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BROTHERSON ET AL.

– “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE 15

“Best Practices” in Estimating the Cost


of Capital: An Update

W. Todd Brotherson, Kenneth M. Eades, Robert S. Harris, and Robert C. Higgins

„“Cost of capital is so critical to things we do, and CAPM


Theories on cost of capital have been around for decades. has so many holes in it—and the books don’t tell you which
Unfortunately for practice, the academic discussions typically numbers to use… so at the end of the day, you wonder a bit
stop at a high level of generality, leaving important questions
if you’ve got a solid number. Am I fooling myself with this
IRU DSSOLFDWLRQ XQDQVZHUHG 5HFHQW XSKHDYDOV LQ ¿QDQFLDO
PDUNHWVKDYHRQO\PDGHWKHSUDFWLWLRQHU¶VWDVNPRUHGLI¿FXOW ZHOOGLVFLSOLQHGTXDQWL¿DEOHQXPEHU"´
This paper updates our earlier work on the state of the art
in cost of capital estimation to identify current best practices
- A corporate survey participant
that emerge. Unlike many broadly distributed multiple
2YHU WKH \HDUV WKHRUHWLFDO GHYHORSPHQWV LQ ¿QDQFH
FKRLFH RU ¿OOLQWKHEODQN VXUYH\V RXU ¿QGLQJV DUH EDVHG
on conversations with practitioners at highly regarded converged into compelling recommendations about the cost
FRUSRUDWLRQVDQGOHDGLQJ¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUV:HDOVRUHSRUW of capital to a corporation. By the early 1990s, a consensus
on advice from best-selling textbooks and trade books. had emerged prompting descriptions such as “traditional...
:H ¿QG FORVH DOLJQPHQW DPRQJ DOO WKHVH JURXSV RQ XVH RI textbook...appropriate,” “theoretically correct,” “a useful
common theoretical frameworks to estimate the cost of rule of thumb” and a “good vehicle.” In prior work with
FDSLWDO DQG RQ PDQ\ DVSHFWV RI HVWLPDWLRQ :H ¿QG ODUJH %RE %UXQHU ZH UHDFKHG RXW WR KLJKO\ UHJDUGHG ¿UPV DQG
variation, however, for the joint choices of the risk-free rate ¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVWRVHHKRZWKH\GHDOWZLWKWKHPDQ\LVVXHV
of return, beta and the equity market risk premium, as well of implementation.1)LIWHHQ\HDUVKDYHSDVVHGVLQFHRXU¿UVW
DVIRUWKHDGMXVWPHQWRIFDSLWDOFRVWVIRUVSHFL¿FLQYHVWPHQW
study. We revisit the issues and see what now constitutes
ULVN :KHQ FRPSDUHG WR RXU  SXEOLFDWLRQ ZH ¿QG WKDW
practice has changed some since the late 1990s but there best practice and what has changed in both academic
is still no consensus on important practical issues. The recommendations and in practice.
paper ends with a synthesis of messages from best practice :HSUHVHQWHYLGHQFHRQKRZVRPHRIWKHPRVW¿QDQFLDOO\
FRPSDQLHV DQG ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV DQG RXU FRQFOXVLRQV VRSKLVWLFDWHG FRPSDQLHV DQG ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV HVWLPDWH
capital costs. This evidence is valuable in several respects.
)LUVW LW LGHQWL¿HV WKH PRVW LPSRUWDQW DPELJXLWLHV LQ WKH
application of cost of capital theory, setting the stage for
The authors thank Bob Bruner for collaboration on prior research. His
duties as a dean, however, prevent his joining this effort. We thank MSCI
productive debate and research on their resolution. Second, it
for sharing Barra data. The research would not have been possible without helps interested companies to benchmark their cost of capital
WKHFRRSHUDWLRQRIWKHFRPSDQLHVDQG¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVVXUYH\HG7KHVH estimation practices against best-practice peers. Third, the
contributions notwithstanding, any errors remain the authors’. evidence sheds light on the accuracy with which capital costs
W. Todd Brotherson is Assistant professor at Southern Virginia University
can be reasonably estimated, enabling executives to use the
in Buena Vista, VA. Kenneth M. Eades is a Professor at the Darden estimates more wisely in their decision-making. Fourth, it
Graduate School of Business Administration at the University of Virginia
in Charlottesville, VA. Robert S. Harris is a Professor at the Darden
Graduate School of Business Administration at the University of Virginia in 1
To provide a self-contained article we draw directly on portions of our
Charlottesville, VA. Robert C. Higgins is Professor Emeritus at the Foster earlier work, Bruner, Eades, Harris, and Higgins (1998), which also
School of Business at the University of Washington in Seattle, WA. discusses surveys from earlier years.

15
16 JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013
HQDEOHVWHDFKHUVWRDQVZHUWKHLQHYLWDEOHTXHVWLRQ³%XWKRZ A standard means of expressing a company’s cost of
do companies really estimate their cost of capital?” capital is the weighted-average of the cost of individual
The paper is part of a lengthy tradition of surveys of sources of capital employed. In symbols, a company’s
industry practice. For instance, Burns and Walker (2009) weighted-average cost of capital (or WACC) is:
examine a large set of surveys conducted over the last
TXDUWHU FHQWXU\ LQWR KRZ 86 FRPSDQLHV PDNH FDSLWDO WACC = (Wdebt(1-t) Kdebt) + (WequityKequity), (1)
EXGJHWLQJGHFLVLRQV7KH\¿QGWKDWHVWLPDWLQJWKHZHLJKWHG
where:
average cost of capital is the primary approach to selecting
K = component cost of capital.
hurdle rates. More recently, Jacobs and Shivdasani (2012)
W = weight of each component as percent of total capital.
UHSRUWRQDODUJHVFDOHVXUYH\RIKRZ¿QDQFLDOSUDFWLWLRQHUV
t = marginal corporate tax rate.
implement cost of capital estimation. Our approach differs
from most papers in several important respects. Typically For simplicity, this formula includes only two sources of
studies are based on written, closed-end surveys sent capital; it can be easily expanded to include other sources
HOHFWURQLFDOO\ WR D ODUJH VDPSOH RI ¿UPV RIWHQ FRYHULQJ D as well.
wide array of topics, and commonly using multiple choice Finance theory offers several important observations
RU ¿OOLQWKHEODQN TXHVWLRQV 6XFK DQ DSSURDFK W\SLFDOO\ when estimating a company’s WACC. First, the capital costs
yields low response rates and provides limited opportunity DSSHDULQJLQWKHHTXDWLRQVKRXOGEHFXUUHQWFRVWVUHÀHFWLQJ
to explore subtleties of the topic. For instance, Jacobs and FXUUHQW¿QDQFLDOPDUNHWFRQGLWLRQVQRWKLVWRULFDOVXQNFRVWV
Shivdasani (2012) provide useful insights based on the ,QHVVHQFHWKHFRVWVVKRXOGHTXDOWKHLQYHVWRUV¶DQWLFLSDWHG
Association for Finance Professionals (AFP) cost of capital LQWHUQDOUDWHRIUHWXUQRQIXWXUHFDVKÀRZVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK
survey. While the survey had 309 respondents, AFP (2011, each form of capital. Second, the weights appearing in the
page 18) reports this was a response rate of about 7% based HTXDWLRQ VKRXOG EH PDUNHW ZHLJKWV QRW KLVWRULFDO ZHLJKWV
on its membership companies. In contrast, we report the based on often arbitrary, out-of-date book values. Third,
result of personal telephone interviews with practitioners WKHFRVWRIGHEWVKRXOGEHDIWHUFRUSRUDWHWD[UHÀHFWLQJWKH
from a carefully chosen group of leading corporations and EHQH¿WVRIWKHWD[GHGXFWLELOLW\RILQWHUHVW
¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUV$QRWKHULPSRUWDQWGLIIHUHQFHLVWKDWPDQ\ 'HVSLWH WKH JXLGDQFH SURYLGHG E\ ¿QDQFH WKHRU\ XVH RI
H[LVWLQJSDSHUVIRFXVRQKRZZHOODFFHSWHGPRGHUQ¿QDQFLDO the weighted-average expression to estimate a company’s
WHFKQLTXHVDUHDPRQJSUDFWLWLRQHUVZKLOHZHDUHLQWHUHVWHG cost of capital still confronts the practitioner with a number
LQ WKRVH DUHDV RI FRVW RI FDSLWDO HVWLPDWLRQ ZKHUH ¿QDQFH RIGLI¿FXOWFKRLFHV2 As our survey results demonstrate, the
theory is silent or ambiguous and practitioners are left to most nettlesome component of WACC estimation is the cost
their own devices. RIHTXLW\FDSLWDOIRUXQOLNHUHDGLO\DYDLODEOH\LHOGVLQERQG
The following section gives a brief overview of the PDUNHWVQRREVHUYDEOHFRXQWHUSDUWH[LVWVIRUHTXLWLHV7KLV
weighted-average cost of capital. The research approach forces practitioners to rely on more abstract and indirect
and sample selection are discussed in Section II. Section III PHWKRGVWRHVWLPDWHWKHFRVWRIHTXLW\FDSLWDO
reports the general survey results. Key points of disparity are
reviewed in Section IV. Section V discusses further survey II. Sample Selection
results on risk adjustment to a baseline cost of capital, and
Section VI highlights some institutional and market forces This paper describes the results of conversations with
affecting cost of capital estimation. Section VII offers leading practitioners. Believing that the complexity of the
FRQFOXVLRQVDQGLPSOLFDWLRQVIRUWKH¿QDQFLDOSUDFWLWLRQHU VXEMHFW GRHV QRW OHQG LWVHOI WR D ZULWWHQ TXHVWLRQQDLUH ZH
ZDQWHG WR VROLFLW DQ H[SODQDWLRQ RI HDFK ¿UP¶V DSSURDFK
I. The Weighted-Average Cost of Capital told in the practitioner’s own words. Though our telephone
LQWHUYLHZV ZHUH JXLGHG E\ D VHULHV RI TXHVWLRQV WKH
$NH\LQVLJKWIURP¿QDQFHWKHRU\LVWKDWDQ\XVHRIFDSLWDO FRQYHUVDWLRQVZHUHVXI¿FLHQWO\RSHQHQGHGWRUHYHDOPDQ\
imposes an opportunity cost on investors; namely, funds are subtle differences in practice.
GLYHUWHG IURP HDUQLQJ D UHWXUQ RQ WKH QH[W EHVW HTXDOULVN Since our focus is on the gaps between theory and
LQYHVWPHQW6LQFHLQYHVWRUVKDYHDFFHVVWRDKRVWRI¿QDQFLDO application rather than on average or typical practice, we
market opportunities, corporate uses of capital must be
benchmarked against these capital market alternatives. 2 Even at the theoretical level, the use of standard net present value (NPV)
7KHFRVWRIFDSLWDOSURYLGHVWKLVEHQFKPDUN8QOHVVD¿UP decision rules (with, for instance, WACC as a discount rate) does not
can earn in excess of its cost of capital on an average-risk capture the option value of being able to delay an irreversible investment
H[SHQGLWXUH$V D UHVXOW D ¿UP PD\ ¿QG LW EHWWHU WR GHOD\ DQ LQYHVWPHQW
LQYHVWPHQW LW ZLOO QRW FUHDWH HFRQRPLF SUR¿W RU YDOXH IRU even if the current NPV is positive. Our survey does not explore the ways
investors. ¿UPVGHDOZLWKWKLVLVVXHUDWKHUZHIRFXVRQPHDVXULQJFDSLWDOFRVWV
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE 17

Table I. Three Survey Samples


Full titles of textbooks and trade books are listed in the references at the end of this paper.
Company Sample Advisor Sample Textbook/Trade Book
Sample
AmerisourceBergen Bank of America Merrill Textbooks
Caterpillar Lynch Brigham and Ehrhardt (2013)
Barclays Capital 5RVV:HVWHU¿HOGDQG-DIIH 
Chevron
Brealey, Myers, and Allen (2011)
Coca Cola Credit Suisse
Higgins (2012)
Costco Wholesale 'HXWVFKH%DQN$*
IBM Evercore Partners Trade books
*ROGPDQ6DFKV &R .ROOHU*RHGKDUWDQG:HVVHOV 
International Paper Ibbotson (2012)
Intuit *UHHQKLOO &R//&
Johnson Controls JP Morgan
PepsiCo Lazard
Qualcomm Morgan Stanley
Sysco UBS
Target
Texas Instruments
8QLRQ3DFL¿F
United Technologies
UPS
::*UDLQJHU
Walt Disney

DLPHGWRVDPSOHSUDFWLWLRQHUVZKRZHUHOHDGHUVLQWKH¿HOG North America (eight excluded).4 We also eliminated the


We began by searching for a sample of corporations (rather RQH ¿UP FODVVL¿HG DV D UHJXODWHG XWLOLW\ RQ WKH JURXQGV
WKDQ LQYHVWRUV RU ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV  LQ WKH EHOLHI WKDW WKH\ WKDW UHJXODWRU\ PDQGDWHV FUHDWH XQLTXH LVVXHV IRU FDSLWDO
had ample motivation to compute WACC carefully and to budgeting and cost of capital estimation) and the seven
resolve many of the estimation issues themselves. Several ¿UPVLQ¿QDQFLDOVHUYLFHV LQFOXVLYHRILQVXUDQFHEDQNLQJ
SXEOLFDWLRQV RIIHU OLVWV RI ¿UPV WKDW DUH ZHOOUHJDUGHG LQ VHFXULWLHVDQGUHDOHVWDWH )RUW\VHYHQFRPSDQLHVVDWLV¿HG
¿QDQFHRIWKHVHZHFKRVHFortune’s 2012 listing of Most our screens. Of these, ¿UPVDJUHHGWREHLQWHUYLHZHGDQG
Admired Companies.3 :RUNLQJZLWKWKH+D\*URXS)RUWXQH are included in the sample given in Table I. Despite multiple
FUHDWHVZKDWLWWHUPV³WKHGH¿QLWLYHUHSRUWFDUGRQFRUSRUDWH concerted attempts we made to contact appropriate personnel
reputations.” Hay provided us with a listing of companies at each company, our response rate is lower than Bruner,
ranked by the criterion “wise use of assets” within industry. Eades, Harris, and Higgins (1998) but still much higher than
7RFUHDWHRXUVDPSOHZHRQO\XVHGFRPSDQLHVUDQNHG¿UVWRU typical cost of capital surveys. We suspect that increases in
second in their industry. We could not obtain raw scores that the number of surveys and in the demands on executives’
would allow comparisons across industries. WLPHLQÀXHQFHUHVSRQVHUDWHVQRZYHUVXVWKHODWHV
The 2012 Fortune rankings are based on a survey of 698 :H DSSURDFKHG FRUSRUDWH RI¿FHUV ¿UVW ZLWK DQ HPDLO
companies, each of which is among the largest in its industry. H[SODLQLQJ RXU UHVHDUFK 2XU UHTXHVW ZDV WR LQWHUYLHZ
For each of 58 industry lists, Hay asks executives, directors, WKH LQGLYLGXDO LQ FKDUJH RI HVWLPDWLQJ WKH ¿UP¶V :$&&
and analysts to rate companies in their own industry on a set We then arranged phone conversations. We promised our
RI FULWHULD 6WDUWLQJ ZLWK WKH WRS WZR UDQNHG ¿UPV LQ HDFK LQWHUYLHZHHVWKDWLQSUHSDULQJDUHSRUWRQRXU¿QGLQJVZH
LQGXVWU\ ZH HOLPLQDWHG FRPSDQLHV KHDGTXDUWHUHG RXWVLGH would not identify the practices of any particular company
by name—we have respected this promise in the presentation
3
)RULQVWDQFH,QVWLWXWLRQDO,QYHVWRUSXEOLVKHVOLVWVRI¿UPVZLWKWKHEHVW
&KLHI )LQDQFLDO 2I¿FHUV &)2V  RU ZLWK VSHFLDO FRPSHWHQFLHV LQ FHUWDLQ
4
areas. We elected not to use such lists because special competencies might This screen was also used in Bruner et al. (1998). Our reasons for
QRW LQGLFDWH D JHQHUDOO\ H[FHOOHQW ¿QDQFH GHSDUWPHQW QRU PLJKW D VWHOODU H[FOXGLQJWKHVH¿UPVZHUHWKHLQFUHDVHGGLI¿FXOW\RIREWDLQLQJLQWHUYLHZV
CFO. The source used by Bruner et al. (1998) is no longer published. Our DQG SRVVLEOH GLI¿FXOWLHV LQ REWDLQLQJ FDSLWDO PDUNHW LQIRUPDWLRQ VXFK DV
approach, however, mirrors that earlier work. EHWDVDQGHTXLW\PDUNHWSUHPLXPV 
18 JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

that follows. ‡ The after-tax cost of debt is predominantly based on mar-


In the interest of assessing the practices of the broader ginal pretax costs, and marginal tax rates.7
FRPPXQLW\RI¿QDQFHSUDFWLWLRQHUVZHVXUYH\HGWZRRWKHU ‡  7KH &DSLWDO$VVHW
The Capital 3ULFLQJ Model
Asset Pricing 0RGHO (CAPM)
&$30  isLV the
WKH domi-
GRPL
samples: QDQW PRGHO IRU HVWLPDWLQJ WKH FRVW RI HTXLW\ 'HVSLWH
VKRUWFRPLQJVRIWKH&$30RXUFRPSDQLHVDQG¿QDQFLDO
‡ Financial advisors. Using a “league table” of merger and advisors adopt this approach. In fact, across both compa-
DFTXLVLWLRQ DGYLVRUV IURP 7KRPVRQ¶V 6HFXULWLHV 'DWD QLHVDQG¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVRQO\RQHUHVSRQGHQWGLGQRW
&RPPLVVLRQ 6'& 0HUJHUVDQG$FTXLVLWLRQVGDWDEDVH use the CAPM.8
we drew a sample of the most active advisors based on
aggregate deal volume in M&A in the US for 2011. Of 7KHVH SUDFWLFHV SDUDOOHO PDQ\ RI WKH ¿QGLQJV IURP
WKHWRSWZHOYHDGYLVRUVRQH¿UPFKRVHQRWWRSDUWLFLSDWH RXU HDUOLHU VXUYH\ )LUVW WKH ³EHVW SUDFWLFH´ ¿UPV VKRZ
in the survey, giving us a sample of eleven. considerable alignment on many elements of practice.
:H DSSOLHG DSSUR[LPDWHO\ WKH VDPH VHW RI TXHVWLRQV 6HFRQG WKH\ EDVH WKHLU SUDFWLFH RQ ¿QDQFLDO HFRQRPLF
WR UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV RI WKHVH ¿UPV¶ 0 $ GHSDUWPHQWV 5 models rather than on rules of thumb or arbitrary decision
Financial advisors face a variety of different pressures UXOHV 7KLUG WKH ¿QDQFLDO IUDPHZRUNV RIIHUHG E\ OHDGLQJ
regarding cost of capital. When an advisor is represent- texts and trade books are fundamentally unchanged from
ing the sell side of an M&A deal, the client wants a high our earlier survey.
valuation but the reverse may be true when an advisor On the other hand, disagreements exist within and among
is acting on the buy side. In addition, banks may be en- groups on matters of application, especially when it comes
gaged by either side of the deal to provide a Fairness WR XVLQJ WKH &$30 WR HVWLPDWH WKH FRVW RI HTXLW\ 7KH
Opinion about the transaction. We wondered whether the &$30VWDWHVWKDWWKHUHTXLUHGUHWXUQ . RQDQ\DVVHWFDQ
SUHVVXUHVRIWKHVHYDULRXVUROHVPLJKWUHVXOWLQ¿QDQFLDO be expressed as:
advisors using assumptions and methodologies that re-
sult in different cost of capital estimates than those made K = Rf+ ȕ (Rm-Rf), (2)
by operating companies. This proved not to be the case. where:
‡ Textbooks and Trade books. In parallel with our prior Rf = interest rate available on a risk-free asset.
study, we focus on a handful of widely-used books. From Rm = return required to attract investors to hold the
a leading textbook publisher we obtained names of the broad market portfolio of risky assets.
four best-selling, graduate-level textbooks in corporate ȕ the relative risk of the particular asset.
¿QDQFH LQ  ,Q DGGLWLRQ ZH FRQVXOWHG WZR SRSXODU
trade books that discuss estimation of the cost of capital $FFRUGLQJ WR &$30 WKHQ WKH FRVW RI HTXLW\ .equity, for
in detail. a company depends on three components: returns on risk-
free assets (Rf  WKH VWRFN¶V HTXLW\ ³EHWD´ ZKLFK PHDVXUHV
III. Survey Findings
risk of the company’s stock relative to other risky assets
7DEOH,,VXPPDUL]HVUHVSRQVHVWRRXUTXHVWLRQVDQGVKRZV ȕ   LV DYHUDJH ULVN  DQG WKH PDUNHW ULVN SUHPLXP
that the estimation approaches are broadly similar across the (R - R ) necessary to entice investors to hold risky assets
m f
three samples in several dimensions: generally versus risk-free instruments. In theory, each of
these components must be a forward-looking estimate. Our
‡ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is the dominant investment survey results show substantial disagreements, especially in
HYDOXDWLRQWHFKQLTXH terms of estimating the market risk premium.
‡:$&&LVWKHGRPLQDQWGLVFRXQWUDWHXVHGLQ'&)DQDO\
WACC is the dominant discount rate used in DCF analy-
ses.
‡ Weights are based on market not book value mixes of debt
DQGHTXLW\6
5
6SHFL¿F TXHVWLRQV GLIIHU UHÀHFWLQJ WKH IDFWV WKDW ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV 7
In practice, complexities of tax laws such as tax-loss carry forwards
LQIUHTXHQWO\GHDOZLWKFDSLWDOEXGJHWLQJPDWWHUVDQGWKDWFRUSRUDWH¿QDQFLDO and carry backs, investment tax credits, state taxes, and international tax
RI¿FHUVLQIUHTXHQWO\YDOXHFRPSDQLHV WUHDWPHQWV FRPSOLFDWH WKH VLWXDWLRQ *UDKDP DQG 0LOOV   HVWLPDWH
  ௘   ௘ effective marginal tax rates. While most companies in their sample hit the
6
The choice between target and actual proportions is not a simple one. statutory marginal rate, the average effective marginal tax rate turned out
%HFDXVHGHEWDQGHTXLW\FRVWVGHSHQGRQWKHSURSRUWLRQVRIHDFKHPSOR\HG to be about 5% lower.
it might appear that the actual proportions must be used. However, if the   ௘   ௘
¿UP¶V WDUJHW ZHLJKWV DUH SXEOLFO\ NQRZQ DQG LI LQYHVWRUV H[SHFW WKH ¿UP 8
See, for instance, Brealey, Myers, and Allen (2011) pgs. 196-199 for
WR PRYH WR WKHVH ZHLJKWV WKHQ REVHUYHG FRVWV RI GHEW DQG HTXLW\ PD\ a high-level review of some of the empirical evidence and the textbook
DQWLFLSDWHWKHWDUJHWFDSLWDOVWUXFWXUH  ௘   ௘ DXWKRUV¶UDWLRQDOHIRUFRQWLQXHGXVHRIWKH&$30  ௘   ௘
Table II. General Survey Results

Questions Corporations Financial Advisors Textbooks/Trade Books


 'R\RXXVH'&)WHFKQLTXHVWR 95% Yes, as primary tool; some also consider 100% Yes 100% Yes
evaluate investment opportunities? transactions and trading multiples, real
options, IRR and payback analysis, and
52,ZLWKLQDVSHFL¿HGWLPHSHULRG
4% No
2. Do you use any form of a cost of 84% Yes 100% Yes 100% Yes
capital as your discount rate in your 11% No
DCF analysis?
5% Decline to answer
3. For your cost of capital, do you form 95% Yes 100% Yes 100% Yes
any combination of capital cost to 5% No (not for valuation, but does use
determine a WACC? WACC for strategic comparisons)

4. What weighting factors do you use? A) 37% Target; 37% Current; 26% Not A) 73% Target/Optimal; 27% Current A) 50% Market; 50% Target
A) Target weights vs. current debt/ Reported %   09HTXLW\DQGGHEW %   09HTXLW\DQGGHEW
HTXLW\" %   09HTXLW\DQGGHEW09
B) Market vs. book weights? HTXLW\ZLWK%9GHEW%9ERWK
5. How do you estimate your before tax 26% US Treasury yield + spread 55% Current yield to maturity 83% Yield to maturity
cost of debt? 21% Marginal/YTM outstanding debt 45% New debt yield to maturity 17% Marginal cost of new debt
21% Weighted avg outstanding issues
5% Banker’s estimate
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE

5% Current yield
5% Current rate, bank debt
11% Other
5% N/A
6. What tax rate do you use? 95% Effective marginal or statutory 100% Effective marginal or statutory 67% Marginal income tax rate
5% Other 33% Statutory corporate tax rate
7. How do you estimate your cost of 90% CAPM 100% CAPM 100% CAPM
HTXLW\" ,I\RXGRQRWXVH&$30VNLS 5% CAPM with dividend discount model
WRTXHVWLRQ and bond/stock relationship as a check Also mention dividend discount/
  0RGL¿HGUHTXLUHGUHWXUQPRGHOXVLQJ growth, arbitrage pricing, and
beta Fama-French models

(Continued)
19
Table II. General Survey Results (Continued)

20
Questions Corporations Financial Advisors Textbooks/Trade Books

8. As usually written, the CAPM version 95% Yes 100% Yes 100% Yes
RIWKHFRVWRIHTXLW\KDVWKUHHWHUPV 5% No
a risk free rate, a volatility or beta
factor, and a market risk premium. Is
this consistent with your company’s
approach?
9. What do you use for the risk-free rate 52% 10-year Treasuries 73% 10-year Treasuries 50% Long-term Treasuries
(both maturity and measurement)? 21% 20-year Treasuries 18% 20-year Treasuries 33% Long-term Treasuries less
21% 30-year Treasuries 9% 30-year Treasuries historical “term premium”

5% N/A 17% Match tenor of Treasury to


that of investment

21% use something other than the spot yield 36% use some historical average rather
to maturity (e.g., some form of historical than the spot yield to maturity
averaging)
10. What do you use as your volatility or 53% Explicitly reference Bloomberg betas 73% Fundamental beta from Barra 100% Mention published sources
beta factor? 26% Use a published source (other than 44% Beta from Bloomberg
Bloomberg) or a third party advisors; 18% Self-calculated historical beta or
three of these mention Barra other published source
37% Mention self-calculated betas but some
may use Bloomberg for this
26% Mention comparisons across sources

(32% of respondents mentioned (unsolicited) (One recommends levering


(27% of respondents mentioned
unlevering/relevering beta) industry beta to company target
(unsolicited) unlevering/relevering beta)
capital structure)
JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

(Continued)
Table II. General Survey Results (Continued)
Questions Corporations Financial Advisors Textbooks/Trade Books

11. What do you use as your market risk 43% Cite historical data only 73% Cite historical data—Ibbotson 100% Mention historical excess
premium? x 32% cite Ibbotson 18% Forward-looking DDM returns

x 11% mention another source   8VHD³UDQJH´1RVSHFL¿F 50% Recommend arithmetic


methodology reported averages; 17% geometric
16% Judgment using various cited sources in some instances; 33% are
16% Bloomberg silent
16% Forward-looking calculation (other than 87% Mention various other
Bloomberg) approaches
5% Ask bank
  1RVSHFL¿FPHWKRGRORJ\UHSRUWHG

2IZKRUHSRUWHGDVSHFL¿FQXPEHUUDQJH 2IZKRUHSRUWHGDVSHFL¿FQXPEHU
was 4.87-9.02%, and mean was 6.49% range was 4.0-8.5%, and mean was 6.6%
12. Do you use data from comparable 26% Yes, in order to get betas to relever or to 82% Use comps normally as benchmark 67% Recommend estimating
companies in estimating the cost of select appropriate risk class  8VHFRPSVRQO\LI¿UP¶V:$&& an industry asset beta and
capital? If so, how (e.g., averages 32% No looks unreliable relevering to the target’s
IRUDVXEVHWRI¿UPV\RXIHHODUH capital structure
comparable)? 42% Indirectly as a check or reference
13. Having estimated your company’s cost 53% Yes 91% Yes/As appropriate 33% Discuss further adjustments
of capital, do you make any further 37% No 9% No for small cap and industry
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE

DGMXVWPHQWVWRUHÀHFWWKHULVNRI 33% Adjust for project risk and


individual investment opportunities? 5% Unsure
division
5% Decline to answer
33% Ignore the issue
Slightly less than half of “Noes” make
adjustments when deemed necessary but say
WKLVLVLQIUHTXHQW
+RZIUHTXHQWO\GR\RXUHHVWLPDWH 5% Monthly Not asked Not mentioned
your company’s cost of capital? 21% Quarterly
16% Semi-annually
53% Annually
5% Occasionally
*HQHUDOO\PDQ\VDLGWKDWLQDGGLWLRQWR
scheduled reviews, they re-estimate as needed
IRUVLJQL¿FDQWHYHQWVVXFKDVDFTXLVLWLRQVDQG
high-impact economic events.

(Continued)
21
Table II. General Survey Results (Continued)

22
Questions Corporations Financial Advisors Textbooks/Trade Books
+DYH¿QDQFLDOPDUNHWFRQGLWLRQV 26% Yes 27% Yes One notes recent volatility as one
of the last few years caused you to 63% No 64% No reason practitioners use “target”
change the way you estimate and use weights rather than raw “market”
the cost of capital? 5% Unsure 9% No response weights when measuring capital
5% Not internally, but advising IBs have structure
made adjustments
16. Is the cost of capital used for purposes 42% Yes Not asked 67% Discuss in context of
other than project analysis in your 47% No performance measurement
company? (For example, to evaluate and EVA
divisional performance?) 5% Indirectly
33% Are silent
5% Decline to answer
17. Do you distinguish between strategic 68% Yes Not asked Not mentioned
and operational investments? Is cost 32% No
of capital used differently in these two
categories?
If do distinguish, is cost of capital used
differently (N=13):
23% Yes; 39% No; 30% Maybe; 5% N/A
18. What methods do you use to estimate Not asked 100% Both multiples and perpetual $OOUHFRPPHQG'&)HTXDWLRQV
terminal value? Do you use the same growth DCF model 50% recommend also using
discount rate for the terminal value as 55% Have no preference between models multiples and triangulating on
IRUWKHLQWHULPFDVKÀRZV" value. There is no discussion
27% Prefer perpetuity model of differing discount rates for
18% Prefer multiples approach terminal value and interim cash
91% Use same WACC for TV ÀRZV

9% Did not specify


19. In valuing a multidivisional company, Not asked 100% “Usually”/”Typically” value the All recommend varying the
do you aggregate the values of the enterprise GLVFRXQWUDWHWRUHÀHFWWKHULVNRI
individual divisions, or just value the 100% Value the parts if size, risk, or other WKHFDVKÀRZV2QO\RQH  
¿UPDVDZKROH",I\RXYDOXHHDFK factors merit the consideration discusses valuation by parts.
division separately, do you use a
different cost of capital for each one?
91% Use separate WACCs
9% Did not specify
JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

(Continued)
Table II. General Survey Results (Continued)
Questions Corporations Financial Advisors Textbooks/Trade Books

20. In your valuations do you use any Not asked  9DOXHFDVKÀRZVGLIIHUHQWO\ZKHQ Not mentioned
different methods to value synergies warranted
or strategic opportunities (e.g., higher 73% Use a different discount rate for the
or lower discount rates, options risk
valuation)?
9% Use a different growth rate

27% cited NOLs as an example


45% cited synergies or strategic
opportunities as examples

21. How long have you been with the <HDUVZLWK¿UP5DQJH0HDQ Mean: 11.0 years (current bank) N/A
company? What is your job title? <HDUVLQ¿QDQFH5DQJH0HDQ Mean: 13.5 years (banking career)
1 Principal, 1 COO, 8 MD/D/EDs, 1 VP
All senior, except two
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE
23
24 JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

A. The Risk-free Rate of Return LQVWDQFHRIWKHFRUSRUDWLRQVDQGRIWKH¿QDQFLDO


advisors resort to some historical average of interest rates
As originally derived, the CAPM is a single period rather than the spot rate in the markets. Such an averaging
PRGHOVRWKHTXHVWLRQRIZKLFKLQWHUHVWUDWHEHVWUHSUHVHQWV SUDFWLFHLVDWRGGVZLWK¿QDQFHWKHRU\LQZKLFKLQYHVWRUVVHH
the risk-free rate never arises. In a multi-period world the current market rate as the relevant opportunity. We return
typically characterized by upward-sloping yield curves, the to this issue later in the paper.
practitioner must choose. The difference between realized
returns on short-term US Treasury-bills and long-term
B. Beta Estimates
T-bonds has averaged about 150 basis points over the long-
run; so choice of a risk-free rate can have a material effect on
Finance theory calls for a forward-looking beta, one
WKHFRVWRIHTXLW\DQG:$&&9
UHÀHFWLQJLQYHVWRUV¶XQFHUWDLQW\DERXWWKHIXWXUHFDVKÀRZV
Treasury bill yields are more consistent with the CAPM
WRHTXLW\%HFDXVHIRUZDUGORRNLQJEHWDVDUHXQREVHUYDEOH
DV RULJLQDOO\ GHULYHG DQG UHÀHFW ULVNIUHH UHWXUQV LQ WKH
practitioners are forced to rely on proxies of various kinds.
sense that T-bill investors avoid material loss in value from
Often this involves using beta estimates derived from
interest rate movements. However, long-term bond yields
historical data.
PRUHFORVHO\UHÀHFWWKHGHIDXOWIUHHKROGLQJSHULRGUHWXUQV
The usual methodology is to estimate beta as the slope
available on long-lived investments and thus more closely
FRHI¿FLHQWRIWKHPDUNHWPRGHORIUHWXUQV
mirror the types of investments made by companies.
Our survey results reveal a strong preference on the part of R = Į +ȕ (R ), (3)
it i i mt
practitioners for long-term bond yields. As shown in Table II
4XHVWLRQ DOOWKHFRUSRUDWLRQVDQG¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVXVH where:
Treasury bond yields for maturities of 10 years or greater, Rit = return on stock I in time period (e.g., day, week,
with the 10-year rate being the most popular choice. Many month) t.
corporations said they matched the term of the risk-free Rmt = return on the market portfolio in period t.
rate to the tenor of the investment. In contrast, a third of the Įi = regression constant for stock i.
sample books suggested subtracting a term premium from ȕi = beta for stock i.
long-term rates to approximate a shorter term yield. Half of
the books recommended long-term rates but were not precise In addition to relying on historical data, use of this
on the choice of maturity. HTXDWLRQ WR HVWLPDWH EHWD UHTXLUHV D QXPEHU RI SUDFWLFDO
%HFDXVH WKH \LHOG FXUYH LV RUGLQDULO\ UHODWLYHO\ ÀDW compromises, each of which can materially affect the results.
beyond ten years, the choice of which particular long- For instance, increasing the number of time periods used in
term yield to use often is not a critical one. However, at the the estimation may improve the statistical reliability of the
time of our survey, Treasury markets did not display these estimate but risks including stale, irrelevant information.
³QRUPDO´FRQGLWLRQVLQWKHZDNHRIWKH¿QDQFLDOFULVLVDQG Similarly, shortening the observation period from monthly
expansionary monetary policy. In the year we conducted our to weekly, or even daily, increases the size of the sample but
survey (2012), the spread between 10- and 30-year Treasury may yield observations that are not normally distributed and
yields averaged 112 basis points.10 While the text and trade may introduce unwanted random noise. A third compromise
ERRNV GR QRW GLUHFWO\ DGGUHVV WKH TXHVWLRQ RI KRZ WR GHDO involves choice of the market index. Theory dictates that
with such markets, it is clear that some practitioners are Rm is the return on the “market portfolio,” an unobservable
looking for ways to “normalize” what they see as unusual portfolio consisting of all risky assets, including human
circumstances in the government bond markets. For capital and other non-traded assets, in proportion to their
importance in world wealth. Beta providers use a variety
9
This was estimated as the difference in arithmetic mean returns on long-
of stock market indices as proxies for the market portfolio
term government bonds and US Treasury bills over the years 1900 to 2008, on the argument that stock markets trade claims on a
using data from E. Dimson and P. Marsh as cited in Brealey, Myers, and VXI¿FLHQWO\ ZLGH DUUD\ RI DVVHWV WR EH DGHTXDWH VXUURJDWHV
Allen (2011) in Table 7.1 at page 158. for the unobservable market portfolio.
 ௘   ௘
10
Another approach is to “predict” beta based on underlying
Over the period 1977-2012 the difference between the yields on 10- and
30-year Treasury bonds averaged 29 basis points. However, for the period characteristics of a company. According to Barra, the
DIWHUWKH¿QDQFLDOFULVLVWKLVVSUHDGKDVEHHQPXFKKLJKHULQWKHPLGVWRI “predicted beta, the beta Barra derives from its risk model,
expansive Federal Reserve policy. For the period 2008-2012 the difference is a forecast of a stock’s sensitivity to the market. It is also
averaged 103 basis points. During 2012 when we conducted our survey
known as fundamental beta because it is derived from
it averaged 112 basis points. As we write in mid-January 2013, the yields
on 10-, 20-, and 30-year Treasury bonds are 1.89%, 2.66%, and 3.06% fundamental risk factors…. such as size, yield, and volatility
respectively. Calculations use Federal Reserve H-15 interest rate data. — plus industry exposure. Because we re-estimate these
 ௘   ௘
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE 25

Table III. Compromises Underlying Beta Estimates and Their Effect on Estimated Betas of
Sample Companies
Bloomberg* Value Line* Barra
Number of observations 102 260 statistical models using
Time interval weekly over 2 yrs. weekly over 5 yrs. company characteristics
Market index proxy S&P 500 NYSE composite

Sample mean beta 0.96 0.93 0.91


Sample median beta 0.98 0.90 0.96
*With the Bloomberg service it is possible to estimate a beta over many differing time periods, market indices, and smoothed or unadjusted.
7KH¿JXUHVSUHVHQWHGKHUHUHSUHVHQWWKHEDVHOLQHRUGHIDXOWHVWLPDWLRQDSSURDFKXVHGLIRQHGRHVQRWVSHFLI\RWKHUDSSURDFKHV9DOXH/LQH
VWDWHVWKDW³WKH%HWDFRHI¿FLHQWLVGHULYHGIURPDUHJUHVVLRQDQDO\VLVRIWKHUHODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQZHHNO\SHUFHQWDJHFKDQJHVLQWKHSULFHRI
DVWRFNDQGZHHNO\SHUFHQWDJHFKDQJHVLQWKH1<6(,QGH[RYHUDSHULRGRI¿YH\HDUV,QWKHFDVHRIVKRUWHUSULFHKLVWRULHVDVPDOOHUWLPH
period is used, but two years is the minimum. The betas are adjusted for their long-term tendency to converge toward 1.00.”

Table IV. Betas for Corporate Survey Respondents


Bloomberg Betas Value Line Barra Range
2-year raw 5-year raw 2-year 5-year Beta Beta Max-Min
adjusted adjusted
AmerisourceBergen 0.60 0.61 0.74 0.74 0.70 0.64 0.14
Caterpillar 1.48 1.45 1.32 1.30 1.35 1.47 0.18
Chevron 1.11 1.01 1.07 1.01 0.95 0.99 0.16
Coca-Cola 0.58 0.55 0.72 0.70 0.60 0.53 0.19
Costco Wholesale 0.64 0.73 0.76 0.82 0.75 0.64 0.18
IBM 0.85 0.83 0.90 0.89 0.85 0.73 0.17
International Paper 1.37 1.57 1.25 1.38 1.40 1.37 0.32
Intuit 0.92 0.71 0.95 0.80 0.90 0.77 0.24
Johnson Controls 1.56 1.41 1.38 1.28 1.30 1.40 0.29
PepsiCo 0.34 0.46 0.56 0.64 0.60 0.54 0.30
Qualcomm 1.10 0.85 1.07 0.90 0.85 1.10 0.26
Sysco 0.62 0.79 0.75 0.86 0.70 0.60 0.26
Target 0.54 1.07 0.69 1.04 0.90 0.82 0.53
Texas Instruments 1.13 0.92 1.09 0.95 0.90 0.97 0.23
8QLRQ3DFL¿F 1.14 1.08 1.09 1.05 1.15 0.96 0.19
United Technologies 1.17 0.99 1.12 0.99 1.00 0.96 0.21
UPS 0.85 0.92 0.90 0.95 0.85 0.84 0.11
::*UDLQJHU 0.98 0.91 0.98 0.94 0.95 1.05 0.14
Walt Disney 1.20 1.10 1.13 1.06 1.00 0.96 0.24
Mean 0.96 0.94 0.97 0.96 0.93 0.91 0.23
Median 0.98 0.92 0.98 0.95 0.90 0.96 0.21
Standard Deviation 0.34 0.30 0.23 0.20 0.23 0.28 0.09

Value Line betas are as of January 11, 2013.


Bloomberg betas are as of Jan 22, 2013. The adjusted beta is calculated as 2/3 times the raw beta plus 1/3 times 1.0.
%DUUDEHWDVDUHIURP-DQXDU\6RXUFH%DUUD7KH%DUUDGDWDFRQWDLQHGKHUHLQDUHWKHSURSHUW\RI%DUUD,QF%DUUDLWVDI¿OLDWHVDQG
information providers make no warranties with respect to any such data. The Barra data contained herein is used under license and may
not be further used, distributed or disseminated without the express written consent of Barra.
26 JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

Table V. Choice of Beta


We asked our sample companies and advisors "what do you use as your beta estimate?" A sampling of responses shows the choice is not
always a simple one.

³:HXVH%ORRPEHUJ¶VGHIDXOWFDOFXODWLRQ:HWDNHVSHFLDOFDUHWRVXSSRUWEHWDFKRVHQLIGRLQJDQDFTXLVLWLRQRUPDMRULQYHVWPHQW´
“We use Bloomberg (both historical and historical adjusted) plus Barra and calibrate based on comparing the results.”
“We use our beta and check against those of competitors. We unlever the peers and then relever to our capital structure. The results come
SUHWW\FORVHWRRXURZQEHWDVRWKDW
VFRQ¿UPLQJ´
“We use the median beta of comparable companies, based on analysis of size and business. We have a third party identify comparable
companies and betas.”
We use Barra and Bloomberg and triangulate based on those numbers. The problem comes up for getting a pure play for a division or a
company that hasn’t been public for a long time. We then have to pick comparable companies.”
(DFKOLQHRIEXVLQHVVKDVLWVRZQSHHUJURXSRIFRPSDQLHVDQGFRVWRIFDSLWDO8VLQJ¿YH\HDUEHWDVIURP%ORRPEHUJZH¿QGDQDYHUDJH
unlevered beta for the peer group and then relever to our corporate-wide capital structure.”

ULVNIDFWRUVGDLO\WKHSUHGLFWHGEHWDUHÀHFWVFKDQJHVLQWKH C. Equity Market Risk Premium


company’s underlying risk structure in a timely manner.”11
This topic prompted the greatest variety of responses
Table III shows the compromises underlying the beta
DPRQJ VXUYH\ SDUWLFLSDQWV )LQDQFH WKHRU\ VD\V WKH HTXLW\
estimates of three prominent providers (Bloomberg, Value
PDUNHW ULVN SUHPLXP VKRXOG HTXDO WKH H[FHVV UHWXUQ
Line and Barra) and their combined effect on the beta
expected by investors on the market portfolio relative to
estimates of our sample companies. The mean beta of our
riskless assets. How one measures expected future returns
sample companies is similar from all providers, 0.96 from
on the market portfolio and on riskless assets is a problem
Bloomberg, 0.93 according to Value Line, and 0.91 from
left to practitioners. Because expected future returns are
Barra. On the other hand, the averages mask differences for
unobservable, past surveys of practice have routinely
individual companies. Table IV provides a complete list of
revealed a wide array of choices for the market risk premium.
sample betas by provider.
For instance, Fernandez, Aguirreamalloa, and Corres (2011)
Over half of the corporations in our sample (Table II,
survey professors, analysts and companies on what they
Question 10) cite Bloomberg as the source for their beta
use as a US market risk premium. Of those who reported a
estimates, and some of the 37% that say they calculate
reference to justify their choice, the single most mentioned
their own may use Bloomberg data and programs. 26% of
source was Ibbotson/Morningstar, but even among those
the companies cite some other published source and 26%
citing this reference, there was a wide dispersion of market
explicitly compare a number of beta sources before making
risk premium estimates used. Carleton and Lakonishok
D ¿QDO FKRLFH $PRQJ ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV WKHUH LV VWURQJ
(1985) demonstrate empirically some of the problems with
reliance on fundamental betas with 89% of the advisors
such historical premiums when they are disaggregated for
using Barra as a source. Many advisors (44%) also use
GLIIHUHQW WLPH SHULRGV RU JURXSV RI ¿UPV 'LPVRQ 0DUVK
%ORRPEHUJ$ERXWDWKLUGRIERWKFRPSDQLHVDQG¿QDQFLDO
and Staunton (2011a, 2011b) discuss evidence from an array
advisors mentioned levering and unlevering betas even
of markets around the globe.
though we did not ask them for this information. And in
How do our best practice companies cope? Among
UHVSRQVH WR D TXHVWLRQ DERXW XVLQJ GDWD IURP RWKHU ¿UPV
¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV  H[WUDSRODWH KLVWRULFDO UHWXUQV LQWR
(Table II, Question 12), the majority of companies and all
the future on the presumption that past experience heavily
advisors take advantage of data on comparable companies to
conditions future expectations. Among companies, 43%
inform their estimates of beta and capital costs.12
cite historical data and another 16% use various sources
Within these broad categories, the comments in Table
inclusive of historical data. Unlike the results of our earlier
V indicate that a number of survey participants use more
study (1998) in which historical returns were used by all
pragmatic approaches which combine published beta
companies and advisors, we found a number of respondents
estimates or adjust published estimates in various heuristic
 RI ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV DQG  RI FRPSDQLHV  XVLQJ
ways.
forward-looking estimates of the market risk premium. The
11
%DUUD  RQSDJH7KHDFWXDOTXRWHIURPPHQWLRQVPRQWKO\ advisors cited versions of the dividend discount model. The
updating. In obtaining Barra data, we learned that updates are now daily companies used a variety of methods including Bloomberg’s
VR KDYH VXEVWLWXWHG WKDW LQ WKH TXRWHV VLQFH ZH GLG QRW ¿QG DQ XSGDWHG version of the dividend discount model.13
reference.
 ௘   ௘
12 13
Conroy and Harris (2011) compare the impacts of various approaches to In our conversations, company respondents sometimes noted they used
XVLQJFRPSDUDEOHFRPSDQ\GDWDWRHVWLPDWHWKHFRVWRIFDSLWDOIRU¿UPVLQ the Bloomberg estimate of the market risk premium but did not have
WKH6 3  ௘   ௘ detailed knowledge of the calculation. As described by Bloomberg, their
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE 27

Table VI. Historical Averages to Estimate the Equity Market Risk Premium, (Rm - Rf)
Figures are the annual average risk premium calculated over the period 1926-2011 based on data drawn from Table II-I, Ibbotson (2012),
ZKHUHWKH5PZDVGUDZQIURPWKH³/DUJH&RPSDQ\6WRFNV´VHULHVDQG5IGUDZQIURPWKH³/RQJ7HUP*RYHUQPHQW%RQGV´DQG³86
Treasury Bills” series.

Relative to Relative to
T-Bill Returns T-Bond Returns
Arithmetic Mean 8.2% 5.7%
*HRPHWULF0HDQ 6.0% 3.9%

Even when historical returns are used to estimate the data from outside the US For instance, Dimson, Marsh, and
market risk premium, a host of differences emerge including 6WDXQWRQ D SURYLGHHVWLPDWHVRIKLVWRULFDOHTXLW\ULVN
what data to use and what method to use for averaging. For premiums for a number of different countries since 1900.
instance, a leading textbook cites US historical data back Since our respondents all used longer-term Treasuries as
to 1900 from Dimson and Staunton (as cited by Brealey, their risk-free rate, the right-most column of Table VI most
0\HUVDQG$OOHQ  S ZKLOHRIRXU¿QDQFLDO FORVHO\ ¿WV WKDW FKRLFH (YHQ ZKHQ UHVSRQGHQWV H[SOLFLWO\
advisors cite Ibbotson data which traces US history back to referenced the arithmetic or geometric mean of historical
1926. Among companies, only 32% explicitly cite Ibbotson UHWXUQVPDQ\URXQGHGWKH¿JXUHRUXVHGRWKHUGDWDWRDGMXVW
as their main reference for data and 11% cite other historical WKHLU¿QDOFKRLFH7KHQHWUHVXOWLVDZLGHDUUD\RIFKRLFHV
sources.14 for the market risk premium. For respondents who provided
Even using the same data, another chief difference was DQXPHULFDO¿JXUH 7DEOH,,4XHVWLRQ WKHDYHUDJHIRU
in their use of arithmetic versus geometric averages. The companies was 6.49%, very close to the average of 6.6%
arithmetic mean return is the simple average of past returns. IURP¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUV7KHVHDYHUDJHVPDVNFRQVLGHUDEOH
Assuming the distribution of returns is stable over time and variation in both groups. We had responses as low as 4%
that periodic returns are independent of one another, the and as high as 9%. The 4% value is in line with the Ibbotson
arithmetic return is the best estimator of expected return. The   KLVWRULFDO ¿JXUHV XVLQJ WKH JHRPHWULF PHDQ VSUHDG
geometric mean return is the internal rate of return between a between stocks and long-term government bonds. The upper
single outlay and one or more future receipts. It measures the end of 9 percent comes from forward-looking estimates
compound rate of return investors earned over past periods. GRQHLQZKHQ86¿QDQFLDOPDUNHWVUHÀHFWHGDYHU\ORZ
It accurately portrays historical investment experience. interest rate environment.16 We add a word of caution in how
Unless returns are the same each time period, the geometric to interpret some of the differences we found in the market
average will always be less than the arithmetic average and risk premium since the ultimate cost of capital calculation
the gap widens as returns become more volatile.15 depends on the joint choice of a risk premium, the risk-free
Based on Ibbotson data (2012) from 1926 to 2011, Table rate and beta. We return to this issue when we illustrate
9, LOOXVWUDWHV WKH SRVVLEOH UDQJH RI HTXLW\ PDUNHW ULVN potential differences in the cost of capital.
premiums depending on use of the geometric as opposed As shown in Table VII, comments in our interviews
WRWKHDULWKPHWLFPHDQHTXLW\UHWXUQDQGRQXVHRIUHDOL]HG exemplify the diversity among survey participants. This
returns on T-bills as opposed to T-bonds. Even wider variety of practice displays the challenge of application
variations in market risk premiums can arise when one since theory calls for a forward-looking risk premium, one
changes the historical period for averaging or decides to use WKDWUHÀHFWVFXUUHQWPDUNHWVHQWLPHQWDQGPD\FKDQJHZLWK
market conditions. What is clear is that there is substantial
estimates of country risk premiums are based on projections of future variation as practitioners try to operationalize the theoretical
dividends in a multistage dividend discount model. At the time of our call for a market risk premium. And, as is clear in some
survey, the US country risk premium from Bloomberg was in the range of the respondent comments, volatility in markets has
of 8-9%, well above averages from historical returns. See Harris and
Marston (2001, 2013) for discussion of changing risk premiums over time. made the challenge even harder. Compared to our earlier
 ௘   ௘ study (1998) in which respondents almost always applied
14
With only minor exceptions, our respondents used US data rather than historical averages, current practice shows a wider variation
rely on global indices for both their estimates of beta and the market in approach and considerable judgment. This situation
risk premium. Dimson, Marsh, and Staunton (2011a) discuss historical
estimates of the market risk premium using data from many countries.
points the way for valuable future research on the market
 ௘   ௘ risk premium.
15
See Brealey, Myers, and Allen (2011), pages 158-159 for the argument
to support use of an arithmetic mean. For large samples of returns, the
geometric average can be approximated as the arithmetic average minus 16
Harris and Marston (2001, 2013) discuss evidence that the market risk
RQHKDOIWKHYDULDQFHRIUHDOL]HGUHWXUQV  ௘   ௘ SUHPLXPLVLQYHUVHO\UHODWHGWRLQWHUHVWUDWHV  ௘   ௘
28 JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

Table VII. Choice of the Market Risk Premium


"What do you use as your market risk premium?" A sampling of responses from our best practice companies shows the choice can be a
complicated one.

³:HWDNHDQDYHUDJHRIDULWKPHWLFPHDQDQGJHRPHWULFPHDQIRUHTXLW\ULVNSUHPLXP´
³5HÀHFWVDMXGJPHQWDOV\QWKHVLVRIYDULRXVDFDGHPLFYLHZVDQG¿QDQFLDOPDUNHWSHUVSHFWLYHV´
“Estimate a forward-looking risk premium. Use a methodology that incorporates S&P P/E ratio. It is a more volatile metric than using a
historical risk premium. Use historicals as a sanity check.”
“6.5-7%. We ask several banks how we compare to comparable companies, including comparable size and industry.”
“Use the long-term (1926-2011) Ibbotson's S&P 500 premium over the risk-free rate.”
&RPPHQWVIURP¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVDOVRZHUHUHYHDOLQJ:KLOHVRPHVLPSO\UHVSRQGHGWKDWWKH\XVHDSXEOLVKHGKLVWRULFDODYHUDJHRWKHUV
presented a more complex picture.
"We used to apply the geometric mean, and then we switched to arithmetic. Now we use 4.6 - 6.6%, so we'll show for both ends of that
distribution. Based mainly on Ibbotson, but may add to that for emerging market companies.”
“Forward-looking estimate using dividend discount model…bank's proprietary model, which is forward-looking and uses S&P price
OHYHOSOXVSURMHFWLRQVDQGSD\RXWWRJHWDQLPSOLHGFRVWRIHTXLW\´

IV. The Impact of Various Assumptions for stream of $10 million would range between $117 million
Using CAPM and $218 million for Target, and between $109 million and
$151 million for UPS.
To illustrate the effect of these various practices on *LYHQWKHSRVLWLYH\LHOGFXUYHLQHDUO\WKHYDULDWLRQV
estimated capital costs, we mechanically selected the two in our illustration are explained by choices for all three
sample companies with the largest and smallest range of elements in applying the CAPM: the risk-free rate, beta, and
beta estimates in Table IV. We estimated the hypothetical WKHHTXLW\PDUNHWSUHPLXPDVVXPSWLRQ0RUHRYHUZHQRWH
FRVW RI HTXLW\ DQG :$&& IRU 7DUJHW &RUSRUDWLRQ ZKLFK that use of a 10-year Treasury rate in these circumstances
has the widest range in estimated betas, and for UPS which OHDGVWRTXLWHORZFRVWRIFDSLWDOHVWLPDWHVLIRQHVWLFNVWR
has the smallest range. Our estimates are “hypothetical” in traditional risk premium estimates often found in textbooks
that we do not adopt any information supplied to us by the which are in the range of 6%. From talking to our respondents,
FRPSDQLHV DQG ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV EXW UDWKHU DSSO\ D UDQJH we sense that many are struggling with how to deal with
of approaches based on publicly available information as FXUUHQW PDUNHW FRQGLWLRQV WKDW GR QRW ¿W W\SLFDO KLVWRULFDO
of early 2013. Table VIII gives Target’s estimated costs of norms, a topic we discuss in more detail in Section VI.
HTXLW\ DQG :$&&V XQGHU YDULRXV FRPELQDWLRQV RI ULVN
free rate, beta, and market risk premiums. Three clusters
of possible practice are illustrated, each in turn using betas V. Risk Adjustments to WACC
DVSURYLGHGE\%ORRPEHUJ9DOXH/LQHDQG%DUUD7KH¿UVW
approach, adopted by a number of our respondents, uses a Finance theory is clear that the discount rate should rise
10-year T-bond yield and a risk premium of 6.5% (roughly DQGIDOOLQFRQFHUWZLWKDQLQYHVWPHQW¶VULVNDQGWKDWD¿UP¶V
WKH DYHUDJH UHVSRQVH IURP ERWK FRPSDQLHV DQG ¿QDQFLDO WACC is an appropriate discount rate only for average-risk
advisors). The second approach also uses a 6.5% risk LQYHVWPHQWV E\ WKH ¿UP +LJKULVN QHZ YHQWXUHV VKRXOG
premium but moves to a 30-year rate to proxy the long-term face higher discount rates, while replacement and repair
interest rate. The third method uses the ten-year Treasury investments should face lower ones. Attracting capital
rate but a risk premium of 9%, consistent with what some UHTXLUHV WKDW SURVSHFWLYH UHWXUQ LQFUHDVH ZLWK ULVN 0RVW
adopters of a forward-looking risk premium applied. We practitioners accept this reasoning but face two problems
repeated these general procedures for UPS when applying it. First, it is often not clear precisely how much
The resulting ranges of estimated WACCs for the two a given investment’s risk differs from average, and second,
¿UPVDUHDVIROORZV even when this amount is known, it is still not obvious how
Maximum Minimum Difference in large an increment should be added to, or subtracted from,
WACC WACC Basis Points WKH¿UP¶V:$&&WRGHWHUPLQHWKHDSSURSULDWHGLVFRXQWUDWH
Target 8.58% 4.58% 400 We probed the extent to which respondents alter
GLVFRXQWUDWHVWRUHÀHFWULVNGLIIHUHQFHVLQTXHVWLRQVDERXW
UPS 9.17% 6.62% 255
variations in project risk, strategic investments, terminal
The range from minimum to maximum is considerable for values, multidivisional companies, and synergies (Table II,
ERWK¿UPVDQGWKHHFRQRPLFLPSDFWSRWHQWLDOO\VWXQQLQJ7R Questions 13 and 17-20). Responses indicate that the great
illustrate this, the present value of a level perpetual annual SUHSRQGHUDQFHRI¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVDQGWH[WDXWKRUVVWURQJO\
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE 29

Table VIII. Variations in Cost of Capital (WACC) Estimates for Target Corporation
Using Different Methods of Implementing the Capital Asset Pricing Model
'DWDDUHDVRI-DQXDU\7KH&$30LVXVHGWRHVWLPDWHWKHFRVWRIHTXLW\,QWHUHVWUDWHVDUHIURP%ORRPEHUJDQGWKH)HGHUDO
Reserve. The cost of debt is assumed to be 4.21% (average of Aaa and Baa yields). We approximated the capital structure and tax rate
XVLQJWKHPDUNHWYDOXHRIHTXLW\DQGWKHPRVWUHFHQW¿QDQFLDOVWDWHPHQWV\LHOGLQJGHEWDVRIFDSLWDODQGDWD[UDWH

1. Ten-year Treasury rate plus risk premium of 6.5%


(Most common choice of proxy for risk-free rate and average risk premium used by respondents)
Rf=1.92%, yield to maturity on 10-year US Treasury bond
Rm-Rf=6.50%, average value for respondents
Cost of Equity Cost of Capital
Beta Service Ke WACC
%ORRPEHUJ GHIDXOW ȕ      
%ORRPEHUJ \HDUDGM ȕ     
9DOXH/LQHȕ       
  %DUUDȕ       
2. Thirty-year Treasury rate plus risk premium of 6.5%
(Longer-term maturity choice favored by some analysts)
Rf=3.03%, yield to maturity on 30-year US Treasury bond
Rm-Rf=6.5%%, average value for respondents
Cost of Equity Cost of Capital
Beta Service Ke WACC
%ORRPEHUJ GHIDXOW ȕ      
%ORRPEHUJ ¿YH\HDUDGM ȕ     
9DOXH/LQHȕ       
  %DUUDȕ       
3. Ten-year Treasury rate plus risk premium of 9.0%
(Consistent with some applications of a forward-looking risk premium estimate)
Rf=1.92%, yield to maturity on 10-year US Treasury bond
Rm-Rf=9.0%, upper-end of risk premium estimates
Cost of Equity Cost of Capital
Beta Service Ke WACC
%ORRPEHUJ GHIDXOW ȕ      
%ORRPEHUJ ¿YH\HDUDGM ȕ    
9DOXH/LQHȕ      
%DUUDȕ       

favor varying the discount rate to capture differences in risk is available about rates and prices. Correspondingly, virtually
(Table II, Questions 13, 19, and 20). Corporations, on the DOO DGYLVRUV TXHVWLRQHG YDOXH PXOWLGLYLVLRQ EXVLQHVVHV E\
other hand, are more evenly split, with a sizeable minority parts when the divisions differed materially in size and risk,
electing not to adjust discount rates for risk differences and over 90% are prepared to use separate division WACCs
among individual projects (Table II, Questions 13 and 17). WRUHÀHFWULVNGLIIHUHQFHV6LPLODUO\RIDGYLVRUVYDOXH
Comparing these results with our earlier study, it is worth merger synergies and strategic opportunities separately from
noting that while only about half of corporate respondents RSHUDWLQJFDVKÀRZVDQGDUHSUHSDUHGWRXVHGLIIHUHQW
DGMXVW GLVFRXQW UDWHV IRU ULVN WKLV ¿JXUH LV PRUH WKDQ GLVFRXQWUDWHVZKHQQHFHVVDU\RQWKHYDULRXVFDVKÀRZV
double the percentage reported in 1998. Despite continuing There is a long history of empirical research on how
hesitance, companies are apparently becoming more VKDUHKROGHU UHWXUQV YDU\ DFURVV ¿UP VL]H OHDGLQJ VRPH
comfortable with explicit risk adjustments to discount rates. academics to suggest that a small cap premium should
$ FORVHU ORRN DW VSHFL¿F UHVSRQVHV VXJJHVWV WKDW EH DGGHG WR WKH FDOFXODWHG FRVW RI FDSLWDO IRU VXFK ¿UPV17
respondents’ enthusiasm for risk-adjusting discount rates Our study focuses on large public companies, so it is not
GHSHQGV RQ WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH GDWD DYDLODEOH 7H[W DXWKRUV
OLYH LQ D ODUJHO\ GDWDIUHH ZRUOG DQG WKXV KDYH QR TXDOPV 17
%DQ]  DQG5HQJDQXP  ¿UVWLGHQWL¿HGWKDW¿UPVZLWKVPDOOHU
recommending risk adjustments whenever appropriate. market capitalization had earned higher average returns than stocks
Financial advisors are a bit more constrained. They regularly generally and higher than those predicted even if one adjusts for risk using
the CAPM. Fama and French (1992) identify size as a critical factor in
confront real-world data, but their mission is often to value H[SODLQLQJGLIIHUHQFHVLQUHWXUQV3UDWWDQG*UDERZVNL  GLVFXVVVL]H
companies or divisions where extensive market information adjustments and the use of Ibbotson data on size groupings.
30 JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

Table IX. Adjusting Discount Rates for Risk

When asked whether they adjusted discount rates for project risk, companies provided a wide range of responses.

“Yes, but [the process] is fairly ad hoc. There’s not a formal number.”
“We don’t risk adjust, [but] we make sure we’re on target by using sensitivity analysis and checking key assumptions.”
“For new deals, we add 20% to the cost of capital.”
“Yes, we make adjustments for different countries.”
“We make subjective adjustments [to our discount rate] for new technologies or products or customers, all of which carry more uncertainty.”
“We use a hurdle rate that is intentionally higher than our WACC. Recent WACC has been 9.64% and the hurdle rate is 15%, and then we
DGGTXDOLWDWLYHFRQVLGHUDWLRQVIRUWKH¿QDOGHFLVLRQ´
³*HQHUDOO\ QR IXUWKHU DGMXVWPHQWV DUH PDGH XQOHVV VSHFL¿FV DUH LGHQWL¿HG DW WKH SURMHFW OHYHO WKDW ZRXOG EH YHU\ GLIIHUHQW ULVN )RU
LQVWDQFHDFRQWUDFWXDOFDVKÀRZPLJKWEHWUHDWHGDVDGHEWHTXLYDOHQWFDVKÀRZDQGJLYHQDORZHUGLVFRXQWUDWH´

VXUSULVLQJWKDW¿UPUHVSRQVHVGRQRWUHYHDODQ\VXFKVPDOO on comparable companies inform division cost of capital


FDSDGMXVWPHQWV,QFRQWUDVW¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVZRUNZLWKD estimates. Debt markets provide surrogates for the risks
wide spectrum of companies and are thus more likely to be LQ OHDVLQJ FDVK ÀRZV DQG LQWHUQDWLRQDO ¿QDQFLDO PDUNHWV
VHQVLWLYHWRWKHLVVXH²DVLQGHHGWKH\DUH$PRQJ¿QDQFLDO shed light on cross-country risk differences. When no such
advisors interviewed, 91% said they would at times increase benchmarks exist, practitioners look to other more informal
the discount rate when evaluating small companies. Of methods for dealing with risk. In our view, then, practical
those who did make size adjustments, half mentioned using use of risk-adjusted discount rates occurs when the analyst
Ibbotson (2012) data which show differences in past returns FDQ ¿QG UHOLDEOH PDUNHW GDWD LQGLFDWLQJ KRZ FRPSDUDEOH
DPRQJ¿UPVRIGLIIHUHQWVL]H7KHDGMXVWPHQWSURFHVVYDULHG ULVNFDVKÀRZVDUHEHLQJYDOXHGE\RWKHUV
DPRQJDGYLVRUVDVWKHIROORZLQJLOOXVWUDWLYHTXRWHVVXJJHVW The same pragmatic perspective was evident when we
“Adjustments are discretionary, but we tend to adjust for DVNHG FRPSDQLHV KRZ IUHTXHQWO\ WKH\ UHHVWLPDWHG WKHLU
extreme size.” “We have used a small cap premium, but FDSLWDO FRVWV 7DEOH ,, 4XHVWLRQ   (YHQ DPRQJ ¿UPV
we don’t have a set policy to make adjustments. It is fairly WKDW UHHVWLPDWH FRVWV IUHTXHQWO\ WKHUH ZDV UHOXFWDQFH WR
subjective.” “We apply a small cap premium only for micro- alter the underlying methodology employed or to revise
cap companies.” “We use a small cap premium for $300 the way they use the number in decision making. Firms
million and below.” also appear sensitive to administrative costs, evidencing
In important ways corporate executives face a more reluctance to make small adjustments but prepared to revisit
FRPSOH[ WDVN WKDQ ¿QDQFLDO DGYLVRUV RU DFDGHPLFV the numbers at any time in anticipation of major decisions
They must routinely evaluate investments in internal RU LQ UHVSRQVH WR ¿QDQFLDO PDUNHW XSKHDYDOV %HQFKPDUN
opportunities, and new products and technologies, for which companies recognize a certain ambiguity in any cost number
objective, third party information is nonexistent. Moreover, and are willing to live with approximations. While the bond
they work in an administrative setting where decision rights market reacts to minute basis point changes in interest rates,
DUHZLGHO\GLVSHUVHGZLWKKHDGTXDUWHUVGH¿QLQJSURFHGXUHV investments in real assets involve much less precision,
and estimating discount rates, and various operating people due largely to greater uncertainty, decentralized decision-
throughout the company analyzing different aspects of a making, and time consuming decision processes. As noted in
given project. As Table IX reveals, these complexities lead Table X, one respondent evidences an extreme tolerance for
to a variety of creative approaches to dealing with risk. URXJKHVWLPDWHVLQVD\LQJWKDWWKH¿UPUHHVWLPDWHVFDSLWDO
A number of respondents describe making discount rate FRVWVHYHU\TXDUWHUEXWKDVXVHGIRUDORQJWLPHEHFDXVH
adjustments to distinguish among divisional capital costs, it “seems to have been successful so far.” Our interpretation
international as opposed to domestic investments, and LVWKDWWKHPL[HGUHVSRQVHVWRTXHVWLRQVDERXWULVNDGMXVWLQJ
leased versus purchased assets. In other instances, however, DQGUHHVWLPDWLQJGLVFRXQWUDWHVUHÀHFWDQRIWHQVRSKLVWLFDWHG
respondents indicated they hold the discount rate constant set of practical considerations. Chief among them are the
DQGGHDOZLWKULVNLQPRUHTXDOLWDWLYHZD\VVRPHWLPHVE\ size of the risk differences among investments, the volume
DOWHULQJWKHSURMHFWFDVKÀRZVEHLQJGLVFRXQWHG DQGTXDOLW\RILQIRUPDWLRQDYDLODEOHIURP¿QDQFLDOPDUNHWV
Why do corporations risk-adjust discount rates in some and the realities of administrative costs and processes.
settings and use different, often more ad hoc, approaches in When conditions warrant, practitioners routinely employ
others? Our interpretation is that risk-adjusted discount rates ULVNDGMXVWPHQWVLQSURMHFWDSSUDLVDO$FTXLVLWLRQVYDOXLQJ
are more likely to be used when the analyst can establish divisions and cross-border investments, and leasing
UHODWLYHO\ REMHFWLYH ¿QDQFLDO PDUNHW EHQFKPDUNV IRU ZKDW GHFLVLRQVZHUHIUHTXHQWO\FLWHGH[DPSOHV,QFRQWUDVWZKHQ
the risk adjustment should be. At the division level, data conditions are not favorable, practitioners are more likely
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE 31

Table X. Re-estimating the Cost of Capital


³+RZIUHTXHQWO\GR\RXUHHVWLPDWH\RXUFRPSDQ\¶VFRVWRIFDSLWDO"+HUHDUHUHVSRQVHVIURPEHVWSUDFWLFHFRPSDQLHV

“[We re-estimate] annually unless a fundamental event that is a game changer occurs, such as the banking crisis in 2008.”
“[We re-estimate] once a year around May since this is right before impairment testing.”
³:HUHHVWLPDWHWZLFHD\HDUDQGIRUVSHFLDOHYHQWVVXFKDVDPDMRUDFTXLVLWLRQ´
“We calculate the hurdle rate each year. We try to avoid any changes less than plus or minus 25 basis points.”
³)RUPDOO\ZHUHHVWLPDWHRXUFRVWRIFDSLWDOHYHU\TXDUWHUEXWJHQHUDOO\ZHKDYHXVHGIRUDORQJWLPHZKLFKVHHPVWRKDYHEHHQ
successful so far.”
Table XI. Judgments Related to Financial Market Conditions
Some of our best practice companies and advisors noted that their choice of a risk-free rate attempted to remove any unusual conditions
they saw in current market yields. We asked "What do you use for a risk-free rate?" and heard the following:

\HDU86JRYHUQPHQWERQGV,ILWVHHPVWREHXQXVXDOO\KLJKRUORZZHPD\XVHDWUDLOLQJDYHUDJHRURWKHUPRGL¿HGQXPEHU´
³8VHD¿YH\HDUUROOLQJDYHUDJHLQRUGHUWRVPRRWKRXWYRODWLOLW\DVVRFLDWHGZLWKFXUUHQWUHFHQWPDUNHWWUHQGV´
“Historically had used the spot rate yield to maturity on 10-year government bonds, but more recently have changed to thinking about
factors driving government interest rates, so we have moved away from the spot rate and toward the average yield over last 10 years.”

to rely on cruder capital cost estimates and cope with risk Others pointed to the low interest rate environment
differences by other means. resulting from Federal Reserve policies to stimulate the US
economy. Combining low interest rates and typical historical
VI. Recent Institutional and Market risk premiums created capital cost estimates that some
Developments practitioners viewed as “too low.” One company was so
distrustful of market signals that it placed an arbitrary eight
As discussed in the prior section, our interviews reveal SHUFHQWÀRRUXQGHUDQ\FRVWRIFDSLWDOHVWLPDWHQRWLQJWKDW
that the practice of cost of capital estimation is shaped “since 2008, as rates have decreased so drastically, we don’t
by forces that go beyond considerations found in usual feel that [the estimate] represents a long-term cost of capital.
academic treatments of the topic. A feature that was more Now we don’t report anything below 8% as a minimum [cost
SURQRXQFHGWKDQLQRXUSULRUVWXG\LVWKHLQÀXHQFHRIDZLGH of capital].”
array of stakeholders. For instance, a number of companies Among the minority who did revise their estimation
voiced that any change in estimation methods would raise procedures to cope with these market forces, one change was
UHG ÀDJV ZLWK DXGLWRUV ORRNLQJ IRU SURFHVV FRQVLVWHQF\ LQ to put more reliance on historical numbers when estimating
key items such as impairment estimates. Some advisors interest rates as indicated in Table XI. This is in sharp contrast
mentioned similar concerns, citing their work in venues WRERWK¿QDQFHWKHRU\DQGZKDWZHIRXQGLQRXUSULRUVWXG\
where consistency and precedent were major considerations Such rejection of spot rates in favor of historical averages
(e.g. fairness opinions, legal settings). Moreover, some or arbitrary numbers is inconsistent with the academic view
companies noted that they “outsourced” substantial parts of WKDWKLVWRULFDOGDWDGRQRWDFFXUDWHO\UHÀHFWFXUUHQWDWWLWXGHV
their estimation to advisors or data providers. These items in competitive markets. The academic challenge today is to
serve as a reminder that the art of cost of capital estimation better articulate the extent to which the superiority of spot
and its use are part of a larger process of management—not rates still applies when markets are highly volatile and when
VLPSO\DQDSSOLFDWLRQRI¿QDQFHWKHRU\ governments are aggressively attempting to lower rates
7KH ¿QDQFLDO upheaval in 2008-2009 provided a natural WKURXJKVXFKLQLWLDWLYHVDVTXDQWLWDWLYHHDVLQJ
test of respondents’ commitment to existing cost of Another change in estimation methods since our earlier
capital estimation methodologies and applications. When VWXG\LVUHÀHFWHGLQWKHIDFWWKDWPRUHFRPSDQLHVDUHXVLQJ
confronted with a major external shock, did companies make forward-looking risk premiums as we reported earlier and
wholesale changes or did they keep to existing practices? illustrated in Table VII. Since the forward-looking premiums
:KHQZHDVNHGFRPSDQLHVDQGDGYLVRUVLI¿QDQFLDOPDUNHW cited by our respondents were higher than historical risk
conditions in 2008-2009 caused them to change the way they premiums, they mitigated or offset to some degree the
estimate and use the cost of capital (Table II, Question 15), impact of low interest rates on estimated capital costs.18
RYHUWKUHH¿IWKVUHSOLHG³1R´,QWKHPDLQWKHQWKHUHZDV
not a wholesale change in methods. That said, a number of 18
3UDWWDQG*UDERZVNL (2010) provide a discussion of estimating forward
respondents noted discomfort with cost of capital estimation looking risk premiums. Harris and Marston (2001, 2013) discuss evidence
in recent years. Some singled out high volatility in markets. that the market risk premium is inversely related to interest rates.
32 JOURNAL OF APPLIED FINANCE – NO. 1, 2013

VII. Conclusions ‡ :$&&VKRXOGEHULVNDGMXVWHGWRUHÀHFWVXEVWDQWLYHGLI-


:$&&VKRXOGEHULVNDGMXVWHGWRUHÀHFWVXEVWDQWLYHGLI
ferences among different businesses in a corporation. For
Our research sought to identify the “best practice” in LQVWDQFH¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVJHQHUDOO\¿QGWKHFRUSRUDWH
cost of capital estimation through interviews with leading WACC to be inappropriate for valuing different parts of
FRUSRUDWLRQVDQG¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUV*LYHQWKHKXJHDQQXDO DFRUSRUDWLRQ*LYHQSXEOLFO\WUDGHGFRPSDQLHVLQGLIIHU-
H[SHQGLWXUH RQ FDSLWDO SURMHFWV DQG FRUSRUDWH DFTXLVLWLRQV ent businesses, such risk adjustment involves only mod-
each year, the wise selection of discount rates is of material est revision in the WACC and CAPM approaches already
importance to senior corporate managers. used. Corporations also cite the need to adjust capital
Consistent with our 1998 study of the same topic, this costs across national boundaries. In situations where
survey reveals broad acceptance of the WACC as the basis market proxies for a particular type of risk class are not
for setting discount rates. In addition, the survey reveals DYDLODEOHEHVWSUDFWLFHLQYROYHV¿QGLQJRWKHUPHDQVWR
general alignment between the advice of popular textbooks account for risk differences.
and the practices of leading companies and corporate
advisors in many aspects of the estimation of WACC. The %HVW SUDFWLFH LV ODUJHO\ FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK ¿QDQFH WKHRU\
main continuing area of notable disagreement is in the Despite broad agreement at the theoretical level, however,
details of implementing the CAPM to estimate the cost of several problems in application can lead to wide divergence
HTXLW\7KLVSDSHURXWOLQHVWKHYDULHWLHVRISUDFWLFHLQ&$30 in estimated capital costs. Based on our results, we believe
use, the arguments in favor of different approaches, and the that two areas of practice cry out for further applied research.
practical implications of differing choices. First, practitioners need additional tools for sharpening their
In summary, we believe that the following elements assessment of relative project and market risk. The variation
represent “best current practice” in the estimation of WACC: LQFRPSDQ\VSHFL¿FEHWDHVWLPDWHVIURPGLIIHUHQWSXEOLVKHG
sources can create substantial differences in capital cost
‡ Weights should be based on market-value mixes of debt estimates. Moreover, the use of risk-adjusted discount rates
DQGHTXLW\ appears limited by lack of good market proxies for different
‡ The after-tax cost of debt should be estimated from mar- ULVNSUR¿OHV:HEHOLHYHWKDWDSSURSULDWHXVHRIFRPSDUDEOH
ginal pretax costs, combined with marginal tax rates. risk, cross-industry or other risk categories deserves further
H[SORUDWLRQ6HFRQGSUDFWLWLRQHUVFRXOGEHQH¿WIURPIXUWKHU
‡ CAPM is currently the preferred model for estimating UHVHDUFK RQ HVWLPDWLQJ WKH HTXLW\ PDUNHW ULVN SUHPLXP
WKHFRVWRIHTXLW\ Current practice still relies primarily on averaging past data
‡ Betas are drawn substantially from published sources. over often lengthy periods and yields a wide range of estimates.
Where a number of statistical publishers disagree, best Use of forward-looking valuation models to estimate the
practice often involves judgment to estimate a beta. implied market risk premium could be particularly helpful
Moreover, practitioners often look to data on comparable to practitioners dealing with volatile markets. As the next
companies to help benchmark an appropriate beta. generation of theories sharpens our insights, we feel that
‡ 5LVNIUHHUDWHVKRXOGPDWFKWKHWHQRURIWKHFDVKÀRZV research attention to the implementation of existing theory
being valued. For most capital projects and corporate can make for real improvements in practice.
DFTXLVLWLRQV WKH \LHOG RQ WKH 86 JRYHUQPHQW 7UHDVXU\ In fundamental ways, our conclusions echo those of our
bond of ten or more years in maturity would be appropri- VWXG\¿IWHHQ\HDUVDJR2XUFRQYHUVDWLRQVZLWKSUDFWLWLRQHUV
ate. serve as a reminder that cost of capital estimation is part of
‡ &KRLFHRIDQHTXLW\PDUNHWULVNSUHPLXPLVWKHVXEMHFWRI the larger art of management—not simply an application
considerable controversy both as to its value and method RI ¿QDQFH WKHRU\ 7KHUH LV DQ ROG VD\LQJ WKDW WRR RIWHQ LQ
of estimation. While the market risk premium averages business we measure with a micrometer, mark with a pencil,
about 6.5% across both our “best practice” companies DQG FXW ZLWK DQ D[ 'HVSLWH WKH PDQ\ DGYDQFHV LQ ¿QDQFH
DQG¿QDQFLDODGYLVRUVWKHUDQJHRIYDOXHVVWDUWVIURPD theory, the particular “ax” available for estimating company
low of around 4% and ends with a high of 9%. capital costs remains a blunt one. Best practice companies
can expect to estimate their weighted average cost of capital
‡ Monitoring for changes in WACC should be keyed to with an accuracy of no more than plus or minus 100 to
PDMRULQYHVWPHQWRSSRUWXQLWLHVRUVLJQL¿FDQWFKDQJHVLQ 150 basis points. This has important implications for how
¿QDQFLDOPDUNHWUDWHVEXWVKRXOGEHGRQHDWOHDVWDQQXDO- managers use the cost of capital in decision making. First,
O\$FWXDOO\ÀRZLQJDFKDQJHWKURXJKDFRUSRUDWHV\VWHP do not mistake capital budgeting for bond pricing. Despite
of project appraisal and compensation targets must be the tools available, effective capital appraisal continues
done gingerly and only when there are material changes. WR UHTXLUH WKRURXJK NQRZOHGJH RI WKH EXVLQHVV DQG ZLVH
BROTHERSON ET AL. – “BEST PRACTICES” IN ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL: AN UPDATE 33

business judgment. Second, be careful not to throw out the ¿QDQFH SHRSOH FDQQRW SURYLGH D SUHFLVH QXPEHU :KHQ LQ
baby with the bath water. Do not reject the cost of capital and need, even a blunt ax is better than nothing.„
DWWHQGDQW DGYDQFHV LQ ¿QDQFLDO PDQDJHPHQW EHFDXVH \RXU

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