline roadways and
properties, with minor damage possible to
shoreline structures.

Timing:
 During times of high tide this
Evening/Tonight and Monday Morning/Early
Afternoon.

Note: Heavy rain during the Monday

Morning/Early Afternoon high tides will likely
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 Event Summary

 A widespread 2 to 3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts, is

expected through Monday, causing minor to locally moderate urban,
poor drainage and small stream flood impacts.

 Minor to locally moderate coastal impacts expected during time of high

tide Tonight and Monday Morning. 1 to locally 2 ft of inundation in
vulnerable coastal locales.

 Isolated thunderstorms possible on Monday, but not expected to be

severe.

 E to SE winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph through

Monday Afternoon, causing isolated damage and power outages.

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 Contact and Next Briefing Information
Next Briefing
This is the final briefing.

Web: Facebook:
http://www.weather.gov/okx/ http://www.facebook.com/NWSNewYorkNY

Phone (public): Twitter:

631-924-0517 http://www.twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY

YouTube:
E-mail: https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSNewYor
okx.operations@noaa.gov kNY

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing is

time-sensitive, do not use after 4 AM Monday (04/16/18).

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