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Data Overview: Wireless Equipment
Data Overview: Wireless Equipment
Data Overview: Wireless Equipment
Debt/Equity 0.20
100% 100% 100% 100%
Value Score
P/E (F1) 23.36 Q1 (Current Qtr) Q2 (Next Qtr) F1 (Current Year) F2 (Next Year)
P/E (F1) Rel to Industry 22.89 Revisions: 2 Revisions: 2 Revisions: 3 Revisions: 3
Up: 2 Down: 0 Up: 2 Down: 0 Up: 3 Down: 0 Up: 3 Down: 0
PEG Ratio 1.23
P/CFO 38.58
Qtr CFO Growth 239.01 Upside Zacks Consensus Estimate vs. Most Accurate Estimate
2 Yr CFO Growth 12.65
Asset Turnover 0.55 Most Accurate: 0.06 Most Accurate: 0.13 Most Accurate: 0.31 Most Accurate: 0.33
Zacks Consensus: 0.06 Zacks Consensus: 0.12 Zacks Consensus: 0.28 Zacks Consensus: 0.32
Momentum Score
Q1 0.00% Q2 8.33% F1 10.71% F2 3.13%
1 week Volume change 12.23%
© 2017 Zacks Investment Research, All Rights Reserved 10 S. Riverside Plaza Suite 1600 · Chicago, IL 60606
The data on the front page and all the charts in the report represent market data as of 08/03/17, while the report's text is as of
07/31/2017
Overview
The company was an amalgamation of three companies, Nokia AB,
Finnish Rubber Works Ltd, and Finnish Cable Works Ltd. In early
1990s, management took a strategic decision to make
telecommunications its core business and Nokia divested all of its
non-telecommunication ventures accordingly. In Dec 2015, Nokia
completed the sale of the HERE high-definition mapping/navigation
business to a consortium of German automakers comprising BMW,
Daimler and Volkswagen (the owner of Audi). Consequently, results
at HERE have been reported as discontinued operations from the
third quarter of 2015.
Nokia Technology Segment: This segment deals with the licensing of intellectual property rights to companies interested in
Nokia’s innovations. The segment generated 6.6% of the total revenue in 2Q17. The balance came from the Group Common
and Other segment.
In Apr 2015, Nokia Networks entered into a definitive agreement with Alcatel-Lucent for its full acquisition for a total consideration of
Euro 15.6 billion (approximately $16.6 billion). In early Jan 2016, Nokia Networks finally gained control of Alcatel-Lucent . Nokia
expects to realize annual operating cost synergies €1.2 billion in full-year 2018 from the deal. Additionally, Nokia's decision to
expand its licensing agreement with Samsung is encouraging.
On the back of the above tailwinds, shares of Nokia have outperformed its industry over the last one year. The stock has gained
15.4% compared with the industry, which has appreciated only % over the same period.
Risks
We are concerned about the recent below-par performance of Nokia’s primary division– the Networks unit. What is worse is that
the company does not expect its struggling Nokia Networks unit to show any recovery in the near future. The company now
expects the primary addressable market for the Networks unit to decline in the band of 3% to 5% as opposed to the earlier
projection of a fall in the low-single digits.
Nokia's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) undercuts its growth potential. Not only has the company’s ROE of 8.2%
gradually decreased over last year, it compares unfavorably with ROE of 16.3% for the S&P 500 Index. This reflects the fact that
it is less efficient in using shareholders’ funds.
Quarterly adjusted gross margin was 41.7% in the reported quarter compared with 38.9% a year ago. Operating margin increased 430
basis points (bps) to 10.2% on a year-over-year basis.
In fact, at quarter-end, Nokia’s net cash from operating activities was €1,309 million against - €616 million at the end of the year-ago
quarter.
Segmental Revenues
In the Nokia Networks segment, total revenue was approximately €4,971 million (around $5,467 million), down 5% year over year. The
division includes three reportable sub-units like Ultra Broadband Networks (which includes Mobile Networks and Fixed Networks
operations), Global Services (which includes the Global Services business group) and IP Networks and Applications (which includes the
IP/Optical Networks and Applications & Analytics operations). Notably, the decline in the Ultra Broadband Networks’ sub-group by 8%
to €2,165 million hurt the segmental sales.
In fact, net sales declined in all regions, apart from Asia Pacific (5%) and Middle East and Africa (5%), which led to the segment’s
below-par performance. The same declined by 16% in Latin America, 7% each in North America and Greater China, and 10% in
Europe.
However, segmental gross margin improved 150 bps to 39.1% in the reported quarter. Also, quarterly operating margin was 8.2%
The Nokia Technologies segment’s quarterly total revenue was €369 million (approximately $406 million), up 90% year over year.
Segmental gross margin was 95.4% compared with 96.4% in the year-ago quarter. Operating margin expanded significantly to 62.3%.
In Group Common and Other segment, net sales increased 14% to €307 million (approximately $338 million). Segmental gross
margin was 17.6%, down 170 basis points. In fact, this division incurred an operating loss in the quarter under review.
Outlook
Nokia officially took control of rival Alcatel-Lucent in Jan 2016, and continues to expect annual cost savings of €1.2 billion in full-year
2018, excluding Nokia Technologies.
For 2017, capital expenditure outlook for the company is approximately €500 million. Non-IFRS tax rate is now expected in the range of
25% to 30% in 2017 (old guidance: 30% to 35%).
The company anticipates net sales in its primary networks division to decline in 2017, which is in line with the primary addressable
market. However, the market conditions are expected to be more challenging than expected earlier. Consequently, the primary
addressable market for Nokia’s main unit is now expected to decline in the band of 3% to 5% as opposed to the earlier projection of a
fall in the low-single digits. Segmental operating margin is still forecasted to be in 8% to 10% range.
Recent News
Nokia and Xiaomi Ink Pact - Jul 7, 2017
Nokia has signed a deal with Chinese company Xiaomi for business collaboration and a multi-year patent license. This includes a cross
license to each company’s cellular standard essential patents. Per the business cooperation agreement, Nokia will provide network
infrastructure equipment for delivering high capacity besides low power requirements to benefit web providers as well as datacenter
operators.
LTE Network for Shanghai's Smart City Revamp - Jun 30, 2017
Nokia has announced plans to supply an LTE Network in the 700 megahertz spectrum band to Shanghai Oriental Pearl Group The
deployment will transform the Hongkou district of Shanghai through an array of smart city services. Nokia will provide advanced
wireless communications based on FDD-LTE technology for smart city as well as public safety applications.
Nokia has completed its acquisition of Comptel Corporation, a Finnish telecommunications software company. The buyout boosts
Nokia’s software portfolio by adding capabilities that help digital service providers deliver new communications services to the market
faster. The purchase also enhances the acquiring company’s portfolio in several other ways including capturing data-in-motion.
Nokia is on its way back to the U.S. HMD Global, the Finland-based company (which had acquired the rights to sell Nokia smartphones
last year) has recently announced that Nokia 6 phones would be sold in the U.S. from early next month. The phones will cost $229 each
.
Nokia inked a deal with Infracapital, the infrastructural arm of M&G Investments, to introduce a high-speed fiber broadband service to
central and northern Poland. This move was part of the Digital Poland 2014-2020 program. The service is expected to serve nearly
400,000 homes and approximately 2,500 schools in the rural areas of central and northern Poland.
Following the settlement, Nokia will get an up-front payment in cash from Apple. In fact, it will get additional revenues during the tenure
of the deal which is expected to be recognized from the second quarter of 2017.
Nokia has also agreed to provide certain products and services pertaining to network infrastructure to Apple. Moreover, Apple will
resume having some Nokia digital health offerings (formerly under the Withings brand; Withings S.A. was acquired by Nokia last year)
in its retail and online stores, going forward. The companies also said that they are looking to explore future partnership in the field of
digital. Notably, the companies also intend to hold regular meetings in order to serve their customers in a better way.
The target price of $7.25 is based on 29x the Zacks Consensus Estimate for F1 earnings
Value Score - -
Cash/Price 35.97 13.16 9.77 7.72 -18.79 45.67
EV/EBITDA 58.15 13.66 12.74 11.56 8.97 NA
PEG Ratio 1.23 1.48 1.99 67.26 1.54 NA
Price/Book (P/B) 1.92 1.85 3.22 1.50 2.51 0.31
Price/Cash Flow (P/CF) 38.58 11.65 13.49 10.42 19.01 1.39
P/E (F1) 23.36 19.54 18.98 251.20 14.43 16.83
Price/Sales (P/S) 1.50 1.50 2.50 0.86 3.42 0.10
Earnings Yield 4.29% 3.10% 5.25% 0.47% 6.90% 5.77%
Debt/Equity 0.20 0.20 0.68 0.22 0.62 0.12
Cash Flow ($/share) 0.54 1.36 5.41 0.63 4.97 0.04
Growth Score - -
Hist. EPS Growth (3-5 yrs) 47.37% 8.31% 7.16% -92.75% -2.39% 252.63%
Proj. EPS Growth (F1/F0) 16.67% 3.58% 9.44% -91.94% -6.88% 270.59%
Curr. Cash Flow Growth 66.38% 1.54% 5.40% -43.77% -8.62% -98.20%
Hist. Cash Flow Growth (3-5 yrs) 17.74% 11.78% 6.71% -11.63% 3.12% -37.18%
Current Ratio 1.57 1.82 1.37 1.73 2.95 1.23
Debt/Capital 16.57% 17.96% 41.65% 17.96% 38.28% 10.93%
Net Margin -1.78% 1.52% 9.86% -6.40% 17.26% -1.69%
Return on Equity 7.07% 3.45% 15.93% 7.35% 18.61% -1.04%
Sales/Assets 0.55 0.77 0.54 0.77 0.35 0.74
Proj. Sales Growth (F1/F0) -2.48% 0.15% 5.19% -6.72% -2.77% 14.97%
Momentum Score - -
Daily Price Chg 0.31% -0.33% -0.10% -0.79% -0.41% -3.08%
1 Week Price Chg 5.37% 0.91% -0.00% 3.34% 3.58% -2.91%
4 Week Price Chg 6.51% 0.00% 2.17% -11.80% -3.36% 3.17%
12 Week Price Chg 6.86% 0.72% 3.07% -2.48% -3.16% 32.97%
52 Week Price Chg 18.91% 14.61% 11.66% -13.02% -13.17% 89.15%
20 Day Average Volume 12,630,425 103,432 0 6,655,015 9,821,575 1,788
(F1) EPS Est 1 week change 7.01% 0.00% 0.08% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
(F1) EPS Est 4 week change 22.63% 0.00% 0.32% -90.74% 0.07% 0.00%
(F1) EPS Est 12 week change 21.74% -3.33% 1.00% -91.28% -3.67% -3.33%
(Q1) EPS Est Mthly Chg 14.29% 0.00% 0.00% -70.67% -7.69% NA
Agreement
This is the extent which brokerage analysts are revising their earnings estimates in the same
direction. The greater the percentage of estimates being revised higher, the better the score for this
component.
For example, if there were 10 estimate revisions over the last 60 days, with 8 of those revisions up,
and the other 2 down, then the agreement factor would be 80% positive. If, however, 8 were to the
downside with only 2 of them up, then the agreement factor would be 80% negative. The higher the
percentage of agreement the better.
Magnitude
This is a measure based on the size of the recent change in the current consensus estimates. The
Zacks Rank looks at the magnitude of these changes over the last 60 days.
In the chart to the right, the display shows the consensus estimate from 60-days ago, 30-days ago,
7-days ago, and the most current estimate The difference between the current estimate and the
estimate from 60-days ago is displayed as a percentage. A larger positive percentage increase will
score better on this component.
Upside
This is the difference between the most accurate estimate, as calculated by Zacks, and the
consensus estimate. For example, a stock with a consensus estimate of $1.00, and a most
accurate estimate of $1.05 will have an upside factor of 5%.
This is not an indication of how much a stock will go up or down. Instead, it's a measure of the
difference between these two estimates. This is particularly useful near earnings season as a
positive upside percentage can be used to help predict a future surprise.
Surprise
The Zacks Rank also factors in the last few quarters of earnings surprises. Companies that have
positively surprised in the recent past have a tendency of positively surprising again in the future (or
missing if they recently missed).
A stock with a recent track record of positive surprises will score better on this factor than a stock
with a history of negative surprises. These stocks will have a greater likelihood of positively
surprising again.
Academic research has proven that stocks with the best Growth, Value, and Momentum characteristics outperform the market. The
Zacks Style Scores rate stocks on each of these individual styles and assigns a rating of A, B, C, D and F. An A, is better than a B; a B
is better than a C; and so on.
As an investor, you want to buy stocks with the highest probability of success. That means buying stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2,
Strong Buy or Buy, which also has a Style Score of an A or a B.