Professional Documents
Culture Documents
IN-Sen: Trafalgar Group (R) (August 2018)
IN-Sen: Trafalgar Group (R) (August 2018)
IN-Sen: Trafalgar Group (R) (August 2018)
Conducted 7/31-8/7/18
1,420 Respondents
Likely 2018 General Election Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.6
Response Rate: 1.33%
Confidence: 95%
Response Distribution: 50%
IN Trump Approval
Approve 17.5%
Disapprove 29.1%
No Opinion 3.8%
Undecided 10.8%
Undecided 22.2%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0%
Column %
If Donnelly Votes Against Kavanaugh
Undecided 16.7%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%
Column %
GENDER
Female Male
Male 46.5%
Female 53.5%
18-25 7.2%
26-35 11.5%
36-45 15.5%
46-55 18.8%
56-61 12.0%
62+ 35.0%
1 12.6%
2 10.8%
3 10.1%
4 10.7%
5 14.4%
6 10.4%
7 11.9%
8 8.7%
9 10.4%
Live interviewers were used to contact participants and additional email surveys were used to enrich
the voter sample. The calls are placed to randomly-selected cell phone and landline numbers from our
modeled universe through a stratified process that ensures appropriate geographic and demographic
representation. These calls were placed from 6:00pm to 8:30pm local time from Tuesday, July 31st
through Tuesday, August 7th. The email surveys were also used in order to identify and compensate
for possible social desirability bias.
Survey results undergo a weighting process to ensure the sample is comparable to the geographic
and demographic breakdown of expected Indiana 2018 general election participants. Final results are
based on these weights in order to address non-response bias.
Ballot Tests: Gender and Age
Generated by MarketSight®
Ballot Tests: Gender and Age Generated: August 11, 2018
Table of Contents
Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Senate Ballot Test * If the election for US Senate was held today, for whom would you vote?
2
Ballot Tests: Gender and Age Generated: August 11, 2018
3
Ballot Test Crosstabs: Trump Approval
Generated by MarketSight®
Ballot Test Crosstabs: Trump Approval Generated: August 11, 2018
Table of Contents
Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Senate Ballot Test * If the election for US Senate was held today, for whom would you vote?
2
Ballot Test Crosstabs: Trump Approval Generated: August 11, 2018
Trump Approval
Strongly
Approve Strongly Approve Disapprove Disapprove No Opinion
Total (A) (B) (C) (D) (E)
*
Joe Donnelly
Column % 50.7% 2.6% 10.0% 93.2% 96.3% 2.7%
A ABE ABE
Mike Braun
Column % 38.6% 69.2% 89.4% 2.6% 0.1% 0.1%
CDE ACDE D
Undecided
Column % 10.8% 28.3% 0.6% 4.2% 3.6% 97.1%
BCD B B ABCD
3
Ballot Test Crosstabs: Congressional District
Generated by MarketSight®
Ballot Test Crosstabs: Congressional District Generated: August 11, 2018
Table of Contents
Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Senate Ballot Test * If the election for US Senate was held today, for whom would you vote?
2
Ballot Test Crosstabs: Congressional District Generated: August 11, 2018
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Total (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I)
*
Joe Donnelly
Column % 50.7% 93.3% 65.9% 88.9% 91.7% 5.0% 45.7% 59.0% 19.9% 3.4%
BEFGHI EFHI BEFGHI BEFGHI EHI EFHI EI
Mike Braun
Column % 38.6% 6.6% 2.7% 6.2% 0.7% 78.1% 53.4% 25.5% 79.7% 79.2%
D D ABCDFG ABCDG ABCD ABCDFG ABCDFG
Undecided
Column % 10.8% 0.0% 31.4% 4.9% 7.5% 16.8% 0.9% 15.6% 0.3% 17.4%
ACDEFGHI AFH AFH ACDFH ACDFH ACDFH
3
Senate Ballot Test vs Donnelly Votes Yes
Generated by MarketSight®
Senate Ballot Test vs Donnelly Votes Yes Generated: August 10, 2018
Table of Contents
Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Donnelly Votes Yes * If Senator Joe Donnelly voted to confirm President Trump's Supreme Court pick of Brett Kavanaugh before the
election, for whom would you vote?
4 Trump Approval * How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?
2
Senate Ballot Test vs Donnelly Votes Yes Generated: August 10, 2018
3
Senate Ballot Test vs Donnelly Votes Yes Generated: August 10, 2018
Trump Approval
How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?
4
Senate Ballot Test vs Donnelly Votes No
Generated by MarketSight®
Senate Ballot Test vs Donnelly Votes No Generated: August 10, 2018
Table of Contents
Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Donnelly Votes No * If Senator Joe Donnelly voted against President Trump's Supreme Court pick of Brett Kavanaugh before the election,
for whom would you vote?
2
Senate Ballot Test vs Donnelly Votes No Generated: August 10, 2018
Donnelly Votes No
If Senator Joe Donnelly voted against President Trump's Supreme Court pick of Brett Kavanaugh before the election, for whom would you vote?
3
Donnelly Votes No vs Donnelly Votes Yes
Generated by MarketSight®
Donnelly Votes No vs Donnelly Votes Yes Generated: August 10, 2018
Table of Contents
Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Donnelly Votes Yes * If Senator Joe Donnelly voted to confirm President Trump's Supreme Court pick of Brett Kavanaugh before the
election, for whom would you vote?
2
Donnelly Votes No vs Donnelly Votes Yes Generated: August 10, 2018
Donnelly Votes No
Joe Donnelly Mike Braun Undecided
Total (A) (B) (C)
*
Joe Donnelly
Column % 39.4% 74.3% 0.7% 32.7%
BC B
Mike Braun
Column % 38.5% 0.1% 97.4% 8.3%
AC A
Undecided
Column % 22.2% 25.6% 1.9% 59.0%
B AB