Anul Productia agricola vegetala (mii hectare) X Suprafata cultivata (mii hectare) Y (yi-ymediu)la patrat (yajustat-ymediu) la patrat (xi-xmediu)

(xi-xmediu) (yi-ymediu) (xi-xmediu)*(yi-ymediu) (xi-xmediu)patrat X la patrat

1999 233.10 8493.90 43335.67 29408.17 -20.77 208.17 -4324.20 431.49 54335.61
2000 234.00 8499.80 45826.92 26915.04 -19.87 214.07 -4254.09 394.91 54756.00
2001 229.20 8905.00 383498.09 41487.63 -24.67 619.27 -15278.82 608.72 52532.64
2002 236.30 9001.60 512473.04 21045.32 -17.57 715.87 -12579.47 308.78 55837.69
2003 241.90 8880.60 353872.96 9769.04 -11.97 594.87 -7121.94 143.33 58515.61
2004 308.20 8527.80 58598.96 201162.03 54.33 242.07 13151.25 2951.51 94987.24
2005 266.70 8467.90 33186.72 11215.15 12.83 182.17 2336.86 164.55 71128.89
2006 280.10 7884.00 161385.21 46884.05 26.23 -401.73 -10536.43 687.90 78456.01
2007 253.40 7777.20 258600.50 15.20 -0.47 -508.53 240.14 0.22 64211.56
2008 268.60 7798.10 237780.85 14783.48 14.73 -487.63 -7181.67 216.91 72145.96
2009 267.10 7884.10 161304.87 11925.48 13.23 -401.63 -5312.64 174.97 71342.41
2010 262.70 7807.40 228797.46 5311.35 8.83 -478.33 -4222.57 77.93 69011.29
2011 263.40 8081.60 41668.15 6187.07 9.53 -204.13 -1944.88 90.78 69379.56
2012 258.90 8058.30 51723.39 1722.88 5.03 -227.43 -1143.46 25.28 67029.21
2013 259.00 8166.80 14143.82 1792.09 5.13 -118.93 -609.84 26.29 67081.00
2014 239.50 8234.40 2634.54 14078.29 -14.37 -51.33 737.69 206.56 57360.25
2015 239.50 8265.40 413.22 14078.29 -14.37 -20.33 292.16 206.56 57360.25
2016 228.10 8409.20 15245.39 45269.52 -25.77 123.47 -3182.15 664.21 52029.61
media 253.87 8285.73 2604489.76 503050.08 -60934.07 7380.90 1167500.79
18 SST SSR
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.439485232
X Variable 1 Residual Plot
R Square 0.193147269 1000
Adjusted 500

Residuals
R Square 0.142718974
Standard 0
Error 362.4085808 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00
-500
Observati
ons 18 -1000
X Variable 1

ANOVA
Significance
df SS MS F F
Regression 1 503050.0846 503050.0846 3.830136769 0.0680203
Residual 16 2101439.672 131339.9795
Total 17 2604489.756

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 10381.607 1074.326441 9.663363569 4.41395E-08 8104.13668 12659.0773 8104.13668 12659.07731
XVariable1 -8.255646089 4.218362774 -1.957073522 0.0680203 -17.198176 0.68688351 -17.19817569 0.686883509
RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Predicted suprafata cultivata (mii hectare

Observation Y Residuals erori la patrat
1 8457.215893 36.68410708 1345.723712
2 8449.785811 50.01418856 2501.419057
3 8489.412913 415.5870873 172712.6272
4 8430.797825 570.8021746 325815.1225
5 8384.566207 496.0337927 246049.5235
6 7837.216872 690.5831283 476905.0572
7 8179.826184 288.0738157 82986.52327
8 8069.200527 -185.2005268 34299.23511
9 8289.626277 -512.4262773 262580.6897
10 8164.140457 -366.0404568 133985.616
11 8176.523926 -292.4239259 85511.75244
12 8212.848769 -405.4487687 164388.704
13 8207.069816 -125.4698164 15742.67484
14 8244.220224 -185.9202238 34566.32963
15 8243.394659 -76.59465922 5866.741821
16 8404.379758 -169.979758 28893.11811
17 8404.379758 -138.979758 19315.37312
18 8498.494123 -89.29412336 7973.440468
2101439.672
SSE
 Dependenta dintre productia agricola si suprafata cultivata y = -8.2556x + 10382
R² = 0.1931

9200.00
9000.00
8800.00
8600.00
8400.00
8200.00
8000.00
7800.00
7600.00
0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00
Testarea DW

ei-1 erori-erorii-1 erori-erorii-1 la patrat

0 36.6841071 1345.723712
36.68410708 13.3300815 177.6910723
50.01418856 365.572899 133643.5443
415.5870873 155.215087 24091.7233
570.8021746 -74.768382 5590.310932
496.0337927 194.549336 37849.44401
690.5831283 -402.50931 162013.7468
288.0738157 -473.27434 223988.6032
-185.2005268 -327.22575 107076.6918
-512.4262773 146.385821 21428.80846
-366.0404568 73.6165309 5419.393617
-292.4239259 -113.02484 12774.61509
-405.4487687 279.978952 78388.21371
-125.4698164 -60.450407 3654.251755
-185.9202238 109.325565 11952.07908
-76.59465922 -93.385099 8720.776665
-169.979758 31 961
-138.979758 49.6856346 2468.662284
841545.28

DW 0.400461308
 Abatere pozitiva
Testarea coeficientului de corelatie

covarianta -3385.23
dispersia 410.05 144693.88
coeficientul de
corelatie 0.00
 Legatura foarte slaba

Significance F > 0.05 => modelul de regresie este invalid

R square=0.19 => Y este influentat de X intr-o proportie mica
Multiple R => legatura dintre suprafata cultivata si productia agricola este indirecta
si de intensitate mica
Primul coeficient nu este semnificativ statistic (deoarece Pvalue este mai mare
decat 0,05), iar coeficientul productiei agricole vegetale nu este semnificativ (deoare-
ce Pvalue este mai mare ca 0.05)
Deoarece Fcalc<Fcritic
3.83<4.49=> resping H1 si accept H0 => modelul de regresie este invalid