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Contango Oil and Gas Company Enercom2010 FINAL
Contango Oil and Gas Company Enercom2010 FINAL
Contango Oil and Gas Company Enercom2010 FINAL
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…. And More Lawyer Stuff
“There are three reasons why lawyers are replacing
rats as laboratory research animals. One is that they’re
plentiful, another is that lab assistants don’t get
attached to them, and the third is that there are some
things rats just won’t do”
-Unknown
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CONTANGO – a natural gas centric,
non crude oil oriented – never to be
confused with anything remotely related to
manufacturing - company with a business
model focused on drilling wildcat exploration
wells with a minimum of debt and
shareholder dilution
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Contango’s Core Beliefs
From Inception
The only competitive advantage in the natural gas and oil business
is to be among the LOWEST COST producers
Virtually all the exploration and production industry’s VALUE
CREATION occurs through the drilling of successful exploration
wells
The whole point of a business is only and always to increase
SHAREHOLDER WEALTH…with conditions
“Beliefs are optional, Results are mandatory and the only result that
matters is total return to shareholders”
-Kenneth R. Peak
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Lowest Cost
CONTANGO
Three Months Ended 3/31/10
DD & A $1.24
LOE $0.66
G&A $0.22
Interest $0.02
TOTAL $2.14 / Mcfe
Vs
42 Company Average
$5.74 / Mcfe
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Value Creation
PER SHARE PER MCFE PRODUCED PER EMPLOYEE
Revenue $9.64 Revenue $5.20 Revenue $19,476,677
Our second priority is to protect the environment where we work and live.
Our third priority is maximize “Shareholder earnings” which we define as retained earnings plus
dividends. We are dilution and debt phobic.
Contango’s Peak Ratio
Calculated as at 3/31/10: R/E + Dividends = $365.2 + 5.4 = $370.6 = 30.4X
Equity – (R/E + Dividends) $443.1‐(365.2 + 5.4+60.3) $12.2
Series E
17.8 MM
18,000,000
17,000,000
16.7 MM Series D
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
16,000,000
15.97 MM
Series C
15,000,000
“They say you can’t do it, but sometimes it doesn’t always work”
-Casey Stengal 9
Contango’s Owners
June 30, 2010
Holder Shares Held % S/O Cumulative %
1 TCW Asset Management Company 915,718 5.84% 5.84%
2 BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. 872,916 5.57% 11.40%
3 Sellers Capital Master Fund, Ltd. 761,821 4.86% 16.26%
4 Keeley Asset Management Corp. 683,600 4.36% 20.62%
5 Vanguard Group, Inc. 558,799 3.56% 24.18%
6 Dreman Value Management, L.L.C. 548,065 3.49% 27.68%
7 Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc. (US) 528,783 3.37% 31.05%
8 Deutsche Investment Management Americas, Inc. 413,825 2.64% 33.69%
9 Palo Alto Investors, LLC 310,000 1.98% 35.66%
10 State Street Global Advisors (US) 277,822 1.77% 37.43%
11 California Public Employees' Retirement System 218,421 1.39% 38.83%
12 Seizert Capital Partners, L.L.C. 214,095 1.36% 40.19%
13 Dimensional Fund Advisors, LP 212,228 1.35% 41.54%
14 TIAA-CREF 204,637 1.30% 42.85%
15 Southpoint Capital Advisors, L.P. 200,000 1.28% 44.12%
16 Northern Trust Investments, N.A. 176,641 1.13% 45.25%
17 PNC Wealth Management 158,344 1.01% 46.26%
18 Brenner West Capital Advisors, LLC 150,210 0.96% 47.22%
19 Horan Capital Management, LLC 134,537 0.86% 48.08%
20 AQR Capital Management, LLC 120,268 0.77% 48.84%
21 Harbert Management Corporation 120,000 0.77% 49.61%
22 JPMorgan Private Bank (United States) 117,113 0.75% 50.35%
23 Bonanza Capital, Ltd. 104,176 0.66% 51.02%
Other (17) Institutions and Advisors 1,102,473 7.03% 58.05%
Contango Management and BOD 3,214,855 20.50% 78.54%
Source: Reuters
“Sometimes what you don’t have is more important than what you do have”
-Kenneth R. Peak 11
GOM In Chaos
Independents are waiting to see what new regs, bonding requirements are in store for us
Regulations/bonding requirements so onerous as to discourage Independents from shallow water drilling (less
than 500 feet) – very unlikely in my opinion
Increased safety procedures, safer fail safe’s, more rigorous / lengthy permitting etc. – very likely but I believe we
can manage through these
We are and have always been 100% responsible to clean-up any spill
Unlimited “Economic Damages” for spills – few Independents would be willing – or able - to take the risk of dealing
with the plaintiffs bar
The talk about criminalizing errors in judgment, or equipment failures – reflects how out of touch with the real world
Washington is
There are too many jobs at risk in an already devastated region, too much in tax and royalty revenues, too many
votes and too much production to just shut the GOM down. Plus Congress would be loathe to be seen helping
majors at the expense of the Independents
Two exploration permits have been approved – but in no sense is it business as usual
We will be aggressive. We just hired an outstanding Drilling Engineer to augment our efforts
Spud first GOM well offshore Texas (permit in hand) – Mid October
Why Does Contango STILL like the GOM?
Economics
Acreage, G & G and seismic costs last 4 years combined: $17 million
NRI to Contango AFTER landowner ORRI and
AFTER G & G Promote: 70‐72%
Severance Tax(1): 0%
Ad Valorem Tax(1): 0%
Sales & Use Tax(1): 0%
State Income Tax(1): 0%
LOE(2) $.53
G&A(2) $.21
If NAT GAS @ $4.42/Mcf – Contango Receives(2) $5.68/Mcfe
If Contango produces 58.4 Mmcfd – Contango Sells (2) 77.1 Mmcfed
Contango is a Taxpayer: We have no NOL Carry Forwards 35% Risk Partner
Intangibles
Rig costs are less than half of 2 year ago levels
One Landowner – MMS(1)
Lot’s of nearby infrastructure
No Nimby’s to deal with
Yes, we will drill dry holes – The E in E&P stands for Exploration
Yes, our permitting and bonding costs are going up, but we will find a way
(1) Federal Waters
(2) Average for 9 months ended March 31, 2010
“The consensus opinion always sounds logical, is easily understood and is frequently
wrong”
- Kenneth R. Peak
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“If this is right – I believe we will make a bunch of money”
- Kenneth R. Peak 15
In Conclusion………..
Who has positive retained earnings?
Who has lower DD & A?
Who has lower LOE?
Who has lower debt?
Who has lower G & A?
Who has more PDP Mcfe’s/Share?
Who has more exploration upside per share?
Who has more commodity price upside?
Who doesn’t have an NOL carry‐forward? i.e. a 35% exploration
partner?
Who has fewer shares today than 1,3,5,7,9 years ago?
Which CEO’s haven’t taken options or restricted stock the last 3
years? Incentives drive behavior.
“The further backward you look, the further forward you can see”
- Winston Churchill 16
The Upbeat Case for Natural Gas
Production from the GOM shelf has been in steady decline since
2001… now the deep shelf can only be going down.
The Upbeat Case for Natural Gas
Increased Costs, Higher Gas Prices
Ahead?
Utilization levels for our equipment have now surpassed those at
the rig count peak in Q3 2008, and are fast approaching levels
not seen since the fall of 2006.
-- Halliburton
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