1. Describe the simulation results and your recommendations.

Category Cumulative Value * Occurrences *

Value Frequency Probability Occurrences Percentage
name Probability Frequency Value

1 0.09 3 0.09 0.09 0.01 0 0 0

2 0.12 4 0.12 0.21 0.01 1 0.1 0.12

3 0.15 5 0.15 0.35 0.02 1 0.1 0.15

4 0.09 3 0.09 0.44 0.01 2 0.2 0.18

5 0.06 2 0.06 0.5 0 0 0 0

6 0.06 2 0.06 0.56 0 0 0 0

7 0.09 3 0.09 0.65 0.01 0 0 0

8 0.12 4 0.12 0.76 0.01 1 0.1 0.12

9 0.09 3 0.09 0.85 0.01 0 0 0

10 0.15 5 0.15 1 0.02 5 0.5 0.75

Total 34 1 Expected 0.11 10 1 1.32

Average 0.13

Using the frequency rained for the past 20 years, we obtain a probability distribution

shown in the table above using simulation. The table shows that there is a 15 % high probability

that week 10 would rain and the occurrences also high with the value of five (5). Compared to

the other week. Week 2, 3, 4, 8 and 5 are the weeks that Ben should avoid so that he can enjoy

his summer activity. Thus, he should choose either 1st, 5th, 6th, 7th, and 10th week for his summer

activity because it has a lower probability that it would rain.