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St. HW 2
St. HW 2
St. HW 2
Book Homework
(a) Estimate the probability that a subject was in the
These prompts correspond to “Quizzes” on Canvas. drug group, or had symptom relief, or both (the
You turn in the answers to these questions online. union).
1. Consider the following contingency (frequency) table, in (b) Estimate the probability that a subject who was in
which two species of mice were tested for a specific par- the drug group had symptom relief.
asite: (c) Estimate the probability that a subject who was in
the placebo group had symptom relief.
Infected Not Infected
(d) Estimate the probability that a subject had symptom
Species 1 38 16
relief overall, regardless of group.
Species 2 20 35
(e) How much higher was the estimated probability of
symptom relief in the drug group vs. the placebo
(a) Estimate the probability that a randomly selected group (take the difference of the two)?
mouse was species 1.
5. The probability that a subject has a certain stomach bac-
(b) Estimate the probability that a randomly selected teria is 0.85, the probability that a subject is showing
mouse was infected. signs of gastritis is 0.10, and the probability that a sub-
(c) Estimate the probability that a randomly selected ject both has the bacteria and shows signs of gastritis is
mouse was both infected and species 1. 0.08.
(d) Estimate the probability that a randomly selected (a) Find the probability that a subject either shows signs
mouse was not infected and species 2. of gastritis, or has the stomach bacteria, or both (the
2. Continue with the data from Problem 1. union).
(b) If a subject has the stomach bacteria, what is the
(a) If a mouse was species 1, what is the estimated prob- probability that they show signs of gastritis?
ability they were infected?
(c) If a subject does not have the stomach bacteria, what
(b) If a mouse was species 2, what is the estimated prob- is the probability that they show signs of gastritis?
ability they were infected?
(d) If a subject shows signs of gastritis, what is the prob-
(c) What is the estimated probability that an infected ability they have the stomach bacteria?
mouse was species 1?
(e) Are the events of having the stomach bacteria and
(d) What is the estimated probability that an infected showing signs of gastritis independent?
mouse was species 2?
(e) Are the events that a mouse is species 1 and a mouse 6. Answer the following questions with TRUE or FALSE.
was infected independent? It is good practice to explain your answers.
(a) The intersection of two events A and B can be larger
3. For a particular disease, the probability of the disease is
than the union of the same two events A and B.
0.04. If someone has the disease, the probability they
test positive is 0.95. If they do not have the disease, the (b) The probability of a single event A must be smaller
probability they test negative is 0.99. than or equal to the union of two events A and B.
(c) The condition probability of A given B must be
(a) Estimate the probability someone both tests positive
smaller than the intersection of the same two events
and has the disease.
A and B
(b) Estimate the probability that someone tests positive.
(d) If two events are independent, that means
(c) Estimate the probability that if someone tested pos- P r{A or B} = P r{A and B}
itive, they have the disease.
7. The number of moles on a persons face can be consid-
(d) Estimate the probability that if someone tests nega-
ered a discrete random variable, and assume it has the
tive, they do not have the disease.
following distribution:
4. Consider the following contingency (frequency) table, in
which a drug was being tested for allergy symptom relief: Number Moles (Y ) 0 1 2 3
Relative Freq 0.82 0.11 0.02 0.05
1
(b) What is the probability that someone has between 0 R Homework
and 2 moles (inclusive)?
These prompts correspond to “Online R Homework”
(c) Find the expected number of moles someone has.
on Canvas. You use R to find the answers to the
(d) Find the variance of the number of moles someone following questions, and submit your answers online.
has.
I. You will be working with the dataset haireyes.csv,
which has the following columns: