Professional Documents
Culture Documents
On Justification Economies of Worth
On Justification Economies of Worth
IN THE MANAGEMENT OF
GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF ECONOMICS
A series of books
sponsored by
the Department of Economics,
The City College of the
City University of New York
Volume 1
STUDIES IN THE
MANAGEMENT OF
GOVERNMENT
ENTERPRISE
RICHARD J. HORN
EDITOR
CONCLUSION
Although the government has effectively become the
manager of defense contractors, it not an efficient one. On the
whole, the costs of weapons projects far exceed the originally
estimated amounts, technical attributes fall well below
predicted capabilities, and delivery is effected long after the
scheduled time. 11 By regulating weapons manufacturers, the
military has virtually transformed them into arsenals. Strict
government controls assure certain minimal levels of
contractor performance but preclude the important
advantages of the innovative, competitive, and cost-
minimizing incentives of private enterprise.
The Government as Managers: Weapons Procurement \ 23
NOTES
I. More complete descriptions of the defense market can be found in W. L. Baldwin,
The Structure of the Defense Market. 1955-1964. (Durham, N. c.: Duke University
Press, 1967) and M. L. Weidenhaum, The Economics of Peacetime Defense. (New York:
Praeger, 1974), chapter 4.
2. Baldwin, op. dt. p. 16.
3. J. W. Canan, The Superwarriors. (New York: Weybright and Talley, 1975), p. 233.
4. M. L. Weidenhaum, The Modem Public Sector. (New York: Basic Books, 1969),
chapter 3, details the numerous failures of defense contractors in attempting to sell
commercial products at a profit.
J. R Fox, Arming America, (Boston: Harvard University Press, 1974), discusses in
great detail the technical steps of the weapons acquisition process. S. Melman, Pentagon
Capitalism, (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1970), summarizes important aspects of Defense
Department procurement methods.
6. The Wall Street Journal. July 22, 1976, p. 1.
7. Businessweek, January 10, 1977, p. 53.
8.Businessweek, August 18, 1976, p. 49.
9. R.Lapp, The Weapons Culture, (Baltimore: Penguin, 1969), p. 13.
10. Businessweek, August 15, 1975, p. 48.
II. See J. M. Suare~ "Profits and Performance of Aerospace Defense Contractors,~
Journal of Economic Issues, 10:2 (June 1976), pp. 386-402, for the recent behavior of
some major defense fmns in meeting cost, technical performance, and delivery estimates.
REFERENCES
Agapos, A. M. Ovemment-Industry and Defense. Alabama: University of Alabama
Press, 1975.
Baldwin, William L. The Structure of the Defense Market. 1955-1964. Durham, N. c.:
Duke University Press, 1967.
Businessweek. "The New Faoe of the Defense Industry,M January 10, 1977, pp. 52-58.
Fox, J. Ronald. Arming America.Boston: Harvard University Press, 1974.
Gorgol, John Francis, "A Theory of the Military-Industrial Firm, Min Seymoun Melman,
ed., The War Economy of the United States. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1971.
Kennedy, Gavin. The Economics of Defense. Totowa, N. J.: Rowman and Littlefield,
1975.
Lapp, Ralph. The Weapons Culture. Baltimore: Penguin, 1969.
Melman, Seymour. Pentagon Capitalism. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1970.
- - - - - - - , ed. The War Economs of the United States. New York: St. Martin's
Press, 1971.
Suarez, James M. "Profits and Performance of Aerospace Defense Contractors" Journal
of Economic Issues, 10:2 (June 1976), pp. 386-402.
U. S. Department of Defense. Defense Procurement Handbook, Washington: U.S.
Government Printing Office, 1975.
------.Armed Services Procurement Regulation. 1976 edition. Washington:
U. S. Government Printing Office, 1976.
Weidenbaurn, Murray L. The Economics of Peacetime Defense. New York: Praeger,
1974.
-------.The Modem Public Sector. New York: Basic Books 1969.
Comments on
(( The Government as Manager:
Weapons Procurement "
SEYMOUR MELMAN'"
BACKGROUND
For many years methods and details concerning the
allocation of budgets within colleges were largely hidden from
the public view. Indeed, even in the case of public universities,
precious little was known of what factors determined the
portion of the budget that was allocated to overall personnel
expenses or to instructional costs, to administrative costs, and
to nonpersonnel expenses such as equipment, supplies, and so
on.
Only in very recent years have the interested public in gener-
al and college communities in particular been able to glean
some knowledge-although incomplete at best-of how and
through what process the college pie is divided. Ironically, it
took something like the near catastrophic 1976-1977 budget
for the City University to produce some general principles of
budget allocation on the part ofthe University Budget Office.
In the process of formulating those principles, the general
components that go into budget making were clearly stated for
the first time.
Very late in the academic year (June 1976) and virtually at
the dawn of the new fiscal year (July 1, 1976), the City
University was presented by state and municipal authorities
with a budget of some $470 million. That budget represented a
30 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
KEY RELATIONSHIPS
In concise form, the procedure for determining each
college's budget can be summarized by the following equation.
B=a F + A [ Q F] + K
I -A
where B total college budget
a = instructional cost per FTE (full-time equivalent
student)
F = projected FTE
A = proportion of personnel budget allowed by the BHE
for administrative and instructional support
K = amount allotted for other costs (summer session,
building and grounds, controllable nonpersonnel costs, rents,
fuel and energy, and fringe benefits).
= -L (O'F) + K
I - A (1)
To illustrate, suppose A = .21, 0"= 1,100, F = 9,00,
K = 9,400 (in thousands). Then
B =..L.(1,IOO) (9,000) + 9,400
.79
IS == f3(AaB-'
NT
(3)
a) Bp
used for instructional, administrative, and
instructional support services
I NT = - a) f3BI (4) Bp = personnel services budget
a = proportion of personnel services budget
T = (I - A) Bp allotted by the president for purely
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 33
Equilibrium Conditions
The question then arises as to how a president of a college
ultimately decides the proportions of the total budget that are
to be allocated to each category of expenditures. Needless to
say, he will weigh whatever advice and input he has solicited.
But after taking all of that into considerations, he will allocate
money acording to the priorities he finally perceives. At all
times he will possess a utility function that indicates the degree
of utility (or rank order) that he associates with each of the
infinite number of possible ways of allocating his budget
among various categories. Some allocations will give him
more satisfaction and some less. We can expect that he will
strive to maximize his utility function subject to whatever
budget constraint exists.
A president's utility function can be expressed as
U = U(S, NT, T, M, D, F, Q)
Where S, NT, T, and F have already been defined and
M = management slack l (that is, management prerequisites
that are not absolutely necessary for the effective operation of
the institution - essentially, an economic rent or a return to
those who are in control of management positions.)
D = discretionary or controllable nonpersonnel costs
Q =quality or the reputation of the college as measured by
34 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
,sB+M+D+NDO-B =0
We thus have a constrained optimization problem with the
four variables,s, 0, M, D. We can generally expect that in the
typical case some of the variables will be able to vary only along
a certain range. If this is the case, then such variables will have
distinct boundaries. In our case assume that
{31< {3 < {32
and 0 1< 0 < O2
-
aM -
aF = au +
aM
A. = 0
A. = - au
aM
-
aF = au + A. = 0
aD aD
I~ I
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 37
au au (a)
aD aM
aF ~Iau
au au
~0 I (b)
aF = au + AB =
-
a{3
-a{3
0
au = B au (e)
a{3 aM
If we take equations (a), (b) and (e) and solve together with
the equation of constraint
(lf3)B-M-D-ND = 0 (d)
we have four equations in four unknowns that can generally be
solved. Once we find the values of j3 and u, it is simple to
compute by using equations (3), (4) and (5) values for S, NT,
and T or the amount to be allocated for administration,
instructional support, and instruction.
The first-order conditions thus require that for equilibrium to
be achieved, the marginal utility of discretionary spending
(au/ aD)be equal to the marginal utility of management slack
expenditures ( au laM), that the marginal utility of additional
proportions of the budget spent on administration be zero, and
that the marginal utility of the ratio spent on personnel be
equal to the total budget multiplied by the marginal utility of
management-slack expenditure or discretionary spending.
Second-Order Conditions
Even if first-order conditions are satisfied, a maximization
of utility is not guaranteed unless the second order or sufficient
38 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
>0
and
<0
and
F /30 g/3
FaO ga
FMD gM >0
FOD gD
gD 0
B
o >0
o
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 39
B( - BU aa ) > 0
or
B2 U aa < 0
U aa < 0
Demand Functions
Until this point we have assumed that certain parameters
had already been stated. In particular, we worked with a fixed
budget (B) and a set proportion of pe.rsonnel services allowed
for combined administrative and instructional support
services (A). If, instead, we look at A and B as open to
variation, then we can still use"the procedure employed above
and solve forfj,a, M, D except that the solution will be given in
terms of A and B. Having values for fj and a will, in turn,
enable us to determine S, NT, and T, or the amount of money
allocated for administration, instructional support, and
instruction. Because all of the results will be given in terms of
A and B, we can consider them to be demand functions
expressing the desire or the intention of spending certain sums
of money on, say, S, NT, T, M, D depending on the values of A
and B.
All of this will become clearer in the next two sections in
which an actual illustrative utility function is used, and
demand functions are subsequently derived.
-
of
aD -
= 3 - A = 0
D
A = 3
D
D =
- 3
A
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 43
aF = 5 + 3 + 4 -
-a{3 -{3 -{3
-{3 22,000 A = 0
g = 22,000 A
{3
{3 = 12 .0005454
22,000A A
aF = 5 + 3( -22,000f3)
aa a 4,620,8 - 22,000{3a
= 23,IO0{3 - 176,000{3a
=0
(4,620{3 - 22,000{3a)a
or {3 (23,100 - 176,000a) = 0
16,000A - 11.9988 - 2 - 3 = 0
A
16,000 A = 16.9988
A = .0010624
M= 2 = 1882.5301
.0010624
44 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
D= 3 = 2823.7951
.0010624
13 .0005454 .5133659
.0010624
and
S = 22,00130 = 22,000 (.5133659) (.13125) = 1482.3439
T = 17,38013 = 17,380 (.5133659) = 8922.2993
NT = (.21 - 0)13 (22,000) = (.21 - .13125) (.5133659) (22,000)
= 889.405
Thus the first-order conditions can only be satisfied by
allocating 51.3 percent (/3) of the total budget for personnel
services, 13.1 percent (0) of the personnel budget for purely
administrative services, which, by corrolary, implies that 48.7
percent of the budget will go for nonpersonnel expenses and
7.9 percent of the personnel budget for instructional support
(13.1+7.9 = 21 percent = A).
In absolute dollars, $1,482,344 will be allotted for purely
administrative services, $889,405 for instructional support,
and $8,922,299 for teaching services. Moreover, $2,823,795
will be apportioned for controllable nonpersonnel costs and
$1,882,530 assigned for "management-slack' expenses.
We have, however, only explored the necessary conditions
for utility maximization. It is now necessary to examine
sufficient or second-order conditions. It has already been
shown that the second-order conditions are equivalent to the
triple requirement, namely, that
a) U oo < 0
b) Uf3f3 B
Uf30 o <0
Uf3M 1
B o
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 45
c) U f3f3 Uf3a UaM Uf3D B
U f3a U aa UaM UaD 0
Uf3M UaM UMM UMD I >0
Uf3D UaD UMD UDD I
B 0 I I 0
The computation of all relevant second partial derivatives
and the expansion of the determinants show that all the
second~order conditions are in fact satisfied for our
illustration.
Illustrative Demand Functions
U sing the above illustration, we can show how demand
functions can be derived for the variables under executive
control (M, D, S, T, NT) in terms of the parameters A and B
that will be determined outside the college.
As before, we have given: F= 9,000, Q = 2,000, ND = 6,000.
But now A and B are undetermined parameters. Our problem
is then to
Maximize:
U = 5InS+3InNT+4InT+2InM+3InD+3InF+4InQ
= 5In(f3aB)+ 3In(Af3B- afiB)+4In(f3B-AfiB)
+2InM+3InD +3In(9000)+4In(2000)
Subject to:
B = T+NT+S+M+D+ND
that is equivalent to
B-fiB-M-D-6,000 = 0
where relationships (3), (4), (5) were used.
We next form the Lagrangian
F = 5In(f3aB)+ 31n( Af3B- afiB)+4In(f3B-Af3B)
+2InM+3InD +3In(9000)+4In(2000)
+ A (B:fiB-M-D-ND)
46 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
-of=3-A=0
oD D
A =.l
D
D=..l.
A
of = 5 + 3 + 4 - BA =0
----
of3 f3 f3 f3
Q= BA
f3
f3 = 11.
BA
1.!: = 2. + 3(-f3B)
oa a Af3B - af3B
= 5AB - 8Ba
(AB - aB) a
o
and 5AB - 8Ba = 0
- 8B - 8
a = 5AB = 5A
B - f3B - M - D - 6,000 0
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 47
12 = B - 6,000
A.
A. = 17
B - 6,000
Substituting back into the earlier equation then gives the
following relationships that can be viewed as the college
executive's demand functions
M = 2(B - 6,000) = 2B - 12,000
17 17
o 3(B - 6,000) 3B - 18,000
17 17
Alternative Illustration
It is instructive to see what would occur if the president's
utility function is modified somewhat.
Asume that B, A, F, Q, and ND are all given, as in our earlier
illustration, but that some change takes place in the utility
function so that it is given by
U = 2InS+3InNT+6InT+lnM+2InD+3InF+4InQ
This new utility function places less weight upon
administrative services, management slack, and controllable
nonpersonnel expenditures and greater weight on teaching
services. The budget constraint will be precisely the same as it
was before.
Workin out this illustration by forming the Lagrangian,
setting its first partials equal to zero, and solving gives us the
following solutions:
a = .084
j3 = .56819
M = 1136.36364
D = 2272.72728
S = 1050.01512
NT = 1574.98488
T = 9875.14220
Thus with the new utility function, 56.8 percent of the total
budget will be allotted for personnel services compared to 51.3
percent in the earlier illustration, and only 8.4 percent of the
personnel budget will be apportioned for purely
administrative services compared to 13.1 percent previously.
In absolute dollars, this means that administrative services will
be slashed by more than $400,000, controllable nonpersonnel
costs by more than $500,000, and management slack by more
than $700,000. On the other hand, teaching services will be
increased by more than $950,000 and instructional support by
almost $700,000. This will occur with an unchanged total
budget, with constant enrollment projections, and with fixed
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 49
noncontrollable expenses.
Needless to say, there is an infinite variety of ways to modify
the executive utility function, each one resulting in a different
allocation pattern. We can therefore expect that the way in
which funds are used in any college - even within the same
university - could differ significantly depending on variations
among presidential utility functions. Moreover, any
institution undergoing a change of chief executive can
normally be expected to spend money in different ways.
In part this explains the often observed phenomenon of a
new president entering a college scene and shifting money
around in the name of reform, efficiency, innovation, or
charting a new course. In reality, none of these phrases may be
an appropriate description of what is occurring. It may simply
be that the new chief executive has a different utility function
than his predecessor. These results also make one question the
optimality of any of these allocations. They raise some very
important questions about the "best use of resources" that is
available to any college.
Time Periods
The analysis that has so far been employed has in essence
assumed a "short-run" period because certain factors, such as
a ,j3, M, D were considered variables, whereas some, such as F
and Q, were assumed constant and not susceptible to
manipulation. In fact, several different time periods can be
delineated. We now wish to distinguish among three different
time periods, but note that others can also be identified.
Following conventional microeconomic terminology, our
time periods shall be referred to as: (a) very short run, (b) short
run, (c) long run.
F =U[fJo a oBo,
(Ao- a o)J3oBo' (l-AoV3oBo, M, D, Fo, QoJ
+ A(J3oBo+M+D+NDo.-Bo)
Setting the first partial derivatives equal to zero gives
of
--
= au + A = 0
aM aM
A = - au
aM
and
of = au + A= 0
00 00
and
I au ~ au
00 aM
I
Solving the above equality together with the equation of
constraint
(l-J3o)B-M-D-NDo =0
yields two equations in two unknowns (M, D).
Second-order conditions for a maximum are given by
I
FMM FMD gM
FOM FDO go >0
gM go 0
that is equivalent to
U MM UMO
U OM UOD 1 >0
1 I 0
On expanding the later determinant, the condition
becomes
(UDM-UDD) - (UMM-UMD) = (UMD-UDD) - (UMM-UMD)
= 2uMD - U DD - U MM > 0
52 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
Short Run
The case of the short run is most crucial in college budget
analyses primarily becallse budgets are given each year. In
this time frame, /3, a, M, and D are all controllable, whereas
F and Q are relatively fixed, as explained in preceeding
sections. The analysis of preceding sections is, as we
mentioned, a short-run analysis and as such it is in reality a
special - albeit central - case of the general problem of
executive optimum budget making in varying time periods.
Because we have already dealt with this case in great detail,
we need say nothing more here.
Long Run
Although budgets are generally given annually, individual
colleges can plan to change certain things for the future in
order to maximize their long-run utility. The essential
characteristic of the long run is that even such factors as F and
Q are variable and can be expressed as functions rather than as
constants.
We can then express the following relationship
F = F(DF +C)
suggesting that F depends on the amount spent from
discretionary funds (DF) in order to make the college more
attractive to students, for example, expenditures for films,
library, released time and other inducements to faculty and
administrative staff to plan and implement diverse and
attractive curricula; also spending for recruitment in order to
identify superior teachers and potential students. All of these
factors are included in DF. But there are also other factors
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 53
that, despite affecting the number of FTEs, are largely beyond
the control of the individual college. These factors include such
variables as population growth rates, the age distribution of
the population, and how people perceive the value of a college
education. They are included in the constant C.
The relationship for Q appears as Q = Q(DQ+e), which
indicates that Q depends on the amount spent from discre-
tionary funds (DQ) in order to enhance the quality or the
academic reputation of the college, for example, research and
grant money, sabbatical and research leaves, travel money for
faculty, research assistants, research laboratories, office
facilities, and so on. All of the above are included in DQ,
whereas e represents those factors largely beyond the control
of the college, such as the traditional prestige of the college, its
location, and so on.
An adjustment must then be made in the variable that in
preceding sections was called D (discretionary spending). In
the present case we must define D as
D = D I+DF+ DQ.
DF and DQ have already been defined, making DI the residual
of what is left in discretionary funds for all other purposes after
F and Q have been duly supported.
Our analysis then leads to conclude that in the long run the
college executive must seek to
Maximize:
U = U(S, NT, T, M, DI, F, Q)
= U[f3uB, (A-u}j3B, M, D, F(DF+C), Q(DQ+e)]
Subject to:
B = T+NT+S+M+DI+DF+DQ+ND
= (l-A}j3B+(A-u}j3B+j3uB+M+DI+DF+DQ+ND
or j3B+M+D}+D F +DQ+ND-B =0
To maximize long-run utility subject to the budget cOQstraint,
form the Lagrangian function:
54 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
ap = au + A = 0
--
aM aM
A = -au
aM
-
ap
-au + A
=
aO I aD I
= 0
- -
au = au
aO I aM
ap = au = 0
?o ao
= au + AB =
-ap
a{3
-a{3 0
-au
a{3 -aM
= B au
--
ap = au + A = 0
aop aDp
A = -au
ao p
- -
ap = au +
aOQ aOQ
A= 0
-au
aOQ
= au
aDp
A First Approach to the Economic Theory ... 55
We therefore have
au = au au =-
- au
00 1 aO F aOQ aM
Further Study
This paper is intended to be suggestive in developing a
model and a frame of reference for serious analysis of
economic decision making on the part of a college. It does not
purport to be definitive. More work in deriving empirical
utility functions, for example, is necessary. The applicability to
these problems of methods developed by Von
Neumann-Morgenstern holds promise. Moreover, other
specifications of utility functions and the relationship between
individual and communal utility functions need more
exploration than was possible in this paper. Further study
about possible conflicts between short-run and long-run
equilibrium and on retrenchment decision making is also
warranted. Finally, a whole host of other decisions made
continually by colleges should be studied.
NOTES
I. The term "management slack" is borrowed from Williamson. See (2,
pp. 354-357,4,5).
2. It is true that the socalled adjunct staff, that is, the part-time staff,
may be terminated between semesters. However, the salaries involved
generally amount to a small portion of the budget. In the event that the
amount is sizable, the very short run could be defined as the middle of the
second semester when even adjunct commitments are set.
3. College administrators often contend that the power of a college
president is severely limited by the noncontrollable or untouchable segments
within the usual budget. Aside from the fact that essence of the present
analysis is unafected by the size of the discretionary budget, such comments
bring to mind the sagacious words of Alfred Marchall, " ... I was led to
58 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
attach great importance to the fact that our observations of nature in the
moral as in the physical world relate not so much to aggregate quantities as
to increments of quantities. (Emphasis supplied)
REFERENCES
I. Bressler, Barry, A Unified Introduction to Mathematical Economics,
New York, Harper and Row, 1975.
2. Cohen, Kalman J., and Richard M. Cyert, Theory of the Firm,
Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, Prentice-Hall, 1965.
3. Henderson, James M., and Richard Quandt, Microeconomic Theory,
2nd ed. New York, McGraw-Hill, 1971.
4. O. E. Williamson, "A Model of Rational Managerial Behavior" in
Richard Cyert and J. G. March, A Behavioral Theory of the Firm,
Englewood Cliffs, N. J. Prentice-Hall, 1963.
5. - - - - - - - - - - , The Economics of Discretionary Behavior:
Managerial Objectives in a Theory of the Firm, Englewood Cliffs, New
Jersey: Prentice-Hall, 1964.
Comments on "A First Approach
to the Economic Theory
of College Management"
CHARLES E. LAMBERTON*
the size of his budget. In the New York City case, Bressler notes
that the university budget is based on a number, a, that
represents the institution's cost per full-time equivalent
student. This number is said to be function of" ... the required
student/ faculty ratios for each college, the average faculty
salary on each campus, and the distribution of courses among
different disciplines with concomitant variation in acceptable
class size." To the extent that the president can influence some
of these determinants on a on his campus, he has an indirect
influence on his budget size. Such influence may be of a longer
term character and not fit into the short-term model presented
but could be incorporated into the author's suggested
formulation of a long-run model.
2. Bressler draws positive implications from the discretion
model under the given assumptions and then ascribes those
implications to presidential budget allocation in practice.
Before concluding that the model does, in fact, explain the
actual allocation of university budgets, it would be
appropriate to test empirically both the realism of the
assumptions and the accuracy of the model's predictions.
3. Even if the model were tested and not refuted, it appears
that several of the conclusion and policy recommendations
drawn are not warranted.
(a) No evidence is presented to demonstrate that pre-
sidential utility-based allocation is suboptimal in any sense or
by what standard such optimality can be measured.
The Board of Higher Education may make presidential
appointment decisions in the expectation that the appointee
will implement policies consistent with the goals of the board
and the board's constituents-the pUblic. If this is the case,
then the discretion model in corporating only the president's
preferences is incomplete unless it incorporates a relationship
between the preferences of the president and those of the board
and the pUblic. Certainly, a president appointed by and res-
ponsible to the Board does not have the absolute power
Comments on "A First Approach. .. " 61
CHECK COLLECTION
The largest and most technologically advanced operation of
the Fed is the check-collection function, now termed payments
68 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
ACCOUNTING-WIRE TRANSFER
The Fed has been transferring funds by wire since 1918. The
Federal Reserve cost in 1973 of handling one check was
approximately one cent per item, whereas wire transfers cost
72 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
the Fed about 36 cents per item. But because each item
transferred by wire consisted of a very large dollar volume, the
cost per million in dollars transacted was only about 21 cents
compared with $23 per million in check transactions. Despite
the obvious advantages of wire transfers over vast and
continuous cross-country shipments of tons of paper checks,
this operation has remained a relatively small part of the
system's work in terms of resources used and one not showing
increased productivity.8 The annual growth in volume is a
phenomenal 9.50 percent since 1952; but total expenses in the
12 years since it has been completely distributed rose by 12.35
percent annually, indicating a negative nominal change in
productivity. Nevertheless, this function promises to become
the nucleus for a paperless payments mechanism, for the
technological means are available. The Fed hopes that as more
and more payments are handled through expanded equipment
capacity, the convenience of wire transfer, and/ or automated
clearing entry, conventional check processing will soon cease
to grow in volume and demand will lead to the fullest use of
electronic funds transfer.
The story of Federal Reserve wire transfers is one of growing
service, even though it does not offer prima facie evidence of
productivity growth. At the beginning of the period of our
study, free transfer service was limited to simple member bank-
balance transfers in mUltiples of $1,000. In July 1953 a new
leased wire system with expanded capability and automatic
message relay linked all reserve offices, the Board of
Governors, and the Treasury. In addition to wire transfers of
bank funds, this sytem provided government security
transfers, Treasury transfers, and interdistrict settlement
among Reserve banks. In the 1950s and 1960s much of the
expansion in transfer volume throughout the United States
was attributed to the expansion of the federal funds market.
Uses of wire transfers have broadened in nature and kind,
reflecting in part the System's need to promote membership
A Post-Accord History ... 73
BANK EXAMINATION
Federal Reserve bank examiners conduct periodic audits and
spot verifications of state member banks and of bank holding
company affiliates. Examiners evaluate state bank applicants
for Federal Reserve membership and in recent years have been
asked to review and comment on the burgeoning number of
merger and holding company applications. Besides field
investigations, examiners analyze and review both Federal
Reserve and other supervising agencies' reports, annual bank
holding company reports, bank call reports on conditions, and
income and dividends reports. Regulatory duties include
enforcement of laws such as the Bank Protection Act and the
Truth in Lending Act.
The average number of employees and the salaries paid in
bank examination have risen at annual rates of 2.80 percent
and 7.02 percent respectively since 1952, whereas total
expenses, mostly for personnel, increased by 7.57 percent
annually from 1962 to 1973.
Because the Fed is only one of a number of government
agencies responsible for bank supervision, the growth of its
expenses and perhaps the efficiency of its work in this area can
be compared to those of functionally similar government
agencies, such as the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
(FDIC).9 The FDIC, which examines insured nonmember,
state-chartered banks, has recorded substantially higher
growth in comparable categories, with a trend growth rate of
5.07 percent in the number of employees, 9.95 percent in
salaries, and 10.06 percent in total expenses for bank
76 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
DISCOUNT
Although the discount function has been a major instrument
of Federal Reserve policy, there are small costs associated with
its administration. Considerable effort over the years has been
expended to study the role and the functioning of this
mechanism, and many policy recommendations have been
made. 15 Nevertheless, the actual operation of discounting for
member banks continues to be simple. A member bank
applies for a loan (discount) by making a telephone call to a
senior clerk at the district Fed. On the basis of a standing
note and collateral arrangement, an entry is posted on the
same day to the borrowing bank's discount account. Because
most borrowing is accomplished with government securities
collateral already held in safekeeping for the member bank,
and few banks abuse the privilege, administration is mostly
perfunctory. The number of employees changed little from
1952 to 1964; since 1962 there has been a trend growth rate of
11.90 percent in total expenses. In 1973 the number of
employees assigned was 159, and total expenses were $2.2
million, mostly for salaries. The principal causes of growth
A Post-Accord History ... 83
have been a large increase in borrowing on the part of country
banks since the early 1960s and unusually large total
borrowings in 1969-70 and 1973.
Apart from check operations, there is probably no other Fed
function that receives more introspective study than
discounting. The system's fundamental reappraisal of the
discount function in 1966-1973 was directed mainly toward
developing a rationale and a policy for lending to banks. The
check-payments studies, on the other hand, have been
technologically oriented. Very little change in guidelines for
discounting has come from the exhaustive reappraisal. The
most substantive change has been the seasonal borrowing
privilege. Few banks have used the new seasonal privilege,
however.
FISCAL AGENCY
Operations performed by the Reserve banks for other
departments, agencies, and officials of the government define
the system's role as a fiscal agent. Most of the resulting
expenses are reimbursable to the Reserve banks Some,
principally those that relate to the Fed's traditional payments
functions, are not reimbursable. The costs of processing postal
money orders and government coupons, for example, and of
maintaining the Treasurer's general account are not
recoverable, although Reserve banks must conform to
procedures established by the Post Office Department and the
Treasury. Some of the tax work of the Reserve banks is
reimbursable. Inasmuch as about 97 percent of current net
earnings has been transferred to the U.S. Treasurer's general
account annually in recent years, it makes little difference
whether the costs of fiscal agency activities are recoverable.
Federal Reserve banks' budgetary and cost control procedures
apply equally to all activities.
The largest fiscal agency operation, consuming about 70
percent of total fiscal agency resources allocated, is the public
84 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
CONCLUSION
Theoretically there is no explicit limit (other than the branch
building limit) on spending by the System. The Reserve
banks have no reserve requirements. They create bank
reserves and simultaneously add to their earning assets
when they buy government securities in the open market. Even
if the Fed were to spend such large amounts that expenses
exceeded earnings, there would still be available nearly one
billion dollars in surplus. Congress and the public, however,
would not tolerate a "bankrupt" Fed, probably not even one
that failed to generate annual net earnings in excess of
expenditures (it has in every year since 1915). Nevertheless,
there is a very large margin afforded by the annual difference
between net earnings and expenditures. Fed expenses could
have been four times larger in its sixty-year history and still
aggregate net earnings would have been almost twice as large
as aggregate expenses.
There is abroad, I think, a widespread misunderstanding of
the efficiency of the Federal Reserve relative to other
government agencies. This misunderstading is implicit in the
rhetorical question raised by a regional director recently: Is
there any other federal agency (with 29,000 employees) that
operates by using its own funds and then adds revenue to the
V.S. Treasury in such an amount?16 Obviously, the answer is
"No" because no other agency is empowered to create high
powered money and in the process hold $85 billion in V nited
States securities. The earnings derived from those holdings are
public returns just as expenditures by the Fed are public costs.
But there the relationship largely ends. Such huge earnings in
no way attest to the efficiency of the Fed or to the strength of
the decentralized nature of the agency. Some other yardstick
much be used to evaluate the cost effectiveness of the system.
In the circumstance of complete budgetary autonomy this may
be difficult to accomplish. To what shall the expense of Reserve
A Post-Accord History ... 89
banks be compared? It seems to me that the great conceptual
weakness in granting full autonomy to the Fed was the idea
that the Fed should be accountable only to itself. This
weakness has become more serious as the range of operation
has become greater.
The System has always been constrained by self-imposed
institutional limits on malfeasant spending. Strong audits by
resident staffs and rigorous examinations by the Board of
Governors are consistently applied. It appears that heightened
Congressional interest and Board of Governors oversight are
increasingly restraining the magnitude as well as the kinds of
Reserve bank expenditures.
This paper has chiefly focused on the nature of the major
operations carried on by the System. Additional information,
beyond that which is publicly available, has been presented to
permit inferences about the growth and the efficiency of
Federal Reserve banks. It is not clear that the autonomy of
monetary policy is well served by the multiplicity of functions
that reserve banks perform. The diverse nature of the system is
confusing to the pUblic. So many functions performed by the
Fed reflect little or no valid bases for insulating them from the
federal budgetary process. And those that do - the monetary
functions - are not operationally related to the
nonmonetary functions in a substantial way. The suspicions of
Congress, the inequitability of placing all these nonmonetary
activities outside Congressional or executive cost controls
relative to other agencies, and the fairly low level of public
understanding of the Fed are disadvantages that seem to
outweigh the marginally greater efficiency that the Fed may
provide in these areas. I would argue that the rationale for
system independence is supportable in terms of monetary
functions. The remaining work of the Fed should be
structurally separate but subject to the central federal
establishment. Regional control of nonmonetary payments
functions is not consistent with uniform national standards
90 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
NOTES
I. I will capsulize here an orthodox rationale for Federal Reserve
autonomy:
i. There is need to pursue monetary policy goals in circumstances of
freedom from federal budget concerns.
ii. There is need to restrict money and credit at times when the necessary
effects of such restriction are politically unpopular.
iii. Secrecy is essential in some areas of System work. First, large-scale
operations in securities markets can be achieved with minimal speculative
impact on private portfolios only if the specific intentions of impementing
policy are concealed. Second, the collection of data from and the supervision
of individual, privately-owned banking firms must involve highly restricted
access to related information passed by the Fed. Thus the Federal Reserve
must be insulated from forces that would use this sensitive information for
private purposes or would otherwise compromise the objectives of monetary
policy.
iv. If the Fed does not have autonomy of expenditure, its power to conduct
monetary policy independently could be influenced or blocked by the
"power of the purse."
2.Publications bearing on operational and policy changes include Reserve
banks' and Board of Governors' annual reports and monthly review
publications of the banks. The interested reader is urged to consult a
publication of the Philadelphia reserve bank, "The Federal Reserve in
Print," which provides an ongoing subject index of topics associated
with these changes.
3. The source of data is the Board of Governors' Functional Expense
Reports, 1952-1973, unpublished. Logarithms in the annual values of the
items, .Y j , were regressed on a time variable, t:
i
Log Y = a + bt, where j = the item for which growth is to
be calculated, t = 1,2, .... 22, and antilog of the estimate, b, minus 1.00, is
the trend growth rate.
4. I have used the compound annual rate of change in the GNP deflator
reported in the monthly Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis publication,
National Economic Trends. From 1952 to 1971 the rate was 2.5 percent.
From 1955 to 1973 it was 3.0 percent.
5. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Annual Report, 1975, p. 18.
6. Public acceptance of EFTS might have increased since the U.S.
Treasury began the automatic deposit of social security benefits to accounts
of beneficiaries.
7. Pending legislation to permit such expansion is discussed in the
American Banker, vol. CXL, no. 237, December 12, 1975, pp. I and 24.
A Post-Accord History ... 91
INTRODUCTION
average cost, by and large, we may conclude afortiori that current rates are
far too low ... [3, p. Ill]
6 percent and payment of federal corporation income taxes are assumed. [10,
p. 5331
But oB
TR = as
oB
= I so that (2a)
-oR - ---
oS oLS
oP - oLS OP ----" (3)
NOTES
I. This process has been formalized in Shapiro and Shelton in a
forthcoming article [9]. The notion of "as much as possible" is given further
meaning in that article.
~
C)-
;:;.
-
o
TABLE I ~
~
~
~
Repayment of Reimbursable Costs by Commercial Power Revenues, June 30, 1975.
'6'
Ultimate Repayment During Payout Period on Current Schedules I:l
~
I::),..
Reimbursable Sources Other Obligations Repayable by Power Revenue Surplus Power Total
~
lo:::
-
Commercial Other Than Irrigation or Interest Operating Revenues as Reimbursable ~
Power Reclamation Other Aid Charges Expenses Scheduled by -
Power (Credits not Reclamation ~
c.,
(Credit Scheduled) Power
o
lo:::
~
Total, USBR $3,146,662,109 $60,111,662 $4,193,677,822 $2,044,738,629 $6,563,860,312 $645,201,926 $16,709,189,185 S
E:
1-.1'
SOURCE: Federal Reclamation Projects: Water and Land Accomplishments; 1975. Project Data, I:l
Statistical Appendix II. (U. S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation), p. 49. -c·
~
-
oVI
...-
o
0-
CIl
-l
c:::
TABLE II o
m
CIl
'"?::
CIl
tTl
Public Ownership and Natural Resource Utilization 107
2. The motivations of agency officials to increase agency size are explored
in [5, 8].
3. This model is constructed from observations made by several authors
[2, 5, 8, 9]. However, some of the observations on which the model is
constructed are not based on the bureaucratic process being discussed here
but rather on the regulatory bureaucratic process [see 7].
4. Actually, as is generally recognized, it is perhaps more appropriate to
assume a utility function for the bureaucrat and to maximize this utility
function with respect to the appropriate arguments and subject to some
constraint. However, as others have recognized, the budget is the dominant
argument, and there is little to be gained by such a construction (See [2]).
5. This simple case is essentially the one examined by Shapiro [8].
6. Niskanen, examining a different funding situation (namely, a bureau
that receives all of its support from a legislative sponsor and sells none of its
output), arrives at similar conclusions. He argues that an agency will use
some of its funding to subsidize services that are not due the subsidization
because of " . . . the inability of the sponsor to know or control the
expenditures by service." [5, p. 110]
7. The literature abounds with discussions of other methods of
subsidization (such as agencies' ability to avoid property and income taxes)
and discounting procedures. For a discussion of the issues, see [3]. The
interest rate used in discounting has been especially critical.
REFERENCES
1. Bain, J., R. Caves, and J. Margolis. Northern California's Water
Industry. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins Press, 1966.
2. Breton, A. The Economic Theory of Representative Government.
Chicago: Aldene Publishing Company, 1974.
3. Hirshleifer, J., J. DeHaven, and J. Milliman, Water Supply:
Economics, Technology, and Policy. Chicago: The University of Chicago
Press, 1960.
4. Hirshleifer, J., and D. L. Shapiro, "The Treatment of Risk and
Uncertainty," in Public Expenditure and Policy Analysis, ed. R. H.
Haveman and J. Margolis. Chicago: Markham Publishing Company, 1970,
pp. 291-313.
5. Niskanen, W. A. Bureaucracy and Representative Government.
Chicago: Aldene-Atherton, 1971.
6. Russell, M. R. "Energy" in Setting National Priorities - the 1978
Budget, ed. J. Pechman. Washington: The Brookings Institution, 1977.
7. Russell, M. R. and R. B. Shelton. "A Model of Regulatory Agency
Behavior." Public Choice, XX (Winter 1974), pp. 47-62.
8. Shapiro, D. L. "Can Public Investment Have a Positive Rate of
Return?" The Journal of Political Economy, LXXXI (Marchi April 1973),
pp.401-413.
108 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
Price,
Marginal
Revenue,
Average MC
Cost,
Marginal
Cost
D
I Quantity
I
Total I
Revenue, I
Total Cost I
ITC
IlAI
-~I TR +8
I
I
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Quantity
Figure 1
Comments on "Public Ownership ... " III
NOTES
1. Karl Brunner and William H. Meckling, "The Perception of Man and
the Conception of Government," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,
Comments on "Public Ownership ... " 113
I. INTRODUCTION
The management problems of government enterprises are
often obscured by a concern with budgets, budget planning,
and the allocation of fiscal resources. Those are important
concerns, but they must be linked and related to the planned
allocation of time and talent. The New Jersey State
Department of Education has designed an operational
planning system that incorporates some of the features of both
program budgeting and management by objectives (MBO).
The primary focus of this system is planning and monitoring
through a structure of "program centers. "Through this system
*This paper could not have been possible without the cooperation and
substantial imput of our friends and colleagues, Peter Hahn and Lloyd
Fredericks. They have provided much ofthe design work associated with the
current phase of the operational plan. Their work follows the earlier work of
Bill Cozzens, Bob Hanson, and Ed Jackowski. We also appreciate the
motivation and enthusiasm of the operational plan coordinators of the
different divisions of the State Department of New Jersey. The support of
the deputy commissioner, Ralph H. Lataille, has been critical to the success
of this system. His determination to introduce rationality into the system has
been the principal nuturing factor behind the implementation of the plan.
Commissioner Fred G. Burke has of course been the ultimate contributor to
the success of the planning system. His ability to impart "clarity" to the
"complexity" of planning is truly outstanding.
**Division of Research, Planning and Evaluation, New Jersey
Department of Education
The Development and Implementation ... 115
of the position that are being done well and those that require
support or the development of skills in order to be improved.
The guide can be completed in several ways. The first
requires the employee to fill out the form and then discuss it
with the supervisor who may make changes as appropriate.
The second is for both the employee and supervison to fill
out copies of the form independently, discuss individual
perceptions, and arrive at a common version. Alternatively,
the supervisor may fill out the form first, discuss it with the
employee, and incorporate any changes in the final form.
Both sections of the employee appraisal guide are signed by
both the employee and the supervisor to indicate
acknowledgment by the employee and approval by the
supervisor. Both parties retain a copy of the completed
form.
The employee performance evaluation form contains a
section for checking one of five ratings, ranging from
outstanding to unsatisfactory and for recommending a salary
increment. The rating checked must reflect the written
narrative responses contained in the employee performance
guide. This evaluation is completed yearly (twice a year for
new employees), before the employee's anniversary date.
The evaluation form is substantially the same as that used
for civil service evaluation. The significant change involves the
method of appraisal. The annual rating is no longer based on
whatever method or criterion the supervisor chooses to use but
is tied to the objectives contained in the operational plan of
each employee's project.
The quarterly evaluation system, piloted in September 1977
and implemented by the entire department in December 1977,
provides an opportunity for the organization to identify and
analyze fluctuations in progress toward obtaining objectives
over a three-month period and to adjust the operational plans
accordingly. Like the other ancillary systems, this system
serves three primary purposes: (1) as a management tool,
The Development and Implementation. .. 125
disapprovals, appeals,
interpretations)
innovations
technical assistance services
• new techniques
• new problem-solving methods
data
communications
meetings
workshops
frustrations
distribution of funds
Third, how do we develop criteria for measuring the quality
of the forms of output listed above? How do we evaluate the
efficiency and the effectiveness of output? Raising these
questions evokes rational and sUbjective reactions to
measurable objectives and projected milestones of
accomplishments.
A different interpretation implicit in the work of Mike Gam
and Kevin Lancaster suggests that otherwise identical outputs
can and should be treated as different outputs depending on
the "who" and "how" of production. A service is produced
jointly by a producer and it user or consumer. The producer
and its beneficiary must interact to produce the output - there
cannot be an independent producer.Furthermore, the role of
the beneficiary or user is at least partly determined by forces
external to the behavior of the producer. Also the "style" of
implementation may be critical of the quality of the product.
However, the problems focusing on definitions and concepts
of output can only be dealt with once a common planning
discipline has been imposed, learned, and made habitual.
The ninth principle suggests that a balance between
prescribing process and focusing on outcomes must be
reached. Our organization has prescribed much of the process
to be used by units of the organization in generating the
The Development and Implementation ... 137
NOTES
I. The circumstances in New Jersey should be cited. Governor Brendan
Byrne took office in January 1974. Fred G. Burke became commissioner
140 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
*Department of Economics, the City College of the City University of New York.
142 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
neither the required funds nor the ability to borrow in the open
market. Even federal assistance seemed unlikely. The presi-
dential response that the city's media reported, accurately or
otherwise, was "Drop dead, New York City."
Only timely state intervention and the creation of the
Munitipal Assistance Corporation (MAC) prevented the final
slide into municipal bankruptcy. MAC was followed in three
months by the Emergency Financial Control Board (EFCB)
and at the end of the year by federal assistance. 2 The city's
voters, perhaps propitiously, chose November of the same year
to amend the city's home rule charter, also addressing therein a
number of managerial and financial management reforms. 3
In the almost three years that have followed those events,
considerable effort has been made to identify both the long-
term and the short-term causes of the crisis in order to take
corrective action.4 As a consequence, the city's operations and
management with respect to both service delivery and finances
have received considerable attention.
Analysis of the causes of the fiscal crisis, admittedly from the
advantageous perspective of hindsight, suggests two distinct
dimensions, one long term, the other short term.
Long-Term Causes
The long-term dimension of the city's problems has been an
ever-increasing differential between the level of service
demand and the availability of resources to meet that demand.
As a result, city expenditures have exceeded revenues for a
number of years - and, more recently, cutbacks in
expenditures have been made with apparent detriment to
service delivery (although this much-advertised proposition
has not yet been empirically validated). The reason for an
accumulating disparity between demands and resources are
many.
Service Growth
First, there has been a discernible growth in both the
146 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
slow climb back from the brink. Yet there remains a significant
magnitude to accumulated debt; stretched over a longer time,
certainly, the burden is lessened; but it remains, nevertheless,
almost Damoclean by its very presence at all.
The postition has also been taken by some commentators
that the city's size inherently increases per capita costs of
service delivery in such areas as police, fire, sanitation, and
administrative services. Empirical data certainly support the
higher per capita service costs of New York compared to
Chicago, Los Angeles, and Philadelphia. lo Noticeably,
however, Washington, D.C. costs are even higher than New
York's. Moreover, the data do not exhibit a linear correlation
with city size. Magnitude as an independent explanatory
variable of service cost is a dubious one.
Nevertheless, there is merit to the assertion that, at least
indirectly, the scale of New York City's operations and the
dollars involved are significant and create in themselves
another element of crisis. By way of illustration, the city of
Yonkers faced bankruptcy in the amount of a mere $133
million as a result of a $6 million deficit. When New York City
faced a similar predicament in 1933, the deficit was about $0.25
billion, to which the city's financial community was able to
respond. The close to $6.0 billion short-term debt of 1975 and
the $13 billion dollar total debt of 1978 represent different
orders of crisis.
Short-Term Causes
The short-term dimensions of the city's crisis involve
management practices, both operational and financial.
Although it is undoubtedly accurate to state that the city's
managers at all levels have responded to the longer-term
dimensions of the crisis, the nature of those responses has
drawn much criticism.
Faced with increasing demands and decreasing resources,
political leaders have been reluctant, for obvious reasons, to
New York City's New IFMS ... 151
each day just to stay in the same place. The institutional effect
of all this is much effort to little avail. It is not, as the media
often intimate, the presence of willful mismanagement that is
the problem, but the absence of sufficient superior
management - in practices, systems, experience, and skills.
Having painted such a gloomy picture, a brighter light needs
to be added. It stems from yet another paradox, namely, that
like the Phoenix of fable, the city's failures have so
consumingly burned that their heat has engendered a rebirth
from the ashes of fiscal downfall. The city has taken the
opportunity to review quite radically its managerial, fiscal, and
opera tional insufficiencies and to respond with innovative and
creative dynamism. The city's financial management
information system is one such example, the creation of a
citywide mayor's office of operations and its activities
constitute another; and throughtout agencies, large and small,
new systems, procedures, and a concern for management
practices and longer-range planning are surfacing.
(External) Reporting
All local governments are required by federal, state, or local
statutes or ordinances to make full and adequate disclosures of
financial activities to the public. Indeed, the notion of
accountability to the public is critical for the effective
operation of a civil service. Thus although the reporting
requirements for communicating information to the public are
frequently less technical and demanding than those required of
underwriters who market municipal bonds and notes, the
former are more significant. Any informed citizen should be
able to find out easily from what source government money is
drawn, to what uses it is put, what specific goods are services
are obtained, and how efficiently resources are used as shown
by both comparative and longitudinal analyses. This
information should be made available in language that a
layman can understand, rather than couched in technical
gibberish. The result is not only a more informed citizenery but
one with a greater interest in governmental activities.
Multipurpose Systems
It may be apparent that the three major needs served by
financial information systems are not precisely compatible. In
practice, certainly, a system designed to meet one need is less
responsive to another. Emphasing accountability, for
160 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
NOTES
1. New York State's Local Finance Law provides for a number of forms
of indebtedness. Tax anticipation notes (TANs) permit short-term
borrowing (maturing in one year, with annual renewal up to five years)
against taxes levied or to be levied during or prior to the fiscal year of note
issue. Revenue anticipation notes (RANs) permit short-term borrowing
(maturing in one year, with annual renewal up to two years) against revenues
anticipated during the year following the fiscal year of note issue. Similar
New York City's New IFMS... 173
urban renewal notes (URN s), for urban renewal projects specifically, mature
in one year with annual renewal up to seven years. Budget anticipation notes
(budget notes), issued in special emergency conditions, permit short-term
borrowing against the following fiscal year's appropriations (with one-year
maturity and no renewals). Finally, bond anticipation notes (BANs) are for
short-term borrowing permitted in conjunction with the sale of long-term
bonds. BANs in effect involve short-term borrowing against expected long-
term borrowing.
2. MAC was extablished by New York State legislation in June 1975. It
issued tax-free bonds that were backed by the diversion to MAC of sales-tax
revenues previously routinely paid by the state to the city. The EFCB was
established in Septermber 1975 by state legislation when credit available to
MAC became insufficient. Its role was both to administer a state-aid
package of $2.3 billion and to oversee the financial operations of the city.
The city was required to submit quarterly expenditure plans and
performance reports to MAC and the EFCB. Federal aid was forthcoming
under the New York City Seasonal Financing Act of 1975 (Public Law 94-
143), which required a three year plan leading to the elimination of $1.5
billion in deficits, a balanced budget and independent audit by July 1978,
and improved financial management operations and reporting. In return,
the federal government provided up to $2.3 billion in short-term loans,
equivalent to RANs, redeemable by the end of each fiscal year of issue.
3. The November 1975 revision of the New York city charter included the
following major changes: requirement of mayor's management report on
program and performance goals; quarterly spending allotment system;
ombudsman role for city council president; creation of legislative office of
budget review; creation of new community districts and boards cotermimous
service dis~r\c~s for selected agencies; creation of district and borough service
cabinets; new uniform land use procedure; removal of mayoral vote on his
budget before Board of Estimate.
4. Among a variety of material, some lucid, some accusatory, and some
exculpatory, are: Roger Alcalyand Helen Bodian, "New York's Fiscal Crisis
and the Economy" in Alcahy and Mermelstein: The Fiscal Crisis of
American Cities; Terry N. Clark, "Why Did New York Go Broke ... ?"
Conference Board Paper, University of Chicago, October 1976; Terry N.
Clark, I.S. Rubin, etal: How Many New York's; Paul De BrulandJackNew-
field: The Abuse of Power; Fred Ferritti: The Year the Big Apple Went
Bust; Ray Horton: The City in Transition; Terry W. McAdam and Lorrie
Slutsky, "The New York City Fiscal Situation, "Citizens Union Research
Foundation; Martin Shefter, "New York's Fiscal Crisis," The Public
Interest, vol. 48; Lester C. Thurow, "New York, A Declining Activity," New
York Affairs, vol. 4 no. 3; Rona B. Stein, "The New York City Budget:
Anatomy of Fiscal Crisis," FRBNY Quarterly Review; Winter 1976; Donna
Shalala and Carol Bellamy, Duke Law Journal Case Study, 1976; Jonathan
Brown, unpublished Harvard University (JFK School of Government) Case
l74 STUDIES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF GOVERNMENT ENTERPRISE
Study, 1976; and numerous publications of the city, state, and federal
governments; The New York Times and other print media.
5. The three major municipal programs in which expenditures rose
between 1966 and 1971 were higher education (251%), welfare (255%), and
hospitals (123%). In 1969-70, contract negotiations for city employees also
secured substantial employee salary and benefits increases. Between 1966
and 1971, the budgets for police, fire, and sanitation accordingly increased
an average of 66%.
6. 1970 Census Bureau data starkly illustrated this disparity. New York's
per capita expenditures on education, welfare, health and hospitals, and
housing were $253, $254, $128, and $62 respectively. Com para ble figures for
Chicago were $10, $3, $10, and $11; for Los Angeles: $0, $0, $1, and $6; and
for Philadelphia: $3, $11, $31, and $46. Only Washington, D.C.
approximated New York, with $283, $125, $155, and $43 respectively. It is
noteworthy that the district's government currently is responding to
forebodings of a crisis akin to New York's.
7. Between 1970 and 1974, the average family income offamilies leaving
the city was $1,300 higher than that earned by those replacing them.
8. The post-1970 decline is particularly significant. Between 1950 and
1970 private-sector employment rose steadily from 3.1 to 3.2 million before
dropping to 2.7 million in 1975. Because public-sector employment over the
same period rose from 0.4 to 0.5 million, overall employment shows a gain of
3.5 million in 1950 to 3.7 in 1970 and then a decline to 3.3 in 1975.
9. The first three-year recovery plan leading to a truly balanced budget by
July 1978 required reductions in spending over the three years totaling some
$1.3 billion in the operating or "expense" budget and $0.7 billion in the
capital budget. Notwithstanding these reductions, an additional deficit of
some $1.6 billion was planned to ease the transition and maintain levels of
service delivery. This deficit resulted in an increased long-term debt for the
city.
10. For example, per capita expenditures on police, fire, and sanitation for
Chicago, Los Angeles, and Philadelphia average 80%, 70%, and 55% of New
York's expenditures for the same services. City size and per capital
expenditure on any service,however, do not correlate. Moreover, similar
service costs for Washington, D.C., are 166%, 103%, and 147% respectively
of those in New York.
11. The city's record of estimating both expenses and revenues is littered
with substantial errors. Mayor Lindsay's pension cost estimates were based
on actuarial data that were 30 years out of date. Revenue estimation
especially presented great difficulties. Even the application of the most
sophisticated analytic tools and the best of faith often resulted in errors of
$100 million magnitude (a phenomenon of the magnitude of the data).
V olatile federal and state uncertainties compounded the problem, especially
when reimbursement was involved. Moreover, quite probable errors of
revenue estimation could not easily be offset by manipulating and
New York City's New IFMS ... 175