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Unemployment
Unemployment
Unemployment
Unemployment is an important statistic used by the government to gauge the health of the economy. If
unemployment gets too high, the government will try to stimulate the economy and create jobs with expansionary
monetary or fiscal policy. It will also create additional benefits to aid the unemployed until they can find jobs.
The BLS measures unemployment through monthly household surveys, called the Current Population Survey
(CPS). It has been conducted every month since 1940, as part of the government's response to the Great Depression.
It has been modified several times since then, and experienced a major redesign in 1994. This included a revamping
of the questionnaire, the use of computer-assisted interviewing, and revisions to some of the labor force concepts.
Nationally, unemployment is caused when the economy slows down, and businesses are forced to cut costs
by reducing payroll expenses. Unemployment can also be caused by competition in specific industries or companies.
Advanced technology, such as computers or robots, cause unemployment by replacing worker tasks with machines.
The consequences of unemployment for the economy are less consumer spending, as workers have less
money to spend until they find another job. If high national unemployment continues, it can deepen a recession or
even cause a depression. That's because less consumer spending from unemployed workers reduces business
revenue, which forces them to cut more payroll to reduce their costs.
Frictional Unemployment: Frictional unemployment is a temporary condition. This unemployment occurs when
an individual is out of his current job and looking for another job. The time period of shifting between two jobs is known
as frictional unemployment. The probability of getting a job is high in a developed economy and this lowers the
probability of frictional unemployment. There are employment insurance programs to tide over frictional unemployment
Structural Unemployment: Structural unemployment occurs due to the structural changes within an economy.
This type of unemployment occurs when there is a mismatch of skilled workers in the labor market. Some of the
causes of the structural unemployment are geographical immobility (difficulty in moving to a new work location),
occupational immobility (difficulty in learning a new skill) and technological change (introduction of new techniques
and technologies that need less labor force). Structural unemployment depends on the growth rate of an economy and
also on the structure of an industry.
Classical Unemployment: Classical unemployment is also known as the real wage unemployment or
disequilibrium unemployment. This type of unemployment occurs when trade unions and labor organization bargain
for higher wages, which leads to fall in the demand for labor.
Cyclical Unemployment: Cyclic unemployment when there is a recession. When there is a downturn in an
economy, the aggregate demand for goods and services decreases and demand for labor decreases. At the time of
recession, unskilled and surplus labors
become unemployed. Read about causes of
economic recession.
Causes of Unemployment:
Recession and the gap in the demand
and supply are the causes of unemployment.
An unemployment situation occurs as long as
the demand-supply gap persists. Another
cause of unemployment is financial crisis and
economic depression.
If an unemployment situation continues for a long period of time, it is called as long-term unemployment.
During this period, an unemployed individual could apply for unemployment compensation. The main objective of
unemployment compensation is to provide partial and temporary wages to involuntarily unemployed workers who
were recently laid off. Another aim of unemployment compensation is to stabilize the economy at the time of
recession.
Are you aware of unemployment insurance programs? Unemployment insurance programs were introduced
immediately after the Great Depression of 1930s. The main aim of unemployment insurance is to provide temporary
income to an unemployed individual and his dependents to tide over the period of unemployment. Unemployment
insurance programs help cushion the impact of the downturn of an economy at the time of recession.
To sum up, unemployment is a nightmare faced by the workforce around the globe at the times of recession
or when there is a downturn in the economy.
Now we see that in Pakistan what is the situation of unemployment and what are its economic and social
impacts.
In Pakistan labour force include all persons who are of ten years and above, and during the period are without
work, currently available for work and seeking for work. On the basis of the existing population of 142.87 millions with
Labour force participation rate of 27.46 percent, the total labour force comes to 39.24 million. According to these about
2.4 million persons of labour force were estimated as unemployed in 1999, as construction and transport sectors have
absorbed 11.2 percent, 6.8 percent and 5.7 percent, compared to 10.5 percent, 7.2 percent and 5.0 percent
respectively in 1994-95.
According to Labour Force Survey 1996-97, the rate of open unemployment was 6.1 percent and 5.4 percent
as per Labour Force Survey of 1994-95. This indicates that rate of unemployment has increased between these two
surveys by 0.7 percent officially but unofficially unemployment is much larger than this rate.
Often it is perceived that
unemployment rate of rural areas is
greater because in rural areas there are
less chances of employment as compared
to urban areas where there are more
chances of employment due to more
industries. So now we see the annual
unemployed labour force by urban/rural
areas since 1993 to 1999, which is given in
table below:
Economic impact:
From Okun's law we know that for every 2% fall in GNP relative to potential GNP, the unemployment rate
rises by 1% point. High unemployment is a symptom of waste — for during recessions, when unemployment is high,
the economy is not producing up to high level. When economy is not producing sufficiently, we can say that we are
unable to use our full resources for production purposes. Economy will not grow as fast as it can if become able to
produce at high level.
Social impacts:
However large the cost to economy of unemployment, a recounting of Rupees lost does not adequately
convey the human, social and psychological toll that periods of persistent involuntary unemployment bring.
Although unemployment has plagued capitalism, the Industrial Revolution, understanding its causes and costs
has been possible only with the rise of modern macroeconomic theory. It is apparent that recessions and the
associated high unemployment are extremely costly to the economy.
Unemployment is classified into three categories (a) Frictional unemployment (workers who are simply moving
between jobs (b) structural unemployment (workers who are in regions or industries that are in persistent slump) (c)
cyclical unemployment (workers who laid off when the overall economy suffers a downturn. In Pakistan unemployment
is of structural and cyclical nature.
Understanding the sources of unemployment has proved one of the major challenges of modern
macroeconomics. Voluntary unemployment may be or when qualified people chose not to work out the going wage
rate unemployment occur. The key element in understanding involuntary unemployment is the inflexibility of wages in
the face of economic shocks. The same situation is in Pakistan, inflexibility arises because of costs involved in
administering the compensation system.
The upward creep in the natural rate arises mainly because of demographic trends particularly the higher
proportion of teenagers in the labour force. In addition, government policies are also increasing unemployment rate
i.e. Golden Shake Hand, ban on jobs increasing unemployment rate.
Role of Government:
The government is trying to reduce the unemployment rate. Under Prime Minister's Self Employment Scheme,
different Banks and Small Business Finance Corporations are extending loans to unemployed youths and skilled
professionals having diploma/degree and business experience. Loans ranging from Rs.10,000 to be Rs.500,000 for
small business and from Rs.500,000 to Rs.5,000,000 for small industries etc. Small Business Finance Corporation is
playing role in reducing unemployment. Up to March 1999, the Small Business Finance Corporation has sanctioned
Rs.2, 208.4 million, against amounting to Rs.1; 551.95 million have been disbursed to 9,383 persons.
The SBFC has generated employment for 28,149 persons under the Prime Minister's Self-Employment
Scheme up to March 31, 1999. A Small and Medium Enterprises Development (SMEDA) has been setup for growth
and development of self-employment schemes in Pakistan.
During the year 1998 about 104,000 persons have been sent abroad for employment under Govt. overseas
employment schemes.
The liberal economic and fiscal policies of the government may reduce unemployment rate because they can
create new job opportunities and business in the country. There is a need to announce an economic revival package
to stimulate investment and industrial production, boost exports, and broaden the tax bases and lower tariffs.
In addition, construction of additional motorways and setting up of industrial zones throughout the country
would also generate new opportunities for employment in the country.
Suggestions:
1) Govt. should make efforts to push economic growth process.
2) For this purpose Economic Revival Package should announce for the revival of industries sector, to stimulate
production and investment.
3) Govt. should seriously try to boost exports through broadening the tax base and lowering tariffs.
4) Govt. should announce a package for the development of agriculture sector.
5) Beside this a number of fiscal and monetary measures should take to attract industrialists and particularly
foreign investment.
6) More Technical and Vocational training facilities should be provided. In this way unemployed people will get
the chance to enhance their skills and become able to earn reasonable income.
7) With a view to reduce educate unemployment; self-employment scheme should be encouraged in true
manners.