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2010 04 RECORDER Robust - Workflows PDF
2010 04 RECORDER Robust - Workflows PDF
LUNCHEON
Characterisation
Patrick Connolly, SEG Distinguished Lecture
BP, London
In the talk I describe a workflow for seismic reservoir charac- Vs and density, with associated reflectivity equal to the
terisation. The specific problem I address is the estimation of gradient term in the 2-term AVO equation. Extended elastic
net-to-gross from a clastic reservoir, however the workflow is impedance (EEI) (Whitcombe et al, 2002) is a coordinate rota-
adaptable for a variety of other applications. tion in AIGI space (using log-log axes). An EEI curve is para-
meterised by the rotation angle, chi.
The three main components of the workflow are:
2. Coloured inversion.
Patrick Connolly graduated from Birmingham University with a BSc in physics in 1977 and joined
Seismograph Service Ltd as a data processor working in Oman, New Zealand, Pakistan and London. He
moved to Britoil in Glasgow 1982 and worked as a seismic programmer until the company was bought
by BP in 1989.
He has remained with BP working as a seismic analyst and occasional interpreter in Aberdeen, Houston
and London. He has been a member of a number of exploration and appraisal teams working in the West
of Shetland, Gulf of Mexico and offshore Angola. Since 2001 he has worked in BP’s E&P Technology divi-
sion where his current role is Manager, Seismic Reservoir Characterisation and Surveillance R&D.
Patrick was awarded the SEG Virgil Kauffman Gold Medal in 2001 for his development of elastic impedance technology.
He was an EAGE distinguished lecturer in 2007.
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Seismic data that has been optimised to correlate with a gamma 1. A better understanding of the relative size of different
ray curve by using EEI analysis and then transformed to band- sources of uncertainty potentially leading to improvements
limited impedance by coloured inversion can therefore provide a in characterisation processes.
basis for net-to-gross estimation by a fairly simple detuning and
2. An ability to put meaningful errors bars on reservoir predic-
calibration process. Provided apparent thickness is always used as
tions.
the basis for the net-to-gross estimate the process remains consis-
tent and works for sub-tuning as well as thicker reservoirs the 3. The use of uncertainty maps to constrain reservoir model-
maximum thickness being limited by the lack of low frequencies. ling to ensure that models are consistent, but not driven by,
the seismic data.
Robustness and uncertainty
More fundamentally an ability to estimate uncertainty will allow
The three processes in the workflow are all fundamentally us to better integrate different types of data and hence develop
simple. They each require a small number of parameters, which more accurate models of the subsurface. R
have fairly well defined methods of optimisation. This helps to
make the workflow robust and repeatable. Minimising the
subjectivity puts us in a position to consider making quantitative References
estimates of the uncertainty of our characterisation results; to put Connolly, P., 2007 (October), A simple, robust algorithm for seismic net pay estimation,
The Leading Edge.
error bars on our reservoir predictions.
Connolly, P. and Kemper M., 2007 (October), Statistical Estimation of Reservoir
To do this we must consider the sources of uncertainty. I propose Characterisation Uncertainty, The Leading Edge.
grouping these into three categories; geological uncertainty, cali- Dong, W, 1996: A sensitive combination of AVO slope and intercept for hydrocarbon indi-
bration uncertainty and seismic uncertainty. cation: EAGE, Amsterdam.
Goodway, B., Chen, T., and Downton, J., 1997, Improved AVO fluid detection and
Geological uncertainty is caused by the sub-seismic scale vari- lithology discrimination using Lamé petrophysical parameters; “lr”, ”mr”, ”lm fluid
ability in the rock properties and of the fine-scale layering. We stack”, from P and S inversions. SEG Extended Abstracts.
can only estimate the impact of these effects statistically. One Hendrickson, J.S., 1999, Stacked; Geophysical Prospecting, 47, 663-705.
approach is to use pseudo-wells; a large number of geologically Lancaster, S. and Connolly, P., 2007, Fractal layering as a model for Coloured Inversion
realistic synthetic wells constrained by calibration data. These and Blueing, EAGE Extended Abstracts.
can provide a statistical relationship between the seismic Lancaster, S. and Whitcombe, D.N., 2000, Fast-track ‘coloured’ inversion, SEG
attribute and the required reservoir parameter (Connolly & Extended Abstracts.
Kemper, 2007). Stefani, J. P. and De, G. S., 2001, Power-law behaviour of well log spectra, EAGE/SEG
Research Workshop on Reservoir Rocks, Extended Abstracts.
Calibration uncertainty arises from the process of detuning and Talling, P.J., 2001. On the frequency distribution of turbidite thickness. Sedimentology,
calibrating the seismic attributes. The level of uncertainty can be 48.
directly estimated and is dependent on the quality of the cali- Turcotte, D. 1997, Fractals and Chaos in Geology and Geophysics, Cambridge
bration data and the reliability and consistency of the wavelet University Press.
estimation. Whitcombe, D.N. and Fletcher, J.G. 2001, The AIGI crossplot as an aid to AVO analysis
and calibration, SEG Extended Abstracts.
Seismic uncertainty is the inherent limited fidelity of the seismic Whitcombe, D.N., Connolly, P.A., Reagan, R.L. and Redshaw, T.C., 2002, Extended
amplitudes caused by the inability of the processing to fully elastic impedance for fluid and lithology prediction: Geophysics, Vol 67.