WGBH  MASSACHUSETTS  10  CONGRESSIONAL  DISTRICT  POLL  
th
 

October  18,  2010  

 
    The  MassINC  Polling  Group  
    18  Tremont  St  Ste  1120  
    Boston,  MA  02108  
    massincpolling.com  
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

WGBH  MASSACHUSETTS  10th  CONGRESSIONAL  DISTRICT  POLL  

Field  Dates:  October  13-­15,  2010  
 
Data  Tables  
 
I'm  going  to  read  you  the  names  of  several  people  and  groups  who  are  active  in  public  affairs.    After  I  
read  each  one  please  tell  me  if  you  have  a  very  favorable  view,  somewhat  favorable,  somewhat  
unfavorable,  or  very  unfavorable  view  of  the  person  or  grou’Ǥˆ›‘—†‘ǯ–”‡…‘‰‹œ‡–Š‡ƒ‡ǡ
please  just  say  so.      
 
 Favorability  -­‐  Barack  Obama  

Very   Somewhat   Somewhat   Very   Don't  know  /  

        Count*   favorable   favorable   unfavorable   unfavorable   Ref  
OVERALL   Overall   400   30%   26%   12%   31%   1%  
Democrat   116   56%   22%   8%   12%   2%  
Republican   61   3%   19%   19%   58%   0%  
PARTY   Unenrolled  /   223   23%   29%   13%   33%   2%  
REGISTRATION   Other  
Male   180   25%   24%   16%   33%   2%  
GENDER   Female   220   34%   27%   9%   28%   1%  
18  to  29   41   31%   39%   13%   16%   1%  
30  to  44   90   29%   28%   14%   28%   1%  
45  to  59   141   24%   24%   18%   32%   1%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   36%   21%   5%   36%   2%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   25%   30%   20%   23%   1%  
49  
Women  age   96   36%   30%   10%   24%   1%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  50+   109   25%   20%   13%   41%   2%  
Women  age   124   33%   25%   9%   32%   2%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   3%   16%   21%   60%   1%  
Bill  Keating   176   57%   35%   4%   3%   1%  
Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  
FINAL  VOTE  
cand.**  
PREFERENCE  (WITH  
LEANERS)   Undecided**   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   30%   26%   12%   31%   1%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others**   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   8%   14%   16%   61%   1%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   54%   30%   8%   7%   1%  
 
ȗŠ‡Dz‘—–dz…‘Ž—•Š‘™•–Š‡—™‡‹‰Š–‡†•ƒ’Ž‡•‹œ‡ˆ‘”‡ƒ…Š‰”‘—’Ǥ  
 
**  Not  shown  due  to  small  sample  size.    

 
2
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

 Favorability  -­‐  Jeff  Perry  

Very     Somewhat   Somewhat   Very   Don't  know  /  

        Count   favorable   favorable   unfavorable   unfavorable   Ref  
OVERALL   Overall   400   15%   22%   10%   17%   35%  
Democrat   116   4%   9%   10%   27%   50%  
Republican   61   31%   41%   3%   5%   19%  
PARTY   Unenrolled  /   223   17%   24%   13%   15%   31%  
REGISTRATION   Other  
Male   180   16%   25%   7%   19%   33%  
GENDER   Female   220   14%   20%   14%   16%   37%  
18  to  29   41   13%   14%   9%   16%   48%  
30  to  44   90   10%   21%   8%   14%   48%  
45  to  59   141   20%   26%   8%   15%   31%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   14%   23%   15%   23%   26%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   10%   22%   5%   18%   45%  
49  
Women  age   96   14%   15%   12%   12%   45%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  50+   109   20%   28%   8%   20%   24%  
Women  age   124   14%   23%   14%   18%   30%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   33%   40%   2%   1%   24%  
Bill  Keating   176   1%   6%   16%   33%   44%  
Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  
FINAL  VOTE  
cand.  
PREFERENCE  (WITH  
LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   15%   22%   10%   17%   35%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   33%   33%   4%   7%   23%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   2%   15%   17%   28%   38%  
 
   

 
3
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

Favorability  -­‐  Bill  Keating  

Very     Somewhat   Somewhat   Very   Don't  know  /  

        Count   favorable   favorable   unfavorable   unfavorable   Ref  
OVERALL   Overall   400   10%   23%   12%   12%   43%  
Democrat   116   19%   34%   5%   6%   35%  
Republican   61   2%   13%   22%   13%   51%  
PARTY   Unenrolled  /   223   7%   19%   14%   16%   44%  
REGISTRATION   Other  
Male   180   11%   14%   14%   17%   43%  
GENDER   Female   220   9%   30%   11%   8%   42%  
18  to  29   41   16%   12%   11%   11%   50%  
30  to  44   90   4%   25%   10%   3%   58%  
45  to  59   141   7%   23%   17%   15%   38%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   15%   25%   9%   16%   34%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   12%   11%   13%   11%   53%  
49  
Women  age   96   5%   26%   13%   3%   53%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  50+   109   10%   16%   15%   22%   37%  
Women  age   124   13%   33%   9%   12%   33%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   1%   15%   19%   23%   43%  
Bill  Keating   176   21%   35%   3%   3%   38%  
Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  
FINAL  VOTE  
cand.  
PREFERENCE  (WITH  
LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   10%   24%   13%   12%   42%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   3%   15%   18%   24%   40%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   18%   31%   9%   4%   37%  
   

 
4
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

 
Favorability  -­‐  Deval  Patrick  

Very   Somewhat   Somewhat   Very   Don't  know  

        Count   favorable   favorable   unfavorable   unfavorable   /  Ref  
OVERALL   Overall   400   15%   29%   20%   33%   3%  
Democrat   116   25%   39%   10%   24%   2%  
Republican   61   8%   15%   28%   48%   2%  
PARTY   Unenrolled   223   12%   27%   23%   34%   5%  
REGISTRATION   /  Other  
Male   180   16%   22%   18%   39%   6%  
GENDER   Female   220   14%   35%   21%   28%   1%  
18  to  29   41   11%   34%   17%   29%   8%  
30  to  44   90   11%   25%   28%   34%   2%  
45  to  59   141   13%   26%   24%   35%   1%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   22%   33%   10%   32%   4%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   15%   23%   20%   36%   7%  
49  
Women  age   96   10%   32%   26%   31%   1%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  
109   18%   21%   16%   41%   5%  
50+  
Women  age   124   17%   38%   17%   26%   2%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   2%   10%   28%   57%   3%  
Bill  Keating   176   30%   47%   11%   11%   1%  

FINAL  VOTE   Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   X  

cand.  
PREFERENCE  
(WITH  LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   15%   30%   20%   32%   3%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   5%   13%   20%   59%   3%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   27%   42%   17%   13%   1%  
 
   

 
5
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

Favorability  -­‐  Charlie  Baker  

Very   Somewhat   Somewhat   Very   Don't  know  

        Count   favorable   favorable   unfavorable   unfavorable   /  Ref  
OVERALL   Overall   400   19%   29%   18%   14%   20%  
Democrat   116   11%   19%   24%   26%   20%  
Republican   61   35%   35%   8%   0%   21%  
PARTY   Unenrolled   223   19%   33%   18%   11%   19%  
REGISTRATION   /  Other  
Male   180   22%   27%   18%   15%   17%  
GENDER   Female   220   17%   30%   19%   13%   22%  
18  to  29   41   13%   37%   11%   14%   24%  
30  to  44   90   13%   31%   15%   8%   33%  
45  to  59   141   26%   29%   21%   11%   13%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   18%   24%   21%   21%   16%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   16%   30%   19%   14%   21%  
49  
Women  age   96   17%   30%   14%   9%   30%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  
109   27%   25%   18%   15%   14%  
50+  
Women  age   124   17%   29%   22%   17%   15%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   38%   36%   10%   3%   14%  
Bill  Keating   176   2%   22%   26%   26%   25%  
Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  
FINAL  VOTE  
PREFERENCE   cand.  
(WITH  LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   19%   28%   19%   14%   19%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   39%   36%   7%   5%   13%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   7%   22%   27%   24%   20%  
 
 
 
 
   

 
6
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

 
 
Favorability  -­‐  Tim  Cahill  

Very   Somewhat   Somewhat   Very   Don't  know  

        Count   favorable   favorable   unfavorable   unfavorable   /  Ref  
OVERALL   Overall   400   8%   25%   29%   19%   20%  
Democrat   116   10%   25%   26%   18%   20%  
Republican   61   3%   21%   42%   16%   18%  
PARTY   Unenrolled   223   8%   26%   26%   19%   21%  
REGISTRATION   /  Other  
Male   180   5%   25%   28%   22%   20%  
GENDER   Female   220   10%   25%   29%   16%   20%  
18  to  29   41   9%   33%   17%   13%   28%  
30  to  44   90   6%   23%   26%   16%   28%  
45  to  59   141   6%   27%   34%   18%   16%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   10%   21%   30%   23%   16%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   3%   27%   25%   20%   24%  
49  
Women  age   96   10%   25%   25%   13%   26%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  
109   6%   22%   31%   23%   17%  
50+  
Women  age   124   11%   25%   32%   18%   15%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   5%   18%   36%   26%   15%  
Bill  Keating   176   9%   31%   24%   12%   24%  

FINAL  VOTE   Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  

PREFERENCE   cand.  
(WITH  LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   8%   25%   27%   19%   20%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   6%   25%   29%   26%   15%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   8%   25%   31%   15%   20%  
 
   

 
7
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

 
 Favorability  -­‐  The  Tea  Party  

Very   Somewhat   Somewhat   Very   Don't  know  

        Count   favorable   favorable   unfavorable   unfavorable   /  Ref  
OVERALL   Overall   400   17%   22%   17%   26%   17%  
Democrat   116   10%   14%   18%   44%   14%  
Republican   61   27%   35%   15%   8%   15%  
PARTY   Unenrolled   223   18%   24%   18%   21%   20%  
REGISTRATION   /  Other  
Male   180   18%   26%   17%   25%   15%  
GENDER   Female   220   16%   19%   18%   27%   19%  
18  to  29   41   12%   21%   12%   30%   25%  
30  to  44   90   14%   21%   28%   19%   18%  
45  to  59   141   22%   23%   18%   22%   15%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   16%   24%   11%   34%   15%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   10%   24%   23%   27%   15%  
49  
Women  age   96   20%   17%   18%   23%   23%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  
109   23%   28%   13%   23%   14%  
50+  
Women  age   124   14%   21%   17%   31%   17%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   31%   34%   12%   6%   16%  
Bill  Keating   176   3%   11%   20%   48%   18%  

FINAL  VOTE   Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  

cand.  
PREFERENCE  
(WITH  LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   17%   22%   18%   26%   17%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   43%   57%   0%   0%   0%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   0%   0%   40%   60%   0%  
 
 
 
 
   

 
8
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

And  if  the  November  general  election  for  U.S.  Congress  were  held  today,  would  you  vote  for  
Democrat  Bill  Keating,  Republican  Jeff  Perry,  or  some  other  candidate?      
 
If  undecidedǥEven  though  you  say  you  are  undecided,  which  way  do  you  lean  Ȃ  Democrat  Bill  
Keating,  Republican  Jeff  Perry,  or  some  other  candidate?      
 
Initial  preference  (without  leaners)  
Some  other  
        Count   Jeff  Perry   Bill  Keating   candidate   Undecided   Refused  
OVERALL   Overall   400   41%   40%   4%   13%   2%  
Democrat   116   16%   68%   3%   10%   2%  
Republican   61   86%   5%   2%   6%   2%  
PARTY   Unenrolled   223   41%   34%   5%   17%   2%  
REGISTRATION   /  Other  
Male   180   46%   36%   4%   10%   4%  
GENDER   Female   220   36%   44%   4%   16%   0%  
18  to  29   41   24%   55%   4%   17%   0%  
30  to  44   90   41%   35%   2%   17%   5%  
45  to  59   141   48%   35%   6%   10%   1%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   39%   44%   4%   12%   1%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   39%   41%   1%   14%   5%  
49  
Women  age   96   35%   43%   4%   17%   1%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  
109   51%   32%   6%   7%   3%  
50+  
Women  age   124   37%   44%   4%   15%   0%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   93%   0%   0%   7%   0%  
Bill  Keating   176   0%   88%   0%   12%   0%  

FINAL  VOTE   Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  

PREFERENCE   cand.  
(WITH  LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   41%   41%   4%   13%   2%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   71%   15%   4%   7%   3%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   16%   65%   5%   13%   1%  
   

 
9
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

 
Final  vote  preference  (with  leaners)  
Some  other  
        Count   Jeff  Perry   Bill  Keating   candidate   Undecided   Refused  
OVERALL   Overall   400   43%   46%   5%   4%   2%  
Democrat   116   17%   74%   3%   3%   2%  
Republican   61   89%   5%   3%   2%   2%  
PARTY   Unenrolled   223   45%   41%   7%   5%   2%  
REGISTRATION   /  Other  
Male   180   48%   41%   6%   1%   4%  
GENDER   Female   220   39%   50%   5%   6%   0%  
18  to  29   41   27%   64%   7%   2%   0%  
30  to  44   90   44%   44%   2%   4%   5%  
45  to  59   141   51%   37%   6%   4%   1%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   42%   48%   5%   4%   1%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   42%   48%   3%   1%   5%  
49  
Women  age   96   38%   51%   5%   5%   1%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  
109   53%   35%   7%   2%   3%  
50+  
Women  age   124   40%   48%   5%   6%   0%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   100%   0%   0%   0%   0%  
Bill  Keating   176   0%   100%   0%   0%   0%  

FINAL  VOTE   Some  other   21   x   x   x   x   x  

cand.  
PREFERENCE  
(WITH  LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   43%   46%   5%   4%   2%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   73%   16%   5%   3%   3%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   18%   71%   7%   3%   1%  
 
   

 
10
MassINC Polling Group October 18, 2010

As  you  may  know,  Question  3  on  the  November  ballot  is  a  proposal  to  reduce  the  Massachusetts  state  
sales  tax  from  six  point  two  five  percent  to  three  percent.  If  the  election  were  being  held  today,  would  
you  vote  Dz›‡•dz–‘”‡†—…‡–Š‡•ƒŽ‡•–ƒš–‘͵’‡”…‡–ǡ‘”™‘—Ž†›‘—˜‘–‡Dz‘dz–‘‡‡’–Š‡•ƒŽ‡•–ƒšƒ–•‹š
point  two  five  percent?  
 
 Vote  on  Question  3  
   
Yes,  vote  to   No,  vote  to  
reduce  the   keep  the  
sales  tax  to   sales  tax  at  
        Count   3%   6.25%   Don't  know   Refused  
OVERALL   Overall   400   49%   43%   7%   1%  
Democrat   116   36%   53%   9%   2%  
Republican   61   66%   29%   5%   0%  
PARTY   Unenrolled   223   52%   41%   7%   0%  
REGISTRATION   /  Other  
Male   180   54%   40%   6%   1%  
GENDER   Female   220   46%   45%   9%   0%  
18  to  29   41   48%   37%   16%   0%  
30  to  44   90   52%   38%   9%   1%  
45  to  59   141   52%   43%   4%   0%  
AGE  CATEGORIES   60+   128   44%   48%   6%   1%  
Men  age  18-­‐ 71   54%   37%   8%   1%  
49  
Women  age   96   51%   38%   11%   0%  
18-­‐40  
Men  age  
109   53%   43%   4%   0%  
50+  
Women  age   124   41%   50%   8%   1%  
AGE  AND  GENDER   50+  
Jeff  Perry   179   67%   25%   7%   0%  
Bill  Keating   176   32%   62%   6%   1%  

FINAL  VOTE   Some  other   21   x   x   x   x  

PREFERENCE   cand.  
(WITH  LEANERS)   Undecided   16   x   x   x   x  
White  /   378   49%   43%   8%   0%  
Caucasian  
RACE   All  others   22   x   x   x   x  
Favorable   158   73%   19%   8%   1%  
FAV  -­‐  TEA  PARTY   Unfavorable   174   30%   66%   4%   0%  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
About  the  Poll  
 

These  results  are  based  on  a  poll  of  400  likely  voters  in  the  Massachusetts  10th  Congressional  District,  conducted  
October  13-­‐15,  2010  by  The  MassINC  Polling  Group.    Live  telephone  interviews  were  conducted  via  both  
landline  and  cell  phone.    The  margin  of  sampling  error  is  +/-­‐  4.9  percent  with  a  95  percent  level  of  confidence.      

 
11