Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 1

What you need to know about the failed attempt to produce evidence of a

consensus on climate change.

In 2013, the results of the largest ever study undertaken in an attempt to produce evidence of a
consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature were
published.

It was titled “Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific
literature” http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

• It examined 11 ,944 climate abstracts containing the topics 'global climate change' or 'global
warming' from 1991–2011, authored by 29,083 scientists.

• The researchers found that just 32.6% of the 11,994 scientific abstracts they analysed
endorsed the AGW theory.

• The researchers also emailed 29% of the 29,083 authors cited and invited them to state their
position on AGW.

• 86% of the authors invited to state their position on AGW failed to endorse the AGW theory

• 4.08% of the 29,083 scientists referred to in the study endorsed the AGW theory

This was obviously not a 97% consensus

So where did the 97% consensus figure come from?

Quoting directly from the study:

“Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that
humans are causing global warming.”

Remember, that's just 97% of the 32.6% of the papers whose abstracts endorsed the AGW theory.

67.4% of the analysed scientific literature did not endorse the AGW theory

And there you have it.

For reasons unknown and unexplained, at 10:48 AM - 16 May 2013, the day after
“Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific
literature” was published, President Obama bizarrely reacted by tweeting that:

Ninety-seven percent of scientists agree: #climate change is real,


man-made and dangerous.
10:48 AM - 16 May 2013

https://twitter.com/barackobama/status/335089477296988160?lang=en

There is no reason to suggest that this was anything other than a genuine error, albeit of epic
proportion, on President Obama's part.

Neither President Obama or any of the 9 authors of the study appear to have had an opportunity
in the media to correct that enormous error, almost 6 years on.

You might also like