PERIODO DEMANDA PROMEDIO SIMPLE PROMEDIO PONDERADO

4 51 51 50.6
5 58 49 49.5
6 62 52 52.6
7 55 57 57.5
8 48 58 58
9 39 55 54.3
10 44 47 46.5
11 49 44 43.7
12 55 44 44.5
13 61 49 49.9
14 70 55 55.6
15 58 62 62.8

650.000 623.000 625.500

54.167 51.917 52.125
 PROMEDIO SIMPLE
SUAVIZADO EXPONENCIAL SUAVIZADO EXPONENCIAL D CFE MAD
47.1 59.05 0 0
48.5 59.17 9 9
51.8 61.54 10 10
55.4 64.54 -2 2
55.2 62.7 -10 10
52.7 57 -16 16
47.9 47.63 -3 3
46.5 42.77 5 5
47.4 42.24 11 11
50.1 45.78 12 12
53.9 52.31 15 15
59.5 62.19 -4 4

616.000 656.920 27 97
51.333 54.743 2.25 8.08
PROMEDIO SIMPLE PROMEDIO PONDERADO
MSE MAPE CFE MAD MSE MAPE
0 0.00 0.4 0.4 0.16 0.784
81 15.52 8.5 8.5 72.25 14.655
100 16.13 9.4 9.4 88.36 15.161
4 3.64 -2.5 2.5 6.25 4.545
100 20.83 -10 10 100 20.833
256 41.03 -15.3 15.3 234.09 39.231
9 6.82 -2.5 2.5 6.25 5.682
25 10.20 5.3 5.3 28.09 10.816
121 20.00 10.5 10.5 110.25 19.091
144 19.67 11.1 11.1 123.21 18.197
225 21.43 14.4 14.4 207.36 20.571
16 6.90 -4.8 4.8 23.04 8.276

1081 182 24.5 94.7 999.31 177.843

90.08 15.18 2.0417 7.8917 83.2758 14.8203
 SUAVIZADO EXPONENCIAL SUAVIZADO EXPONENCIAL D
CFE MAD MSE MAPE CFE MAD MSE
3.9 3.9 15.21 7.647 -8.05 8.05 64.803
9.5 9.5 90.25 16.379 -1.17 1.17 1.369
10.2 10.2 104.04 16.452 0.46 0.46 0.212
-0.4 0.4 0.16 0.727 -9.54 9.54 91.012
-7.2 7.2 51.84 15.000 -14.7 14.7 216.090
-13.7 13.7 187.69 35.128 -18 18 324.000
-3.9 3.9 15.21 8.864 -3.63 3.63 13.177
2.5 2.5 6.25 5.102 6.23 6.23 38.813
7.6 7.6 57.76 13.818 12.76 12.76 162.818
10.9 10.9 118.81 17.869 15.22 15.22 231.648
16.1 16.1 259.21 23.000 17.69 17.69 312.936
-1.5 1.5 2.25 2.586 -4.19 4.19 17.556

34 87.4 908.68 162.572 -6.92 111.64 1474.433

2.833 7.283 75.723 13.548 -0.577 9.303 122.869
ONENCIAL D
MAPE
15.784
2.017
0.742
17.345
30.625
46.154
8.250
12.714
23.200
24.951
25.271
7.224

214.278
17.857