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Ejw Sym May07 Vasquez PDF
Ejw Sym May07 Vasquez PDF
net/articles/5544
IAN VÁSQUEZ*ε
ABSTRACT
* Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity, Cato Institute, Washington, D.C., 20001-5403
ε
I would like to thank James Dorn for providing comments on a previous draft of this paper and Tanja
Stumberger for her research assistance.
1 Gustav Ranis (2004, 6).
197
IAN VÁSQUEZ
Krueger goes on to ask how this change in policy came about, and “what
was the contribution of economists and their research to the process?”
Krueger’s research, of course, played a key role in making the case for more
open trade regimes for developing countries, along with that of other leading
researchers such as Jagdish Bhagwati, Ian Little, and T.N. Srinivasan, whom
she cites. Yet Krueger does not mention Bauer. In a related essay on the
development experience, she surveys the contributions of numerous leading
development economists but also does not mention Bauer (Krueger 1995).
Kreuger is not alone in the marginalization of Bauer. Another example
(many could be given), is Jean Waelbroeck’s 30-page review of the three
volumes of the Handbook of Development Economics, a review that appeared in
World Bank Economic Review (Waelbroeck 1998). Waelbroeck surveys the
findings of the three volumes (which include Krueger’s 1995 article) and
promises to identify “areas of development economics not covered there,” but
does not cite Bauer. Of the Handbook’s 46 articles, only seven of them cite
Bauer.
Indeed, a literature search of the American Economic Review beginning in
1911 when it was first published and extending through 2004 finds only seven
articles with references to Bauer and three book reviews in which Bauer is
cited.2 Articles in the World Bank’s in-house journals, the World Bank Economic
Review (from 1986 through January 2007) and the World Bank Research Observer
(from 1986 through 2006) cite Bauer only six times. (An Excel file detailing
these search results is linked at the end of this article from Appendix 1.)
The omission is doubly striking as Bauer both addressed many of the
main development issues early on and examined the possible causes of what he
called the “spurious consensus” on economic development. Indeed,
throughout his career, Bauer (2000, 15) repeatedly pointed to “a widespread
disregard of evident reality” in his field, and would come to observe that
“Impressive advances coexisted with alarming retrogression.” The advances
included contributions to the theory of international trade and the economics
of property rights, and the recognition of transaction costs. The lapses
included the neglect of fundamental economic principles, conceptual
confusions, methodological pretentiousness, and the lack of direct observation.
Some of what Bauer saw as troubling in the economics profession—for
example, over-reliance on formal analysis and the mathematization of the
field—still exists and may help explain the neglect of Bauer even among those
who arrive at the same insights and general policy prescriptions as Bauer.
From the beginning then, Bauer expressed a set of values that both
guided his thought and were non-patronizing to his subject of study, and that
ran counter to the views of those advocating extensive state interventionism in
developing countries. Bauer’s views were certainly in conflict with those of
Myrdal, who believed in comprehensive central planning as a way of
transforming entire societies, institutions and the attitudes and behaviors of
people. “The success of planning for development,” Myrdal (1968, 67) wrote,
“requires a readiness to place obligations on people in all social strata to a
much greater extent than is now done in any of the south Asian countries. It
requires, in addition, rigorous enforcement of obligations, in which
compulsion plays a strategic role.” Candid authors like Myrdal and Robert
Heilbroner (1963, 20-21, 126f) made clear the profoundly illiberal nature of
many of the policies favored by the development consensus. Such views, of
course, turned out to be spectacularly wrong.
But Bauer’s emphasis on personal choice also put him at odds with
much of the economics profession which often justifies policies on purely
technical grounds—such as on an emphasis on output—with little or no
regard to the preferences or the freedom of choice of the people affected by
the policies proscribed. Bauer’s approach clearly placed him in the classical
tradition, rather than the neoclassical tradition, and as Lal (1987, 45, 46) points
out, his views draw from an older rhetorical tradition as well, making many
economists—such as Srinivasan—uncomfortable with Bauer even though they
may reach much the same policy conclusions. According to Lal, the rhetoric of
such mainstream economists to justify the market comes from second-best
welfare economics “couched in the Arrow-Debreu language.”
A further characteristic that distinguished Bauer’s approach was his
recognition of the limitations of both statistical evidence and the use of
mathematics and the quantifiable in the study of development. What to much
of the profession was and is a sign of scientific rigor to Bauer was a misplaced
focus on seemingly measurable factors, such as capital, and to the neglect of
influences, such as the historical context and background conditions, far more
important to development. “It has encouraged confusion between the
significant, on the one hand, and the quantifiable (often only spuriously
quantifiable), on the other” (Bauer 2000, 19).
What matters most is direct observation and reliance on primary sources.
That belief made Bauer exceptionally interdisciplinary, relying on the work of
historians, business accountants, anthropologists, and even travel writers. Thus
his criticisms and his approach may have alienated him from much of the
economics profession even after the tepid pro-market consensus was formed.
Indeed, late in life Bauer (2000, 20) would still lament: “What has become of
the traditional method of direct observation, reflection, tracing of connections,
3In a review of papers recently published in the Journal of Development Economics, Susan Anderson and
Peter Boettke (2004, 307) observe that “formalistic tendencies still dominate,” and they criticize the
minimal attention paid to institutional history.
4 Bauer (1972, 284) further warns that “While the choice of variables on the basis of logical
convenience, simplicity, or elegance of analysis, is often fruitful in the natural sciences, this is
not usually so in social studies, where recognition of the complexity of the problem is
indispensable for valid results.”
5On the proportion of development economists receiving support from the development agencies, see
Klein and DiCola (2004).
6 For a good general review of Bauer’s thinking, see Dorn (2002), Cato Journal (2005), and Blundell
(2002).
7 See Bauer (1948) and Bauer (1954).
extent and economic significance of what has come to be known as the informal
sector.”
One phenomenon that was typically ignored in the development
literature was the role of traders. Traders, Bauer observed, open up possibilities
for farmers otherwise engaged in subsistence production to invest in
production for trade. A large part of capital formation takes the form of non-
monetary investment—for example, the clearing and improvement of land
which requires personal effort—that is not captured by official statistics. Yet
Bauer observed that in the aggregate, such activity from small farmers was
significant, and its neglect by academics and policymakers led not only to
misperceptions about economic activity, but also to flawed policies including
taxation of farmers who were thus discouraged from engaging in capital
formation.
Bauer thus early on had a healthy skepticism of official statistics and
refuted the popular notion that large amounts of capital were necessary for
growth. To Bauer (1987, 6), “Lack of money is not the cause of poverty, it is
poverty,” and to have money is the “result of economic achievement, not its
precondition.” He explained (1981, 248) that what is required are “changes in
attitudes and mores adverse to material improvement, readiness to produce for
the market instead of for subsistence, and the pursuit of appropriate
government policies. Much of capital formation is not a pre-condition of
material advance but its concomitant. Housing is one example . . .
infrastructure (roads, railways and the like) is also a collection of assets and
facilities which do not precede or determine development, but are largely
developed in the course of it.”
In this sense, Bauer saw no reason why the role of capital would be any
different in the Third World than it was in the West, where other factors, such
as institutions that support an exchange economy, were the keys to economic
progress. The notion of a vicious cycle of poverty was contradicted not only by
the experience of the West, whose initial condition was poverty, but of what
Bauer observed in the Third World. The prevalence of the “vicious cycle” idea
further confirmed the neglect of evident reality so widespread in his branch of
economics. His views on capital also led him to reject foreign aid as essential
for growth and to criticize forced savings schemes, which were a central part
of import-substitution.
The role of traders in bringing about development was underappreciated
in other important ways. Traders regularly provided credit to small farmers and
served as intermediaries with manufacturers and the outside world. But the
lines separating farmers, traders and manufacturers were often not easily
drawn, a fact usually ignored by policymakers and development economists.
Farmers were often also traders, and successful traders often became leading
manufacturers. Moreover, consumer goods brought in from abroad were not
detrimental to savings and investment; rather they acted as incentive goods
leading to greater productivity and investment. The development of
warned against the “restrictive measures” being applied in much of Africa and
the developing world: “these economies have not experienced the
comparatively long spell of relatively unrestricted economic activity undergone
by developed countries in the past; this early emergence of effective economic
restrictionism may appreciably retard their rate of economic progress.”
In other areas related to development thinking on trade, Bauer’s critiques
were equally prescient and devastating. Examples include his critique of the
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (Bauer 1972, first
published in 1967) and his discussions of agricultural marketing boards, the
supposed deterioration of the terms of trade, commodity agreements, and
balance of payments crises. Throughout, Bauer (1972, 457) did not tire of
pointing out that “Now, as in the past, the most advanced of the
underdeveloped regions and sectors are those in contact with developed
countries.” Among the leading development economists, his exposition of the
effects of trade on poor countries was by far the most conceptually sound.
BAUER’S INFLUENCE
10 For a good review of the rise of Europe that is informed by Bauer’s insistence on examining
APPENDIX
Excel file explaining search and listing citations to Peter T. Bauer in the
American Economic Review (1911-2004), World Bank Economic Review (1986-2007),
and World Bank Research Observer (1986-2006). Link
11 For compilations of Shenoy’s writings, see Shenoy (2004a) and Shenoy (2004b). For essays on
Shenoy and other Indian market-liberal scholars in the post-World War II period, see Shah (2001).
REFERENCES
Anderson, Susan and Peter Boettke. 2004. The Development Set: The Character of
the Journal of Development Economics 2002. Econ Journal Watch 1(2): 306-318. Link
Bauer, Peter. 1948. The Rubber Industry: A Study in Competition and Monopoly. London:
London School of Economics and Political Science.
Bauer, Peter. 1954. West African Trade: A Study in Competition, Oligopoly and Monopoly in
a Changing Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Bauer, Peter. 1956. Lewis’ Theory of Economic Growth: A Review Article. American
Economic Review 46(4): 632-41. Reprinted in Bauer (1972).
Bauer, P.T. 1957. Economic Analysis and Policy in Underdeveloped Countries. Durham,
N.C.: Duke University Press.
Bauer, Peter. 1972. Dissent on Development: Studies and Debates in Development Economics.
Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.
Bauer, Peter. 1981. Equality, the Third World, and Economic Delusion. Cambridge, Mass.:
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Bauer, Peter. 1984. Remembrance of Studies Past: Retracing First Steps. In Pioneers in
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Bauer, Peter. 1987. Creating the Third World: Foreign Aid and its Offspring. Journal
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Bauer, Peter. 2000. From Subsistence to Exchange and Other Essays. Princeton, N.J.:
Princeton University Press.
Blundell, John, ed. 2002. A Tribute to Peter Bauer. London: Institute of Economic
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Cato Journal 25(3). 2005. Special issue on “Remembering Peter Bauer.”
Dorn, James A. 2002. Economic Development and Freedom: The Legacy of Peter
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Easterly, William. 2005. Email to the author, 25 August.
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Klein, Daniel B., with Teresa DiCola. 2004. Institutional Ties of Journal of Development
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Krueger, Anne O. 1997. Trade Policy and Economic Development: How We Learn.
American Economic Review 87 (1): 1-22.
Lal, Deepak. 1987. Markets, Mandarins, and Mathematicians. Cato Journal 7 (1): 43-
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Little, Ian M. 1961. Review of P. Bauer: Indian Economic Policy and Development.
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Shenoy, B. R. 2004b. Economic Prophecies. New Delhi: Centre for Civil Society.