Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Egypt's External Position
Egypt's External Position
FY 2015/16
Preface
The External Position of the Egyptian Economy Report is a series
produced by the Economic Research Sector in the Central Bank of
Egypt (CBE). The report tracks, on quarterly basis, the international
transactions that the Egyptian economy conducts with the rest of the
world. It relies, for this purpose, on the national statistics that are
regularly compiled in line with the SDDS prescriptions.
Table of Contents
Page
Overview
Section I: Balance of Payments (BOP)
BOP Performance. 1
1-Current Account 1
2-Capital and Financial Account 4
Section II: Tourism Sector Performance Summary: 7
A- Tourism Sector Performance 7
B- Hotel Sector Performance 8
Section III: International Investment Position (IIP) 11
Section IV: External Liquidity
A -Net International Reserves (NIR) 13
B -Net Foreign Assets of Banks (NFA) 13
Section V: External Debt
A - Breakdown by Maturity 15
B - Breakdown by Type 16
C - Breakdown by Currency 16
D - Breakdown by Creditor 17
E - Breakdown by Debtor 17
F- External Debt Indicators 18
Section VI: Exchange Rate Developments 19
Section VII:
Statistics Section Appendix I
1- Balance of Payments 23
2- International Investment Position (IIP) 25
3- Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey
(CPIS) 26
4- NIR & NFA at Banks 27
5- External Debt by Type 28
6- External Debt Indicators 29
7- External Debt by Debtor 30
8- Foreign Exchange Rates 31
Appendix II
A- Outstanding External Debt 35-49
B- Projected Medium & Long-Term Deposits
for United Arab Emirates 50-68
C- Exchange Rates of the Currencies of
External Debt versus US Dollar 69
Appendix III
Box. (1): Egypt's Subscription to SDDS and
Data Quality Dimensions 73
Box. (2): Egypt's Data Quality Dimensions 74
Box. (3): Doing Business in Egypt 75
Box. (4): Tourism Market Diversification 76
Glossary 77
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position
Overview
BOP Performance
E gypt's BOP recorded an overall 1.1: Trade on Goods
deficit of some US$ 2.8 billion The trade volume decreased by 10.2
during FY 2015/16 (versus a surplus percent, to reach US$ 75.0 billion
of about US$ 3.7 billion a year (22.3 percent of GDP) during FY
earlier). 2015/16.
The current account registered a The trade deficit decreased by US$
deficit of some US$ 18.7 billion 1.5 billion, to US$ 37.6 billion (11.2
(against about US$ 12.1 billion). percent of GDP) from US$ 39.1
billion (11.7 percent of GDP), due to
The capital and financial account the following developments:
registered a net inflow of around
US$ 19.9 billion (compared with Merchandise exports decreased by
about US$ 17.9 billion). 15.9 percent to US$ 18.7 billion,
due to the decrease in both oil
Chart (1) shows developments in exports by 36.2 percent to reach US$
Egypt’s BOP main components, on 5.7 billion (30.3 percent of total
quarterly basis.
exports) and in non-oil exports by 2.4
percent to reach US$ 13.0 billion
Chart (1) : Egypt's BOP Main Components (69.7 percent of total exports). As a
US$ bn
14 result, the exports/ imports ratio
12 decreased to 33.2 percent, from 36.3
10
8 percent.
6
4 Merchandise imports decreased by
2
0 8.1 percent to US$ 56.3 billion, due
-2 to the decrease in both oil imports by
-4
-6 24.8 percent to reach US$ 9.3 billion
-8
(16.5 percent of total imports), and
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
in non-oil imports by 3.9 percent to
2014/2015 2015/2016
reach US$ 47.0 billion (83.5 percent
Capital & Financail Account Current Account Overall Balance of total imports).
African Other
Countries Countries
10.2% EU
1.3% 30.9%
Asian
Countries
20.3%
Fuel, Raw Semi- Finished
mineral materials finished goods Other EU
oils & 8.6 % goods 46.2% Countries
products 14.4% Arab 7.2%
30.8% Countries Russian
USA Federation
18.5%
4.6% & C.I.S
7.0%
1.2.1: Services & income receipts abroad, and interest and dividends on
fell by 25.2 percent, to some US$ bonds and securities.
16.5 billion (against about US$ 22.0
billion), driven by the decrease in 1.2.2: Services & income payments
most of their items as follows: fell by 15.1 percent, to about US$
14.4 billion (against about US$ 17.0
Tourism revenues by 48.9 percent billion). This was attributed to the
to about US$ 3.8 billion (from fall in most of their items as follows:
some US$ 7.4 billion), as a result of
the 47.8 percent fall in tourist Other services payments by 37.5
nights, which scored 51.8 million percent, to some US$ 3.3 billion
nights (versus 99.2 million). (see (against about US$ 5.3 billion),
Box 4) driven by lower contractor &
Government services receipts to construction services payments,
US$ 378.0 million (against some salaries of public & private emplo-
US$ 1.4 billion), reflecting the fall yees, communication services, and
in other government receipts and fees for entertainment, culture &
expenses of Egyptian embassies recreational services.
abroad.
Other services receipts by 25.2 Investment income payments by
percent to about US$ 2.4 billion 17.7 percent to some US$ 4.9
(against some US$ 3.2 billion), due billion (against about US$ 5.9
to the fall in the receipts of billion), as a result of lower
contractor & construction services, transfers of foreign companies
advertisements, computer services, (petroleum & non-petroleum), and
and other services receipts. transfers of interest and dividends
on bonds and securities.
Transportation receipts by 3.2
percent to about US$ 9.5 billion
(against some US$ 9.9 billion), due Chart (9): Income Balance
US$ bn
to the fall in Suez Canal dues to 0.5
about US$ 5.1 billion (against some 0.0
US$ 5.4 billion), which decreased, -0.5
in turn, as a result of the 2.1 percent
-1.0
fall of SDR against the dollar. Add
to this the fall in receipts from -1.5
abroad on account of charter flight. -2.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
US$ bn
Chart (8): Service Balances 2014/2015 2015/2016
Income Receipts Income Payments Income Balance
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0 Transportation payments by 12.8
1.0 percent, to around US$ 1.3 billion
0.0
-1.0
(against some US$ 1.5 billion), due
-2.0 to the decline in amounts remitted
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 abroad on account of transportation
2014/2015 2015/2016 services, and amounts transferred
Other Services Balance Government Services Balance by foreign navigation & freight
Tourism Services Balance Transportation Services Balance
Services Balance companies.
On the other hand, investment Government services payments by
income receipts rose to US$ 396.9 9.0 percent to US$ 777.1 million
million (from US$ 212.8 million), (from US$ 854.1 million), reflec-
mainly due to the increase in profits ting the decrease in other govern-
from Egyptian companies' branches ment expenditure, and salaries of
abroad, interest on deposits held government employees abroad.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 4
Summary
The regional comparison shows that
Tourism Sector Performance Egyptian hotels offered lower prices
during 2015/2016:
during the period.
The data accumulated for the year
2015/2016 point to a drop in tourist Tourism Market Diversification:
arrivals, nights, and receipts when According to the number of tourist
compared with the previous year levels. arrivals over the 1989/90-2015/16
This indicates a sharp decline in the period, Egypt's tourism market
tourism sector. Average expenditure per witnessed a shift from diversification
night* declined from US$ 74.3/night in towards concentration in favor of
the previous year to US$ 72.8/night in European region, as the Herfindahl-
2015/2016. Hirschman Index (HHI) reached 0.45.
Tourism Sector Performance This draws attention to the fact that
during Q4 2015/2016: necessary steps should be taken towards
a more diversified tourism market to be
According to the balance of able to mitigate any future demand
payments data, tourism receipts shocks. Nevertheless, Egypt's market is
recorded a decrease of US$ 1390 still more diversified when compared to
million or 73.1 percent to US$ 510.4 some neighboring countries in the
million, due to the negative growth in MENA region. (See Box 4, Appendix
tourist nights (74.3 percent), despite the III).
increase in the average expenditure per
night (4.5 percent). A- Tourism Sector Performance:
Egypt's tourism sector activity Ministry of Tourism figures show
witnessed a sharp decline Q-over-Q. In that a total of 1186 thousand tourists
the fourth quarter of 2015/16, it came from all over the world and spent
witnessed a decrease in both the number 6646 thousand nights in Q4 of
of tourist arrivals (55.1 percent), and 2015/2016, with a decrease of 55.1
tourist nights (74.3 percent). On the percent in the number of tourist arrivals
other hand, the average expenditure per and an increase of 74.3 percent in the
night increased from US$ 73.5/night to number of nights, compared with the
US$ 76.8/night. same period of the previous year. The
Data show a decrease in the number decline in tourist arrivals resulted from
of average tourist nights (5.6 nights per less visitors coming from the European
person, compared to 9.8 nights per countries (101.1 percent of total de-
person). Tourists coming from the crease), Middle East region (0.8
Middle East region and European percent), the Americas (0.4 percent).
countries headed the list in terms of the Meanwhile, the number of arrivals from
length of stay per visitor (6.6 and 5.4 African countries and Asia and the
nights per visitor, respectively). Pacific region increased (+2.3 percent &
+0.3 percent, respectively ).
Hotel Sector Performance:
Chart(1):Tourist arrivals (In Thousands)
As regards hotel sector performance
4000
and its regional comparison during
January/July 2016, Cairo hotels ex- 3000
perienced a noticeable increased in 2000
terms of "average daily rate per room",
"revenue per available room", and 1000
"occupancy rate". Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
________________________________
*
Average expenditure per tourist night calculated as a number of
2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
tourism receipts divided by tourist night.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 8
_______________________________
1
It represents the average daily rental income per occupied room
in a given period of time. The ADR can be calculated by
dividing the rooms' revenue by the number of rooms sold,
excluding house use rooms from the denominators.
2
It can be calculated using the following two ways; (i) Total
room revenue in a given period, net of discounts, sales tax, and
meals, divided by the number of available rooms in same
period. (ii) Average daily room rate multiplied by occupancy
rate
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 10
Table (2): Hotels' Performance in key Arab Cities in (January- July) of 2016
External Liquidity
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 13
External Liquidity
10.0
Foreign currency deposits with banks Chart (3): Developments in Deposits by Local and
Foreign Currencies
increased by 5.7 percent during the
(LE bn) ( End of Month) (%)
period concerned, reaching US$ 36.6
2000 25.0
billion at end of June 2016. Likewise, 1800
local currency deposits increased by 1600 20.0
1400
17.7 percent. 1200 15.0
1000
As such, the ratio of foreign currency 800 10.0
600
deposits to total deposits at end of
400 5.0
June 2016, made up 18.5 percent. 200
0 0.0
Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16
Foreign Currency Deposits
Local Currency Deposits
Growth Rate of Foreign Currency Deposits
Growth Rate of Local Currency Deposits
Section V
External Debt
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 15
External Debt
By residual maturity1, medium-
Egypt's external debt of all
and long-term external debt
maturities increased by US$ 7.7
decreased, as it represented 75.4
billion (16.0 percent), to post US$
percent of the total debt. In
55.8 billion at end of June 2016
comparison, they accounted for 87.4
(compared with US$ 48.1 billion at
percent of the total by original
end of June 2015). This came as a
maturity. Meanwhile, short-term
result of the rise in net disbursements
debt showed an increase, as it
of loans and facilities by US$ 7.4
represented 24.6 percent, compared
billion, alongside the appreciation of
to 12.6 percent classified by original
most currencies of borrowing versus
maturity.
the US dollar by US$ 0.3 billion.
chart (1)
External Debt Structure by Original
Maturity
End of June 2016
long term
Short- term
debt
debt
58.1%
12.6%
1
While the analytical presentation of external debt
Medium-
term debt by original maturity is the norm recommended in
29.3% the External Debt Statistics Guide, residual
maturity presentation still draws significant
attention. In other words, compilation of external
debt statistics based on original maturity helps in
understanding the nature of capital flows; while
the remaining maturity provides a profile of debt
service payments, especially those falling due in
the near term, and of potential liquidity risks
facing the economy. Short-term debt by residual
maturity comprises all components of short-term
debt with original maturity of up to one year, and
the amounts falling due -under medium-and long-
term debt by original maturity- within one year or
less.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 16
B- Breakdown by Type
68.3 percent for East and Central Debt Service / Exports of Goods and
Services
Europe).
- Egypt's medium- and long-term (US$)
%
external debt to total external 573.1
debt at end of June 2016 580
represented 87.4 percent (94.1 90
560
percent for Sub-Saharan Africa 75
and 61.3 percent for Asian 540
60 43.8
developing countries). 520
45
- Egypt's debt service ratio***
30 500
registered 14.6 percent during
FY 2015/2016 (57.5 percent for 15 18.1 480
East and Central Europe, and 0 460
20.1 percent for Sub-Saharan
Africa). 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
__________________________________ Government External Debt / External Debt
* For more indicators, refer to appendix I, table
No 6.
External Debt /GDP
** Source: World & Regional Economic Outlook External Debt per capita (US$) (right axis)
Reports, Oct. 2016, and CBE database.
*** Debt-Service Ratio: The ratio of debt service
(interest and principal payments due) during a
year, expressed as a percentage of exports
(typically of goods and services) for that year.
This ratio is considered to be a key indicator of
a country’s debt burden.
Section VI
1
(i) Inter-bank Rate : Kuwaiti dinar by 16.8 percent, the
Saudi riyal by 16.5 percent , the US
During FY 2015/2016, the weighted
dollar & UAE dirham by 16.4
average of the US dollar in the
percent each, the euro by 16.1
Egyptian inter-bank market ap-
percent, the Swiss franc by 11.1
preciated by about 16.6 percent
percent, and the Chinese yuan by 8.8
against the Egyptian pound (EGP).
percent. On the other hand, the pound
This brought the rate to EGP 8.7800
sterling decreased by 0.4 percent.
at end of June 2016, from EGP
7.5301 at end of June 2015.
EGP Chart (1):Exchange Rate of USD & Euro against EGP
(ii) Market Rate: (End of Period)
12.0
At end of June 2016, and according
to the foreign exchange market 10.0
(buying price), the Egyptian pound 8.0
depreciated against the Japanese 6.0
yen (100 yens) by 39.3 percent, the
4.0
2.0
0.0
Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16
USD Interbank rate(average) USD market rate(buying price)
Euro market rate(buying price)
__________________________
1
The inter-bank foreign exchange market was
launched in Egypt in December 2004.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 19
1
(i) Inter-bank Rate : Kuwaiti dinar by 16.8 percent, the
Saudi riyal by 16.5 percent , the US
During FY 2015/2016, the weighted
dollar & UAE dirham by 16.4
average of the US dollar in the
percent each, the euro by 16.1
Egyptian inter-bank market ap-
percent, the Swiss franc by 11.1
preciated by about 16.6 percent
percent, and the Chinese yuan by 8.8
against the Egyptian pound (EGP).
percent. On the other hand, the pound
This brought the rate to EGP 8.7800
sterling decreased by 0.4 percent.
at end of June 2016, from EGP
7.5301 at end of June 2015.
EGP Chart (1):Exchange Rate of USD & Euro against EGP
(ii) Market Rate: (End of Period)
12.0
At end of June 2016, and according
to the foreign exchange market 10.0
(buying price), the Egyptian pound 8.0
depreciated against the Japanese 6.0
yen (100 yens) by 39.3 percent, the
4.0
2.0
0.0
Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16
USD Interbank rate(average) USD market rate(buying price)
Euro market rate(buying price)
__________________________
1
The inter-bank foreign exchange market was
launched in Egypt in December 2004.
Section VII
Statistics
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position
Appendix I
Table Page
I- Balance of Payments
V- External Debt
(US$ mn)
Fiscal Year
2014/2015* 2015/2016*
Trade Balance -39060.4 -37606.2
Exports** 22245.1 18704.6
Petroleum 8891.9 5674.3
Other Exports 13353.2 13030.3
Imports** -61305.5 -56310.8
Petroleum -12366.1 -9293.6
Other Imports -48939.4 -47017.2
Services (Net) 5042.0 2061.7
Receipts 22024.6 16476.2
Transportation, of which : 9850.3 9534.6
Suez Canal 5361.7 5121.6
Travel 7370.4 3767.5
Investment Income 212.8 396.9
Government receipts 1381.5 378.0
Other 3209.6 2399.2
Payments 16982.6 14414.5
Transportation 1535.0 1339.1
Travel 3338.2 4091.0
Investment Income, of which 5913.7 4868.2
Interest Paid 643.6 751.6
Government Expenditures 854.1 777.1
Other 5341.6 3339.1
Balance of Goods & Services -34018.4 -35544.5
Transfers 21875.8 16885.1
Private Transfers (Net) 19205.4 16783.6
Official Transfers (Net) 2670.4 101.5
Current Account Balance -12142.6 -18659.4
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 24
(US$ mn)
Fiscal Year
2014/2015* 2015/2016*
Capital & Financial Account 17928.9 19851.5
Capital Account -122.9 -141.4
Financial Account 18051.8 19992.9
Direct Investment Abroad -223.3 -164.2
Direct Investment in Egypt (Net) 6379.8 6838.2
Portfolio Investment Abroad (Net) 47.2 192.1
Portfolio Investment in Egypt (Net), of which: -638.6 -1286.8
Bonds -1147.5 -1444.8
Other Investment (Net) 12486.7 14413.6
Net Borrowing 5036.2 6134.9
M&L-Term Loans (Net) -482.5 -506.6
Drawings 1753.5 2080.8
Repayments -2236.0 -2587.4
MT-Suppliers' Credit (Net) 257.9 857.8
Drawings 313.0 935.6
Repayments -55.1 -77.8
ST-Suppliers' Credit (Net) 5260.8 5783.7
Other Assets -1220.6 -3739.9
Central Bank -28.0 -104.4
Banks 4774.3 2163.2
Other -5966.9 -5798.7
Other Liabilities 8671.1 12018.6
Central Bank 5474.1 5857.7
Banks 3197.0 6160.9
Net Errors & Omissions -2061.4 -4005.1
Overall Balance 3724.9 -2813.0
Change in CBE Reserve Assets ,Increase(-) -3724.9 2813.0
* Preliminary.
** Include free zones exports and imports.
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Table(2) International Investment Position (IIP)
(US$ millions)
25
*Preliminary
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 26
Table(3) Egypt's Coordinated Portofolio Investement Survey (CPIS) at end of June 2016
Breakdown of portfolio investment Assets by country of residence of the Issuers
(US$ millions)
Country of non-resident issuers Equities long-term debt securities short-term debt securities Total
US $ mn
Net International Reserves (1-2) 26564 15534 14936 16687 20082 17546
1-Gross Official Reserves 26593 15556 14960 16710 20104 17570
Gold 2743 3303 2463 2662 2420 2602
SDRs 1311 1243 1233 1274 1168 793
Foreign Currencies 22450 10926 11181 12695 16453 14128
Loans to IMF 89 84 83 79 63 47
2- Reserve Liabilities 29 22 24 23 22 24
Banks' Net Foreign Assets 17809 13462 12121 11452 3481 -4844
27
Assets 23312 18947 16885 16224 11450 9286
Liabilities 5503 5485 4764 4772 7969 14130
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Table (5) External Debt by Type
(US$ mn)
28
Source: Central Bank of Egypt.
+ Provisional
* The difference from World Bank data is in short-term debt .
** According to the agreement signed with Paris Club countries on May 25, 1991.
Table (6) External Debt Indicators
(%)
External Debt / Exports (G & S) % 71.4 74.8 87.9 105.5 108.6 160.3
Debt Service * (Principal & Interest) (US$ mn.) 2799.2 2903.8 3089.3 3198.9 5609.1 5084.7
Debt Service / Exports (G & S) % 5.7 6.3 6.3 7.3 12.7 14.6
Debt Service / Current Receipts % 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.3 8.5 9.9
External Debt /GDP (at current market prices) 15.2 12.4 16.3 15.4 14.8 18.1
Short-term Debt / External Debt 7.9 8.5 16.3 7.9 5.4 12.6
Short-term Debt / Net International Reserves 10.4 18.7 47.2 21.9 12.8 40.0
External Debt per capita (US$) 413.6 387.7 475.3 506.4 513.5 573.1
29
* includes interest payments on US dollar-denominated bonds and notes holding by nonresedents
Central Bank of Eygpt - External P0sition 30
Table (7) External Debt by Debtor
(US$ mn)
End of June 2015 % June 2016 * % Change (-) %
31
Source: CBE daily exchange rates.
* The interbank rates were launched on December 23, 2004.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position
Appendix II
Table Page
I- Outstanding External Debt
Outstanding Stock …………………………………………………………… 1 35
1. Medium & Long-term Public and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt ...... 2 37
a. Paris Club Bilateral Debt ……………………………………………. 3 39
(1) Rescheduled Debt………………………………………………… 4 40
(2) Non-Rescheduled Debt…………………………………............... 5 41
b. Supplier's Credit………………………………………………........... 6 43
c. Non-Paris Club Debt …………………………………………............ 7 44
d. Multilateral Institutions………………………………………………. 8 45
2. Medium & Long-term Private Sector, Non-Guaranteed ………………… 9 47
3. Short-Term Debt ……………………………............................................ 10 48
II- Disbursed and Undisbursed Amounts for Signed Loans & Deposits 11 49
Table ( 1 )
Figure 1-1
External Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
( US$bn )
60.5
55.5
50.5
45.5
40.5
35.5
30.5
25.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 1-2
Supplier's Credit
Non-Paris Club Debt 0.02%
9.42% Paris Club Debt
20.78%
Deposits
33.57% Multilateral Institutions
29.02%
36
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 37
Table ( 2 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
(US$ million){1}
Total Debt
2013 2014 2015 2016
Creditor Countries
{2}
Multilateral Institutions 11,963.31 12,228.58 12,246.30 14,089.93
{3}
Deposits 3,000.00 9,000.00 15,000.00 16,300.00
Global Medium Term Notes ( G.M.T.N.) 0.00 0.00 1,350.00 1,195.17
Euro-Medium Term Notes ( E.M.T.N.) 2500.00 3500.00 1000.00 1000.00
Sovereign Notes 908.61 835.28 837.73 797.78
Saudi Bond 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00
Guaranteed Notes 1,250.00 1,250.00 1,250.00 0.00
China
4%
Multilateral Institutions
29%
Deposits
34%
Others
6%
Kuwait
2% France
2%
United States
Bonds & Notes Japan Germany 4%
7% 5% 7%
38
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 39
Table ( 3 ) {1}
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Paris Club Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
{2}
(US$ million)
Total Debt
Country
2013 2014 2015 2016
Germany 3,328.04 3,450.20 2,805.70 3,605.82
Japan 3,060.16 2,813.06 2,212.88 2,458.25
United States 2,537.61 2,284.82 2,026.01 1,761.16
France 2,686.98 2,363.06 1,588.48 1,198.86
Italy 306.83 244.74 361.17 396.33
Spain 503.57 431.25 314.06 246.05
Denmark 228.25 208.83 148.80 122.58
Austria 250.83 205.85 120.04 66.11
The Netherlands 82.38 83.89 65.93 63.17
Switzerland 257.18 207.39 133.33 60.04
Canada 127.09 104.93 72.34 46.87
United Kingdom 113.10 100.63 66.50 31.71
Australia 92.68 69.98 37.48 12.68
Belgium 41.91 35.49 20.88 12.12
Finland 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.21
Sweden 19.69 14.84 7.70 2.70
Norway 4.39 3.55 2.61 1.67
Figure 3
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Paris Club Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
20.0
15.0
( US$bn )
10.0
5.0
0.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 40
Table ( 4 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Paris Club Debt
Rescheduled Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
(US$ million){1}
Total Debt
Country
2013 2014 2015 2016
15.0
( US$bn )
10.0
5.0
0.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 41
Table ( 5 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Paris Club Debt
Non-Rescheduled Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
(US$ million){1}
Total Debt
Country
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 5-1
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Paris Club Debt
Non-Rescheduled Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
5,000
4,000
( US$mn )
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 5-2
Non-Rescheduled Debt
48%
Rescheduled Debt
52%
42
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 43
Table ( 6 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Supplier's Credit
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
{1}
(US$ million)
Total Debt
Country
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 6
30.00
25.00
20.00
( US$mn )
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 44
Table ( 7 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Non-Paris Club Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
(US$ million){1}
Total Debt
Country
2013 2014 2015 2016
{2}
China 336.12 344.06 337.49 1,940.55
5,000
4,000
( US$mn )
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 45
Table ( 8 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Multilateral Institutions
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
(US$ million){1}
Total Debt
Creditor
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 8-1
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Multilateral Institutions
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
15,000
( US$mn )
10,000
5,000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 8 - 2
AFESD
10%
Others
IBRD 12%
36 %
46
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 47
Table ( 9 )
Medium and Long-Term
Private Sector Non-Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
(US$ million){1}
Total Debt
Country
2013 2014 2015 2016
200.00
180.00
160.00
140.00
( US$mn )
120.00
100.00
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 48
Table ( 10 )
Short-Term Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
(US$ million)
Total Debt
2013 2014 2015 2016
Short-Term Debt
{1}
Deposits (Non-Residents) 793.38 892.53 1,295.36 4,678.31
(1) Includes African Export-Import Bank Treasury Deposits Amounted US$ 3,200 million .
Figure 10
Short-Term Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of June
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
( US$mn )
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 49
Table ( 11 )
Medium and Long-Term
Disbursed and Undisbursed Amounts for Signed Loans and Deposit
from 1/7/2013 to 30/6/2016
(US$ million){1}
Signed Amount Disbursed Undisbursed
1- Medium and Long-Term Public
& Publicly Guaranteed Debt 29,504.69 19,792.64 9,813.52
10,000.00
( US$mn )
8,000.00
6,000.00
4,000.00
2,000.00
0.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Table ( 12 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service
as of July 1, 2016
(1)
(US$ million)
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
(2)
2016/H2 3192.92 481.86 3,674.78 2034/H1 144.69 19.87 164.56
(3)
2017/H1 2426.23 436.81 2,863.04 2034/H2 132.22 18.95 151.18
2017/H2 1948.25 436.48 2,384.73 2035/H1 123.81 18.17 141.98
(4)
2018/H1 4654.36 396.98 5,051.34 2035/H2 118.13 17.41 135.54
2018/H2 (5) 7506.18 372.78 7,878.97 2036/H1 91.60 16.72 108.33
(6)
2019/H1 3820.15 330.02 4,150.17 2036/H2 90.52 16.20 106.72
2019/H2 1560.26 290.85 1,851.11 2037/H1 77.94 15.68 93.62
2020/H1 (7) 4206.38 266.92 4,473.30 2037/H2 72.59 15.20 87.79
2020/H2 1413.53 215.07 1,628.60 2038/H1 59.10 14.73 73.83
2021/H1 1532.39 191.23 1,723.63 2038/H2 38.46 14.48 52.93
2021/H2 1134.49 178.08 1,312.57 2039/H1 28.63 14.32 42.95
2022/H1 969.37 159.59 1,128.96 2039/H2 28.15 14.21 42.36
2022/H2 966.69 153.24 1,119.93 2040/H1(9) 405.11 14.10 419.21
2023/H1 894.52 138.04 1,032.56 2040/H2 24.77 0.99 25.77
2023/H2 920.76 131.67 1,052.42 2041/H1 18.00 0.89 18.89
2024/H1 803.11 116.56 919.67 2041/H2 17.71 0.83 18.55
2024/H2 692.45 111.13 803.59 2042/H1 16.30 0.76 17.06
2025/H1 (8) 1852.84 101.15 1,953.99 2042/H2 14.39 0.71 15.10
2025/H2 648.56 62.81 711.37 2043/H1 13.96 0.65 14.62
2026/H1 617.02 54.15 671.18 2043/H2 13.20 0.61 13.81
2026/H2 590.18 50.59 640.77 2044/H1 9.82 0.56 10.38
2027/H1 374.09 43.63 417.71 2044/H2 9.35 0.52 9.88
2027/H2 352.87 42.44 395.31 2045/H1 8.50 0.49 8.99
2028/H1 288.53 38.27 326.80 2045/H2 8.33 0.46 8.79
2028/H2 288.71 36.85 325.57 2046/H1 7.51 0.43 7.93
2029/H1 254.52 33.76 288.28 2046/H2 5.72 0.40 6.12
2029/H2 247.87 32.29 280.15 2047/H1 4.60 0.38 4.98
2030/H1 222.60 30.02 252.62 2047/H2 4.44 0.37 4.81
2030/H2 215.68 28.62 244.30 2048/H1 3.79 0.35 4.14
2031/H1 197.66 27.11 224.77 2048/H2 3.42 0.34 3.76
2031/H2 195.59 25.77 221.37 2049/H1 1.28 0.32 1.60
2032/H1 191.89 24.49 216.38 2049/H2 0.82 0.32 1.14
2032/H2 188.38 23.21 211.58 2050/H1 0.65 0.31 0.96
2033/H1 177.96 21.98 199.94 2050/H2 0.40 0.32 0.71
2033/H2 152.28 20.81 173.10
(10) (11)
Grand Total 47,297.21 5,326.36 52,623.57
(1) The exchange rate of June 30, 2016 .
(2) Includes US$ 1000.00 million Euro-Medium Term Notes ( E.M.T.N.) maturing 2016.
(3) Includes US$ 500.00 million Saudi bond maturing 2017.
(4) Includes US$ 3098.67 million deposits maturing 2018.
(5) Includes US$ 6100.00 million deposits maturing 2018.
(6) Includes US$ 2433 million deposits maturing 2019.
(7) Includes US$ 419.56 million sovereign notes & US$ 2435 million deposits maturing 2020.
(8) Includes US$ 1195.17 million Global Medium Term Notes ( G.M.T.N.) maturing 2025.
(9) Includes US$ 378.22 million sovereign notes maturing 2040.
(10) Excludes US$ 1254.12 million representing SDR allocation by IMF to its member countries, Egypt’s share is SDR 898.45 MN.
(11) Includes US$ 21.85 million representing forecast interest of SDR allocation.
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 12
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
51
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 52
Table ( 13 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service
Paris Club Debt
as of July 1, 2016
(US$ million){1}
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2016/H2 832.51 98.05 930.56 2034/H1 34.93 1.85 36.77
2017/H1 417.80 85.46 503.26 2034/H2 33.68 1.72 35.40
2017/H2 449.30 88.96 538.26 2035/H1 32.90 1.59 34.50
2018/H1 433.48 75.38 508.86 2035/H2 31.66 1.47 33.13
2018/H2 465.25 78.47 543.72 2036/H1 29.65 1.35 31.01
2019/H1 597.23 65.18 662.41 2036/H2 28.77 1.24 30.01
2019/H2 672.26 66.22 738.48 2037/H1 26.71 1.13 27.84
2020/H1 635.10 52.47 687.57 2037/H2 25.91 1.03 26.95
2020/H2 565.79 52.45 618.24 2038/H1 24.67 0.94 25.61
2021/H1 483.40 40.42 523.82 2038/H2 22.19 0.85 23.05
2021/H2 471.51 40.71 512.22 2039/H1 19.20 0.77 19.97
2022/H1 307.74 30.22 337.96 2039/H2 18.76 0.70 19.46
2022/H2 327.38 31.98 359.36 2040/H1 18.11 0.64 18.75
2023/H1 255.13 24.42 279.55 2040/H2 17.70 0.57 18.27
2023/H2 269.62 25.92 295.54 2041/H1 16.22 0.51 16.73
2024/H1 252.77 19.52 272.29 2041/H2 15.93 0.45 16.38
2024/H2 270.29 20.56 290.85 2042/H1 14.51 0.40 14.91
2025/H1 253.46 14.70 268.17 2042/H2 12.61 0.34 12.95
2025/H2 275.06 15.06 290.12 2043/H1 12.18 0.30 12.48
2026/H1 255.83 9.89 265.72 2043/H2 11.88 0.26 12.13
2026/H2 272.34 9.39 281.72 2044/H1 8.97 0.21 9.18
2027/H1 82.29 4.83 87.12 2044/H2 8.50 0.18 8.68
2027/H2 100.75 5.99 106.74 2045/H1 7.65 0.15 7.80
2028/H1 70.38 4.01 74.39 2045/H2 7.47 0.12 7.59
2028/H2 81.81 4.66 86.47 2046/H1 6.65 0.10 6.75
2029/H1 63.25 3.45 66.70 2046/H2 4.86 0.07 4.94
2029/H2 63.27 3.67 66.94 2047/H1 3.74 0.06 3.80
2030/H1 52.71 3.02 55.73 2047/H2 3.59 0.04 3.63
2030/H2 62.60 3.03 65.62 2048/H1 3.20 0.03 3.23
2031/H1 42.91 2.68 45.59 2048/H2 3.17 0.02 3.19
2031/H2 42.47 2.54 45.00 2049/H1 1.03 0.01 1.04
2032/H1 41.63 2.39 44.02 2049/H2 0.57 0.01 0.57
2032/H2 40.24 2.25 42.49 2050/H1 0.40 0.00 0.40
2033/H1 37.39 2.11 39.50 2050/H2 0.40 0.00 0.40
2033/H2 36.08 1.98 38.05
Grand Total 10,089.33 1,011.18 11,100.51
{1} The exchange rate of June 30, 2016 .
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 13
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
53
2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
Table ( 14 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service as of July 1, 2016
Paris Club Debt
Rescheduled Debt
(US$ million){1}
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
Table ( 15 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service as of July 1, 2016
Paris Club Debt
Non-Rescheduled Debt
(US$ million){1}
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2016/H2 179.09 35.94 215.03 2034/H1 34.93 1.85 36.77
2017/H1 139.98 27.87 167.85 2034/H2 33.68 1.72 35.40
2017/H2 168.05 35.46 203.51 2035/H1 32.90 1.59 34.50
2018/H1 138.37 24.89 163.25 2035/H2 31.66 1.47 33.13
2018/H2 166.63 32.22 198.85 2036/H1 29.65 1.35 31.01
2019/H1 296.73 22.26 318.99 2036/H2 28.77 1.24 30.01
2019/H2 368.16 27.52 395.68 2037/H1 26.71 1.13 27.84
2020/H1 329.03 17.24 346.27 2037/H2 25.91 1.03 26.95
2020/H2 256.03 21.34 277.37 2038/H1 24.67 0.94 25.61
2021/H1 171.37 13.02 184.39 2038/H2 22.19 0.85 23.05
2021/H2 183.35 17.50 200.85 2039/H1 19.20 0.77 19.97
2022/H1 153.64 10.59 164.24 2039/H2 18.76 0.70 19.46
2022/H2 170.93 14.35 185.28 2040/H1 18.11 0.64 18.75
2023/H1 96.30 8.50 104.80 2040/H2 17.70 0.57 18.27
2023/H2 108.37 12.03 120.40 2041/H1 16.22 0.51 16.73
2024/H1 89.29 7.43 96.72 2041/H2 15.93 0.45 16.38
2024/H2 108.87 10.49 119.36 2042/H1 14.51 0.40 14.91
2025/H1 89.67 6.55 96.22 2042/H2 12.61 0.34 12.95
2025/H2 108.68 8.97 117.65 2043/H1 12.18 0.30 12.48
2026/H1 87.03 5.69 92.71 2043/H2 11.88 0.26 12.13
2026/H2 104.06 7.47 111.53 2044/H1 8.97 0.21 9.18
2027/H1 82.29 4.83 87.12 2044/H2 8.50 0.18 8.68
2027/H2 100.75 5.99 106.74 2045/H1 7.65 0.15 7.80
2028/H1 70.38 4.01 74.39 2045/H2 7.47 0.12 7.59
2028/H2 81.81 4.66 86.47 2046/H1 6.65 0.10 6.75
2029/H1 63.25 3.45 66.70 2046/H2 4.86 0.07 4.94
2029/H2 63.27 3.67 66.94 2047/H1 3.74 0.06 3.80
2030/H1 52.71 3.02 55.73 2047/H2 3.59 0.04 3.63
2030/H2 62.60 3.03 65.62 2048/H1 3.20 0.03 3.23
2031/H1 42.91 2.68 45.59 2048/H2 3.17 0.02 3.19
2031/H2 42.47 2.54 45.00 2049/H1 1.03 0.01 1.04
2032/H1 41.63 2.39 44.02 2049/H2 0.57 0.01 0.57
2032/H2 40.24 2.25 42.49 2050/H1 0.40 0.00 0.40
2033/H1 37.39 2.11 39.50 2050/H2 0.40 0.00 0.40
2033/H2 36.08 1.98 38.05
Grand Total 4,839.69 433.08 5,272.77
{1} The exchange rate of June 30, 2016 .
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 56
Table ( 16 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service
Supplier's Credit
as of July 1, 2016
(US$ million){1}
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2016/H2 0.15 0.00 0.15 2028/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2017/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2029/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2017/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2029/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2018/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2030/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2018/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2030/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2019/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2031/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2019/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2031/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2020/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2032/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2020/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2032/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2021/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2033/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2021/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2033/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2022/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2034/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2022/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2034/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2023/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2035/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2023/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2035/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2024/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2036/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2024/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2036/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2025/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2037/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
2025/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2037/H2 0.04 0.00 0.04
2026/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2038/H1 0.04 0.00 0.04
2026/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13 2038/H2 0.04 0.00 0.04
2027/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13 2039/H1 0.04 0.00 0.04
2027/H2 0.13 0.00 0.13
2028/H1 0.13 0.00 0.13
Grand Total 5.81 0.00 5.81
{1} The exchange rate of June 30, 2016 .
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 57
Table ( 17 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service as of July 1, 2016
Non-Paris Club Debt
(US$ million){1}
Multilateral Institutions
(US$ million){1}
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2016/H2 476.72 108.94 585.66 2033/H2 105.82 4.76 110.58
2017/H1 596.32 105.47 701.78 2034/H1 94.60 4.02 98.61
2017/H2 605.69 100.02 705.70 2034/H2 86.97 3.39 90.36
2018/H1 634.12 94.46 728.57 2035/H1 82.53 2.80 85.33
2018/H2 609.21 88.77 697.99 2035/H2 59.66 2.26 61.92
2019/H1 537.01 83.05 620.07 2036/H1 59.47 1.87 61.34
2019/H2 538.93 78.21 617.13 2036/H2 48.95 1.48 50.44
2020/H1 456.50 73.38 529.88 2037/H1 44.48 1.12 45.60
2020/H2 510.05 69.16 579.21 2037/H2 32.23 0.77 33.00
2021/H1 495.44 64.54 559.98 2038/H1 16.22 0.62 16.85
2021/H2 475.61 60.15 535.76 2038/H2 9.39 0.55 9.94
2022/H1 456.42 55.92 512.35 2039/H1 9.39 0.51 9.90
2022/H2 448.70 52.15 500.84 2039/H2 8.78 0.46 9.24
2023/H1 438.21 48.39 486.60 2040/H1 7.07 0.42 7.49
2023/H2 418.90 44.69 463.60 2040/H2 1.79 0.38 2.17
2024/H1 401.58 41.20 442.78 2041/H1 1.79 0.38 2.17
2024/H2 376.45 37.67 414.12 2041/H2 1.79 0.37 2.16
2025/H1 354.85 34.32 389.17 2042/H1 1.79 0.37 2.15
2025/H2 336.68 31.26 367.94 2042/H2 1.79 0.35 2.14
2026/H1 314.23 28.30 342.54 2043/H1 1.33 0.35 1.68
2026/H2 288.27 25.73 314.00 2043/H2 0.86 0.34 1.20
2027/H1 263.69 23.72 287.41 2044/H1 0.86 0.34 1.20
2027/H2 225.63 21.76 247.39 2044/H2 0.86 0.34 1.19
2028/H1 194.46 19.93 214.39 2045/H1 0.86 0.34 1.19
2028/H2 189.60 18.19 207.79 2045/H2 0.86 0.33 1.19
2029/H1 183.70 16.52 200.23 2046/H1 0.86 0.33 1.19
2029/H2 179.29 14.90 194.19 2046/H2 0.86 0.32 1.18
2030/H1 164.58 13.35 177.93 2047/H1 0.86 0.33 1.18
2030/H2 147.77 11.99 159.76 2047/H2 0.59 0.32 0.91
2031/H1 149.44 10.87 160.32 2048/H1 0.25 0.32 0.57
2031/H2 147.72 9.74 157.45 2048/H2 0.25 0.31 0.57
2032/H1 144.85 8.65 153.50 2049/H1 0.25 0.32 0.57
2032/H2 142.72 7.56 150.29 2049/H2 0.25 0.31 0.56
2033/H1 135.90 6.53 142.42 2050/H1 0.00 0.32 0.32
2033/H1 112.27 5.54 117.80 2050/H2 0.00
(2) (3)
Grand Total 12,835.81 1,546.83 14,382.64
{1} The exchange rate of June 30, 2016 .
(2) Excludes US$ 1,254.12 million representing SDR allocations by IMF to its member countries; Egypt’s share is SDR 898.45 MN.
(3) Includes US$ 21.85 million representing forecast interest of SDR allocation.
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 18
Total Medium and Long-Term Public and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt Service
Multilateral Institutions
as of July 1, 2016
US$ mn
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
59
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 60
Table ( 19)
(*)
Projected Sovereign Notes
Debt Service as of Julyl 1, 2016
(US$ million)
Table ( 20 )
(US$ million)
(*) The Applicable Interest Rate is Fixed : 5.00 % , issued on 1/6/2012 and due on 1/6/2017 .
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 62
Table ( 21 )
(*)
Projected Euro-Medium Term Notes ( E.M.T.N.)
Debt Service as of July 1, 2016
(US$ million)
(*) The Applicable Interest Rate is Fixed : 3.50 % , issued on 1/7/2013 and due on 1/7/2016 .
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 63
Table ( 22 )
Projected Global Medium Term Notes (G.M.T.N.) (*)
Debt Service as of July1, 2016
(US$ million)
Period Principal Interest Total
(*)The Global Medium Term Notes (G.M.T.N.) Nominal Value Amounted US$ 1500 MM ,The Applicable
Interest Rate is Fixed : 5.875 % , issued on 11/6/2015 and due on 11/6/2025 .
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 64
Table ( 23 )
Projected Medium Term Loans for African Export-Import Bank
as of July 1, 2016
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 500.00 16.50 516.50
(*) Applicable Interest Rate is Fixed 1.65 % , deposited on 31/5/2016 and due on 31/5/2018 (Interest Paid on Quarterly basis).
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 65
Table ( 24 )
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 4,000.00 203.40 4,203.40
Table ( 25 )
Projected Medium Term Deposits for Libya
as of July 1, 2016
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 2,000.00 0.00 2,000.00
(*) No Interest Rate, deposited on 12/4/2013 and due from 11/7/2016 up to 11/4/2018 Quarterly (Each quarter amount: US$ 250 MM).
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 67
Table ( 26 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Deposits for Saudi Arabia
as of July 1, 2016
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 4,800.00 163.72 4,963.72
Table ( 27 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Deposits for United Arab Emirates
as of July 1, 2016
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 5,000.00 253.50 5,253.50
Table ( 28 )
Exchange Rates of the Currencies of External Debt Versus US Dollar
as at End of June
Appendix III
Box Page
I- Egypt's Subscription to SDDS and Data Quality Dimensions……………… 1 73
II- Egypt's Data Quality Dimensions…………………………………………... 2 74
III- Doing Business in Egypt…………………………………………………… 3 75
IIII- Tourism Market Diversification …. ………………………………………. 4 76
- Glossary……………………………………………………………………. 77
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 73
In 1996, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) introduced the Special Data Dissemination
Standards (SDDS). The SDDS is intended to guide countries that have, or seek to have,
access to international capital markets in their provision of economic and financial statistics.
Subscription to SDDS is voluntary and it requires subscribers to observe the standard and
provide information on data and dissemination practices (the metadata) to the IMF for re-
dissemination. The standard identifies 4 dimensions of data dissemination: coverage,
periodicity, and timeliness; access by the public; the integrity of the disseminated data; and
the quality of the data themselves. In particular, the data dimension lists 18 data category,
providing coverage for 4 sectors (real, financial, fiscal and external) of the economy and
prescribes minimum timeliness and frequency standard, summarized in table below.
On January 31, 2005, Egypt became the 59th subscriber to the International Monetary Fund's
Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS). The report of external position contains
external sector data that cover external debt, balance of payments, international reserves,
merchandise trade, international investment position (IIP) and exchange rates. Such data are
published in compliance with the requirement under Special Data Dissemination Standards
(SDDS) of the IMF. Central Bank of Egypt compiles these statistics and disseminates them
through press releases, its website, and at the same time, on the IMF's Dissemination
Standard Bulletin Board (DSBB). Also, these data are included in the CBE main
publications; quarterly Economic Review, Annual Report and monthly Bulletins. As the title
indicates, the most comprehensive and complete databases are those available from national
sources, supplying high quality, timely and accurate data to international financial
community to support investment activity.
Egypt ranked 15th on World Bank's Bulletin Board on Statistical Capacity index on 147 developing
countries and 1st on the MENA and African regions, with an overall statistical capacity index of 87.8
points, compared to 91.1 in 2015. This score puts Egypt among the top 15 country group score list,
ranging between 90-100 points. These countries can be distinguished and noticed easily on the map
by countries colored dark green, as shown above.
A country's statistical capacity means its ability to extract and publish reliable and timely statistical
data, easily accessible by the public. The statistical capacity index, issued annually by the World
Bank, consists of three sub-indicators which include; methodology, data sources, and its periodicity
and timeliness. The latter measures the degree of information and data dissemination concerning
changes in government policy, and how easily that information can be accessed by the public. It is
worth mentioning that, aiming to improve the statistical capacity of 147 developing countries, the
World Bank provides information on various aspects of national statistical systems through the
BBSC indicator at its website.
0 20 40 60 80 100
Overall
Methodology
Source Data
As can be seen from the table and its chart, Egypt’s score outpaced the average score of all countries,
either on the level of the overall index, or on the level of its three sub-indicators, getting the highest
score of 100 points on the scale in the source data sub-indicator.
_______________________________________
* Source: bbsc.Worldbank.org, accessed in December, 2016.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 75
During 2015/2016, Egypt made starting a business easier by merging procedures at the one-stop
shop and strengthened minority investor protections by increasing shareholder rights and role in
major corporate decisions and by clarifying ownership and control structures. Egypt overall index
stepped up 9 ranks to occupy the 122nd rank in 2017.
Area of Reform Year Reform Actions
The minimum capital required to start a business was cut from EGP 50,000 to EGP
2008
1,000, and halved start-up time and cost.
It was made easier by reducing the paid-in minimum capital requirement by more
2009
than 80%, abolishing bar association fees, and automating tax registration.
Starting a Business 2010 The minimum capital required to start a business was removed.
2011 Egypt reduced the cost to start a business.
Egypt made starting a business easier by merging procedures at the one-stop shop
2017 by introducing a follow-up unit in charge of liaising with the tax and labor authority on
behalf of the company.
2008 The cost of dealing with licenses was reduced.
A new building code introduced in 2008 is aimed at reducing the procedures and time
Dealing with 2009 required to deal with construction permits by establishing a single window for
Construction Permits processing construction-related approvals.
Construction permits were made easier by issuing executive articles for the 2008
2010
construction law and eliminating most pre-approvals for construction permits.
Enforcing Contracts 2010 Contract enforcement was expedited with the creation of commercial courts.
Thanks to new regulations issued by the Central Bank, borrowers have the right to
2009
inspect their data in the private credit bureau.
Getting Credit
Access to credit information has expanded with the addition of retailers to the
2010
database of the private credit bureau.
2008 Registering property was reduced from 3% of the property value to a low fixed fee.
Registering Property Simplified administrative procedures for registering property and new time limits have
2009 reduced the time to transfer property in Cairo from 193 days to 72.
New one-stop shops were launched for traders at the ports, cutting the time to import
2008
by 7 days and the time to export by 5.
Trading Across Alexandria port continued to upgrade its facilities and speed customs clearance,
2009
Borders reducing the time to export by 1 day and the time to import by 3.
Egypt made trading easier by introducing an electronic system for submitting export
2011
and import documents.
Protecting Minority New listing rules for the Cairo Stock Exchange strengthened protections for minority
Investors 2009 shareholders: now an independent body must assess transactions between
interested parties before they are approved.
Additional requirements have been introduced to strengthen minority investor
2015 protections; An approval of related-party transactions and greater requirements for
disclosure of such transactions to the Egyptian Exchange.
2016 by barring subsidiaries from acquiring shares issued by their parent company.
2017 by increasing shareholder rights and role in major corporate decisions and by
clarifying ownership and control structures.
Trading Across 2011 Egypt made trading easier by introducing an electronic system for submitting export
Borders and import documents.
Source: www.doingbusiness.org, accessed in December 2016.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 76
This corresponds to the trends reflected in tourism data: a slight fall in number of incoming
visitors from European countries and African region and an increase of tourists from other
regions, especially from the Middle East and Asia and Pacific regions. Such a marginal
downward trend of the HHI index still sheds light on the necessary steps and incentives that
are much needed to diversify Egypt's tourism market. Such a diversification could mitigate
tourism demand shocks. Nevertheless, the HHI index never exceeded 0.61, indicating more
diversified tourism market, especially when compared to some of neighboring countries in
the MENA region.
Middle Middle
Africa East
East
10.3% 20.7%
35.0%
America
7.5% Africa
6.6%
Eurozone
Eurozone Asia & 62.8%
41.5% Pacific America
5.6% 4.1%
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Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 77
Glossary
Balance of Payments: a statistical from future restructuring (subordi-
statement that summarizes, for a nation strategy). In exceptional
specific period of time, the economic cases, arrears on post-cutoff-date
transactions of an economy with the debt can be deferred over short
rest of the world. periods of time in restructuring
agreements.
Bilateral Debt: Loans extended by a
bilateral creditor. Debt Instruments: Existing debt
instruments typically arise out of
Bilateral Rescheduling Agree- contractual relationships under
ments: Rescheduling agreements which an institutional unit (the
reached bilaterally between the debtor) has an unconditional liability
debtor and creditor countries. These to another institutional unit (the
are legally the equivalent of new creditor) to repay principal with or
loan agreements. After a Paris Club without interest, or to pay interest
rescheduling, such agreements are without principal. These instruments
required to put into effect the debt include debt securities, loans, trade
restructuring set forth in the credit, and currency and deposits.
multinational Agreed Minute. Debt instruments may also be
created by the force of law—in
Buyer’s Credit: A financial ar- particular, obligations to pay taxes
rangement in which a bank or or to make other compulsory pay-
financial institution, or an export ments— or through rights and
credit agency in the exporting obligations that results in a debtor
country, extends a loan directly to a accepting an obligation to make
foreign buyer or to a bank in the future payment(s) to a creditor.
importing country to pay for the
purchase of goods and services from Debt Service: Refers to payments in
the exporting country. Also known respect of both principal and interest.
as financial credit. This term does Actual debt service is the set of
not refer to credit extended directly payments actually made to satisfy a
from the buyer to the seller (for debt obligation, including principal,
example, through advance payment interest, and any late payment fees.
for goods and services). Scheduled debt service is the set of
payments, including principal and
Capital Account: a BOP account interest, which is required to be
that covers capital transfers and the made through the life of the debt.
acquisition or disposal of non-
produced non-financial items, such Debt Sustainability Analysis: A
as; patents. study of a country’s medium- to
long-term debt situation. A country’s
Current Account: a BOP account eligibility for support under the
that covers all transactions in goods, HIPC Initiative is determined on the
services, income, and current basis of such an analysis, jointly
transfers between residents and undertaken by the staffs of the IMF,
nonresidents. the World Bank, and the country
Cutoff Date: The date (established concerned.
at the time of a country’s first Paris
Club debt reorganization / restruc- External Debt: Gross external debt,
turing) before which loans must have at any given time, is the outstanding
been contracted in order for their amount of those actual current, and
debt service to be eligible for not contingent, liabilities that require
restructuring. New loans extended payment(s) of interest and/or prin-
after the cutoff date are protected cipal by the debtor at some point(s)
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 78