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Comp Stat 2010 Nonlinear Model
Comp Stat 2010 Nonlinear Model
Comp Stat 2010 Nonlinear Model
Saporta
Editors
Proceedings of COMPSTAT’2010
19th International Conference on
Computational Statistics
Physica-Verlag
A Springer Company
Nonlinear Regression Model of Copper
Bromide Laser Generation
Abstract. The focus of this study is on the relationship between the output laser
power and basic laser input variables in copper bromide vapour laser with wave-
lengths of 510.6 and 578.2 nm. Based on experimental data, a nonlinear regression
model has been constructed. To deal with the multicolinearity the initial predictors
were grouped in three PCA factors. The transformation of factors by the Yeo-
Johnson transformation was applied. The model has been validated using indepen-
dent evaluation data sets. The results obtained via the model allow for a more
thorough analysis of relationship between the most important laser parameters in
order to improve further experiments planning and laser production technology.
1 Introduction
The use of multidimensional statistical methods for the study of the behav-
ior of output laser characteristics of gas vapor lasers, and in particular those
of a copper bromide vapor laser, was introduced in the last few years (see
Iliev et al. (2008a, 2008b, 2007, 2009) and Gocheva-Ilieva and Iliev (2010)). In
papers Iliev et al. (2008a, 2008b) we used factor analysis to study 10 indepen-
dent laser variables, showing that only 6 of them are statistically significant.
These variables were grouped in three factors derived by means of multiple
factor analysis with Principal Component Analysis (PCA). After that, using
the factors we constructed linear regression models for the estimation of the
response variable output laser power Pout. In Iliev et al. (2007, 2009) the
same data population was examined through cluster analysis. The relevance
of the observed data was confirmed both for their grouping and their level
of influence on the dependent variable. Recently in Gocheva-Ilieva and Iliev
(2010), these models were compared to nonparametric models, constructed
using the multivariate adaptive regression splines technique (MARS), devel-
oped in Friedman (1991). It was established that nonparametric methods
1064 Gocheva-Ilieva, S. and Iliev, I.
2 Problem setup
Typically, the studied data does not meet the requirement for multivariate
normal distribution, although this can be assumed for the global population.
Furthermore, as already shown in Iliev et al. (2008a, 2008b, 2007, 2009)
the abovementioned six independent variables exhibit a strong multicolin-
earity. For this reason first we apply a multivariate factor analysis in order
to determine the PCA factors, which later on act as predictors. The models
constructed so far with the aid of MLR are not completely satisfactory and
can be considered to be the first approximation for the description of the
dependencies we are interested in.
In this study, our goal is to construct a nonlinear regression model which
would provide a more accurate description of the relationship between the
data and to study the predictive power of the model.
P[
out(θ, λ) = θ0 + θ1 ψY −J (λ1 , F1 ) + θ2 ψY −J (λ2 , F2 ) + θ3 ψY −J (λ3 , F3 ), (1)
Fig. 1. The M athematica code for calculating the nonlinear model (1)-(2).
Predicted values for 30% evaluation data set compared to those already
known for P out are shown in Figure 3.
The basic statistics for the considered cases are given in Table 1.
Fig. 3. Predicted values for P out compared to the initial observed values for a 30%
evaluation data set.
nonlinear models of the suggested type are stable and fit the data well. The
indexes of these estimates exceed the analogical statistics, obtained for the
same data set using MLR. They are almost equal of the statistics from the
second degree polynomial regression and fall behind the accuracy of the poly-
nomial regression of the third degree and the MARS models based on linear
regression splines and splines with first and second order interactions (see
Gocheva-Ilieva and Iliev (2010)).
One can conclude that the obtained nonlinear regression model is fully
applicable for estimation and prediction of the output laser power.
Acknowledgements
This study was conducted with the financial support of the Scientific Na-
tional Fund of Bulgarian Ministry of Education, Youth and Science, project
number VU-MI-205/2006 and the Scientific Fund of Plovdiv University Paisii
Hilendarski - NPD, projects RS2009-M-13 and IS-M-4.
References
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1070 Gocheva-Ilieva, S. and Iliev, I.