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Convergence: (I) Spot Price Future Price Day of Trading
Convergence: (I) Spot Price Future Price Day of Trading
Price Convergence
3,700
3,650
3,600
3,550
3,500
3,450
3,400 spot price Sett. Price
3,350 future price Sett. Price
3,300
Day of Trading
(b) Risk free rate= 3.057%
Storage cost = 5%
𝐹0 = 𝑆0 𝑒 (𝑟+𝑢−𝑦)𝑇
3
𝐹0 = 3,544𝑒 (3.057%+5%−3%)12
𝐹0 = RM 3589.09
(c) Average future price for next three month contract traded in the market = RM 3499
The future price is lower than the theoretical price =RM 3499 <RM 3589.90
So the future price is under price and good to buy
(II)
𝑃
(b) 𝑁 = 𝛽 (𝐴)
1,000,000
𝑁=( )
50,000
Ang should sell rather than buy the contract because he believes that the stock market
will decline. Sell the contract will let him make gain after the market decline. Therefore,
He can use the gain to cover the loss he made in his sizable portfolio.
(d) When the market declined 5%, the value of the contract
95 x 500 = 47,500
Ang cannot take funds out of the position to cut the interest lost but need to add in
cash to meet up the new margin requirement.
(e) $ 1,000,000 x 5% = $50,000
1,000,000
(f) 𝑁 = 0.75 ( 50,000
)
N = 15 contract
Ang could hedge his position by selling fewer contracts when the beta of the portfolio
was less than 1.0. It is because when the beta is less than one, the risk of the portfolio is
less according to the market portfolio. Stock affected less seriously by the systematic
risk. The fluctuation of the portfolio is lower than the market portfolio. If this is the case,
Ang can hedge his position by selling fewer contracts.
(h)