Bulan Penjualan MA1 MA2 MA3 MA4

Jan 10
Feb 12 10
Mar 13 12 11.00
Apr 16 13 12.50 11.67
Mei 19 16 14.50 13.67 12.75
Jun 23 19 17.50 16.00 15
Jul 26 23 21.00 19.33 17.75
Aug 30 26 24.50 22.67 21
Sep 28 30 28.00 26.33 24.5
Okt 18 28 29.00 28.00 26.75
Nov 16 18 23.00 25.33 25.5
Des 14 16 17.00 20.67 23
Jan ???? 14 15.00 16.00 19
 Absolut
eMA1 eMA2 eMA3 eMA4 eMA1

2.00 2.00
1.00 2.00 1.00
3.00 3.50 4.33 3.00
3.00 4.50 5.33 6.25 3.00
4.00 5.50 7.00 8.00 4.00
3.00 5.00 6.67 8.25 3.00
4.00 5.50 7.33 9.00 4.00
-2.00 0.00 1.67 3.50 2.00
-10.00 -11.00 -10.00 -8.75 10.00
-2.00 -7.00 -9.33 -9.50 2.00
-2.00 -3.00 -6.67 -9.00 2.00
Total 36.00
MAD 3.27
Absolut Absolut Absolut Kuadrat Kuadrat Kuadrat
eMA2 eMA3 eMA4 eMA1 eMA2 eMA3

4.00
2.00 1.00 4.00
3.50 4.33 9.00 12.25 18.78
4.50 5.33 6.25 9.00 20.25 28.44
5.50 7.00 8.00 16.00 30.25 49.00
5.00 6.67 8.25 9.00 25.00 44.44
5.50 7.33 9.00 16.00 30.25 53.78
0.00 1.67 3.50 4.00 0.00 2.78
11.00 10.00 8.75 100.00 121.00 100.00
7.00 9.33 9.50 4.00 49.00 87.11
3.00 6.67 9.00 4.00 9.00 44.44
47.00 58.33 62.25 176.00 301.00 428.78
4.70 6.48 7.78 16.00 30.10 47.64
MSE 4.00 5.49 6.90
Kuadrat
eMA4 eMA1/a eMA2/a eMA3/a eMA4/a

0.16667
0.07692 0.15385
0.18750 0.21875 0.27083
39.06 0.15789 0.23684 0.28070 0.32895
64.00 0.17391 0.23913 0.30435 0.34783
68.06 0.11538 0.19231 0.25641 0.31731
81.00 0.13333 0.18333 0.24444 0.30000
12.25 -0.07143 0.00000 0.05952 0.12500
76.56 -0.55556 -0.61111 -0.55556 -0.48611
90.25 -0.12500 -0.43750 -0.58333 -0.59375
81.00 -0.14286 -0.21429 -0.47619 -0.64286
512.19
64.02 MAPE
8.00
Absolut Absolut Absolut Absolut
eMA1/a eMA2/a eMA3/a eMA4/a

0.16667
0.07692 0.15385
0.18750 0.21875 0.27083
0.15789 0.23684 0.28070 0.32895
0.17391 0.23913 0.30435 0.34783
0.11538 0.19231 0.25641 0.31731
0.13333 0.18333 0.24444 0.30000
0.07143 0.00000 0.05952 0.12500
0.55556 0.61111 0.55556 0.48611
0.12500 0.43750 0.58333 0.59375
0.14286 0.21429 0.47619 0.64286
1.90646 2.48711 3.03134 3.14180
0.17 0.25 0.34 0.39
 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Periode Penjualan Aktual
1 180 175.00 175.00 175.00 175.00
2 168 175.00 176.00 262.5 177
3 159 174.3 174.40 172.9 173.4
4 175 172.77 171.32 168.73 167.64
5 190 172.99 172.06 170.61 170.58
6 205 174.694 175.64 176.43 178.35
7 180 177.72 181.52 185.00 189.01
8 182 177.95 181.21 183.50 185.41
178.36 181.37 183.05 184.04
 0.5 Eror
eMA1 eMA2 eMA3 eMA4
175.00 5.00
177.5 -7.00 -1.00
172.75 -15.30 -0.10 1.50
167.00 2.23 1.45 2.59 1.09
171.00 17.01 0.94 1.44 0.03
180.50 30.31 -0.95 -0.78 -1.92
192.75 2.28 -3.79 -3.48 -4.01
186.38 4.05 -3.26 -2.29 -1.91
184.19 Total
MAD
Absolut Kuadrat
eMA1 eMA2 eMA3 eMA4 eMA1
5.00 25.00
7.00 1.00 49.00
15.30 0.10 1.50 234.09
2.23 1.45 2.59 1.09 4.97
17.01 0.94 1.44 0.03 289.24
30.31 0.95 0.78 1.92 918.47
2.28 3.79 3.48 4.01 5.18
4.05 3.26 2.29 1.91 16.39
83.17 11.49 12.09 8.96 Total 1542.34
7.56 1.15 1.34 1.12 Dibagi/MAD 140.21
Di Akar 11.84
Kuadrat Kuadrat Kuadrat
eMA2 eMA3 eMA4 eMA1/a eMA2/a eMA3/a
0.0278
1.00 -0.0417 -0.0057
0.01 2.25 -0.0962 -0.0006 0.0086
2.10 6.71 1.19 0.0127 0.0084 0.0151
0.88 2.09 0.00 0.0895 0.0054 0.0084
0.90 0.61 3.70 0.1478 -0.0054 -0.0045
14.38 12.14 16.09 0.0126 -0.0213 -0.0192
10.63 5.23 3.64 0.0222 -0.0183 -0.0126
29.90 29.02 24.61
2.99 3.22 3.08
1.73 1.80 1.75
 Absolut
eMA4/a eMA1/a eMA2/a eMA3/a eMA4/a
0.027777778
0.041666667 0.005714286
0.096226415 0.000573723 0.008600917
0.0065 0.012742857 0.008392661 0.015117908 0.006460025
0.0002 0.089510526 0.005416404 0.008398428 0.000158255
-0.0109 0.14783561 0.005444386 0.004457291 0.010897949
-0.0217 0.012642611 0.021333658 0.019191438 0.021680342
-0.0104 0.022242324 0.018323913 0.012619984 0.010390057
Total 0.450644788 0.065199031 0.068385967 0.049586627
MAPE 0.040967708 0.006519903 0.007598441 0.006198328