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GDP Growth Q1FY19: Dipankar Mitra Somnath Mukherjee Research, ASKWA August 31, 2018
GDP Growth Q1FY19: Dipankar Mitra Somnath Mukherjee Research, ASKWA August 31, 2018
10.3
9.3
10
8.7
8.2
8.2
8.1
9
8.0
10
7.7
7.7
7.6
7.5
7.3
7.3
7.1
8
7.0
6.8
6.5
6.5
6.3
7.3
7 8
6.1
5.9
5.6
5.4
5.3
5.3
6
4.9
6
4.3
5
4
4
3
2 2
1
0 0
Sep-12
Sep-13
Sep-15
Sep-16
Sep-17
Sep-14
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Jun-13
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-12
Jun-14
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-18
Mar-17
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-15
Dec-17
Dec-14
Dec-16
Expenditure side shows heavy dependence on consumption Nominal GDP spikes, but depreciation impacts Dollar GDP growth
Pvt. Cnsmp Govt. Consmp Cap Formation
GDP (Nominal) (INR) GDP (Nominal) (USD)
16
Net Exports GDP (YoY%)
% contribution to nominal GDP growth
10
9 8.2 14
7.7 13.8
8 7.0
7 6.3
1.8 5.6 4.8 3.0 12
6
2.6 3.3
5 0.9
1.9 1.5 10
4 0.5 0.7 9.4
3
8
2 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.7 4.7
1
6
0
-0.8 -1.1 -1.5 -0.4
-1
-2.7 4
-2
-3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19
FY17 FY18 FY19
Sources – CMIE ASKWA Research
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