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The Next Generation of Wireless:: 5G Leadership in The U.S
The Next Generation of Wireless:: 5G Leadership in The U.S
The Next Generation of Wireless:: 5G Leadership in The U.S
5G
Generation
of Wireless:
5G Leadership
in the U.S.
Thomas K. Sawanobori
SVP and Chief Technology Officer, CTIA
February 9, 2016
Source: Volvo Cars
5G
That means nearly every American can The advanced US trials, the standards Specifically, this paper explores
access mobile broadband at speeds process commitment, and the science three key aspects – speed,
up to tens of Mbs a second. and engineering are critical to 5G connection ubiquity, and immediacy
efforts. The technical development – of 5G networks that will transform
This 4G LTE leadership has paid of 5G is evidenced by the significant consumers’ wireless experience and
dividends throughout the U.S. amount of literature and papers enable a fully-connected mobile
economy and our mobile ecosystem. produced by Next Generation Mobile life. We also provide clear steps
Licensed wireless service generates Networks,3 4G Americas,4 Ericsson,5 policymakers can take to help maintain
over $400 billion in annual economic Nokia,6 Samsung, QUALCOMM, Intel, U.S. wireless leadership and support
activity and every wireless industry job and others. Leading operators have future 5G investment.
results in another 6.5 people finding been very active in 4G Americas
employment. American entrepreneurs In particular, current spectrum planning
defining requirements for 5G including
capture 91% of the world’s mobile app by the Federal government needs to
AT&T, T-Mobile, and Sprint.7 Next
downloads, and U.S. companies run account for the increased demand
Generation Mobile Networks has
the operating systems on 9 out of 10 that is projected for mobile broadband
key representatives from around
smartphones worldwide. services; working with stakeholders,
the globe including AT&T, Sprint,
the Administration and the FCC must
Other countries have seen our 4G T-Mobile, Verizon, and US Cellular.8
not only keep on track with respect
LTE success and want to seize the Signals Ahead has published a paper
to current efforts, but must also
mantle of 5G leadership. South “Understanding the Ins and Outs of
identify new bands capable of being
Korean carriers have announced the 5G Use Cases” examining 72 use
auctioned and develop a timetable
trials at the Winter Olympics in cases possible with 5G. CTIA’s focus is
for those auctions. Along with smart
2018, and Japanese operators plan on what 5G will mean for consumers,
infrastructure and siting policies,
to demonstrate 5G in 2020 at the the benefits consumers will experience
as well as wise R&D investments,
Summer Olympics in Tokyo. The EU with 5G networks, and how public
more focused spectrum re-allocation
has committed 700M Euro to 5G R&D. policy can advance these consumer
planning will be vital to robust
interests.
The U.S. wireless industry is committed development and deployment of 5G in
to maintaining our global leadership as the U.S.
5G “5G is about more than faster mobile services – it will enable new use cases related to the
Internet of Things.” • Rima Qureshi, SVP and Chief Strategy Officer, Ericsson
Decline Arrow
→
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8→
Peak to End
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13
14
13
9
7
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11
11
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of Life 9
10x
rience will continue to improve significantly even before the rollout of next By the Numbers
generation technology and services.
Yet we stand on the cusp of a significant new development in the wireless
Faster
industry: 5G. Standards will be developed by 2018, and the U.S. wireless
industry expects to rollout 5G services the following few years. Some have
100x
suggested commercial rollout will start before 2020 with early versions of
the standards.
More Devices
5G is not just another evolution in wireless technology, 5G will be a
game-changer for consumers. Here’s why.
5x
Key Consumer Benefits
5G will benefit wireless consumers in three key ways:
• 5G will be very fast, even in densely populated areas. More Responsive
• 5G will connect everything, supporting the Internet of Things.
• 5G will be real-time, minimizing delays in network response and enabling
entirely new services and applications.
3G
384 Kbps [2000]
4G
100 Mbps [2010]
5G
>1 Gbps [2020+]
The 5G revolution in data speeds Very high speed broadband to businesses, train stations, airports,
campuses, public venues, stadiums, shopping malls, or other
will unleash a host of consumer
locations
benefits, including:
It is envisioned that 5G will be best suited to handle traffic where there is
considerable demand and a high concentration of users.
All consumers have experienced the challenge of posting a photo or
making a phone call from a crowded stadium or event. 5G will not
only provide faster peak speeds, it is designed to handle highly dense
environments and will provide a consistent very fast speed consumer
experience.
Specifically with the capacity gains from 5G, consumers will be able to
experience 5G without a diminution in speed or quality.17 For businesses
in particular, this high speed connectivity can improve connectedness with
employees who work remotely or travel frequently and reduce operating
costs.18
Beyond these venues, 5G is suitable for fixed wireless connectivity. It
can provide businesses and residences with very high speed wireless
broadband. 5G can provide these capabilities indoors and outdoors.
Smart Cities
• Infrastructure – remote monitoring of roads,
Cities are looking to use wireless technology and the IoT to create impactful bridges, buildings, parks, and venues
solutions for their citizens.
•C
itizen convenience – real-time traffic
Many consumers today rely on applications like Waze that provide real-time information including consideration of traffic lights
information. Imagine sensors that provide automatic real-time information and smart parking, in which you can find a spot
on parking, traffic, and every other facet of your daily life. Intelligent and reserve one
systems can help route you optimally to your destination and direct you to
• P ublic transportation – digital signage to let
the most convenient parking location.
commuters know when the next bus or train will
To make smart cities a reality for consumers, operators are forming arrive
alliances with technology companies, industry leaders, and universities to
• P ublic safety – manage traffic patterns of
create a framework for smart cities and more connected communities.
pedestrians at stadiums, parks, and busy
For example, AT&T is partnering with Cisco, Deloitte, Ericsson, GE, IBM, intersections. Alerts of incidents such as a
Intel, and Qualcomm in cities such as Atlanta. In addition to enabling shooting could enable better response and
wireless connectivity to things like utility meters, street lights, and water improved safety.24
systems. The new framework will enable new categories such as:
While sensor networks are already starting to
AT&T is also developing a new digital dashboard—the Smart City Network
enable smart cities, 5G will also greatly expand the
Operation Center—which will provide a comprehensive overview of public
number of sensor devices, optimizing traffic and
infrastructure and conditions. This will offer cities a dashboard view of how
parking. As just one example, 5G will make flexible
assets are performing in near-real time. City officials also will be able to
bus management possible, allowing bus stops and
keep tabs on power outages, water leaks, traffic issues, and more – all from
people to tell buses when people are waiting, and
one location.
bus drivers to skip empty stops or send more buses
5G’s higher throughput and lower latency is expected to enable such when demand is high.25
solutions. Capabilities like these can enable cleaner, more efficient cities
5G Using 5G to Improve
Case Study with better use of city resources. Global smart city economic benefits are
estimated to range from $644B-1.2T by 2025. 26
5G
1 Inch
4G
4.6 Feet
5G: Real-Time
5G also promises a marked improvement in wireless network lag time –
enabling faster communications.
4G LTE latency rates – the technical term for the delay between your
request for data and when your mobile device receives it – are low, roughly
10 milliseconds over-the-air; 50 milliseconds end-to-end. This enables
consumers to have good quality voice over IP (VoIP) calls and video calls
with little delay or jitter. 5G latency rates will be even lower – targeted to
be five to ten times lower. 37
This reduction in latency may seem inconsequential, but a near real-
time consumer wireless experience will enable a host of benefits and
applications not possible today.
The real-time abilities of 5G will unlock:
Smart Cities
Operators and technology companies are partnering with cities
to provide sensors, connectivity, platforms and solutions to enable
consumer benefits, efficiency and energy savings.
Endnotes
1. FCC, Annual Report and Analysis of 18. See Rob Chamberlin, What will 5G mean sidered include heart disease; respiratory 46. John Gaudiosi, How this med school
Competitive Market Conditions with Respect for consumers, businesses, and the Internet disease; diabetes; HIV/AIDS; cancer; other is using virtual reality to teach students,
to Mobile Wireless, Eighteenth Report, DA of Things, Geektime (Jan. 3, 2016), at http:// chronic diseases; non-chronic diseases; neu- FORTUNE (Oct. 16, 2015), at http://fortune.
15-1487, at Chart III.A.3 (Dec. 23, 2015). www.geektime.com/2016/01/03/what-will- ropsychiatric conditions; and sensory organ com/2015/10/16/western-university-is-us-
2. Id. at ¶ 106. 5g-mean-for-consumers-businesses-and- diseases; $30-117B counterfeit drug reduc- ing-virtual-reality-to-teach.
the-internet-of-things/. tions; $2-14B improved medical devices. 47. Natasha Singer, Google Virtual-Reality
3. NGMN Alliance, NGMN 5G White Paper
(Feb. 17, 2015), at 19. Ericsson Mobility Report 2015 (Nov. 32. McKinsey, Healthcare, pp. 38-43 includ- System Aims to Enliven Education, The
2015), at http://www.ericsson.com/res/ ing cost savings of $110-470B for treatment New York Times (Sept. 28, 2015), at http://
https://www.ngmn.org/uploads/media/
docs/2015/mobility-report/emr-nov-2015-re- of chronic diseases; $35B in reduced costs www.nytimes.com/2015/09/29/technology/
NGMN_5G_White_Paper_V1_0.pdf
gional-report-north-america.pdf of clinical trials; and $520B in improvements google-virtual-reality-system-aims-to-enliv-
4. 4G Americas Recommendations on of lifespan and quality of life. Diseases con- en-education.html and Google, Introducing
20. Mary Meeker, Internet Trends 2015 (May
5G Requirements and Solutions (Oct. sidered include heart disease; respiratory the Expeditions Pioneer Program, at https://
27, 2015), at http://kpcbweb2.s3.amazonaws.
2014), at http://www.4gamericas.org/ disease; diabetes; HIV/AIDS; cancer; other www.google.com/edu/expeditions/
com/files/90/Internet_Trends_2015.
files/2714/1471/2645/4G_Americas_Recom- chronic diseases; non-chronic diseases; neu-
pdf?1432738078 48. Kyle Vanhemert, See the World’s Great-
mendations_on_5G_Requirements_and_ ropsychiatric conditions; and sensory organ
21. David Goldman, 5G will cost you a est Stolen Artworks in this Virtual-Reality
Solutions_10_14_2014-FINALx.pdf and 4G diseases; $30-117B counterfeit drug reduc-
bundle, CNN MONEY (May 19, 2015), at Museum, Wired (Jan. 16, 2015), at http://
Americas, 5G Spectrum Recommendations tions; $2-14B improved medical devices.
http://money.cnn.com/2015/05/18/technolo- www.wired.com/2015/01/see-worlds-great-
(Aug. 2015), at
gy/5g-cost-wireless-data. 33. Sprint Release, Sprint Introduces World- est-stolen-artworks-virtual-reality-mu-
http://www.4gamericas.org/ wide Control over All Connected Devices seum/. See also Alex Radsky, Where
files/7814/4606/7589/4G_Americas_5G_ 22. See SAMSUNG, 5G VISION 2-4 (Jun.
Through a Simple Self Service Portal (Apr. History Comes Alive: Augmented Reality in
Spectrum_Recommendations_White_Pa- 2015) (“SAMSUNG 5G VISION”), at http://
23, 2015), at http://newsroom.sprint.com/ Museums, The Synapse (May 6, 2015), at
per-2015.pdf www.samsung.com/global/business-imag-
news-releases/sprint-introduces-instant- https://medium.com/synapse/where-histo-
es/insights/2015/Samsung-5G-Vision-1.pdf;
5. Ericsson, 5G Use Cases (Jul. 8, 2015), at worldwide-control-over-all-connected-de- ry-comes-alive-augmented-reality-in-muse-
Neal Ungerleider, 5G Wireless Is Coming
http://www.ericsson.com/news/150708-5g- vices-through-a-simple-self-service-portal. ums-64a81825b799#.e7uzmrszp
… But What Is It Anyway, FAST COMPANY
user-cases_244069645_c htm 49. Daniel A. Guttentag, Virtual reality:
(Oct. 26, 2015), at http://www.fastcompany.
6. Nokia, 5G Use Cases and Requirements, com/3051626/elasticity/5g-wireless-is-com- 34. SmartGrid Consumer Collaborative, Applications and implications for tourism,
at http://networks.nokia.com/sites/default/ ingbut-what-is-it-anyway. SmartGrid 101 Consumer Benefits, at http:// Tourism Management (Oct. 2010), at http://
files/document/5g_requirements_white_pa- www.whatissmartgrid.org/smart-grid-101/ www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
23. Ericsson Mobility Report 2015, at http://
per.pdf consumer-benefits S0261517709001332
www.ericsson.com/res/docs/2015/mobili-
7. 4G Americas, 5G Technology Evolution ty-report/ericsson-mobility-report-nov-2015. 35. McKinsey, Agriculture, p. 69 including 50. 9 Industries Using Virtual Reality, Tech
Recommendations (Oct. 2015), at http://ww- pdf $1-3B livestock monitoring; $52-338B agri- Republic, http://www.techrepublic.com/
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24. AT&T Newsroom, ATT launches smart
Americas_5G_Technology_Evolution_Rec- 36. McKinsey, Public Safety, p. 89 including 51. Rachel Arthur, Hands-On With Tommy
cities framework with New Strategic Allianc-
ommendations_-_10.5.15_2.pdf $24-41B disaster and emergency services; Hilfiger’s In-Store Virtual Reality Catwalk
es, Spotlight Cities, and Integrated Vertical
8. NGMN 5G White Paper, at https://www. Solutions (Jan. 5, 2016), at $14-31B crime detection and monitoring. Experience, Forbes (Oct. 25, 2015), at
ngmn.org/uploads/media/NGMN_5G_ 37. 4G AMERICAS, IGNITING MOBILE http://www.forbes.com/sites/rachelar-
http://about.att.com/story/launches_smart_
White_Paper_V1_0.pdf BROADBAND 20 (“4G AMERICAS, LTE AND thur/2015/10/25/hands-on-with-tommy-hil-
cities_framework.html
9. This varies considerably depending on 5G INNOVATION”), http://www.4gamericas. figers-in-store-virtual-reality-catwalk-ex-
25. Mary-Ann Russon, What will 5G be used perience/
many factors – device type, application (vid- org/files/9214/3991/2167/4G_Americas_
for? Self-driving cars, connected home ap-
eo, browsing, e-mail), technology capability, Rysavy_Research_LTE_and_5G_Innova- 52. Brian Shuster, Utherverse Digital, Could
pliances and incredibly smart cities, INTER-
radio environment, mobility, and other uses tion_white_paper.pdf. Virtual Reality Revitalize the Economy?
NATIONAL BUSINESS TIMES (Nov. 7, 2015),
on the network. 38. Huawei, 5G Vision: 100 Billion connec- Wired (Oct. 2014), at http://www.wired.com/
at http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/what-will-5g-be-
10. Neville Ray, Taking America’s Fastest tions, 1 ms Latency, and 10 Gbps Through- insights/2014/10/virtual-reality-economy/.
used-self-driving-cars-connected-home-ap-
4G LTE Network Even Further, T-Mobile USA put, at http://www.huawei.com/minisite/5g/ See also Matthew Yeomans, Oculus Rift isn’t
pliances-incredibly-smart-cities-1527420.
CTO blog (Dec. 23, 2015), at en/defining-5g.html. just a game; it could have powerful effect on
26. McKinsey Global Institute, The Internet sustainability, The Guardian (Mar. 26, 2014),
https://newsroom.t-mobile.com/issues- of Things: Mapping the Value Beyond the 39. National Highway Traffic Safety Adminis-
at http://www.theguardian.com/sustain-
insights-blog/2015-end-of-year-network- Hype (June 2015), (hereafter McKinsey), tration, V2V Communications Fact Sheet, at
able-business/oculus-rift-facebook-acquisi-
recap.htm at http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/ http://www.safercar.gov/staticfiles/safercar/
tion-sustainability-effect
11. Jeff Hawn, In-Depth: State of 5G for business_technology/the_internet_of_ v2v/V2V_Fact_Sheet_101414_v2a.pdf.
53. See Meredith Attwell Baker, President
the Big Four Carriers, RCRWIreless (Nov. things_the_value_of_digitizing_the_phys- 40. Nicole Lee, Samsung Gear VR review
& CEO, CTIA – The Wireless Association®,
29, 2015), at http://www.rcrwireless. ical_world, Smart Cities, p. 89 including (2015): A no-brainer if you own a Samsung
ISART 2015 Remarks (May 14, 2015), at
com/20151129/carriers/5g-efforts-for-the- $403-693B air and water monitoring; $223- phone, Engadget (Nov. 25, 2015), at http://
http://www.ctia.org/docs/default-source/
big-four-carriers-tag15 504B adaptive traffic management; $5-9B www.engadget.com/2015/11/25/samsung-
default-document-library/isart-speech-pub-
12. James Geddes, Samsung Testing 5G smart solid waste pickup; $13-16B public gear-vr-review-2015/
lic.pdf.
Network With Lightning Speed Standards transit schedule management. 41. Max Slater-Robins, Here’s everything we
54. See Comments of CTIA – The Wireless
Of 20 GB Per Second, TechTimes (Jul. 14 27. Aditi Pai, Forrester: 35 percent of mil- know about Microsoft’s augmented reality
Association®, GN Dkt. No. 14-177 (Jan. 15,
2015), at http://www.techtimes.com/arti- lennials will buy a fitness wearable in the headset HoloLens, Business Insider (Oct. 17,
2015), at http://www.ctia.org/docs/de-
cles/68237/20150714/samsung-testing-5g- next year, MOBILE HEALTH NEWS (Sept. 30, 2015), at http://www.businessinsider.com/
fault-source/fcc-filings/150115-filed-ctia-5g-
network-with-lightning-speed-standards-of- 2015), at http://mobihealthnews.com/47134/ microsoft-hololens-augmented-reality-head-
noi-comments.pdf?sfvrsn=0.
20-gb-per-second.htm forrester-35-percent-of-millennials-will-buy- set-roundup-2015-10?r=UK&IR=T
a-fitness-wearable-in-the-next-year. 55. See Testimony of Scott Bergmann, Vice
13. Joe Lorrio, Volvo and Ericsson Partner 42. Paul Lamkin, The best VR headsets: Ocu-
President, Regulatory Affairs, CTIA – The
on the Real Killer App for Autonomous Cars: 28. McKinsey, Wearables, p. 45. lus Rift, Playstation VR, Gear VR, HTC Vive...
Wireless Ass’n, Breaking Down Barriers
Streaming HD Video, Car and Driver (Jan 4, 29. SAMSUNG, 5G VISION 2 (June 2015), virtual reality is back, baby!, Wareable
to Broadband Infrastructure Deployment:
2016), at http://blog.caranddriver.com/volvo- at http://www.samsung.com/global/busi- (Jan.7, 2016), at http://www.wareable.com/
Hearing Before the House Energy & Com-
and-ericsson-partner-on-the-real-killer-app- ness-images/insights/2015/Samsung-5G-Vi- headgear/the-best-ar-and-vr-headsets
merce Subcomm. on Commc’ns & Tech. (Oct.
for-autonomous-cars-streaming-hd-video/ sion-1.pdf. 43. Eric Carson, 9 industries using virtual 28, 2015), at http://docs.house.gov/meet-
14. Nokia Press Release, Nokia Networks 30. Beth Mole, Smartphone-based system reality, TechRepublic (Mar. 10, 2015), at ings/IF/IF16/20151028/104121/HHRG-114-
showcases 5G speed of 10Gbps with NI at does job of a pancreas, treats type 1dia- http://www.techrepublic.com/article/9-in- IF16-Wstate-BergmannS-20151028.pdf.
the Brooklyn 5G Summit (Apr. 8, 2015), at betes, ARS TECHNICA (Jan. 9, 2016), at dustries-using-virtual-reality/. See also 56. See Alisa Chang, 8 Things Congress Ac-
http://networks.nokia.com/news-events/ http://arstechnica.co.uk/science/2016/01/ Sarah Evans, Using virtual reality welding to tually Did This Year, NPR (Dec. 30, 2015), at
press-room/press-releases/nokia-networks- smartphone-based-system-does-job-of- evaluate and train welders, The Fabricators http://www.npr.org/2015/12/30/461388614/8-
showcases-5g-speed-of-10gbps-with-ni-at- pancreas-treats-type-1-diabetes. See also (Mar. 18, 2014), at http://www.thefabricator. things-congress-actually-did-this-year.
the-brooklyn-5g-summit Press Release, Medtronic and Samsung com/article/arcwelding/using-virtual-reali- See also TechNet: Preserve Research and
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the Future Internet of Things, at http://iq.in- and Empower Overall Patient Health (June and Destination British Columbia, The urging renewal of the critical R&D tax credit
tel.com/how-5g-will-power-the-future-inter- 5, 2015) (discussing the development of Making of the Wild Within VR Experience, at (Apr. 4, 2014), at http://www.technet.org/
net-of-things/ additional mobile diabetes solutions, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4SkH- technet-preserve-research-and-develop-
including remotely viewing diabetes data, dRvPbv4&t=144 ment-inside-u-s/.
16. QUALCOMM, Qualcomm’s 5G Vision
(Nov. 20150), at https://www.qualcomm.com/ remote alerts for loved ones, and integrating 44. See Quinten Plummer, Oculus VR Promis- 57. Nokia Press Release, Nokia Networks
media/documents/files/qualcomm-5g-vi- mobile and wearable devices into diabetes es a Rift for All in 2016, TECH NEWS WORLD showcases 5G speed of 10Gbps with NI at
sion-presentation.pdf management systems), at http://www. (May 6, 2015), at http://www.technewsworld. the Brooklyn 5G Summit(Apr. 8, 2015), at
fiercemedicaldevices.com/press-releases/ com/story/82018.html; SAMSUNG 5G http://networks.nokia.com/news-events/
17. See Jo Best, The Race to 5G: Inside the medtronic-and-samsung-partner-en- VISION at 4.
Fight for the Future of Mobile As We Know It, press-room/press-releases/nokia-networks-
hance-diabetes-management-and-empow- 45. Brian Crecente, Watch the first showcases-5g-speed-of-10gbps-with-ni-at-
TECH REPUBLIC, at http://www.techrepublic. er-overa.
com/article/does-the-world-really-need-5g/; Oculus Rift operation meat to change the-brooklyn-5g-summit
Jonathan Farfield, What is 5G, when will it 31. McKinsey, Healthcare, pp. 38-43 includ- the way surgeons are taught, POLYGON 58. National Science Foundation, 5G
launch and what will it mean for you?, THAI- ing cost savings of $110-470B for treatment (Aug. 14, 2014), at http://www.polygon. Wireless Network Research at NSF, at http://
TECH (Jan. 21, 2015), at http://tech.thaivisa. of chronic diseases; $35B in reduced costs com/2014/8/14/6001841/oculus-rift-sur- www.nsf.gov/cise/5G/
com/5g-will-launch-will-mean/3053/. of clinical trials; and $520B in improvements gery-video-first-person.
of lifespan and quality of life. Diseases con-