42sr2017 7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
78 Skills that will be Difficult to
Automate
pualshecon Aoi 22,2017
Thomas Frey | Follow
Keyrote Spear SF
OQ: @z
Recently my wife Deb and 1 were eating a a local sushi restaurant, watching the itamae
(ushi chefs) carefully preparing each meal
In Japan, becoming an itamae of sushi requires years of onethesjob training and
apprenticeship.
For this reason, I asked Deb if she would prefer eating sushi that was prepared by
humans or the same kind of meals prepared by machines. After thi
she sid that she'd prefer having a human chef because she
that go along ng a person at the cu
For her, machines meant perfect consistency an perfectly prepared meals and that was
fion with randomness added to the equati
decide,
‘The key point here is that when it comes to autom:
and the market is not always logical,
Xn, the marketplace
at home is safer,
*# We still go to concerts even though {0 prerecorded mus
more comfortable, und oftentimes better quality,
* Westill go to museums even though we can witness most ofthe images onli
\without having to wait in lines and fight crowds.
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7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
In cach of these cases, the value of the experience far outweighs the incongruity of
decisions being made,
‘Simply put, we live in a human-based economy. and humans are not always
———
‘What role will robots play in your future?
The Irrational Human
Will a robot’s smile ever be as comforting as a mother’s smile?
fa robot tells you you're beautiful will that ever mean as much as when your
boyttiend or gitltiend says it?
10's easy to start listing all the so-called inferior traits that people have. Robots don’t
sweat, complain, have to urinate, take breaks, get angry or make mistakes,
‘We generally don’t design machines to be crue, insulting, lazy, vind
inrational, clumsy, greedy, envious, hotheaded, power-hungry, self
superficial, or stupid,
However, humans come with a number of positive characteristics to offset all the
We can also be friendly, helpful, charming, wamhearted, risk-taking,
courageous, empathetic, inspiring, bold, brilliant, resourceful, benevolent, gracious,
humble, and forgiving
neg
eon
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7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
enurtmousty CUIIpIEN We ure,
‘We have a need to compete, a need to belong, a sense of purpose. we crave attention.
Jove, sex, importance, and the human touch, We must never underestimate the power of
the human touch,
Every human deficiency creates a new market
The Human Economy
Yes, we are all flawed individuals, and as such, we haye a number of basic needs,
We need things like water, food, shelter, clothing, safety, and security, Once those needs
are met, a number of other needs kick in like our need for belonging, companionship,
timacy, and family.
As our lower level needs are met, we move up Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs to thins
like self-respect, self-esteem, status. fame, recognition, power, and freedom,
While on the surface we come actoss as incomplete bein;
that our needs are What drives our economy.
cking in so many areas,
the realit
Every human defici
cy creates a new market.
Grocery stores wouldn't exist if we didn’t need food. The housing industry wouldn't
exist if we didn’t need shelter and safety. The automobile industry wouldn’t exist
‘without our need for power, status, and freedom.
Ironically, the r
n robots exist is to support our basic human needs.
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7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
The Great “Either-Or* Debate
Will we buy music that's generated by machines or music produced by humans?
Will we buy machine-made art, watch a robo-ballet, attend a car race with only
driverless cars, or sit ina stadium to watch robo-athletes?
In
ually all of these cases, we'll choose to do both. Certainly we will mostly choose
‘one over the other, but we'll buy human att along with robo-art, We'll attend a human-
run restaurant one day and a robo-restaurant the next, We'll cheer cn our favorite human
team with one set of friends and cheer on cur favorite robo-athletes with another,
We will also Love some robots and hate others,
We don’t live in an “cither-or” world, Rather, our buman culture has grown up around a
‘mare inclusive “both-and” economy.
Y¥es, these new options will compete with each other, causing fewer restaurant workers
per restaurant, and fewer artists and musicians to fill today’s demands. However, as
demand inereases, we may actually have more people working in these fields.
Our strugele will be to find the optimal balance. The best restaurant owners will use
robots to gain efficiency; the best artists will use robots to produce far more art: and the
best musicians and athletes to play with robots instead of play against them,
Tasks and Skills that will be Difficult to Automate
When we factor all of
form around:
inki
into a few practical guidelines, the safest jobs will
* Complex systems too expensive to automate
* Creative endeavors that only humans can appreciate
* Human to human interactions that produce an emotional response
* Ds
‘ons that need human-based reasoning
* Complicated outputs that demand a human translator
* Situations that require the human touch
* Settings where the loyalty of hacker-proof humat
machines
is preferable over digital
+ Human to human valuations
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+ Human to human competition
AS Tstep through this list, please understand that I'm talking about things that will be
“difficult” to automate. but probably not impossit
Once again, it boils down to this que
is made by humans or food that is made by machines?
Farmbots are beginning to take center stage in the global ag world
Complex systems too expensive to automate
While there may be no such thing as a “complex system too expensive to automate,” the
m, the more humans will be involved to oversee potential
1. Space launches
2. Asteroid mining
3. Nanotech research
4, Deep ocean research
7. Material science
8. Failure analysis
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7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
We have a great love for what creative people produce. Invariably we will use machi
to help in these endeavors, but there will always be people ditecting the effort.
9. Artistic performances ~ painting, sculpting, dance, and design
10, Musical performances
11. Poetry
12.F
jon designers
13, Int
14, Indust
designers
15, Beauty parlors
16, Reputation designers and managers
Human to human interactions that produce an emotional response
‘These may seem like tiny pieces of humanity, but the value of these nuanced interfaces
play an extraordinary role in cur relational experiences.
17. An encouraging smile
18, A persuasive argument
19, A personal handshake
20, A hug
21. A romantic kiss
22, A convincing sales pitch
23, A massage
24, Multiple facets of sexual relations and procreation
Decisions that need human-based reasoning
As our capabi ve will see an ever-increasing need for ethical oversight. Our
ability to destroy things will soon exceed our ability to create things. and we'll need
eit242sr2017
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7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
25, Creation of new laws, p
and regulation
26, Government oversight
27, Basic troubleshooting
28, Business planning
25, Marketing strategies
30, Managing animal shelters
31. Child care workers
22, Basic and advanced problem solving
Complicated outputs that demand @ human overseer or translator
and the amount of data we'll be dealing with ona
daily basis exceeds human ability to comprehend, we'll begin to automate the analy
However, there bea need for human oversight to manage all the excep
edge cases.
33, Doctors and medical diagnosis,
34, Data analytics
35, Judges and legal systems
36, Business executi
27, Privacy advocates and experts
38, Relationship building strate
39, Birthing processes
40, Genealogical mapping
Situations that require the human touch
Humans are social creatures by nature, and strong social bonds invariably require
human touch,
ma42sr2017
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7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
42, Teaching someone how to gracefully enter a room
43, Teaching someone how to win a debate
44, Teaching someone why it’s important to take a bath
45, Teaching someone to do gymnastics
46, Teaching someone to make a reasonable decision
47, Teaching someone the value of human life
‘Settings where the loyalty of hacker-proof humans is preferable over digital
machines
Fallible humans may not seem like the strongest link in a secure system but in many
cases they become a crucial disconnected node in an otherwise hackable digital
structure,
48, Guarding the President (or other important people)
49, Holding a secret
0, Personal confidant
1, Safeguarding corporate knowledge
52, Robot displacement g
53, Robot consultants
54, Robot lobbyists
55, Leaders of robot resistance groups
Human to human valuations
Since robots do not value objects the ways humans do, or make decisions about what
constitutes a fair price on a product, the need for human value judgments will continue
tobe important.
56, Buying stocks or commodi
57. Voting
site42sr2017
7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
59, Deci
ns to act an a policy viol
60, Buyers
61, Purchasing agents
62, Product and service ratings
63, Surveys and polls,
Positions where humans control robots
‘There are many positions where people will use robots as tools and evolve along with
their industries, growing with each new productivity advancement.
64, Business owners and managers
65, Software designers and coders
6, System engineers
67. Product designers
68, Robot maintenance and repair
69, Robot configuration specialists
70, Robot test technicians
71, Auctioneer that spe in selling robots
Human to human competition
We're much more interested in our standing among other humans aver how we compare
to robots.
72, Popular sports
football, basketball, soccer)
73, Olympics and Paralympics
74, Popularity competit
ns (i.e, beauty pageants, elections, ete.)
75, Loyalty programs
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aia42sr2017 7 Skils that wl be Diffcult to Automate | Thomas Frey | Puls | Linkedin
71. Startup funding pitches
78, Conflict resolution
ib ddA
Is this what we should expect from the robot revolution?
Final Thoughts
One of my readers, BJ Brown, recently passed along the following story:
When I was in northwestern Canada in the 70°s I ask one of the locals why they still
used dogs instead of snowmobiles. He replied, “When I'm out in bad conditions, the
dogs have as much stake in getting home as I do, The snowmobile doesn’t care.”
Will robots ever truly care?
Contrary to popular bel
bbumans rather than ar
f, most robot and A systems currently act as a complement fo
lacement them,
According to most experts, we are still years away from general artificial intelligence
and full automation, But eventually, there will come a day where robots will perform
‘most tasks and the role of humans in the production cycle will become marginalized.
My goal in writing tis was not to develop an exhaustive list of “safe jobs,” but rather to
create tools for thinking about the human role in our future.
Robots are coming, They're coming with or without cur blessi
forms we can’t even imagine,
and in shapes and
But they also come with fin its that we will soon discover along the way
By Futurist Thomas Frey
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