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FMG Africa Fund - Presentation
FMG Africa Fund - Presentation
FMG Africa Fund - Presentation
Disclaimer: This summary is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy. Citizens or residents of the
United States may not invest in this Fund. Opinions and estimates constitute the manager’s judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past
performance is not indicative of future results. Investments in emerging markets should be considered high risk where a portion or total loss of capital is
conceivable. No assurance can be given that the investment objective will be achieved or that an investor will receive a return of all or part of his/her
initial capital, and investment results can fluctuate substantially over any given time period. Please refer to the Fund’s prospectus which contains brief
descriptions of certain risks associated with investing in the fund. Questions should be directed to your local representative or financial advisor. This
document may not be reproduced, distributed, or published for any purpose without the prior written consent of the manager.
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FMG Africa Fund
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A Huge Continent
United States
India
Argentina
Square miles
China
Percentage of global resources
3
Declining Political Risk
After the African nations gained independence in the 50’s and 60’s the continent suffered from political instability.
Botswana was one of the few countries that at an early stage managed to create a stable democracy and since
its independence in 1966, real GDP growth has averaged almost 10% annually.
Political risk in Africa has dramatically declined and set the stage for long term growth
Number of armed conflicts dropped from more than 20 in 1999 to 5 in 2009
Long run civil wars in Angola, Mozambique, Sierra Leone and Liberia have come to an end
Africa has huge unlocked potentials with an abundance of commodities, a young population of 1 billon,
increasing political stability and better managed economies
Africa accounts for less than 2% to global GDP despite being 13% of the World’s population and one fifth of the
world’s landmass
Debt/GDP has come down from 70% in the ‘90s to 20% recently, FX reserves have risen from virtually nothing
to more than $50bn in a few years, has outpaced world GDP growth since 2001, FDI have increased from around
$10bn in the ‘90s to $60bn in 2008
The International Energy Agency (IAE) predicts that sub-Saharan oil revenues will rise from the current $80bn a
year to $250bn a year by 2030. They estimate total revenues over the period at $4.1 trillion
IEA predicts that Africa will overtake Russia in terms of gas exports to EU by 2030
BRIC-African trade has increased from $16bn in 2000 to a staggering $157bn in 2008, a compound annual
growth rate (CAGR) of 33%
Stock markets have historically low correlation both intra Africa and Africa versus emerging markets
Africa is the last sizeable and investable virgin territory left for investors. Today only 1% of world market
capitalization
Source: African Development Bank, IMF, Bloomberg
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25 African Stock Markets = 1x Exxon Mobil?!
There are 25 stock markets in Africa ranging from start ups like Rwanda and Libya to the more established likes
of Egypt (1888) and Johannesburg Securities Exchange (1887)
Africa’s total stock market capitalization is around $400bn which equals approx. 1x Exxon Mobil, or half of
Zurich’s SXE. So that’s 53 countries, 1bn population, land mass 3x the size of US, 1500+ listed stocks valued as
one US stock
South Africa is by far the largest market and accounts for around 60% of stock market capitalization. Turnover in
African markets (ex. SA) increased from $7bn in 2004 to $70bn in 2007
Source: Bloomberg
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Growing Connectivity
A study by the UN shows that at the end of 2008 there where 4.1bn mobile subscribers in the world, up from
1bn in 2002. Africa’s user rate is up from 2% in 2000 to 28% in 2009 which equals 280 million subscribers
Africa's Internet user rate increased 1,031% between 2000-2008 compared to a world growth rate of 306%. The
continent's Internet users reached 51 million in 2008 which equals a penetration rate of 5% today, compared to
a global penetration rate of 22%
African Development Bank and the International Telecommunication Union have partnered together and pledged
to connect all African capitals and major cities through broadband infrastructure by 2012
The mobile phone is creating virtual infrastructures:
Prepaid mobile phones double as ‘bank accounts’ for those without banking affiliations
Kenya Power & Light can bring electricity to shanty towns thanks to the possibility of
charging customers through their mobile phones
Commerce is fostered through rapid dissemination of information
Studies show that 20% of a population has the ability to exchange news and ideas through
access to cell phones and text messaging
China has signed bi-lateral trade agreements with 48 Africa countries (out of a total of 53) and loan agreements
with 22 countries
The first region in the world to offer free, mobile roaming services across several countries
Only 8 out of 53 countries have a more than 40% commodity distribution to GDP
The cost of land in Argentina, Brazil and in USA is approximately 7x the cost of land in southern Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa has a total arable area is 167m hectares (5x the size of Germany), of which only 28m
hectares are currently in agricultural production. Of this less than 3% of the farmed area is irrigated, despite a
total of 53m hectares of available inland water
After the Nigerian military handover took place in 1999 the Nigerian All Share Index jumped from 5000 points to
50,000 points in 2007. Annual turnover grew from virtually nothing to $17bn in 2007
Almost 59 million Africans participated in the Presidential Elections held in 10 countries in 2006. This equals a
67% turn out rate which can be compared to 60% in the US
Source: African Economic Outlook, Africa Invest Fund Management, IMF, Bloomberg
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FMG - Marketing Contacts
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Global
Charles Cantlie & Jeffrey Shen Johan Kahm & Fredrik Edensvärd Lis Wilson & Erik Nelson
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Fund Administrator
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Tel: 356 2131 1330 - Fax: 356 2131 2880 - e-mail: anthony@apexfunds.com.mt
www.fmgfunds.com 9