Potentials and Challenges in The Region - Luis Banua - Neda IV A - 8.6.2015 PDF

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Local Convergence and Industry

Roadmaps: Potentials and Challenges


in the Region

Dir. Luis G. Banua


National Economic and Development Authority
Region IV-A
1
Outline of Presentation
• Calabarzon Regional Economy
• Calabazon Regional
Development Plan 2011-2016
Regional Economy
Population and Land Area
Population as of  Calabarzon - largest
REGION 2000-2010
May 2010
population among regions
Philippines 92,335,113 1.90
NCR 11,855,975 1.78 in 2010, surpassing NCR.
CAR 1,616,867 1.70
I 4,748,372 1.23  It is second densely
II 3,229,163 1.39 populated among regions
III 10,137,737 2.14 - 753 people sqm.
IV-A 12,609,803 3.07
IV-B 2,744,671 1.79
V 5,420,411 1.46  Land area - 1,622,861 ha.
VI 7,102,438 1.35
VII 6,800,180 1.77
VIII 4,101,322 1.28
IX 3,407,353 1.87
X 4,297,323 2.06
XI 4,468,563 1.97
XII 4,109,571 2.46
CARAGA 2,429,224 1.51
ARMM 3,256,140 1.49
 The Calabarzon
Region’s share to the
GDP is 17.2%, which
is second highest
next to NCR
 1.2 Trillion
GRDP Growth Rates by Industry
GRDP Growth Rates, 2010-2014 Calabarzon Sectoral Shares to GRDP,
2014 (percent)

Source: PSA
Strong industry/manufacturing/
commercial sector

Total No. of Ecozones in Calabarzon, May 31, 2015

Cavite Laguna Batangas Rizal Quezon Total


Manufacturing 9 9 14 - - 32
Agro- 1 - - - 1 2
industrial
IT Center 1 1 3 2 - 7
IT Park - 4 - - - 4
Medical - - 1 - - 1
Tourism
Tourism - - 1 1 - 2
Total 11 14 19 3 1 48

Source: PEZA
Export Sales of all PEZA Enterprises vs.
Calabarzon (Jan-Jun 2014)

Source: PEZA
Impressive growth of service sector

 Emergence of services required by ecozone


locators such as machine calibration, water
testing, financial, telecommunications,
transportations, logistics & storages services
Major contributors to the agriculture sector
Commodity Rank in the National
Production
Chicken eggs 1st
Chicken 2nd
Hogs 2nd
Tilapia 2nd
Roundscad 3rd

Source: http://countrystat.bas.gov.ph/
Calabarzon Employment, 2010 to 2014

Indicator 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Labor Force Participation 63.6 64.7 64.40 64.5 65.5


Rate (%)
Employment Rate (%) 90.5 90.3 91.1 90.8 91.8

Unemployment Rate (%) 9.5 9.7 8.9 9.2 8.3

Underemployment Rate (%) 17.4 17.9 17.9 17.9 18.7

Source: DOLE
Inflation Rate, 2011-2014
6.0

5.0

4.0
Philippines
3.0
NCR
2.0 Calabrazon

1.0

-
2011 2012 2013 2014

Source: PSA
Poverty Incidence and
Subsistence Incidence 2006, 2009, 2012

Source: PSA

INDICATOR 2006 2009 2012


Poverty incidence among families 10.1 10.8 8.3
Poverty incidence among population 13.1 14.3 10.9
Subsistence incidence among families 2.9 3.2 2.3
Subsistence incidence among population 4.0 4.5 3.2
Annual Per Capita Poverty Threshold, Poverty
Incidence: 1991, 2006, 2009 and 2012

Annual Per Capita Poverty


Poverty Incidence among
Region/ Threshold
Population (%)
Province (in Pesos)
1991 2006 2009 2012 1991 2006 2009 2012

PHILIPPINES 5,949 13,357 16,871 18,935 34.4 26.6 26.3 25.2

NCR 7,373 15,699 19,227 20,344 7.1 4.7 3.6 3.9

Region IV-A 6,409 13,241 17,033 19,137 22.7 10.3 11.9 10.9
Batangas 13,735 17,360 19,437 14.4 17.1 19.0
Caviteb/ 13,343 16,677 19,948 1.8 3.2 3.4
Laguna 13,637 17,412 19,857 5.5 8.4 6.4
Quezon 12,784 16,181 18,081 33.5 29.8 27.5
Rizal 14,525 18,397 20,306 3.3 8.6 6.1
Source: PSA
Probability of Attainment
High probability: >0.9 Poverty incidence among population
Subsistence incidence among population
Elementary cohort survival rate
Elementary completion rate
Under five mortality rate
Percentage og HH with safe drinking sources
Medium Probability: 0.5 to 0.9 Underweight children below 5 years
Infant mortality rate
TB cure rate
Low Probability < 0.4 Elementary net enrollment rate
Gender parity index in elementary education
Gender parity index in secondary education
Percentage fully immunized children
Maternal mortality ratio
Contraceptive prevalence ratio
TB detection
Calabarzon Regional Development
Plan (RDP) 2011-2016
Vision
Be the leading global economic hub of the country

Be a model, livable industrial region, highly urbanized with well-


planned own clusters ideal for sustainable living

Have a vibrant countryside offering an excellent alternative place to


live, work and seek creation

Have a modern intermodal transportation system and digital


infrastructure integrating the region within, to the country, and to
the global community

Be complemented by high quality social service amenities accessible


region-wide

Have a citizenry whose high creativity and competitive spirit, genuine


concern for the environment and fellowmen, and love of country is
inspired by their affinity to the region’s heroes and unwavering
faith in God
Calabarzon Development Agenda
2010 to 2020
Harmonization of regional development objectives and
environmental protection

Enhancing Calabarzon’s competitiveness as a global


business hub

Adoption of knowledge-based industries and


information exchange

Reduction of socio-economic disparity

Tying up human resource development, industry, research


and development priorities & concerns

Sustaining capacities in local governance


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Spatial Development Strategy
CCW Planning Approach

CENTERS CORRIDORS WEDGES

CENTERS are the CORRIDORS are WEDGES are tracts of


nucleus of primarily land between
economic activities transportation corridors are the with
with high arteries linking less dense population
centers to centers and limited housing
population
serving as transit and supporting
densities stations, interchange, facilities and services.
connected by built established Includes green
infrastructures and neighborhood or corridor, protection
multimodal general corridor areas and production areas
transportation
system
Spatial Development Strategy

Center/Cluster-Corridor-Wedge Planning Approach

• Directs & stimulates development & growth from W-E


& strengthens N-S development & access corridors
• Reflects polycentric urban character of the region
• Provides opportunities to facilitate development in the
different areas of the region by improving the RPFP
2004-2030
Calabarzon Map
CCW Approach

Centers/ clusters

Corridors

Wedges

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Calabarzon RDP
Major Strategic Policy
Narrow down
Bridge labor
Enhance regional socio-economic
supply-demand
competitveness disparity in the
gaps
region

Continuously enhance regional competitiveness as a global business hub

Enhance skills and human resource capabilities in the region thru tying up
human resource development to industry, R&D priorities and concerns
Build up adoption of knowledge-based industries and information
exchange to spur innovation and research and development efforts
Ensure equitable access to basic social services while pursuing Millennium
Development Goals

Sustain local Multi-stakeholder


Preserve ecological
governance partnership
integrity escalate
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capacities
Midterm Development Goals and Outcomes
2013 to 2016
Maintain high,
sustained and • GRDP growth targets within 5.5 to 7.6
inclusive percent from 2013 to 2016
economic growth

Improve provision • Maintain unemployment rate within 8.6


of equal access to to 9.4 percent
development • Underemployment kept below 17.5
opportunities percent until the end of the plan

• Intensify efforts to achieve MDG targets


Advance delivery
focused among lagging provinces and
of social safety
indicators with low probability of
nets achievement
Challenges
Industry Sector
• Volatility in foreign exchange rates and financial markets
continue to pose challenges to the region’s economy,
particularly the export-oriented manufacturing industry
• Low capability of local producers and suppliers for
positioning in the global value chain
Challenges
Services Sector
• Dependence of the IT/BPM industry to the
performance of foreign markets and its susceptibility
to market shocks and uncertainties
• Low level of preparedness of industries to the impact
of AEC 2015 and inter-regional trade
Challenges
Agriculture Sector
• Uncompetitive agri-based products due to weak agri-
industry linkages and lack of value-adding
• Vulnerability to climatic changes, disaster and infestations
Prospects and Opportunities
Services Sector

Sources of Growth: Private services, Trade, Finance, Real


Estate ,Government Services, Communications,
 Increase demand for various ICT services, finance and trade activities
 Largest number of OFs, comprising 18.4% of the total OFWs.
Prospects and Opportunities
Industry Sector
Sources of Growth: Manufacturing, IT/BPM, Ecozones locator
firms; High population demand, OFs and families
 Sustained demand in international market for electronics and
semiconductor products
 Sustained aggressive outbound investment promotion thru trade fairs
and product-promotion activities
Prospects and Opportunities
Agriculture and Fishery Sector

Sources of Growth: High value vegetable and commercial


crops, Poultry and livestock, Aquaculture industries, Agri-SMEs

 Sustained high value commercial crop production especially among the


upland areas
 Sustained growth in poultry, egg and hog food consumption in the
region's urban centers and NCR food market
Calabarzon Major Strategies
Industry and Services Strategies
 Enhance capability of local producers & suppliers in the
global value chain positioning for AEC 2015
 Enhance economic competitiveness & improve access
for financing opportunities for MSME
 Improve responsiveness & relevance of current
education curricula to labor market demands &
industry requirements
Industry and Services Strategies (cont’n)

 Efficiently mobilize financial resources


 Improve financial inclusion mechanism
 Strengthen/improve enabling environment for the
financial system
 Mobilization of OFs remittances
Industry and Services Strategies (cont’n)

 Scale up maintenance of industrial labor relations &


compliance with labor standards.
 Global promotional strategy for Calabarzon Tourism.
 Improve capacities of LGUs, investors, stakeholders &
institutions on IT/BPM
Philippines
2015 CMCI Ranking, Overall Most Competitive
Municipalities
Rank 1st-2nd Class Category 3rd-6th Class Category
1 General Trias, Cavite Mambajao, Camiguin
2 Santa Maria, Bulacan Baler, Aurora
3 Taytay, Rizal Infanta, Quezon
4 Kabacan, North Cotabato Nasipit, Agusan del Norte
5 Kalibo, Aklan Abucay, Bataan
6 Angono, Rizal Jimenez, Misamis Occidental
7 Daan Bantayan, Cebu Pagsanjan, Laguna
8 Santa Barbara, Iloilo Taal, Batangas
9 Midsayap, North Cotabato Jordan, Guimaras
10 Polomolok, South Cotabato Tigaon, Camarines Sur

Source: National Competitiveness Council


Philippines
2015 CMCI Ranking, Top Component Cities
Rank Cities
1 Naga City
2 San Fernando City, Pampanga
3 Imus City, Cavite
4 Cotabato City, Cotabato
5 Bacoor City, Cavite
6 Antipolo City, Rizal
7 Dasmariñas City, Cavite
8 Tagum City, Davao Del Norte
9 San Fernando City, La Union
10 Batangas City, Batangas

Source: National Competitiveness Council


Philippines
2015 CMCI Ranking, By Category
Rank Economic Dynamism Government Efficiency Infrastructure
1 General Trias, Cavite Santa Barbara, Iloilo Angono, Rizal
2 Lupon, Davao Oriental Midsayap, N. Cotabato Malay, Aklan
3 Santa Maria, Bulacan Maramag, Bukidnon Taytay, Rizal
4 Cainta, Rizal Agoo, La Union Cainta, Rizal
5 Polangui, Albay Kalibo, Aklan Silang, Cavite
6 Daan Bantayan, Cebu San Francisco, Agusan del Sur General Trias, Cavite
7 Taytay, Rizal Sablayan, Occ. Mindoro Kabacan, N. Cotabato
8 Kabacan, North Cotabato San Jose, Antique Daet, Camarines Norte
9 Polomolok, South Cotabato Suralla, South Cotabato Balayan, Batangas
10 Malay, Aklan Limay, Bataan Matungon, Saranggani

Source: National Competitiveness Council


Agriculture and Fisheries Strategies (cont’n)
 Focus interventions on priority commodities i.e. HVCC,
aquaculture, poultry & livestock
 Maximize available agricultural lands for agro-forestry &
agro-tourism & production of HVCC thru intensified,
diversified & integrated farming systems.
 Improve access to effective farming technologies.
 Increase adoptive capacity to climate change.
Infrastructure Project - Completed

Daang Hari –SLEX Link or


Muntinlupa-Cavite Expressway (MCX)
San Juan Port
Infrastructure Project - Ongoing
LRT Line 2 East Extension Project
LRT Line 1 Cavite Extension Project
Southern Luzon Expressway Toll Road 4
STAR Tollway Stage II
Quezon Eco-Tourism Road Phase 3
Calatagan Port
Infrastructure Project - Pipeline
Laguna Lake Expressway Dike Project
Cavite-Laguna Expressway Project
North-South Rail Project (South Line)

Laguna Lake Expressway Dike Project


Infrastructure in Energy Supply
 Pililla (Rizal) Wind Farm Power Project - 67.5 MW
 Pagbilao Energy Corp. 420-MW Pagbilao 3 coal-fired power
project in Quezon province
 South Luzon Thermal Energy Corp., 135-MW coal-fired unit
Calaca, Batangas
Pililla (Rizal) Wind Farm
Infrastructure in Water Supply
Ongoing
 Maragondon Buk Water Supply Project

Pipeline
 New Centennial Water Source / Kaliwa Dam Project

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