Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 28

Example: linear regression

Univariate normal
Univariate normal
Univariate normal
Univariate normal
Univariate normal: mean
Univariate normal: variance
Multivariate normal
Multivariate normal
Multivariate normal
Multivariate normal
Multivariate normal

1 1 3 0 2 0
Σ= Σ= Σ=
1 2 0 1 0 2

Full Diagonal Spherical


!(!#$)
Parameters: Parameters: 𝐷 Parameters: 1
&
Linear regression
Linear regression
Linear regression
Least squares problem
N
X
T 2 T 2
L(w) = (w xi yi ) = w X y ! min
w
i=1
Least squares problem
N
X
T 2 T 2
L(w) = (w xi yi ) = w X y ! min
w
i=1

b = arg min L(w)


w
w
Model

Weights Data

W X
Target

y
Model

Weights Data

W X
Target

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


Model

Weights Data

W X
Target

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
Model

Weights Data

W X
Target

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)
Training ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ СЛАЙД (НА ДОСКЕ), 6
минут
P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)
P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)

P (w|y, X) =?
Training ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ СЛАЙД (НА ДОСКЕ)

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)

P (w, y|X)
P (w|y, X) = / P (w, y|X)
P (y|X)
Training ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ СЛАЙД (НА ДОСКЕ)

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)

P (w, y|X)
P (w|y, X) = / P (w, y|X)
P (y|X)

P (w, y|X) ! max


w
Training ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ СЛАЙД (НА ДОСКЕ)

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)

P (w, y|X)
P (w|y, X) = / P (w, y|X)
P (y|X)

P (w, y|X) ! max , log P (w, y|X) ! max


w w
Training ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ СЛАЙД (НА ДОСКЕ)

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)

log P (w, y|X) ! max


w
Training ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ СЛАЙД (НА ДОСКЕ)

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)

log P (w, y|X) ! max


w
1 T 2 1 2
2
||w X y|| 2
||w|| ! max
2 2 w
Training ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ СЛАЙД (НА ДОСКЕ)

P (w, y|X) = P (y|X, w)P (w)


P (y|w, X) = N (y|wT X, 2
I)
2
P (w) = N (w|0, I)

log P (w, y|X) ! max


w
1 T 2 1 2
2
||w X y|| 2
||w|| ! max
2 2 w

||wT X y||2 + C||w||2 ! min


w

You might also like