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Soft Drinks in The Philippines
Soft Drinks in The Philippines
Soft Drinks in The Philippines
PHILIPPINES
Euromonitor International
February 2017
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Outlook
Prior to the launch of B’lue and Kopiko 78C, functional bottled water and RTD coffee primarily
catered to a niche audience of students and young professionals. However, the success of
these brands in creating a new consumer segment added vibrancy in each of the categories in
which they are present. Over the forecast period, B’lue is set to drive growth in functional bottled
water, with the category set to increase in each of off-trade volume and value at a CAGR of 12%
at constant 2016 prices, while Kopiko 78C is expected to spur RTD coffee to 22% off-trade
volume and value CAGRs constant 2016 prices. However, the manufacturers behind these
brands will still need to strive to increase the penetration and strengthen marketing and
promotional campaigns in order to remain relevant, which is set to be a key element behind
attempts to achieve the positive outlooks expected in each of these two categories.
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carbonates, RTD coffee and RTD tea, among others, registering positive volume and value
growth in 2016.
Outlook
If the additional excise tax on sugary drinks is eventually implemented, average unit prices in
categories with a high presence of sugary drinks such as carbonates, juice, RTD tea and RTD
coffee, as well as all other sugar-sweetened soft drinks categories, would increase by at least
PHP10 per litre. What is more, the additional tax would likely be passed on to consumers, which
means that cost-cutting measures from consumers would likely include further shifting towards
small pack sizes such as 230ml and 250ml. Even so, even beverages in small pack sizes such
as C2 Solo in 230ml PET bottle would cost more. For instance, C2 Solo would cost at least an
extra PHP2.30 per 230ml pack, although customers purchasing the product in 1-litre PET
bottles would then be forced to absorb the entire PHP10 excise tax. In 2016, off-trade volume
sales of soft drinks grew by 7%, while an off-trade volume CAGR of 4% is anticipated over the
forecast period. The positive growth anticipated in soft drinks is expected to be driven by the
stronger contribution of small pack sizes in carbonates and RTD tea, which would allow the
industry to achieve positive sales growth over the forecast period. As the tax is levied on a per-
litre basis, consumers are unlikely to forgo drinking soft drinks, instead opting for smaller pack
sizes in an effort to limit their absorption of the excise taxes. Moreover, manufacturers are also
expected to use cost-containment measures in order to maintain affordable pricing despite the
effects of the excise tax.
Outlook
The proliferation of functional products in soft drinks in the Philippines has contributed to the
positive outlook for functional bottled water, energy drinks, and sports drinks in the country.
Over the forecast period, functional bottled water is expected to post a 12% volume CAGR. The
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activations undertaken for the B’lue brand are likely to help improve consumer awareness of
functional bottled water as a healthy alternative to other soft drinks products without skimping on
flavour. Meanwhile, energy drinks is expected to record an off-trade volume CAGR of 4% over
the forecast period, which is set to be faster than the growth recorded in the category over the
review period as Cobra is expected to be able to unlock demand among a new consumer
segment because of its functional properties. Finally, sports drinks is expected to post a 9% off-
trade volume CAGR over the forecast period, with growth set to be supported by the ongoing
fitness trend, which is expected to spur demand for beverages that can improve hydration.
MARKET DATA
Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2011-
2016
million litres
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% volume growth
2015/16 2011-16 CAGR 2011/16 TOTAL
PHP million
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2011-
2016
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Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume
2016
million litres
Off-trade On-trade TOTAL
Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume
2016
% volume analysis
Off-trade On-trade Total
PHP million
Off-trade On-trade TOTAL
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% value analysis
Off-trade On-trade Total
million litres
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-
2016
% volume growth
2015/16 2011-16 CAGR 2011/16 Total
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PHP million
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
million litres
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Table 14 Total Sales of Soft Drinks by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2011-
2016
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Table 15 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2012-2016
% off-trade volume
Company 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Table 16 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2013-2016
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% off-trade volume
Brand (GBO) Company (NBO) 2013 2014 2015 2016
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Table 21 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format and Category: %
Volume 2016
% off-trade
BW CB CN JU RC RT
SE AS
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million litres
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
% volume growth
2016/17 2016-21 CAGR 2016/21 TOTAL
Table 24 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2016-
2021
PHP million
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
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Table 26 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2016-
2021
million litres
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth
2016-2021
% volume growth
2016/17 2016-21 CAGR 2016/21 Total
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PHP million
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Table 29 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2016-
2021
Table 30 Forecast Total Sales of Soft Drinks by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2016-2021
million litres
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Table 31 Forecast Total Sales of Soft Drinks by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth
2016-2021
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Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
APPENDIX
Trends
In 2016, total fountain on-trade volume sales of soft drinks expanded by 3%, which was in line
with the growth recorded in 2015. The slowdown seen in outlet volume and transaction
volume growth in fast food in the Philippines in 2016 suppressed growth in fountain on-trade
volume sales of soft drinks, especially as full-service restaurants and independent street
stalls/kiosks in the country usually sell packaged soft drinks.
As the bulk of on-trade fountain sales of soft drinks are accounted for by carbonates, The
Coca-Cola Export Corp and Pepsi-Cola Products Philippines led fountain sales of soft drinks
in 2016. While Del Monte Pineapple is the most popular pineapple juice brand in most
chained fast food outlets, RTD tea could be either Lipton or Nestea, while carbonates are
usually exclusive to either Pepsi or Coca-Cola. For example, Chinese fast food chain
Chowking sells regular and low-calorie carbonates alongside Del Monte pineapple juice and
Lipton RTD tea.
Over the forecast period, growth in total fountain on-trade volume sales is expected to slow
down to a CAGR of 2%, slower than the 3% volume CAGR recorded over the review period.
Rising disposable income levels among the Philippine population are set to result in Filipinos
dining out more frequently, which in turn is likely to support growth in consumer foodservice,
meaning that the outlook for fountain sales of soft drinks is almost certainly positive.
DEFINITIONS
Explanations of words and/or terminology used in this report are as follows:
Carinderias: traditional eateries targeting mass consumers, serving rice and viands.
Sari-sari stores: traditional independent small grocers outlets.
Baon: money, food, or other provisions taken to school, work, or on a journey.
SOURCES
Sources used during the research included the following:
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