ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated Thursday, June 14, 2018
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc Thursday, July 19, 2018
MU Micron Wednesday, June 20, 2018
ATI Allegheny Technologies Tuesday, July 24, 2018
UTX United Technologies Corporation Tuesday, July 24, 2018 VZ Verizon Communications Tuesday, July 24, 2018 T AT&T Tuesday, July 24, 2018 MMM 3M Tuesday, July 24, 2018 KMB Kimberly-Clark Tuesday, July 24, 2018 NAVI Navient Corporation Tuesday, July 24, 2018 STLD Steel Dynamics Tuesday, July 24, 2018 KO The Coca-Cola Company Tuesday, July 24, 2018 MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. Tuesday, July 24, 2018 QCOM Qualcomm Wednesday, July 25, 2018
IR Ingersoll Rand Inc. Wednesday, July 25, 2018
R Ryder Wednesday, July 25, 2018 UPS United Parcel Service Wednesday, July 25, 2018 NSC Norfolk Southern Wednesday, July 25, 2018 LSTR Landstar System Wednesday, July 25, 2018 V Visa Wednesday, July 25, 2018 AMD AMD Wednesday, July 25, 2018
XRX Xerox Thursday, July 26, 2018
AGN Allergan Thursday, July 26, 2018 CMCSA Comcast Thursday, July 26, 2018
CY Cypress Thursday, July 26, 2018
LRCX Lam Research Thursday, July 26, 2018
NXPI NXP Semiconductor Thursday, July 26, 2018
INTC Intel Corp. Thursday, July 26, 2018
MA Mastercard Thursday, July 26, 2018
MOG.A Moog Inc Friday, July 27, 2018 GT Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company Friday, July 27, 2018 TEN Tenneco Friday, July 27, 2018 XOM ExxonMobil Friday, July 27, 2018 CL Colgate-Palmolive Friday, July 27, 2018 KLAC KLA-Tencor Corp Monday, July 30, 2018 STX Seagate Technology PLC Monday, July 30, 2018 AAPL Apple Inc. Tuesday, July 31, 2018 MRCY Mercury Systems Inc Tuesday, July 31, 2018 TTWO TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC Thursday, August 02, 2018 KHC Kraft Heinz Company Friday, August 03, 2018 MXL MaxLinear, Inc. Tuesday, August 07, 2018 TIVO TiVo Corp Wednesday, August 08, 2018 AMAT Applied Materials Thursday, August 16, 2018 NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Thursday, August 16, 2018 CPB Campbell Soup Company Friday, August 17, 2018 ADI Analog Devices, Inc. Wednesday, August 22, 2018 MRVL Marvell Thursday, August 30, 2018 ABT Abbott Laboratories Wednesday, October 17, 2018 OI Owens-Illinois Monday, October 22, 2018 Status Financial Performance Summary Outlook
Skyworks Solution (NASDAQ: SWKS) reported
Q3 sales above consensus. EPS of $1.64, $0.05 better than estimates. After dividend paid of $58M and repurchase stock with a total of $240M, SWKS left with $1.6B and NO DEBT. Bullish In Near Term Reported -$992M Q4 guidance with revenue increase from to $1.01B (consensus: $996.52M), a Long term growth depends on 11% ~ 13% increase. EPS expected to increase innovation to $1.91 (consensus $1.88), up 16%.
- Share jump 3% after earnings, but fall 5%
after news of trade war escalation broke out. Micron (NASDAQ: MU) reported Q3 EPS of $3.15, beat estimate by $0.03, and revenue estimates with a 40% YoY growth. **DRAM performance: accounted for 71% of total revenue. Revenue was up 6% QoQ and 56% YoY. Shipment was relatively flat, but ASPs were UP mid-to-upper single-digit percent range. **NAND performance: accounted for 25% of total revenue. Revenue was up 8% QoQ and Reported 14% YoY. Shipment was also flat, but ASPs Bullish were UP.
- Q4 guidance: Revenue expected to be
between $8B to $8.4B (consensus: $8.08B) and EPS from $3.23 to $3.37 (consensus: $3.23)
- Share was up 5% premarket after earnings.
**Share has been falling due to news of China injunctions, trade wars, analysts falling sentiment, and profit taking trades. Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) reported Q3 results that beat EPS and revenue estimates with a 6% Y/Y revenue growth. - Q4 guidance has revenue of $5.1B to $5.9B (consensus: $5.47B) and EPS of $0.75 to $0.85 (consensus: $0.79).
- Terminated deal with NXP Semi (NASDAQ:
NXPI) and initated stock repurchase program of up to $30B, expected to finished by 2019. Reported - **Qualcomm Segment breakdown: Mixed CDMA Technologies (QCT/ radio and modem equipment): Revenue, $4.1B (+1%); EBT, $607M. **Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL/ license copyrights and patents): Revenue, $1.5B (+25%); EBT, $1.05B (+23%). **MSM Chips Shipments: 199M (+6%).
- Share jumped 3.6% aftermarket on report
date, continuted gains for another 4.1% the date after. AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) reported Q2 results that beat EPS and revenue estimates with a record 53% YoY revenue growth and $0.14 EPS (versus $0.13 consensus). ** Breakdown of Q2 Revenue: Computing and Graphic revenue was $1.09B (+64% YoY, -3% QoQ) driven by strong Radeon and Ryzen sales. ** Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-Custom segnment revenue was $670M (+37% YoY, Reported +26% QoQ) due to higher semi-custom and Mixed to Bullish server revenue.
- Q3 guidance is WEAK. Revenue projected to
be between $1.65B to $1.75B (consensus: $1.76B) and non-GAAP gross margin of about 38%, driven by Ryzen and Epyc product sales, but a slow in GPU sales in blockchain market.
- Share price gained 6% after market,
continued for another 3% the day after.
Cypress Semiconductors (NASDAQ: CY)
reported Q2 EPS of $0.33, beat by $0.04. Revenue was $624.1M (+ 5.1% YoY), beat by $5.57M. **Q3 guidance has revenue of $655M to $685M (consensus: $655.80M) and EPS of $0.36 to Reported $0.40 Bullish (consensus: $0.34). **Revenue breakdown: MCU and Connectivity Division, $368.5M (+ 2.2% YoY); Memory Product Division $255.6M (+ 10% YoY). **Non-GAAP gross margins 46.3%, up 540 basis point YoY; operating margin, 22.3%; cash and cash equivalents, $112.7M. Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX) reported Q4 EPS at $5.31, beat by $0.37. Revenue: $3.13B (+ 33.8% YoY), beat by $0.37. **Q1 guidance was weak. Revenue estimate Weak near term at $2.15B to $2.45B (consensus: $2.77B). EPS Reported between $3 to $3.4 (consensus: $3.89). Bullish in long term **Shipments: $3.03B; non-GAAP gross margin: 48%; operating margin: 31.8%; cash and cash equivalents: $5.2B (decrease due to buy back and debt payment); deferred revenue: $994M (+ 15% QoQ).
NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ: NXPI)
reported Q2 results after termination of the Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) deal. EPS was ONLY $0.16, missed by $-1.49 and revenue was $2.29B (+ 4.1% YoY), but missed by $-70M. **Q3 guidance has revenue of $2.35B to $2.5B (consensus: $2.48B)
- Revenue breakdown: Weak to mixed near term
Reported High Performance Monitor System revenue was $2.19B (+ 5% YoY). Bullish in long term **Automotive group: $1.01B (+ 7% YoY). **Secure Connected Devices: $644M (+ 10%). **Secure Interface and Infrastructure group: $398M (- 9% due partly to ZTE ban). **Secure Identification Solution group: $143M (+ 7% YoY).
- Buy back program approved at $5B.
-Share was - 6% after the earning calls.
Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) reported Q2 results that beat EPS and revenue estimates with a 15% YoY revenue growth. EPS was $1.04 (concensus: $0.97) and revenue was $16.96B (concensus: $16.78B). **Business unit results: Cloud computing: $8.7B (+ 6%Y/Y; consensus: $8.48B). Data Center: $5.5B (+27% Y/Y; consensus: $5.63B). Non-Volatile Memory Solutions: $1.1B (+23%; Reported consensus: $1.11B). Bullish with near term headwinds Programmable Solutions: $517M (+18%; consensus: $509.9M).
- Q3 guidance has revenue from $17.6B to
$18.6B (consensus: $17.62B) and EPS from $1.10 to $1.20 (consensus: $1.08). **Raised FY18 guidance has upside revenue from $68.5B to $70.5B (consensus: $68.38B) and EPS from $3.94 to $4.36 (consensus: $4.01).
- Share was - 3% after market.
Comment Volume
SKWS enjoys a near term growth in the phone
market segment with strategic partnerships with Huawei, Samsung, Oppo, Vivo, LG, Nokia, and notable Apple. -> SWKS also diversified their product portfolio with 30% of their revenue now generated from IoT business. **Production agreement with Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) and Sierra Wireless (NASDAQ: SWIR) for home automation platform. Using Sky5 system to leverage on 5G technology in smart car and artificial intelligence.
-> SWKS offers a system in package (SiP) solution for
the current 4G. However, 5G technology will move into system on chip (SoC), which large competitors like Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) and Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) to enter the fray. **However, due to current technology limitations, first deployment of 5G will still based on the current SiP solution supported by SWKS. This give SWKS some time for innovation. MU has been beating analyst expectations in the earning calls with a strong DRAM and NAND selling price, despite reports indicating falling forward contract prices. The strong result is due to the quality of its products,strong demand from data center, and IoT. **Building on their manufacturing strength, MU is on track to develop their 3D NAND and eMCPs. The former will address high graphic design demand for AI and data center, while the later will further cement MU position for wearable tech and IoT as eMCP combines the benefits of DRAM and NAND.
- Management addressed the trade war dynamic
with confidence that the demand remains strong. ** MU received an injunction from China for a disputes with UMC. Under the injunction, MU will not be able to sell certain DRAM and NAND products, which can hurt MU's bottom line. **MU also has its design stolen by Chinese, thus presents another risk of outmanufactured. Apple impact on showed in report: QCOM did not record in revenue for first 9 months of FY 2018 or Q3 or Q4 of FY 2017 for royalties sales to Apple due to legal disputes. -> This suggest a lot of revenue has been tied up in legal disputes that can drag out for the foreseeable future. -> Apple will not be using QCOM modem in its new phone. -> QCOM reached a $500M licensing deal with an unnamed supplier. The deal revenue was included in Q3 QTL.
- Management was upbeat about China adoption of
5G technology. However, given the current geopolitical climate, this approach brings uncertainty.
- The failure to acquire NXPI can hamper QCOM
ambition to diversify. **QCOM raised debt to acquire NXPI. Now the deal is cancelled, buy back program can hurt the company investment grade, since the revenue from NXPI will not be there to offset the debt raised. AMD's Computing and Graphics was key growth driver. Revenue for this division went up 64%, reaching $1.1B, or 63% of total sales. This stella results stem from sales of Radeon GPU and Ryzen processors, which diminishese any crypto concerns. ** Ryzen units grew strong with double-digit. Mobile processor shipments were more than double in the quarter. **Major notebook brands like Dell, HP, Huawei, and Samsung launched products with Ryzen processors.
- EPYC server processors revenue increased more
than 50% with adoption from major enterprise clients, such as Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO), Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPE).
- Weak guidance coming from AMD can be
perceived as conservative approach or anticipated headwinds coming from trade war. ** AMD forecast just 7% YoY revenue growth for Q3, which is a stag different from a 53% growth in Q2.
- The company account receivable jump 50% and
already counted in the revenue. **Cash flow was negative, given the company spent $220M in FCF for various expenses.
CY gave bullish outlook through strong positioning
in automotive with strong product portfolio and secular growth with 8% to 12%. **IoT growth expand with design win and cross selling for smart home, white goods, wearables, audio and remote control. Revenue from customers purchase was up 11% QoQ. **Minimal exposure to tariffs. Management continues to monitor the situation to shift focus. LRCX anticipated short term weak demand in DRAM segment due to slow spending from customers, but remain positive in long term. September quarter will be a low point. But moving forward with IoT, DRAM, NAND, and SAM, demand remains intact.
Management answered questions on the fallout of
QCOM deal, inventory problems, CapEx, and product differentiation. **According to management, the fallout was unfortunate, but did not distract NXPI from their core strength. Any problem regarding inventory lead time and CapEx are temporary. **Strong growth are expected in the Automotive (+ 10%YoY) and Secure Connected Devices (+ 17%) segment, which account for 67% to 75% of total revenue. Drivers are increased regulation on vehicle safety and emission, engine management, fuel economy, and growing EVs. **Secure Identification Solution (+ 25% YoY) and Secure Interface and Infrastructure (- 12% YoY) are poised for growth. NXP leads the market in contact, contactless, and dual interface card market. NXP provides banking solutions with a combination of payment, transit, and access solution. **NXP is a market leader in high performance power amplifiers for markets, such as mobile base stations, wireless connectivity, satellite and CATV infrastructure and receivers, industrial applications, and to a lesser extent the military and aerospace markets.
- Management did not rule out possibility of
another merger or partnership to ramp up growth. Management spent the earning calls fighting off speculation on rivals taking over due to delay of 10nm chips. **INTC reported very strong quarter with growth from all business segments. However, data may have dissapoint some analysts. **Questions whether GPUs coming from NVidia and AMD can be a threat, management assured investors that INTC still have competitive edge with strong balance sheet and market share. **INTC will be left with a leadership void, which proven to be vital when AMD just reported a stellar quarter with bullish outlook. PE PEG Strategy
Decent Buy on Latest Pullback.
Price target upgraded by investors ($120~$130)
Recent pullback provide opportunity for a LONG position.
MU fundatmental remains strong. Short-term
turbulance is expected, but long-term growth may justify the risks. Bullish in short term.
A potential short in the long term
The stock can be Overvalued. A potential short coming into Q3 with weak guidance.
However, outlook remains strong. Long position
can be established with a pull-back to $10~$15 range.
Strong outlook. Large trading volume. Buy on
pullback to 16 and below. A Buy at this level. Long position is recommended. The stock looks cheap at the moment. Uncertainty is expected until new management is appointed with strategic plan to address rival products. A call at mid 40s or early 50 is justified.