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Seim2016 Session 12 Ei GHG
Seim2016 Session 12 Ei GHG
(Session 12)
Gustavo Zárate T.
Fundamental Studies Head
Universidad Privada Boliviana
Sustainable Energy Information Management
Program
Quito, Ecuador
September 28, 2016
Outline
2. Climate change
Atmosphere
Greenhouse gases
The Greenhouse gases (GHG)
Amount of particles and gas emissions resulting from human activities that raise the
concentration of atmospheric gases and particles to levels higher than would occur
naturally.
The
adjustment
Climate leads to a The current GHG
adjusts to the global emissions trend
increase of warming of will rise the global
Increase in
GHG to keep the earth’s temperature by 1.4
global energy surface and
GHG to 5.8 ºC by 2100
balance atmosphere
emissions
Climate Change: Changes in Temperature
Line plot of global mean land-ocean temperature index, 1880 to present
Source: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/
Climate Change: Who is affected
Consequences:
http://www.cgdev.org/blog/climate-change-and-development-three-charts
Climate Change: Yesterday causes
79% of emissions between 1850 and 2011 were caused by developed countries
• Changes in composition
of forests • Change in crop's yields
• Changes in geographical Agriculture • Increased irrigation
Climate
forest areas demand
Forests Change • Changes in productivity
• Changes in health and
productivity
Energy and
Coast Industry
• Flooding of coastal lands Areas • Changes into hydraulic energy
• Changes in mangrove • Changes in energy demand
• Erosion • Changes in product's demand
Climate Change
CO2 emissions/Per capita in the Caribbean
20,00
18,00
16,00
14,00
12,00
10,00
8,00
6,00
4,00
2,00
0,00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1988 1992-1994
IPCC is established UNFCCC was adopted
and introduces first in 1992 by 150
assessment on climate countries and started
change operations in 1994
Climate Change
COP2 geneva
confirms human COP12, in Nairobi RIO+20: No advances
influence on the modifies the Kyoto in reducing GHG. Less
weather. protocol commitments
1996 2006 2012
Differentiated commitments
• Annex I: To adopt policies and measures to reduce GHG levels to previous levels
• Annex II: To provide new and additional financial resources to developing
countries, so they can implement the convention and encourage and fund efficient
transfer of environmental technologies
• Not annex I: To provide communications and propose voluntary mitigation and
adaptation measures
Climate Change
From the detailed inventories of greenhouse gas (GHG) identify the main causes
of these emissions, its historical evolution and its possible increase or behavior
towards the future and the selection of alternatives for control or mitigation is
facilitated.
Variations of carbon
• Proposed by IPCC
• Used to calculate CO2 emissions associated to energy activities
• It is based on the carbon content of the fossil fuels used by a given country
• Assumes CO2 emissions depend on fossil fuels and not on the
characteristics of the technologies implemented
Emission Factors
Carbon content of each fossil fuel when it is used for energy purposes
(produce energy)
Oxidation of Carbon
All the carbon is not oxidized into CO2 in the fuel combustion process. Part
of the carbon does not combust or is released in other gases (e.g. methane)
Energy Fraction of
Source carbon oxidized
Stored Carbon
Energy fuels that are not used for energy purposes (e.g. lubricants,
fertilizers). A fraction of the carbon content of these products is stored in
them (table) and the remaining fraction is oxidized (as CO2)
The formula for calculating the total CO2 emissions for each fuel is as follows:
Where:
Where:
EF = emission factor
Activity = consumption or energy production
i = fuel
j = sector or activity
k = type of technology
Source: Energy Statistics Manual. OLADE, 2016
GHG Inventory: Method by Technologies (Bottom Up)
The IIASA CO2 Technology Data Bank – CO2DB; International Institute for
Applied Systems Analysis; Laxenburg, Austria.
The Environmental Manual – EM; Oeko Institute – GTZ – The World Bank;
Berlin, RFA.