التحليل الإحصائي للمتغيرات المتعددة باستخدام برنامج SPSS PDF

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‫‪MANOVA‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪o‬‬
‫‪ANCOVA‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪o‬‬
‫‪MANCOVA‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪o‬‬
‫‪Correlation Analysis‬‬ ‫(‬ ‫–א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪o‬‬
‫‪Regression Analysis‬‬ ‫(‬ ‫–א‬ ‫א )א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪o‬‬
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@@
Two – Way ANOVA µçb¤a@À@ð†byþa åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Zbîãbq
، ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :òß‡Ôß

: .
@À@Òýn‚üa@óÜÇ µÜÔn¾a@åíÌn¾a@µi@(Þ†bjn¾a@qdnÛa@ëc)@ÝÇbÐnÛa@Ýçb¤@òÛby@À @Z¶ëþa@òÛbä

@ @Z(1)ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a
:ïÜàÇ Þbrß
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
:( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
Fiat Cetrion BMW Mercedes
95 110 155 160 80
105 140 145 140 90
85 145 165 170 96
.‫ ﺃﻱ ﻧﻜﺘﻔﻲ ﺑﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﺗﺄﺛﲑ ﻛﻞ ﻣﺘﻐﲑ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﺑﺼﻮﺭﺓ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻠﺔ‬1
18
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @ZlìÜ¾a
:( ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
.( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
.‫؟‬٪ 95
:µçb¤a@À@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@òÛby@À@òîöb—ya@ë‹ÐÛa@ÝØ’
:[( ‫@א‬ @ @ ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫@א‬ ]@Þëþa@êb¤üa ♦
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Z:[@( ‫) @א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫@א‬ ] ïãbrÛa@êb¤üa ♦
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:pbãbîjÛa@Þb‚†g
: 3 ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ )
19
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬

.( ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬
GLM Linear Model ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫( א‬1

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Univariate.. ‫א‬
20
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

Dependent ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [y] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
. Variable:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫[ א‬x2] [x1] ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ◘

.Fixed Factor(s):
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Model ‫א‬ ◘
21
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
.Full factorial Custom ‫ א‬.

Factors & ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ x2 ‫ א‬x1 ‫א‬ .
.Model ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Covariates
. Interaction Main effects ‫א‬ .

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Continue ‫א‬ .
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ok ‫א‬ (1
22
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ :b@äç Åyýí

‫א‬ ‫ א‬، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
: ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

(0.007) P.Value ‫א‬ .
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א א‬، (0.05) ‫א‬
(0.559) P.Value ‫א‬ .

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א א‬، (0.05) ‫א‬
23
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
ANOVA ‫א‬
( )
P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
0.007 11.409 2479.861 3 7439.583 ‫א‬
)
( ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
0.559 0.642 139.583 2 279.167 ‫א‬
)
( ‫א‬
* * 217.361 6 1304.167 ‫א‬
* * * 11 9022.917 ‫א‬
@ @ZµÜÔn¾a@åíÌn¾a@µi@Þ†bjn¾a@qdnÛa@ëc@ÝÇbÐnÛa@ŠbjnÇüa@À@‰‚þa@òÛby@À :ZòîãbrÛa@òÛbä
@ @Z:ïÜàÇ@Þbrß
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
24
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @ïÈßbu @ @Áìnß @ @ðìãbq @ @ïöa‡nia @ @ïßc @ @æbîi
130 130 125 110 100 @ @lÇc

@ @ÝuŠ
140 120 115 115 120 @ @xënß
135 125 104 95 111 @ @lÇc

@ @órãc
122 100 88 107 110 @ @xënß
@ @ZlìÜ¾a
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫)א‬ Educational Level ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
.( ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫)א‬ Marital status ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
.( ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
.(Educational Level * Marital status) ‫א‬
.‫؟‬٪ 95
@ @@Zµçb¤a@À@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@òÛby@À@òîöb—ya@ë‹ÐÛa@ÝØ’
:( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ )@Þëþa@êb¤üa ♦
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
25
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
:( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ )@ïãbrÛa@êb¤üa ♦
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
@ @ZHòîÇbànuüa@òÛbä@ë@ïàîÜÈnÛa@ôìn¾aI@µÜÔn¾a åíÌn¾a@µi@ÝÇbÐnÛa ♦
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬:(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬:(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:bäç Åyü
‫א‬ ‫א‬ − ‫א‬ −

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:pbãbîjÛa Þb‚†g
26
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
(Variable View) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

: (Label) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
27
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
GLM Linear Model ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (1

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Univariate .. ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ Dependent Variable [y] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
. Dependent Variable: ‫א‬
Educational Level [x1] ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ .
Fixed ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Marital status [x2] ‫א‬
.Factor(s):
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Model ‫א‬ .
28
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

Full factorial .
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ok ‫א‬ (2
: ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬

29
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫) (‬
‫‪P.Value‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫‪0.048‬‬ ‫‪3.539‬‬ ‫‪434.2‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪1736.8‬‬ ‫א‬
‫)א‬
‫(‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫‪0.584‬‬ ‫‪0.319‬‬ ‫‪39.2‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪39.2‬‬ ‫א‬
‫)א‬
‫(‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫‪0.360‬‬ ‫‪1.224‬‬ ‫‪150.2‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪600.8‬‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫*‬ ‫*‬ ‫‪122.7‬‬ ‫‪10‬‬ ‫‪1227‬‬ ‫א‬
‫*‬ ‫*‬ ‫*‬ ‫‪19‬‬ ‫‪3603.8‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪@ @ZÕîÜÈnÛa‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪30‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
0.048 P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א א‬،0.05 ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
0.584 P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א א‬،0.05 ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ − – .

‫א‬ 0.360 P.Value ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א א‬،0.05
@ @Zòßbç òÃìzÜß
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

(F ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
‫א‬ .( (Error) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. (Main effects) ‫א‬
‫א‬ : ‫א‬ :å@ íäjÛa@Êìãë@ñŠbîÛa@Êìã@qdni@™b©a@Þbr¾a@À@ZýràÏ

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @Zpaì©a
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (2) ، (1) ‫א א‬ (1
31
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (2

.Full factorial ‫ א‬.
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Continue ‫א‬ .
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Ok ‫א‬ (3
. ‫א‬ ،(F)
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ . (Error) ‫א‬
32
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Full Custom [Univariate:Model] (1) ‫א‬

.Main effects ،factorial
@@
@ @N – Way ANOVA@ êb¤a (æ)@À@ð†byþa@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@ZbrÛbq
"" ، ‫א‬ : ‫" "א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : òß‡Ôß

: − – . ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
ZòÜÔn¾a@paÌn¾a@µi@HÞ†bjn¾a@qdnÛa@ëcI@ÝÇbÐnÛa@Ýçb¤@òÛby@À@Z¶ëþa@òÛbä
@ @ZïÜàÇ@Þbrß
‫ א‬،( − ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ،( – ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،( – )
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @ò–b‚@òÈßbu @ @òîßìØy@òÈßbu
@ @pbjÛb @ @lý @ @pbjÛb @ @lý
14 4 9 12 17 12 6 6
10 11 5 13 10 14 4 5
13 16 6 6 9 8 5 7
ZlìÜ¾a
33
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

:( ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ .
.( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫( )א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ .
‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
. ‫ ؟‬٪ 95 ،( ‫א‬
æ
@ @@ Zêb¤a@H I@À@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@òÛby@À@òîöb—ya@ë‹ÐÛa@ÝØ’
:(™b‚ − âbÇ) òîØÜ¾a Êìã Ìnß :Þëþa êb¤üa ♦
‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
:(ÊìäÛa) ä§a ÝßbÇ :ïãbrÛa êb¤üa ♦
‫א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
‫א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
:Šì›ä óÜÇ òjÃaì¾a ÝßbÇ :sÛbrÛa êb¤üa ♦
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
34
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
@ @ZpbãbîjÛa@Þb‚†g

35
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

Dependent ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ y ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
. Variable:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ [ x3 ، x2 ، x1] ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
.Fixed Factor(s): ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Model ‫א‬ ◘
36
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [ x3 ، x2 ، x1] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
.Model ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Factors & Covariates

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ok ‫א‬ (2
: ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
37
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫) (‬
‫‪P.Value‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫‪0.340‬‬ ‫‪0.957‬‬ ‫‪10.667‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪10.667‬‬ ‫)‬ ‫א‬
‫(‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫‪0.004‬‬ ‫‪10.905‬‬ ‫‪121.500‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪121.500‬‬
‫א‬
‫(‬ ‫)א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬
‫‪0.718‬‬ ‫‪0.135‬‬ ‫‪1.500‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪1.500‬‬ ‫)א א‬
‫(‬ ‫א‬
‫*‬ ‫*‬ ‫‪11.142‬‬ ‫‪20‬‬ ‫‪222.833‬‬ ‫א‬
‫*‬ ‫*‬ ‫*‬ ‫‪23‬‬ ‫‪356.500‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:ÕîÜÈnÛa‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪P.Value‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬
‫א‬ ‫‪ ،0.05‬א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪0.340‬‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪38‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
P.Value ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ .

‫א‬ ‫ א א‬،0.05 ‫א‬ 0.004
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ .
‫ א‬،0.05 ‫א‬ 0.718 P.Value
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
@ @ZòÜÔn¾a@paÌn¾a@µi@(Þ†bjn¾a@qdnÛa@ëc)@ÝÇbÐnÛa@ŠbjnÇüa@À@‰‚þa@òÛby@À ZòîãbrÛa@òÛbä
@ @ZïÜàÇ@Þbrß
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬

: ‫א‬
:paì©a
Full factorial ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Custom ‫א‬
39
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬

‫)‪.(0.05‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪P.Value‬‬
‫‪ZÒýn‚üa@Š‡—ß‬‬
‫)‪،( 1‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫)‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א (‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪ 1‬ﻳﺸﺘﺮﻁ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺪﺩ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺃﻭ ﺍﳊﺎﻻﺕ ﺍﳌﻤﺜﻠﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﺃﻛﱪ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻭ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ ‪ 3‬ﺣﺎﻻﺕ‪ ،‬ﲟﻌﲎ ﺍﻧﻪ‬
‫ﻟﻮ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺗﺄﺛﲑﻩ ﺍﳌﻌﻨﻮﻱ ﻭﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺛﻨﺎﺋﻲ ﺍﳊﺎﻻﺕ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻷﺑﻌﺎﺩ‪ ،‬ﰲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﻟـﺔ ﻻ ﻧﻜـﻮﻥ ﰲ‬
‫ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﺭﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺜﻨﺎﺋﻴﺔ‪.‬‬
‫‪40‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
@ @sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@ @†‡Èn¾a@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
Multivariate Analysis of Variance
(MANOVA)
41
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪42‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
MANOVA †‡Èn¾a@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
@@
@ @sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@ @†‡Èn¾a@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
@ @Multivariate Analysis of Variance @@
(MANOVA)
@@
@ @Zòß‡Ôß
MANOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬،
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫" "א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Two-Way MANOVA
: ‫א‬
o One-Way MANOVA
o N-Way MANOVA
43
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa‬‬
‫(‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:ZÞbrß‬‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪3‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬
‫(‪.‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫)‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫‪X1‬‬
‫(‬ ‫)א‬ ‫‪:‬א‬ ‫‪X2‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫‪Y1‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫‪Y2‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫‪Y3‬‬
‫‪@ @ZlìÜ¾a‬‬
‫‪44‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

: ، ٪5 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬ ‫) א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .1

@ @. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬ ‫) א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬.2
@µi@HÞ†bjn¾a@qdnÛa@ëcI@ÝÇbÐnÛa@ŠbjnÇüa@À@‰‚þa@â‡Ç@ëc@Ýçb¤@òÛby@À :¶ëþa@òÛbä
@ @ZòÜÔn¾a@paÌn¾a
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@µi ë@ @[(x2) (x1)] ò@ ÜÔn¾a@paÌn¾a@µi@òÓýÈÛbi@ò–b©a@ë‹ÐÛa @á›m@Z¶
@ ëþa@òÇìàa
@ @Z Hy1I Þëþa@ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a
:Hy1I ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x1) Þëþa ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .1
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
:Hy1I ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x2) ïãbrÛa ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .2
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
@ i ë@[(x2) (x1)] ò@ ÜÔn¾a@paÌn¾a@µi@òÓýÈÛbi@ò–b©a@ë‹ÐÛa@á›m @Zò@ îãbrÛa@òÇìàa
µ
@ @:(y2) ïãbrÛa ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a
45
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
:(y2) ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x1) Þëþa ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .1

‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
:(y2) ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x2) ïãbrÛa ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .2
‫א א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
@ i ë@[(x2) (x1)]@ò@ ÜÔn¾a@paÌn¾a@µi@òÓýÈÛbi@ò–b©a@ë‹ÐÛa@á›m :òrÛbrÛa òÇìàa
µ
@ @:(y3) sÛbrÛa ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a
:(y3) sÛbrÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x1) Þëþa ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .1
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
:(y3) ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x2) ïãbrÛa ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .2
‫א א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
46
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Zpaì©a
:pbãbîjÛa Þb‚†g (1
Linear Model GLM ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (2

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Multivariate .. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
47
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (y1 , y2, y3) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ .
. Dependent Variables:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ [ א‬x2 ، x1] ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ .
.Fixed Factor(s):
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Model ‫א‬ .
48
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

Factors ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [ x2 ، x1] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
.Model ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ & Covariates
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ok ‫א‬ (3
@ @ZÞëa‡§a@åß@µÇìã@pbu‹ƒ¾a@òzÐ–@åà›nm
: ‫א‬ :Multivariate Tests ‫א‬ :Þëþa Þë‡§a
49
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫( א‬4) ‫אא‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

Pillai's Trace ‫ א‬.1
Wilks' Lambda ‫ א‬.2
Hotelling' s Trace ‫ א‬.3
Roy's Largest Root ‫ א‬.4
Wilks' ‫א‬ − ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) Lambda
50
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

.( ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

P.Value ‫א‬ Wilks'
Lambda
‫א‬
0.002 7.925 0.387 X1
0.028 4.028 0.554 X2
@ @ZÕîÜÈnÛa
P.Value : ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ .Hx2, x1I ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ (0.05) ‫א‬
، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
( ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: Tests of Between-Subjects Effects ‫א‬ :ïãbrÛa Þë‡§a

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
51
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
: ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
NHy1I@Þëþa@ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a@óÜÇ@Hx2, x1I@qdnÛ@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Þë‡u N1
@HÒI@òàîÓ @Áìnß @Êìàª

P.Value @ @òiìa pbÈi‹¾a
òí‹ä@pbuŠ†
pbÈi‹¾a
åíbjnÛa@Š‡—ß
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.001 16.769 1.740 1 1.740 (x1) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.015 7.327 0.760 1 0.760 (x2) ‫א‬
** ** 0.104 17 1.765 ‫א‬
** ** ** 19 4.265 ‫א‬
52
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
: ‫א‬ Z
( y 1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

‫א‬ .٪5 ‫א‬ 0.001 P.Value
. ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
(y1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

.٪5 ‫א‬ 0.015 P.Value
:Hy2I@ïãbrÛa@ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a@óÜÇ@Hx2, x1I@qdnÛ@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Þë‡u N2

P.Value @ @òiìa pbÈi‹¾a
òí‹ä@pbuŠ†
pbÈi‹¾a
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.017 6.969 1.301 1 1.301 (x1) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.088 3.282 0.612 1 0.612 (x2) ‫א‬
** ** 0.187 17 3.172 ‫א‬
** ** ** 19 5.085 ‫א‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
: ‫א‬
53
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
(y2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

.٪5 ‫א‬ 0.017 P.Value
( y 2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

.٪5 ‫א‬ 0.088 P.Value
:Hy3I@sÛbrÛa@ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a@óÜÇ@Hx2, x1I@qdnÛ@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Þë‡u N3
@HÒI@òàîÓ @Áìnß @pbuŠ† @Êìàª

P.Value @ @òiìa pbÈi‹¾a òí‹ä pbÈi‹¾a
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.751 0.104 0.421 1 0.421 (x1) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.287 1.209 4.900 1 4.900 (x2) ‫א‬
** ** 4.052 17 68.885 ‫א‬
** ** ** 19 74.206 ‫א‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
: ‫א‬
(y3) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

.٪5 ‫א‬ 0.751 P.Value
54
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
(y3) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

.٪5 ‫א‬ 0.287 P.Value
@paÌn¾a@µi@HÞ@ †bjn¾a@qdnÛa@ëcI@ÝÇbÐnÛa@ŠbjnÇüa@À@‰‚þa@òÛby@À@Zò@ îãbrÛa@òÛbä

@ @ZòÜÔn¾a
@ @Z:òîöb—ya ë‹ÐÛa
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬

: ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:Hy1I ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a@óÜÇ@Þ†bjn¾a@qdnÛa@ëc@ÝÇbÐnÛa@qdm .1
(X1 , X2) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
(X1 , X2) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
(X1 , X2) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
(X1 , X2) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
55
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
(X1 , X2) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
(X1 , X2) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
@ @Zòßbç@òÃìzÜß
‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
X2 X1 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬.‫ﺃ‬

X3 X1 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬.‫ﺏ‬
X2 X3 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬.‫ﺝ‬
@ @ X3 X2 X1 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬.‫ﺩ‬
@ @Zpaì©a
Multivariate: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
،Custom ‫א‬ Full factorial ‫א‬ Model
: ‫א‬
56
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
،ok ‫ א‬. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Continue ‫א‬

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @ZwöbnäÛa@Íí‹Ðm
57
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
‫א‬
Wilks' Lambda
P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

Wilks'
Lambda
0.003 7.554 0.382 X1
0.025 4.256 0.523 X2
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.302 1.339 0.777
X1*X2
@ @ZÕîÜÈnÛa
‫א‬ P.Value : ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ . Hx2, x1I ‫א א‬ (0.05)
‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(0.05) ‫א‬ P.Value
58
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:
NHy1I@Þëþa@ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a@óÜÇ@Hx2, x1I@qdnÛ@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Þë‡u N4
:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫ א‬، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
59
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa

P.Value òí‹ä@pbuŠ† åíbjnÛa@Š‡—ß
@ @òiìa pbÈi‹¾a pbÈi‹¾a
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.001 15.787 1.7405 1 1.7405 (x1) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.018 6.898 0.7605 1 0.7605 (x2) ‫א‬
‫א‬
0.947 0.005 0.0005 1 0.0005 ‫א‬
( x2, x1)
** ** 0.11025 16 1.764 ‫א‬
** ** ** 17 4.2655 ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ Z:ÕîÜÈnÛa
(x2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫( א‬x1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

‫א‬ ‫א‬ P.Value (y1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .٪5
. ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬ )
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ − – ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

0.947 P.Value (y1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( x2, x1)
.٪5 ‫א‬
:Hy2I@ïãbrÛa@ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a@óÜÇ@Hx2, x1I@qdnÛ@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Þë‡u N5
60
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.012 7.918 1.3005 1 1.3005 (x1) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.071 3.729 0.6125 1 0.6125 (x2) ‫א‬
‫א‬
0.087 3.315 0.5445 1 0.5445 ‫א‬
( x2, x1)
** ** 0.16425 16 2.628 ‫א‬
** ** ** 19 5.0855 ‫א‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
: ‫א‬
( y 1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

‫א‬ ‫א‬ .٪5 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ P.Value
. ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ − – ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

( y 1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( x2, x1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫( א‬x2)
.٪5 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ P.Value
:Hy3I@sÛbrÛa@ÉibnÛa@Ìn¾a@óÜÇ@Hx2, x1I@qdnÛ@åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Þë‡u N6
61
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
sÛbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa

‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.752 0.1036 0.4205 1 0.4205
(x1)
‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.288 1.2077 4.9005 1 4.9005
(x2)
‫א‬
‫א‬
0.338 0.9760 3.9605 1 3.9605
( x2, x1)
** ** 4.05775 16 64.924 ‫א‬
** ** ** 19 74.2055 ‫א‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
: ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( x2, x1) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫( א‬x2) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ P.Value ، (y 3) ‫א‬
.٪5 ‫א‬
‫א‬ :é@ ãc@æbîjÛa@åÇ@Ë
. ‫א‬
62
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @Éia‹Ûa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@ @@ð†byþa@‹íbÌnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
Analysis of Covariance
(ANCOVA)
63
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪64‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
ANCOVA ð†byþa ‹íbÌnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
@@
@ @Éia‹Ûa@Ý—ÐÛa
ð†byþa ‹íbÌnÛa@ÝîÜ¥ @@
@@
Analysis of Covariance @@
@@
(ANCOVA) @@
:òß‡Ôß
‫א‬ ANCOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،

‫א‬ .( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ ) א‬ANOVA ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( ) ‫א‬ ANCOVA
.(1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @ZïÜàÇ@Þbrß
‫א‬:l
@ ìÜ¾a ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א א‬
، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
. ٪5
،Control Variable ‫א‬ ‫א‬ 1
Covariates
65
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Éia‹Ûa@Ý—ÐÛa
òí‰†äØ⁄a@òÈßbu ð…aìÛa@lìäu@òÈßbu @ @ñŠçbÔÛa@òÈßbu
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
(x) (x) (x)
(Y) (Y) (Y)
3 0.66 12 0.75 15 0.70
6 0.25 18 0.82 11 0.65
18 0.79 5 0.40 8 0.50
20 0.94 14 0.65 16 0.60
14 0.74 * * 15 0.55
* * * * 18 0.90
@ @Zòîöb—ya@ë‹ÐÛa
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
66
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @Šbjn‚üa@‰îÐäm@paì‚

67
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

Dependent ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [y] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
. Variable:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Treatment ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘

.Fixed Factor(s):
.Covariate(s) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [X] ‫א‬ ◘
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Ok ‫א‬ (2
68
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
P.Value ( )
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
0.616 0.506 7.521 2 14.503 ‫א‬
* * 14.325 11 157.578 ‫א‬
* * * 13 172.081 ‫א‬
@ @ZÕîÜÈnÛa
69
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬

P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א א‬،0.05 ‫א‬ 0.616
:òÃìzÜß
One-Way ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬ ANCOVA
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

:
o Two-Way ANCOVA
o N-Way ANCOVA
70
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
ßb©a@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
†‡Èn¾a@‹íbÌnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
Multivariate Analysis of Covariance
(MANCOVA)
71
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪72‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
MANCOVA †‡Èn¾a ‹íbÌnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
@@
@ @ßb©a@@Ý—ÐÛa
@
†‡Èn¾a ‹íbÌnÛa@ÝîÜ¥
Multivariate Analysis of Covariance @@
(MANCOVA)
@@
@ @Zòß‡Ôß
MANOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬ MANCOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫) א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( ) ‫א‬ MANCOVA
.(1) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
:Þbrß
‫א‬ ‫ א‬: ‫א‬، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
. ٪5 ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
،Control Variable ‫א‬ ‫א‬ 1
Covariates
73
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @ò–b©a@pbÈßb§a òîßìØä pbÈßb§a
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א א‬ ‫א א‬
16 11 3 13 15 5
12 13 4 7 18 6
5 17 2 16 10 4
7 6 1 14 11 7
3 2 4 18 7 6
11 7 3 6 14 4
14 4 2 15 6 2
8 17 2 14 4 4
@ @Zòîöb—ya@ë‹ÐÛa
:(y1) ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x1) ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .1

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
74
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬

.
:(y2) ÉibnÛa Ìn¾a óÜÇ (x1) ÝÔn¾a Ìn¾a qdm .2

‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
75
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Linear Model GLM ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (1

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Multivariate .. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (y1 , y2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
. Dependent Variables:
Fixed ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [x1] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
.Factor(s):
Covariate(s): ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ cov1 ‫א‬ ◘
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ok ‫א‬ (2
76
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ P.Value (y1, y2)
.٪5
77
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪ßb©a@Ý—ÐÛa‬‬
‫‪78‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‘†bÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
ÂbjmŠüa ÝîÜ¥
Correlation Analysis
79
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪80‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
Correlation Analysis ÂbjmŠüa@ÝîÜ¥
@ @‘†bÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@ @ÂbjmŠüa@ÝîÜ¥ @@
@@
@Correlation Analysis
@@
@ @Zòß‡Ôß
( ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

،(1−) , (1+) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬ ‫ א‬،
‫א‬ (−) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ (+) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
@ @:ÂbjmŠüa@ÝßbÈ¾@îíbÔß@òqýq@SPSS@wßbã‹i@â‡Ôí@LòßbÇ@òÐ—i
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :Pearson æ@ ìi@ÂbjmŠa@ÝßbÈß .1

. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ : Spearman's rho@k

@ m‹ÜÛ@æbßj@ÂbjmŠa@ÝßbÈß .2
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ :Kendall's tau km‹ÜÛ@Þ

@ a‡ä×@ÝßbÈß .3
.
@ @ZÂbjmŠüa@ÝßbÈß@òíìäÈß@Šbjn‚a
81
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @ZµÏ‹ @åß@Šbjn‚üa@òÛby@À .1
H0 : ρ = 0
H1 : ρ ≠ 0
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :( H 0 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :( H 1 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
Z‡yaë@Ò‹ @åß@Šbjn‚üa@òÛby@À .2
‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
H0 : ρ ≤ 0
H1 : ρ f 0
‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
H0 : ρ ≥ 0
H1 : ρ p 0
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :[ 1] Þbrß

:lìÜ¾a
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
82
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫ א‬−
. ‫א‬ o
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ o
.٪5
Šb‚†üa Ý‚‡Ûa
15 100
10 120
30 150
40 180
45 200
20 210
80 190
50 400
100 250
60 350
90 600
@@
: ‫א‬
83
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @Z:paì©a
ZµÏ‹ @åß@Šbjn‚üa@òÛby@À@Züëc
Bivariate ‫ א‬Correlate ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (1

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،..
84
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (income, savings) ‫ א‬−
. Variables:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
.( ) Pearson
Two- ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
.( ) tailed
. ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Ok ‫א‬ (2
@@
@ @ZbèîÜÇ ÕîÜÈnÛaë@wöbnäÛa@Íí‹Ðm
p-value ÂbjmŠüa@ÝßbÈß
0.043 0.617
85
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
.(0.617+) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬

،٪4.3 0.043 P.Value − –
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪ 5 ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.
@ @Z‡yaë@Ò‹ @åß@Šbjn‚üa@òÛby@À@Zbîãbq
‫א‬ ‫ אא‬، ‫אא‬ ‫א‬

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
H0 : ρ ≤ 0
H1 : ρ f 0
@ @Zpaì©a
One – tailed ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ (1
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Two – tailed
86
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
. ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Ok (2
:ÕîÜÈnÛaë@wöbnäÛa@Íí‹Ðm
@ @p-value @ @ÂbjmŠüa@ÝßbÈß
0.021 0.617
،٪2.1 0.021 P.Value : ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪ 5 ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
[2] Þbrß
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،
87
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @õb—ya@ñ†bß@pa‹í‡Ôm @ @òjba@ñ†bß@pa‹í‡Ôm
‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
:lìÜ¾a
. ‫א‬ −
.( ) ‫א‬ ‫ א‬−
. ٪5
88
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ @ @‹í‡ÔnÛa
1 2 3 4 5 6 @ @†ìØÛa
:paì©a
‫א‬ Correlate ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (1
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Bivariate ..
89
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (account, stat) ‫א‬ −
. Variables:
‫א‬ ). Pearson ‫א‬ −
(
Spearman ‫א‬ −
Two- ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
. tailed
. ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Ok ‫א‬ (2
90
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
0.027 0.692 −
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
– .(0.692−) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ،٪2.7 0.027 P.Value −
‫א‬ − ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪5
.
91
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Correlation Matrix ÂbjmŠüa@òÏìÐ—ß

. ‫א‬
:[3] Þbrß
: ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ lìÜ¾a
X4 X3 X2 X1
24 10 35 12
18 8 20 20
10 5 45 15
6 14 60 4
16 12 33 11
17 11 50 14
11 15 36 25
10 18 25 16
15 20 44 14
45 15 12 18
25 4 15 24
33 11 15 14
92
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
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ZpbãbîjÛa@Þb‚†g
:paì©a

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Bivariate ..
93
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (X1 , X2 , X3 , X 4) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
.Variables
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Person ‫א‬ −
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
– – ‫א‬ ، Two-tailed ‫א‬ −
‫א‬ ‫( א‬Sig. ) P.Value
. ‫א‬
Output ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ . OK ‫א‬ (2

: ‫א‬
94
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: wöbnäÛa@Íí‹Ðm
‫א א‬
P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬
0.042 0.594 − (X2) (X1)
0.483 0.225 − (X3) (X1)
0.450 0.241 (X4) (X1)
0.573 0.181 (X3) (X2)
0.007 0.728 − (X4) (X2)
0.750 0.103 − (X4) (X3)
95
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
(X4) (X2) (X2) (X1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

P.Value ‫א‬ ، ٪5 ‫א‬ P.Value
‫א‬ ،٪5 ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Partial Correlation ïö§a@ÂbjmŠüa
) ‫א‬ ( ) ‫א‬ : ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .(
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
:( 4) Þbrß
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬: (1) ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
96
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @ñ‹þa@À@õbäiþa@†‡Ç @ @Šb‚†üa @ @Ý‚‡Ûa
2 15 100
1 10 120
2 30 150
2 40 180
3 45 200
5 20 210
4 80 190
2 50 400
1 100 250
3 60 350
1 90 600
97
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @Zpaì©a

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Partial ..
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (income, savings) ‫ א‬−
Variables:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ children ‫א‬ −
Controlling for
. ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Ok ‫א‬ (2
98
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
0.065 0.6022
– ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ – ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @Zñ‚c@òÃìzÜß
‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫ א‬. ، ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
99
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪‘†bÛa@Ý—ÐÛa‬‬
‫‪100‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
ÉibÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@ @ÁîjÛa@óİä@‰a†−üa@ÝîÜ¤
@ @Simple Linear Regression Analysis
101
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪102‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
ÁîjÛa@ï©a@Ša‡®üa@ÝîÜ¥
@ @ÁîjÛa@ó©a@Ša‡®üa@ÝîÜ¥@
@Simple Linear Regression Analysis
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ − ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: − ‫( א‬ ‫)א‬
Simple Regression Models ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
Multiple – Regression Models ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
:ÁîjÛa@ó©a@Ša‡®üa@xˆb¹ :Þëþa@ÊìäÛa
‫א‬ ( Y) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ،(X)
Y = B0 + B1 X
@ @Z†‡Èn¾a@ó©a@Ša‡®üa@xˆb¹@Z@óãbrÛa@ÊìäÛa
،(X’s) (Y) ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
Y = B0 + B1 X 1 + B2 X 2 + B3 X 3 + ............ + Bk X k
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : (k )
:Ša‡®a@xˆì¹@ÕîÏìm@paì‚
103
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

، ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
:
:òí‹ÄäÛa@Âë‹“Ûa@Zü ëc
@áØ±@ ð‰Ûa@ô‹ÄäÛa@‘bþa@Éß@ Ša‡®üa@pýßbÈß@áîÓë@paŠb’g@ HòîÔäß@ ëcI@ ÖbÐma (1

:òaŠ‡Ûa@Ý«@ñ‹çbÄÛa
، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،

– ‫א‬ ‫א‬ − ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:xˆìàäÜÛ@òíÐnÛa@ñŠ‡ÔÛa@HòíbÐ×@ëcI@ÞìjÓ (2
104
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
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‫‪ÁîjÛa@ï©a@Ša‡®üa@ÝîÜ¥‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:Ša‡®üa@xˆìàäÛ@òíÐnÛa@ñŠ‡ÔÛbi‬‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬

‫‪،‬‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫‪٪40 ٪30‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫‪٪60‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬
‫‪.‬‬
‫‪@ @Zòîšbí‹Ûa@Âë‹“Ûa@Zbîãbq‬‬
‫‪:‬‬
‫‪:Ša‡®üa@xˆìàäÛ@òîÜØÛa@òíìäÈ¾a (1‬‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫) ( ]‪.[F- test‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫(‬ ‫א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫؟‪.‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪105‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬
‫א‬ : ‫א א א‬ ‫א‬
.( ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:xˆìàäÜÛ òîö§a òíìäÈ¾a (2

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
T - )] .‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،
.[(test
.Ša‡®üa@xˆì¹@bÈß@‹í‡Ôm@À@òß‡ƒn¾a@òÔí‹Ûa@Âë‹’@‹Ïaìm@ô‡ß (3
.OLS ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬
: ‫א‬
:Normality Test ïÓaìjÜÛ@ïÛbànyüa@ÉíŒìnÛa@òîÛa‡nÇa −

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،( ) ( ) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
106
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

.(1) 30 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:ïÓaìjÜÛ ïma‰Ûa ÞýÔnüa −

‫א‬ ،‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
(F) ، (T) ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
‫א א א‬ ، ‫א‬ (R2) ،
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:Homoscedasticity (åíbjnÛa pbjq Šbjn‚a) ïÓaìjÛa ãb¤ Šbjn‚g −

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬
.(2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬، biased
:òÔibÛa@Âë‹“Ûa@Õîjm@òîÐî×@òîÜàÈÛa@òÜrßþbi@|šìäë
:Þbrß
1
Palta, Mari, (2003)," Quantitative Methods in population health:
Extensions of ordinary regression", Wiley – IEEE, p 6.
2
Berk, Richard A., (2003)," Regression analysis: a constructive critique", Sage
publications Inc., p 144.
107
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
Úýènüa Ý‚‡Ûa
127 158
130 160
129 175
125 157
115 130
119 150
121 152
124 162
97 125
92 115
85 125
114 145
118 140
110 142
119 140
104 138
102 126
:lìÜ¾a
.‫ ؟‬٪5 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:paì©a
108
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ (1
‫א‬ Regression ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (2

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Linear ‫א‬
109
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Consumption [y] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
. Respondent
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Income (x) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
. Independent(s)
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Statistics ‫א‬ (3
110
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

] ،Durbin – Watson .
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. [Residuals ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

Model Fit Estimates ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬.
.
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Continue ‫א‬ .
Save ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (4

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
111
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ Unstandardized .
Predicted Values
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ standardized .
Residuals
‫א‬ Plots ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (5

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
112
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ Normal probability plot .
. Standardized Residual Plots
،ok ‫ א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (6

: ،‫א‬ ‫א‬
Durbin-Watson Šbjn‚a@ïöb—ygë@‡í‡znÛa@ÝßbÈß@Þë‡u .1
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
113
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ :R (

.( ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ :R Square (
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :Adjusted R Square (
‫א‬ ‫ א‬:Std. Error of the Estimate (
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
.(1)(MSE)
( ‫– א‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ :Durbin-Watson (
. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:ANOVA åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Þë‡u .2
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

.‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :Model (
. ‫א‬ :Sum of Squares (
. ‫א‬ MSE 1
114
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
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. ‫א‬ :df (
. ‫א‬ :Mean Square (
. ‫) (א‬ :F (
‫א‬ ‫א‬، P.Value ‫א‬ :Sig (

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:Ša‡®üa@pýßbÈß@Þë‡u .3
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫ א‬:Unstandardized Coefficients (
) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Constant ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(Std. Error) ‫א‬
‫)א‬ Standardized Coefficients (
.( ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫) (א‬ :t (
115
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫ ]א‬P.Value ‫א‬ :Sig (

.[( ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ïÈîàvnÛa@Þbànyüaë@‡çb“¾a@ïÈîàvnÛa@Þbànyüa@µi@òÓýÈÜÛ@ïãbîi@ÝØ’ .4
@ @NÉÓìn¾a
@@
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
.‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:òÃìzÜß
116
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
، Data View ‫א‬ −

Standardized ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ، res_1 ‫א‬ (Residuals
، pre_1 ‫א‬ ( ŷ ) ‫א‬
: ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬−

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
117
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪ÉibÛa@Ý—ÐÛa‬‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫(‪.‬‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪@ @Zpaì©a‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪Scatter‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪Graphs‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪(1‬‬

‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪Define‬‬ ‫‪،Simple‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪(2‬‬

‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪118‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

Standard ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (
.Y Axis ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Residual [zre_1]
‫א‬ ( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (

Unstandardized Predicted Value [pre_1]
.X Axis ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ok ‫א‬ (3
119
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@@
،‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ð‰Ûa@ Ša‡®üa@xˆì¹@òîyý–@óÜÇ@áØäë@wöbnäÛa@óÜÇ@ÕîÜÈnÛa
@ @ZéÔîÏìm@
@ @ZŠ‡Ô¾a@Ša‡®üa@xˆì¹ :@üëc
Y = 8.149 + 0.735 X
120
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ، ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. (8.149) :( β 0 ) ‫א‬ ‫◘ א‬
.(0.735) :( β1 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
@@
Nòí‹ÄäÛa@Âë‹“Ûa@Z@bîãbq
:Ša‡®üa pýßbÈß òàîÓë paŠb’g (òîÔäß ) ÖbÐmg (1
، ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬.
.( ‫א‬ )
( ‫א‬ ‫א )א‬ ‫א‬ .
. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،
: ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
Consumption = 8.149 + 0.735 Income

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
:òßbç@òÃìzÜß
121
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א א‬
، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: xˆìàäÜÛ òíÐnÛa ñŠ‡ÔÛa (2

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ،[ R-Sq (adj) ] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (R-Sq)
. ‫א‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa@òÔí‹
، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
( ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ٪ 77.1 ‫א‬ ‫א‬
،( ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ٪ 77.1
‫ א‬، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ٪77.1

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (٪22.9)
:òîšbí‹Ûa@Âë‹“Ûa@Z:brÛbq
: xˆìàäÜÛ òîÜØÛa òíìäÈ¾a (1
122
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
:òîöb—ya ë‹ÐÛa ◘
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :( H 0 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :( H 1 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:‹‚e ÝØ“i ë‹ÐÛa ◘

‫א‬ ‫א‬ :( H 0 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ )
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬:( H 1 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ )
:bèîÜÇ ÕîÜÈnÛaë wöbnäÛa Íí‹Ðm ◘
ANOVA ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
P. ‫א‬
Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Source
F cal MS SS DF
0.0000 54.814 2244.036 2244.036 1 ‫א‬ ‫א‬

* * 40.939 614.082 15 ‫א‬
* * * 2858.118 16 ‫א‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
123
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
، P.Value ‫א‬ : ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪5 ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:xˆìàäÜÛ òîö§a òíìäÈ¾a (2
:âìèÐ¾a ◘
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،
، [T - test ] ( ) ‫א‬ :ña†þa ◘

:òîöb—ya ë‹ÐÛa ÝØ’ ◘
:( B 0 ) −
H :B 0 0
=0
H :B 1 0
≠0
:( B1 ) −
H :B 0 1
=0
H :B 1 1
≠0
:bèîÜÇ ÕîÜÈnÛaë wöbnäÛa Íí‹Ðm ◘

‫א‬ ‫א‬
124
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
P. Value ‫א‬
( ) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.578 0.569 8.149 B 0
0.000 7.404 0.735 B 1
:ÕîÜÈnÛa ◘
0.578 P.Value ‫א‬ ، ( B0 )
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪ 5 ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
0.000 P.value ‫א‬ ،( B1 )

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪ 5 ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( B1 ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.òí†bÈÛa ô‹Ì—Ûa pbÈi‹¾a Âë‹’ (3
Normality Test ïÓaìjÜÛ@ïÛbànyüa@ÉíŒìnÛa@òîÛa‡nÇa :Þëþa@Â‹“Ûa
:òîöb—ya ë‹ÐÛa ◘
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א‬:(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א‬:(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
125
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪@ @bîãbîi@Z¶ëþa@òÔí‹Ûa‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫)‬ ‫א א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫(‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪126‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
@@
@LHÒë‹ä@–@Òë‹uìßìÜ×I@Šbjn‚a@åß@Ý×@Šbjn‚a@âa‡ƒnbi@bîiby @ZòîãbrÛa@òÔí‹Ûa
@ @ZHÙîÜíë@–@ëib’I@Šbjn‚aë
@ @paì©a
Descriptive ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Analyze ‫א‬ (1
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، Explore ‫א‬ Statistics
127
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫ﺃﻣﺎﻣﻚ‪:‬‬ ‫‪ (2‬ﰲ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ‬

‫ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ‬ ‫‪Standardized Residual‬‬ ‫ﺃ ( ﻗﻢ ﺑﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ‬
‫ﺑﻌﻨﻮﺍﻥ ‪.Dependent List‬‬
‫ﺏ ( ﻭﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ ‪ Display‬ﺍﺧﺘﺮ ‪.Plots‬‬
‫ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ‬ ‫‪Plots..‬‬ ‫ﺝ ( ﰒ ﺃﻧﻘﺮ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺃﻣﺎﻣﻚ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﻈﻬﺮ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ‪:‬‬
‫ﰲ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ‪ :‬ﻗﻢ ﲟﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ‪:‬‬ ‫‪(3‬‬
‫‪128‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫‪Normality Plots with tests‬‬ ‫ﺃ ( ﻧﺸﻂ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‬

‫ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻣﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﺑﺎﳌﺎﻭﺱ ﰲ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﺃﻣﺎﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ‬
‫ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﺧﺘﺮ ‪ .None‬ﰒ ﻗﻢ ﺑﺘﻌﻄﻴﻞ‬ ‫‪Boxplots‬‬ ‫ﺏ ( ﰒ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬
‫– ‪ ،Stem‬ﺍﳍﺪﻑ ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳋﻄﻮﺓ ﻫﻮ‬ ‫‪and‬‬ ‫–‬ ‫‪Leaf‬‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺗﻘﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﺨﺮﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻟﺴﻨﺎ ﰲ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ‪.‬‬
‫ﺝ ( ﰒ ﺍﺿﻐﻂ ‪ Continue‬ﻟﻠﻌﻮﺩﺓ ﻟﻠﻤﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ‪.‬‬
‫ﰒ ﺍﺿﻐﻂ ‪ ،OK‬ﺳﻨﺤﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘـﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴـﺔ ﰲ ﻧﺎﻓـﺬﺓ ﺍﳌﺨﺮﺟـﺎﺕ‬ ‫‪(4‬‬

‫‪:Output‬‬
‫‪:ÕîÜÈnÛaë@wöbnäÛa@Íí‹Ðm‬‬ ‫◘‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪P. value‬‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬
‫‪0.20‬‬ ‫‪17‬‬ ‫‪0.129‬‬ ‫–‬ ‫א‬
‫‪0.780‬‬ ‫‪17‬‬ ‫‪0.970‬‬ ‫–‬ ‫א‬
‫‪129‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛa@òÔí‹ ◘
‫א‬ P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ 0.05
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬

[ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ZïÓaìjÜÛ@ïma‰Ûa@ÞýÔnüa@ZïãbrÛa@Â‹“Ûa
:òîöb—ya@ë‹ÐÛa ◘
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ :(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א א‬
:áØä@ña†c ◘
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Durbin – Watson Test
:Šbjn‚üa@‰îÐäm@paì‚ ◘
:(DW) ‫א‬ :¶ëþa@ñì©a
130
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ Durbin-Watson ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(2.224)
Durbin ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :òîãbrÛa@ñì©a

:(– Watson
Durbin – Watson ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،

‫א‬ ‫ א‬،(dL) ‫א‬ ‫א‬:
.(n) ‫א‬ ،(K) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ .(du)
: ، 15 = n ، 1 = k ‫א‬
d L = 1.08
d u = 1.36
:‫א א‬ ‫ א‬:òrÛbrÛa@ñì©a
، ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (1
.( 4-dL<DW<4 ) ‫ א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( 0<DW<dL ) ‫ א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (2
.( 2<DW<4-du) ‫ א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
131
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
.( du<DW<2) ‫ א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ (3
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(4-du<DW<4-dL) : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(dL<DW<du) : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:æc@b·ë
. 2.224 DW ‫א‬ −
Durbin – ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) 1.36 du −
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ K ] (Watson
،( ‫א‬ ) 15 ‫א‬ ( ‫א‬
(4-1.36= 2.64) ‫ א‬.[ ٪ 5
.2<DW(2.22417)<2.64 ، (2<DW<4-du) −
:Ša‹ÔÛa@æìØí@áq@åßë
‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
[ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .( ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:( ‫א‬ ‫ )א‬ïÓaìjÛa@ãb¤@Šbjn‚a@Z@sÛbrÛa@Â‹“Ûa@
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
132
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
:ïãbîjÛa@á‹Ûa@Þý‚@åß@Z¶ëþa@òÔí‹Ûa
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א א‬ ‫א‬
:( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
@@
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ : æc@bäç@Åyýí
،( ‫א א א‬ ‫א א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬
، ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [ ‫א‬
133
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ Goldfield – Quandt
(Goldfield – Quandt òÔí‹ I@òîibä@òÔí‹Ûa@ZòîãbrÛa@òÔí‹Ûa

@ @Zpaì©a
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .1

: . ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Sort Cases ‫א‬ Data ‫ א‬.

: ‫א‬
Sort ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Income (x) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .by
) Ascending ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Sort Order
.(
134
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،ok‬‬ ‫‪.‬א‬

‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫(‪،‬‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫(‬
‫‪3.4‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪،(1‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪٪20‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.2‬‬

‫א א‬ ‫א ‪ .‬א‬ ‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪،‬‬
‫א‬ ‫)‪.(10) ،(9) ،(8‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫)‪ 3.4 = 0.20 × 17‬ﻤﺸﺎﻫﺩﺓ(‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫‪135‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א ‪:‬א‬ ‫‪7‬‬ ‫‪،‬‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪ ،(7‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪...........(2) ،(1‬‬
‫)‪.(17‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪........(12) ،(11‬‬
‫)‪(SSE‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.3‬‬

‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)(‬

‫‪:‬‬ ‫א ‪،‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫‪Select Cases‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪Data‬‬ ‫א‬

‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪136‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Based on time or case range ‫א‬ ‫א‬

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Range
‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

Continue ‫א‬ . ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ،ok ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬
137
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫)‪(x‬‬ ‫א )‪(y‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫‪،‬‬ ‫אא‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪138‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
(SSE)(1) ‫א‬ : ‫אא‬

.(411.690) ‫א‬
@HSSEIH2I@ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ( )

@ @Z ‫א‬
139
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
.(44.824) ‫א‬ (SSE)(2) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ، ‫ ( א‬F̂ ) ( )
(SSE )2 44.824
Fˆ = = = 0.1088
(SSE )1 411.690
140
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫) ̂‪ ( F‬א‬ ‫)(‬

‫) ‪(F‬‬ ‫) ̂‪ ( F‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫) ‪،( α‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫‪ ،‬א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫‪0.1088‬‬ ‫) ̂‪ ( F‬א‬ ‫‪æc@‡−@bäçë‬‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪ ، 5.05‬א‬ ‫)‪ F(5, 5, 0.05‬א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪141‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫@@‬
‫@@‬
‫@@‬
‫@@‬
‫‪142‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
åßbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@ @†‡Èn¾a@Ša‡®üa@ÝîÜ¥
Multiple Regression
143
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪144‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
†‡Èn¾a@ï©a@Ša‡®üa@ÝîÜ¥
@ @åßbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@ @†‡Èn¾a@ï©a@Ša‡®üa@ÝîÜ¥
@Multiple Linear Regression
‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

@†@ ìuë@â@ ‡Ç ، OLS ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.Multicollinearity òíÐnÛa@paÌn¾a@µi@ó‚@xaë†Œa
@ @Zó©a@xaë†Œübi@‡—Ôí
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ،‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬
.(1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ @ Z¶ëþa@ òÔí‹Ûa

‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. 0.7− ، 0.7+ ‫א‬
1
Makridakis, Spyros, (1998), " Forecasting: methods &
applications", 3 rd Edition, John Wiley & sons Inc., p 288.
145
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Variance ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ZòîãbrÛa@ òÔí‹Ûa

‫א‬ . ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ inflation factor (VIF)
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ (5) (VIF)
@ @: ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ :Þbrß
@@
.٪5 ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :lìÜ¾a
146
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
:paì©a
: ‫א‬ (1
‫א‬ Regression ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (2

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Linear ‫א‬
147
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. Respondent ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ [y] ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x1, X2, X3) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ .
. Independent(s)
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Statistics ‫א‬ .
148
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

] ،Durbin – Watson .
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. [Residuals ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

] Collinearity diagnostics .
‫א א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.[ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Model Fit Estimates ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
..
149
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Save ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (3

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ Unstandardized .
Predicted Values
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ standardized .
Residuals
150
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Plots ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (4

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ Normal probability plot .
. Standardized Residual Plots
،ok ‫א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (5

.‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ð‰Ûa@Ša‡®üa@xˆì¹@òîyý–@óÜÇ@áØäë@wöbnäÛa@óÜÇ@ÕîÜÈnÛa
ZéÔîÏìm@
@ @ZŠ‡Ô¾a@Ša‡®üa@xˆì¹@Zü ëc
Y = 4.421 + 0.345 X1 – 1.367 X2 + 0.209 X3
151
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ، ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. (4.421) :( β 0 ) ‫א‬ ‫◘ א‬
‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ◘
.(0.345) ( β1 ) o
.(-1.367) ( β2 ) o
.(0.209) ( β3 ) o
@ @Nòí‹ÄäÛa@Âë‹“Ûa@Z@bîãbq
:Ša‡®üa@pýßbÈß@òàîÓë@paŠb’g@HòîÔäß@ëcI@ÖbÐma (1
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
: xˆìàäÜÛ òíÐnÛa ñŠ‡ÔÛa (2

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ،٪ 65.2 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ٪ 65.2 (X1, X2, X3) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ (٪ 34.8) ‫ א‬،(Y) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @Nòîšbí‹Ûa@Âë‹“Ûa@ZZbrÛbq
152
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪†‡Èn¾a@ï©a@Ša‡®üa@ÝîÜ¥‬‬
‫‪Z@xˆìàäÜÛ@òîÜØÛa@òíìäÈ¾a H1‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫◘ א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫) ‪:( H 0‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫) ‪:( H 1‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫◘ א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫) ‪:( H 0‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫(‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫) ‪ :( H 1‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫(‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫◘‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪،٪ 5‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫‪P.Value‬‬
‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪153‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
ANOVA ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬
P. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
MS Source
F cal SS DF
0.000 12.874 2.292 6.877 3 ‫א‬ ‫א‬

* * 0.178 2.849 16 ‫א‬
* * * 9.726 19 ‫א‬
:xˆìàäÜÛ@òîö§a@òíìäÈ¾a (2
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ◘
:( B0 ) −
H :B
0 0
=0
H :B
1 0
≠0
:( B1 ) −
H :B
0 1
=0
H :B
1 1
≠0
:( B 2 ) −
H :B
0 2
=0
H :B
1 2
≠0
154
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫) ‪:( B3‬‬ ‫‪−‬‬
‫‪H :B‬‬‫‪0‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬

‫‪=0‬‬
‫‪H :B‬‬‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬

‫‪≠0‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫◘‬
‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪P. Value‬‬ ‫א‬

‫) (‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪0.000‬‬ ‫‪11.895‬‬ ‫‪4.421‬‬ ‫‪B‬‬ ‫‪0‬‬
‫‪0.365‬‬ ‫‪0.931‬‬ ‫‪0.345‬‬ ‫‪B‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫‪0.000‬‬ ‫‪-5.545‬‬ ‫‪-1.367‬‬ ‫‪B‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪0.001‬‬ ‫‪3.854‬‬ ‫‪0.209‬‬ ‫‪B‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫‪P.Value‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫) ‪:( B0‬‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،٪ 5‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪155‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
0.365 P.Value ‫א‬ :( B1 )

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪ 5 ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ( B1 )
، P.Value ‫א‬ :( B2 )
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪5 ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ( B2 )
،0.001 P.Value ‫א‬ ، ( B3 )

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،٪ 5 ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ( B3 )
.òí†bÈÛa ô‹Ì—Ûa pbÈi‹¾a Âë‹’ (3
Normality Test ïÓaìjÜÛ ïÛbànyüa ÉíŒìnÛa òîÛa‡nÇa :Þëþa Â‹“Ûa
: ‫א‬ ‫◘ א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א‬:(H0) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א א‬:(H1) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
@ @bîãbîi :¶ëþa@òÔí‹Ûa
156
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ : ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ، ‫א‬
– Òë‹ªìÜ×) Šbjn‚a åß Ý× Šbjn‚a âa‡ƒnbi bîiby :òîãbrÛa òÔí‹Ûa

@ @:(ÙîÜíë – ëib’) Šbjn‚aë ،(Òìã‹àî
@ @paì©a
157
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪@ @åßbrÛa@Ý—ÐÛa‬‬
‫‪Descriptive‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪، Analyze‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪(1‬‬

‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪، Explore‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪Statistics‬‬
‫ﺃﻣﺎﻣﻚ‪:‬‬ ‫ﰲ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ‬ ‫‪(2‬‬

‫ﺇﱃ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ‬ ‫‪Standardized Residual‬‬ ‫ﺃ‪ -‬ﻗﻢ ﺑﻨﻘﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﺑﻌﻨﻮﺍﻥ ‪.Dependent List‬‬
‫ﺏ‪ -‬ﻭﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ ‪ Display‬ﺍﺧﺘﺮ ‪.Plots‬‬
‫ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ‬ ‫‪Plots..‬‬ ‫ﺝ‪ -‬ﰒ ﺃﻧﻘﺮ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺃﻣﺎﻣﻚ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﻈﻬﺮ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ‪:‬‬
‫‪158‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫ﰲ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ‪ :‬ﻗﻢ ﲟﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ‪:‬‬ ‫‪(3‬‬

‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫‪Normality Plots with tests‬‬ ‫ﺃ‪ -‬ﻧﺸﻂ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺧﻼﻝ ﺍﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻣﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﺑﺎﳌﺎﻭﺱ ﰲ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﺃﻣﺎﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ‬
‫ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﺧﺘﺮ ‪ .None‬ﰒ ﻗﻢ ﺑﺘﻌﻄﻴﻞ‬ ‫‪Boxplots‬‬ ‫ﺏ‪ -‬ﰒ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬
‫– ‪ ،Stem‬ﺍﳍﺪﻑ ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳋﻄﻮﺓ‬ ‫‪and‬‬ ‫–‬ ‫‪Leaf‬‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻫﻮ ﺗﻘﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﳌﺨﺮﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻟﺴﻨﺎ ﰲ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ‪.‬‬
‫ﺝ‪ -‬ﰒ ﺍﺿﻐﻂ ‪ Continue‬ﻟﻠﻌﻮﺩﺓ ﻟﻠﻤﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ‪.‬‬
‫ﰒ ﺍﺿﻐﻂ ‪ ،OK‬ﺳﻨﺤﺼﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘـﺎﺋﺞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴـﺔ ﰲ ﻧﺎﻓـﺬﺓ ﺍﳌﺨﺮﺟـﺎﺕ‬ ‫‪(4‬‬

‫‪:Output‬‬
‫‪159‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫◘‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪P. value‬‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬
‫‪0.149‬‬ ‫‪20‬‬ ‫‪0.166‬‬ ‫–‬ ‫א‬
‫‪0.189‬‬ ‫‪20‬‬ ‫‪0.929‬‬ ‫–‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫◘‬

‫א‬ ‫‪P.Value‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪0.05‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א [‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫]‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א ‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪@ @@ZïÓaìjÜÛ@ïma‰Ûa@ÞýÔnüa@ZïãbrÛa@Â‹“Ûa‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫◘‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪:(H0‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א (‪.‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪:(H1‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א (‪.‬‬
‫‪160‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫◘‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫– ‪. Durbin‬‬ ‫‪Watson Test‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫◘‬

‫)‪:(DW‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫‪ −‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫)‪.(1.488‬‬ ‫)‪(DW‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫‪:(Durbin – Watson‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫‪16 = n ، 3 = k‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪d L = 0.86‬‬
‫‪d u = 1.73‬‬
‫א א‪:‬‬ ‫‪:‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א ‪،‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪(1‬‬

‫) ‪.( 4-dL<DW<4‬‬ ‫‪ :‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫) ‪.( 0<DW<dL‬‬ ‫‪ :‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪161‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (2
.( 2<DW<4-du) ‫ א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( du<DW<2) ‫ א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ (3
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(4-du<DW<4-dL) : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(dL<DW<du) : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
− . (0.86<DW<1.73) ، dL<DW<du :
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −( ‫– א‬ ‫)א‬
. ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬. ‫א‬
@ @ZHåíbjnÛa@pbjq@Šbjn‚aI@ïÓaìjÛa@ãb¤@Šbjn‚a@Z@sÛbrÛa@Â‹“Ûa@
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:ïãbîjÛa@á‹Ûa@Þý‚@åß :¶ëþa òÔí‹Ûa
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
@ @Zpaì©a
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Scatter ‫א‬ Graphs ‫א‬ (1

: ‫א‬
162
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
،Simple ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Define
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

Standard ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ −
.Y Axis ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ residual [zre_1]
163
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫(‬ ‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪−‬‬

‫‪Unstandardized Predicted Value‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א ‪.X Axis‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫]‪[pre_1‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪ok‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪(2‬‬
‫‪:‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

‫(‪،‬‬ ‫א א א‬ ‫א א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‬
‫א א ‪،‬‬
‫א [‬ ‫א‬ ‫]‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪164‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫א‬ . ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬ Goldfield – Quandt
(Goldfield – Quandt òÔí‹ I@òîibä@òÔí‹Ûa@ZòîãbrÛa@òÔí‹Ûa
@ @Zpaì©a
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .1

. ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Sort Cases ‫א‬ Data ‫ א‬.

: ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x3) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ .

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .Sort by ‫א‬
Ascending ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Sort Order ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( )
165
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫)א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،ok‬‬ ‫‪.‬א‬

‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪،(x3‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫(‬
‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪٪20‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.2‬‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫)‪ .(1‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪.(12) ،(11) ،(10) ،(9‬‬
‫)‪،(1‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א ‪:‬א‬ ‫‪8‬‬
‫(‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫)‪4 = 0.20 × 20‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫‪166‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬،(8) ‫א‬ ...........(2)

.(20) ‫א‬ ........(14) ،(13)
(SSE) ‫א‬ .3
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
:
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Select Cases ‫א‬ Data ‫ א‬o
: ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ o

Based on time or case range ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Range
167
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪o‬‬

‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪Continue‬‬ ‫‪ .‬א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،ok‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א ‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪168‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫)‪(x's‬‬ ‫א )‪(y‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬

‫‪،‬‬ ‫אא‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫)‪(SSE)(1‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫אא‬

‫)‪.(0.721‬‬
‫א‬ ‫‪@HSSEIH2I‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬

‫‪@ @:‬‬
‫‪169‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫)‪.(0.334‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪(SSE)(2‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪170‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
: ، ‫ ( א‬F̂ ) .
(SSE )2 0.334
Fˆ = = = 0.4632
(SSE )1 0.721
‫א‬ 0.4632 ‫ ( א‬F̂ ) .

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬، 3.44 ‫ א‬F(8, 8, 0.05) ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @ZH@òÜÔn¾a@I òíÐnÛa@paÌn¾a@µi@ó©a@xaë†Œüa@â‡Ç@Â‹’@Z@Éia‹Ûa@Â‹“Ûa
:(VIF) åíbjnÛa@áƒ›m@ÝßbÈß@âa‡ƒnbiZü ëc
Coefficients ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

: ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
171
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
:ÕîÜÈnÛaë@wöbnäÛa@Íí‹Ðm
Tolerance VIF ‫א‬
0.976 1.025 X1
0.955 1.047 X2
0.946 1.057 X3
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫א א‬ ، (5 ) ‫אא‬
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
(VIF) Tolerance :‫א‬

1
. VIF =
Tolerance
Correlation Matrix ÂbjmŠüa@òÏìÐ—ß Zbîãbq

:paì©a
،Bivariate ‫א‬ Correlate ‫א‬ Analyze ‫א‬ (1

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
172
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫)‪(X1, X2, X3‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א ‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫‪(2‬‬

‫‪،ok‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א ‪،Variables‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪173‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫‪:Õj@b¿@|›ní‬‬
‫א‬ ‫)‪،(0.70‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
‫‪174‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
ÉbnÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@ @ïÜßbÈÛa@ÝîÜznÛa
Factor Analysis
175
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪176‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
ïÜßbÈÛa@ÝîÜznÛa
@@
@@
@ @ïÜßbÈÛa@ÝîÜznÛa
@@
Factor Analysis
@ @ZïÜßbÈÛa@ÝîÜznÛa@‰îÐäm@Ýya‹ß
:ÂbjmŠüa@òÏìÐ—ß@˜zÏ :¶ëþa òÜy‹¾a

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.( ‫א‬ ‫ )א‬،(1±) .
.( ‫א‬ )، ‫א‬ .
.(‫א‬ ‫ )א‬،1 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ 0.25 .
.(‫א‬ ‫ )א‬، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ 0.90 .
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א א‬
:ï©a@xaë†Œüa@òÜØ“ß@†ìuë@â‡Ç@åß@‡×dnÛa :òîãbrÛa òÜy‹¾a

Multi-Collinearity
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
.‫ﺎ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻘﺔ‬ ‫ ﺑﺼﺮﻑ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻹﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻧﻌﲏ‬1
177
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ÉbnÛa@Ý—ÐÛa
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،
0.00001 ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ،( ‫) א‬
‫א‬ ، 0.00001 ‫א‬ . ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫ ) א‬.( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) 0.80 ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
.(Andy Field
:òäîÈÛa@ávy@òíbÐ×@ô‡ß@:òrÛbrÛa òÜy‹¾a
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ – – ‫א‬
KMO ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،

.test
:wöbnäÛa@Ðmë@ÝßaìÈÛa@™ýƒna :òÈia‹Ûa òÜy‹¾a
@ @ZïÜàÇ@Þbrß
Factor Analysis ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
178
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
@ @Zpaì©a
Data Reduction ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ .1

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Factor ‫א‬ ‫א‬
179
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .2

‫א‬ ‫א‬ (x1, x2 …….. x11) ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.Variables ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Descriptives ‫א‬ .3
: ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

Correlation Matrix ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
:
180
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ :Coefficients ‫א‬ .

. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
(P.Value) :Significance Levels ‫א‬.
. ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ :Determinant ‫א‬ .
:KMO and Bartlett's test of sphericity ‫ א‬.
: ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ : KMO test o
‫א‬ : Bartlett's test o
. ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ Continue ‫א‬ .
،Extraction ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .4

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
181
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א‬ Method: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .
. Principal components
Unrotated factor Display ‫א‬ .
solution
‫א‬ ‫א‬ (Display) ‫א‬

Rotated ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Rotation ‫א‬
‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (solution
Extraction ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Principle Method
‫א‬ Component
.Varimax
‫א‬ Scree plot ‫א‬

. ‫אא‬ ‫א‬
Eigenvalues over Extract ‫א‬ .
.(1) ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:
182
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
Number of factors ، ‫א א‬
.Eigenvalues over
،Rotation ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .5

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫ א‬Extraction ‫א‬ .
.Varimax ،SPSS
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:Orthogonal Rotation ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬
183
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
.Varimax o
.Quartimax o
Equamax o
: :Oblique Rotation ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.Direct Oblimin o
Promax o
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. ( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
( ‫א א‬ ) ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
،Options ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .6

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
184
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
Sorted by size ‫א‬ .

Suppress absolute value less ‫א‬ .
‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، than:
.(0.10) (0.35)
‫א‬ ،ok ‫א‬: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .7

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
@ @ZwöbnäÛa@Ðm
:Correlation Matrix ÂbjmŠüa òÏìÐ—ß Þë‡u:ü ëc
: ‫אא‬
185
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
õ§aë ،Correlation ‫א‬ :(ðìÜÈÛa) Þëþa õ§a

) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (ïÜÐÛa) ïãbrÛa
.Sig (1 – tailed) ( ‫א‬
186
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
:wöbnäÛa@óÜÇ@ÕîÜÈnÛa
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
: ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.(1±) .1
. ‫א‬ .2
.1 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ 0.25 .3
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ 0.90 .4
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
KMO and Bartlett's Test åß@Ý×@Šbjn‚a@wöbnã@Þë‡u : bîãbq
:KMO Test Šbjn‚a :Þëþa Šbjn‚üa

‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ، ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ KMO ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، . ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ . ‫א‬
.‫ﺎ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﻄﻠﻘﺔ‬ ‫ ﺑﺼﺮﻑ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻹﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻧﻌﲏ‬1
187
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪@ÉbnÛa@Ý—ÐÛa‬‬
‫‪ ،‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪Reliability‬‬ ‫א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪(Kaiser‬‬ ‫)‪1974‬‬ ‫אא‬ ‫‪.‬‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪0.50‬‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬
‫‪@ @ZwöbnäÛa@óÜÇ@ÕîÜÈnÛa‬‬
‫‪KMO‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪ .Kaiser‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪0.549‬‬
‫‪@ @.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪Bartlett's Test‬‬ ‫‪oîÜmŠbi Šbjn‚a :ïãbrÛa Šbjn‚üa‬‬

‫‪Correlation‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬
‫‪1‬‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫‪identity Matrix‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪Matrix‬‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫ﻣﺼﻔﻮﻓﺔ ﺍﻟﻮﺣﺪﺓ ﻫﻲ ﺍﳌﺼﻔﻮﻓﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﲨﻴﻊ ﻋﻨﺎﺻﺮﻫﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺮ‪ ،‬ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻋﺪﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻨﺎﺻﺮ ﺍﳌﻮﺟـﻮﺩﺓ‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻘﻄﺮ ﺍﻟﺮﺋﻴﺴﻲ ﺗﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺣﺪ ﺍﻟﺼﺤﻴﺢ‪ ،‬ﻭﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ ﺷﻜﻞ ﻣﺼﻔﻮﻓﺔ ﺍﻟﻮﺣﺪﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜـﺔ‬
‫)ﺃﻱ ‪ 3‬ﺻﻔﻮﻑ ﻭ ‪ 3‬ﺃﻋﻤﺪﺓ(‬
‫⎤ ‪⎡1 0 0‬‬
‫⎥⎥‪A = ⎢⎢0 1 0‬‬
‫⎦⎥‪⎢⎣0 0 1‬‬
‫‪188‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:wöbnäÛa Íí‹Ðm
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

P.Value df (2 )
0.000 55 108.896
:ÕîÜÈnÛa
P.Value ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬، ٪5 ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬
:Multi-Collinearity ï©a xaë†Œüa òÜØ“ß
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫אא‬ . ‫א‬ ‫א‬
( ‫ ) א‬0.00001 0.000031
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
:òßbç òÃìzÜß
189
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .1

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫אא‬ .2
‫א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
@@
Total Variance Explained ‹Ð¾a@ïÜØÛa@åíbjnÛa@Þë‡u@Z@brÛbq
:‫א‬ 3 ‫אא‬
،Initial Eigenvalues ò@ îö‡j¾a@òäßbØÛa@Šë‰§a@ZÞëþa@õ§a
: ‫א‬
190
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪ïÜßbÈÛa@ÝîÜznÛa‬‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫‪.‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א ‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫‪: Total †ìàÇ‬‬ ‫‪.1‬‬
‫א ‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
‫‪:‬‬
‫‪4.436 + 2.019 + 1.651 + …… + 0.01958 = 11‬‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪: % of Variance †ìàÇ‬‬ ‫‪.2‬‬
‫‪:‬‬
‫÷‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫=)‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫( × ‪100‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫= )‪× ( 11 ÷ 4.43559‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬
‫‪. 40.323 = 100‬‬
‫‪191‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
:òÃìzÜß
. 3 ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
، ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : ٪ Cumulative †@ ìàÇ .3

% of ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
.Variance
Extraction [‹íë‡nÛa@ÝjÓ]@ò—Üƒn¾a@pýîàznÛa@pbÈi‹ß@Êìàª@ZïãbrÛa@õ§a
: ‫א‬ ،Sums of Squared Loadings
‫א א‬ ، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

Total ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ . ‫א‬
192
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫ א‬. ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ Eigenvalues
. ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫|؟‬îz—Ûa ‡yaìÛa aˆb¾ :æa@bäç@ÞaûÛa

‫א א‬ ‫( א‬Extraction) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
،( ‫א‬ ‫א א )א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
. ‫א‬
Rotation Sums of @‹@ íë‡nÛa@‡Èi@pýîàznÛa@pbÈi‹ß@Êìàª@Zs

@ ÛbrÛa@õ§a
: ‫א‬ ‫ א‬، Squared Loadings
193
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫‪Rotation‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪.Varimax‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:åí‹ßc@¶g@ñŠb’a@†ìã@bäçë‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪ .1‬א‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א א ‪.‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪٪40.323‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪ ٪30.876‬א‬
‫א‪.‬‬
‫‪، None‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪، Rotation‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.2‬‬

‫[‪،‬‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫]‬
‫‪194‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

. ‫א‬
:a‡u@âbç
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬
( ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ) ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ، ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫ א‬، ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
Extraction Method ‫א א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ Principle Component
. ‫א‬ – Varimax
‫א א‬ ) Component Matrix pbãìØ¾a@òÏìÐ—ß@Þë‡u@ZbÈiaŠ

: ‫א‬ ‫ א‬:( ‫א‬
195
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ א‬ÝjÓ ‫א‬
. ‫א א‬
. ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫ ) א‬0.35 ‫א‬ ‫א‬
( ‫א‬ ‫א‬ Options ‫א‬
@@
Rotated Component @‹íë‡nÛa@‡Èi@pbãìØ¾a@òÏìÐ—ß@Þë‡u@Zb@ßb‚
: ‫א‬ ‫ א‬:( ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ) Matrix
196
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬
‫‪ïÜßbÈÛa@ÝîÜznÛa‬‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬

‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
‫‪.‬‬ ‫‪ ‡Èi‬א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪ ،‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א )‪(X9 , X10, X11‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א ‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫אא‬
‫‪1‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬‬ ‫א א‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺎﺯﱄ ﻳﺮﺟﻊ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻧﻨﺎ ﻃﻠﺒﻨﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﱪﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﰱ ﺍﳌﺮﺑﻊ ﺍﳊﻮﺍﺭﻱ ‪ Options‬ﺃﻥ ﻳﻘﻮﻡ ﺑﺘﺮﺗﻴـﺐ‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫ﺍﳌﺘﻐﲑﺍﺕ ﺣﺴﺐ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻃﻬﺎ ﺑﻜﻞ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ‪ ، Sorted by size‬ﻛﻤﺎ ﻫﻮ ﻣﻮﺿﺢ ﺑﺎﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ‪:‬‬
‫‪197‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
‫‪.( x11‬‬ ‫‪x10‬‬ ‫‪x9‬‬ ‫א )‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‬

‫‪.( x3‬‬ ‫‪x1‬‬ ‫)‪x4‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‬
‫‪.( x2‬‬ ‫‪x7‬‬ ‫)‪x6‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‬
‫(‪.‬‬ ‫‪x5‬‬ ‫)‪x8‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א ‪ :‬א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫‬
‫‪@ @ZÝßaìÈÜÛ@óàß@Éšë‬‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪:‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫)‪(10‬‬ ‫‪ ،‬א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪(9‬‬
‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫)‪(11‬‬ ‫א‬
‫א א ‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪،‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫‪.‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬
‫‪198‬‬
‫אא
ووو‪ #....‬א"! وא ‬
‫د‪ 2*3$ # &4‬א‪"/01‬وא‪,$-.‬وא‪ ()*+‬א'&‪0020109787442 $%‬‬
:òíbèäÛa@Àë
‫"א‬ ‫אא‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

: ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ " ‫א‬
Field, Andy P., (2005). Discovering statistics using spss

nd
(2 edition), London, Sage. (Chapter 15).
199
‫ א"! وא‬#....‫אא

ووو‬
0020109787442 $%&'‫*)( א‬+‫وא‬,$-.‫"وא‬/01‫ א‬2*3$ # &4‫د‬

التحليل الإحصائي للمتغيرات المتعددة باستخدام برنامج SPSS PDF

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التحليل الإحصائي للمتغيرات المتعددة باستخدام برنامج SPSS PDF

Uploaded by

Copyright:

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7 ......................................... (ANOVA) ð†byþa åíbjnÛa ÝîÜ¥

41 ........................................ (MANOVA) †‡Èn¾a åíbjnÛa ÝîÜ¥

63 ....................................... (ANCOVA) ð†byþa ‹íbÌnÛa ÝîÜ¥

71 ...................................... (MANCOVA) †‡Èn¾a ‹íbÌnÛa ÝîÜ¥

79 ................................ Correlation Analysis ÂbjmŠüa ÝîÜ¥

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175 ............................................. Factor Analysis ïÜßbÈÛa@ÝîÜznÛa

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‫ ] א‬ANOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ANCOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬

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،Control Variable ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ 1

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MANOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬ MANCOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬

MANCOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬

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One – Way ANOVA ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ .1

One – Way ANOVA ‡yaë@êb¤a@À@ð†byþa åíbjnÛa@ÝîÜ¥@Zü ëc

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òîÏìä¾a@òÈßbu ÕíŒbÓÛa@òÈßbu ñŠì—ä¾a@òÈßbu

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‫‪:‬‬ ‫א‬ ‫‪ZòÃìzÜß‬‬

‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ : ‫א‬ ‫א‬

‫ א‬Compare Means ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ،Analyze ‫א‬ (1

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (2

: ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬

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0.036 3.816 65.113 2 130.226

(0.036) P.Value ‫א‬ ‫א‬

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: ، ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ ‫א‬ (2

LSD ‫א‬ – ‫א א‬ − ‫א א‬ ‫א‬ (3

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