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Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

market review : global growth will be at moderate pace in Hong


Kong throughout the end of the year,
Global stocks boosting the local stock market. The boost
ended mostly faded near the closing as Hong Kong
down, with Nikkei investors readied for a holiday on
225 ended lower Thursday.
at 9,566.32 or
down 0.37%, Hang Seng Index gained On the economic data front, Eurozone
45.12 points to end at 22,047.71, the industrial new orders slowed to 11.2%
European shares plummeted a FTSE and year-on-year from 22.7% in July. Month-
DAX fell 0.44% and 1.08%, respectively, on-month, July’s new orders slipped 2.4%
and the Dow fell 21.72 points to after gaining 2.4% in previous month.
10,739.31. The tech stocks retreated to Meanwhile, the consumer confidence
2,334.55, while the S&P 500 ended at stayed at -11 in September, below the
1,134.28. Fingers were pointing at the expected -10.
interpretation of the FOMC’s decision
earlier that the Fed’s monetary stimulus Bank of England’s MPC
will mean that the Fed will print more minutes showed the 8
money and flush them to the system. members of the Committee
Fed’s statement that it is ready to take were in favor of holding the
steps to support growth was also rates steady while Andrew Sentence
interpreted as the sign that the economic again, favored for increasing the rates.
outlook at the moment remains gloomy.
US data was thin with only house price
Countering the complaints from its index for July featured. The month-on-
European and American counterparts, month index fell 0.5% in July, worse than
China said that its trade surplus were not the expected 0.2% decline and the 0.3%
caused by yuan value but rather, the fall in June.
surplus were driven by the investment
and savings structure in China. Chinese Nissan Motor and Renault
PM Wen Jiabao said that China did not SA announced their plan to
pursue a trade surplus intentionally. Wen jointly develop platforms
will meet with Obama at the United for a minimum of 10 models. The
Nations General Assembly in New York on collaboration will reduce parts
Thursday. procurement costs for midsize autos by
30%, saving a few hundred billion yen
Following the Fed’s stance to keep annually. About 70 key components
interest rates steady at 0.5%, Hong Kong would be standardized as a part of the
Monetary Authority also kept its base plan. Nissan ended at ¥702 on
rate at 0.5%. The HKMA also said that Wednesday, down 1.54%.

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22 September 2010 Page 1
Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

news, the company said that it would


Toyota Motor offered $1.29 billion in start selling loans worth 7 billion euros to
bonds backed by auto loans. The biggest refinance its debt. Daimler sliped 1.72% to
part worth $347.1 million to mature in 1.9 €44.85.
years, with a yield of 18 basis points.
Toyota fell to ¥3,040, or 0.98%. Volkswagen planned a new
engine plant in Mexico
Cheung Kong which would have a
Holdings will sell its capacity of 330,000 units.
apartments in Hong The investment will cost the company
Kong’s Ma On Shan district with the price $550 million, according to VW’s Otto
ranging from HK$4.87 million and HK$9.1 Lindner. At the closing time, VW hovered
million per unit. The sales will commence at €80.37, 1.63% lower than Tuesday’s
at the beginning of October and will close.
involve 108 units from a total of 1,143
units being developed. The price per Rolls-Royce Plc. announced that it will
square foot has been set at HK$6,438, supply Trent 700 engines to Deutsche
below the consensus price. The shares Lufthansa AG and Swiss Airbus. The deal
finished at HK$112 after gaining 2.56%. won worth $560 million. The shares
however, shed 2.04% to 576.50 pence.
China Overseas Land was downgraded to
NEUTRAL from OVERWEIGHT by HSBC, Prudential’s unit Prudential
sending the shares to HK$17.36 by the of Financial Inc. planned to buy
the day, or down 0.46%. two Japanese insurers from
AIG: AIG Star Life Insurance Co. and AIG
Hong Kong Exchanges & Edison Life Insurance Co. Both companies
Clearing (HKEX) was will worth $4 billion to $5 billion, and the
boosted by the news that plan is part of AIG’s program to repay its
AIG has gained approval for bailout which cost the government $182.3
an IPO of its AIA worth US$ 10 billion to billion. Prudential was at 614.50 pence at
US$15 billion. This will be the second the end of Wednesday’s session.
biggest IPO in the world. HKEX settled at
HK$142.50, up 1.4%. Disappointment over Adobe’s forecast
over revenue savaged the stock as it
Daimler AG was reportedly offered a bid plunged 19% to end at $26.67. Various
for Fiat Industrial SpA, the Fiat’s truck and houses downgraded Adobe on
tractor unit. La Repubblica, which Wednesday, with Credit Suisse now puts
reported the news did not specify the Adobe at NEUTRAL, down from
sources of the information. Daimler OUTPERFORM with target at $32.50,
however, denied the news. On another lower than prior $39. Deceleration in

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Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

revenue and lack of catalysts in the near- increases in the prices of


term were the factors behind the some of its products in
downgrade. FBR Capital also revised its some certain markets.
rating on Adobe, putting it at MARKET The company will also
PERFORM from OUTPERFORM. continue to promote its
ThinkEquity reduced Adobe’s price products through the My
targetto $30 from $43 while lowered its Starbucks Rewards
rating to HOLD from BUY. Bank of program which has started in January. On
America/Merrill and UBS both also its earnings outlook, the forecast
downgraded Adobe to NEUTRAL from announced last July was reaffirmed. EPS
BUY. UBS cited reduced growth, lack of for fiscal 2011 is expected to be at $1.36
catalysts and potential for more to $1.41 per share. The forecast already
compression. Price target was lowered to factored in the rise in commodity costs.
$30 from $45. Going further, UBS also
recommended Oracle instead of Adobe. AMD’s earnings estimates were lowered
RW Baird was also brought Adobe to by Gleacher & Co. to $0.71 from $1.01 for
NEUTRAL from OUTPERFORM. fiscal 2011. Despite the downgrade,
Gleacher’s forecast is still above the
Microsoft’s 2.2% decline consensus estimate of $0.56. AMD was
was triggered by its below- kept at BUY, but the price target has been
than-expected dividend lowered from $16 to $12. AMD was up
amount to be paid which worth $5.5 1.44% to end at $6.26. Other than AMD,
billion. Analysts pointed that the giant Gleacher also maintained Google at
software maker will have to be clear on NEUTRAL. Google ended at $516.00 or up
how the company will use the surplus 0.49%.
cash that it holds. Microsoft ended at
$24.61. American Express was
started at POSITIVE with
Deutsche Bank downgraded Goldman price target set at $53 by
Sachs’ 3Q EPS estimate to $1.95 from $3 Susquehanna. Amex inched higher by
but kept the BUY rating on the stock. 0.02% to $42.79.
Weak 3Q earnings would be due to poor
trading conditions and “soft investment
banking”. Goldman tumbled 2.2% on the market preview : global
downgrade, sending it to end at $148.07.
Hong Kong and China will be closed on
Starbucks ended down 0.88% at $25.93 Thursday. While Hong Kong will resume
on Wednesday. The company said that trading on Friday, China will be back on
soaring price of green coffee and also next Monday.
rising commodity costs may lead to

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Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

Today’s data coming from US will include


jobless claims, existing home sales, and
leading indicators. Claims are expected to
stay at 450k, existing home sales are seen
rising to 4.1 million from 3.83 million, or
up 7.1% from a steep fall of 27.2% in July,
while leading indicators are seen to
advance 0.1% in August, the same pace as
July’s.

European data will cover Purchasing


Manager Index for manufacturing and
services, which will be released in France,
Germany, and Eurozone. The September
PMI for manufacturing are seen at 55.0,
57.6 and 54.5 for France, Germany and
Eurozone, respectively. All below prior
month’s readings. Service sector PMIs are
seen at 60, 57.2, and 55.5 for France,
Germany, and Eurozone, respectively.
Eurozone’s Composite PMI is seen lower
at 55.7 from 56.2.

Disclaimer: This report is provided for information purposes


only. It is not an offer to sell or to buy any securities. This
report has been prepared based on sources believed to be
reliable, but there is no assurance or guarantee regarding its
completeness & and accuracy. The author accepts no
responsibility or liability arising from any use of the report.

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22 September 2010 Page 4

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