Risk Factors For Post Induction Hypotension in Children Presenting For Surgery

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Pediatric Surgery International

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00383-018-4359-5

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Risk factors for post-induction hypotension in children presenting


for surgery
Tariq M. Wani1 · Mohammed Hakim2 · Archana Ramesh4 · Shabina Rehman5 · Yasser Majid3 · Rebecca Miller2 ·
Dmitry Tumin2 · Joseph D. Tobias2

Accepted: 9 October 2018


© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2018

Abstract
Background  Preoperative factors have been correlated with pre-incision hypotension (PIH) in children undergoing surgery,
suggesting that PIH can be predicted through preoperative screening. We studied blood pressure (BP) changes in the 12 min
following the induction of anesthesia to study the incidence of post-induction hypotension and to assess the feasibility of
predicting PIH in low-risk children without preoperative hypotension or comorbid features.
Methods  We retrospectively evaluated 200 patients ranging in age from 2 to 8 years with American Society of Anesthesiolo-
gists’ (ASA) physical status I or II, undergoing non-cardiac surgery. Patients were excluded if they had preoperative (baseline)
hypotension (systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 5th percentile for age). BP and heart rate (HR) were recorded at 3 min intervals
for 12 min after the induction of anesthesia. Pre-incision hypotension (PIH) was initially defined as SBP < 5th percentile
for age: (1) at any timepoint within 12 min of induction; (2) for the median SBP obtained during the 12 min study period;
or (3) at 2 or more timepoints including the final point at 12 min after the induction of anesthesia (sustained hypotension).
In addition, we examined PIH defined as > 20% decrease in SBP from baseline: (4) at any timepoint within 12 min of the
induction of anesthesia; (5) for the median SBP obtained during the 12 min study period; or (6) at two or more timepoints
including the final point at 12 min after the induction of anesthesia. Agreement among the six definitions was analyzed, in
addition to the effects of age, gender, type of anesthetic induction, use of premedication, preoperative BP, preoperative HR,
and body mass index on the incidence of PIH according to each definition.
Results  Five patients were excluded due to baseline hypotension and six were excluded for missing data. In the remaining
cohort, estimated PIH prevalence ranged from 4% [definition (Stewart et al., in Paediatr Anaesth 26:844–851, 2016), sustained
PIH according to SBP percentile-for-age] to 57% [definition (Task Force on Blood Pressure Control in Children, in Pediat-
rics 79:1–25, 1987), at least one timepoint where SBP was > 20% lower than baseline]. Pairwise agreement among the six
definitions ranged from 49 to 91% agreement. No sequelae of PIH were noted during subsequent anesthetic or postoperative
care. On multivariable analysis, no covariates were consistently associated with PIH risk across all six definitions of PIH.
Conclusion  The present study describes the incidence and prediction of PIH in a cohort of relatively healthy children. In
this setting, accurate prediction of PIH appears to be hampered by lack of agreement between definitions of PIH. Overall,
there was a low PIH incidence when the threshold of SBP < 5th percentile for age was used.
Level of evidence II.

Keywords  Pre-incision hypotension · Systolic blood pressure

3
* Mohammed Hakim Department of Anesthesia, King Fahad Medical City,
mohammed.hakim@nationwidechildrens.org Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
4
1 Department of Anesthesiology, University of Nebraska
Department of Anesthesia, Pediatric Division, Sidra
Medical Center, Nebraska, USA
Medicine, Doha, Qatar
5
2 Department of Biochemistry, School of Medicine, University
Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine,
of West Virginia, Morgantown, USA
Nationwide Children’s Hospital, 700 Children’s Drive,
Columbus, OH 43205, USA

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Pediatric Surgery International

Introduction of completing manual retrospective review, a random con-


venience sample of 200 patients ranging in age from 2 to
Hypotension after the induction of anesthesia and prior to 8 years and ASA status I and II were selected for review
incision is frequently observed in children. However, the of blood pressure (BP) and heart rate (HR) information
exact incidence, clinical consequences, and risk factors recorded at 3-min intervals after the induction of anesthe-
for pre-incision hypotension (PIH), as well as the need sia (0, 3, 6, 9, and 12 min). Patients were included only
for specific interventions, are often unclear. The previ- if there was no intervention addressing the low BP values
ous studies have identified demographic and preoperative during the study timeframe. Patients with preoperative
predictors of PIH in children undergoing various surger- hypotension, defined below, and missing data on covari-
ies, suggesting that the prediction of PIH can be improved ates were excluded from further analysis.
through preoperative screening [1–3]. These studies have The exclusion criterion of preoperative hypotension was
investigated heterogeneous cohorts of children, many preoperative SBP < 5th percentile for age with SBP per-
of whom had significant comorbid diseases and/or pre- centiles calculated using NIH guidelines and taking into
existing hypotension that may have strongly contributed account age, gender, and height-for-age Z-score [7, 8]. PIH
to intraoperative occurrence of PIH. By contrast, the lower was initially defined as SBP < 5th percentile for age: (1) at
incidence of PIH among preoperatively normotensive chil- any timepoint within 12 min of the induction of anesthesia;
dren suggests that, in relatively low-risk children, preop- (2) for the median SBP obtained during the 12-min study
erative characteristics may be less useful for predicting period; or (3) at two or more timepoints including the final
PIH [1]. point at 12 min after the induction of anesthesia (sustained
Hypotension in children has been commonly defined as hypotension). In addition, we examined the incidence of
a systolic blood pressure (SBP) below the fifth percentile PIH defined as > 20% decrease in SBP from baseline: (4) at
for age [4, 5]. Although there is currently no consensus any timepoint within 12 min of the induction of anesthesia;
on what constitutes intraoperative hypotension (IOH) in (5) for the median SBP obtained during the 12-min study
the pediatric anesthesia literature, hypotension may be period; or (6) at two or more timepoints including the final
a crucial sign of impending compromise and, therefore, point at 12 min after the induction of anesthesia. Defini-
may require prompt investigation and treatment [6]. The tions (4–6) were based on a previous survey of pediatric
present study was designed to highlight the issues related anesthesiologists, where most respondents considered IOH
to defining the post-induction hypotension. We conducted as a 20–30% decrease from baseline SBP [6].
a retrospective review assessing the incidence of and the Other data obtained for analysis included the type of
feasibility of predicting PIH in low-risk children (ASA anesthetic induction, use of premedication, preoperative
physical status I and II) with no preoperative hypotension BP, preoperative HR, body mass index (BMI; categorized
or significant comorbid conditions presenting for surgery. as underweight, normal weight, or overweight according to
We hypothesized that, in children with no preoperative gender-age-specific World Health Organization guidelines)
hypotension, the accuracy of predicting PIH according to [9], and demographic characteristics (age, gender). Data
preoperative characteristics would be limited. were summarized using means with standard deviations
for continuous variables, and counts with percentages for
categorical variables. Patient characteristics were compared
according to the presence of PIH at any timepoint in the
Methods study using unpaired t tests for continuous data and Chi-
square tests or Fisher’s exact for categorical data. Paired
This observational retrospective data analysis was t tests were used to compare post-induction hemodynamic
approved by the Hospital’s Institutional Review Board parameters to preoperative values. Agreement among the
and registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01934062). The six definitions of PIH was summarized using percent agree-
study included children (2–8 years of age) undergoing ment and the kappa statistic (κ), where κ < 0.4 was consid-
general anesthesia for non-cardiac surgery performed at ered to represent poor agreement [10]. Multivariable logistic
Nationwide Children’s Hospital (Columbus, Ohio) over a regression models of PIH used forward selection to include
6-month period. Patients with comorbid cardiac diseases covariates listed above if they were associated with each
including corrected congenital cardiac defects, previ- definition of PIH at P < 0.2. As patients with preoperative
ously diagnosed hypertension, primary pulmonary disease hypotension (preoperative SBP < 5th percentile for age) were
(including reactive airway disease), and kidney disease excluded from the analysis, preoperative SBP was consid-
were excluded from the study. Based on the incidence of ered as a continuous variable. Data analysis was performed
hypotension reported in the literature and the feasibility using Stata/IC 14.2 (College Station, TX; StataCorp, LP),
and P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

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Pediatric Surgery International

Results percentile-for-age and definitions of PIH based on SBP


percent decline from baseline was poor (percent agree-
Of the 200 patients selected for review, 5 were excluded ment ranging from 48 to 72% and kappa statistic ranging
due to preoperative hypotension at study baseline, and from 0.1 to 0.2).
additional 6 were excluded due to missing data on study In stepwise multivariable analysis predicting PIH, no
variables, thereby leaving a study cohort of 189 patients. covariates were statistically significantly associated with
The characteristics of the remaining 189 patients are PIH when it was defined as SBP < 5th percentile-for-age at
summarized according to the occurrence of PIH at any the median observation, or sustained SBP < 5th percentile-
study timepoint (using either SBP percentile-for-age or for-age (definitions 2 and 3). Multivariable logistic regres-
change in SBP from baseline) in Table  1. At all time- sion models for the remaining four definitions of PIH are
points after the induction of anesthesia, there were sig- shown in Table 4. Most importantly, no covariate was con-
nificant decreases in average SBP, diastolic blood pres- sistently associated with the various definitions of PIH. In
sure (DBP), and mean arterial pressure (MAP), relative to the case of preoperative SBP, this covariate had opposite
baseline values (Table 2). Despite these BP changes, no estimated effects on PIH risk depending on how PIH was
treatment was administered by the anesthesia team. Fur- defined. For example, higher preoperative SBP was associ-
thermore, no significant perioperative events including ated with lower risk of any SBP < 5th percentile-for-age (OR
cardiac arrest occurred due to these BP changes. Table 3 0.97; 95% CI 0.94, 1.00; P = 0.036), but higher risk of any
summarizes the prevalence of PIH and agreement among SBP > 20% decline from baseline (OR 1.10; 95% CI 1.06,
various definitions of PIH in the study cohort. The pres- 1.14; P < 0.001).
ence of PIH varied significantly according to how PIH was
defined, with the lowest prevalence of PIH estimated as
7% (defined as sustained SBP < 5th percentile-for-age) and Discussion
the highest prevalence of PIH estimated as 57% (defined
as any decline in SBP > 20% from the baseline value). PIH is frequently encountered in children under general
Agreement between the definitions of PIH based on SBP anesthesia, although causative factors and the necessity for
intervention are not always evident. Adverse events related

Table 1  Characteristics of study cohort according to the presence of hypotension at any timepoint, 0–12  min after the induction of induction
(N = 189)
Variable PIH defined as SBP < 5th percentile for age at any timepoint PIH defined as > 20% decrease of SBP from baseline at
any timepoint
PIH absent (n = 137) PIH present (n = 52) P value PIH absent (n = 82) PIH present (n = 107) P value
Mean (SD) or N (%) Mean (SD) or N (%) Mean (SD) or N (%) Mean (SD) or N (%)

Age (years) 4 (2) 4 (2) 0.990 5 (2) 4 (2) 0.047


Female 60 (44%) 16 (31%) 0.103 37 (45%) 39 (36%) 0.228
BMI-for-age category
 Underweight 10 (7%) 4 (8%) > 0.999 6 (7%) 8 (7%) 0.998
 Normal weight 90 (66%) 34 (65%) 54 (66%) 70 (65%)
 Overweight 37 (27%) 14 (27%) 22 (27%) 29 (27%)
ASA physical status
 1 42 (31%) 8 (15%) 0.034 25 (30%) 25 (23%) 0.271
 2 95 (69%) 44 (85%) 57 (70%) 82 (77%)
Type of induction
 Inhalational 114 (83%) 44 (85%) 0.878 68 (83%) 90 (84%) 0.624
 Intravenous 6 (4%) 1 (2%) 2 (2%) 5 (5%)
 Combined 17 (12%) 7 (13%) 12 (15%) 12 (11%)
Premedication 52 (38%) 19 (37%) 0.857 26 (32%) 45 (42%) 0.145
Preoperative SBP 110 (11) 106 (11) 0.017 104 (9) 112 (11) < 0.001
Preoperative HR 106 (19) 100 (17) 0.041 105 (21) 104 (17) 0.906

ASA American Society of Anesthesiologists, BMI body mass index, HR heart rate, IV intravenous, PIH preincision hypotension, SBP systolic
blood pressure (mm Hg), SD standard deviation

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Table 2  Hemodynamic changes during post-induction and pre-inci- to extreme IOH may include postoperative mortality, car-
sion period, compared to preoperative baseline values (n = 189) diac arrest, central nervous system or end-organ injury, and
Measure and timepoint Change from preoperative value prolonged postoperative recovery. In the current cohort of
after induction healthy, ASA I and II patients, the incidence varied based
Mean (SD) 95% CI P value
on the definition used, being 27.5% (52 of 189 patients) if
SBP (mmHg) the 5th percentile of the SBP for age was used versus 57.2%
 0 min − 10 (18) (8, 13) < 0.001 (107 of 189 patients) when a 20% decrease of the SBP from
 3 min − 14 (18) (12, 17) < 0.001 baseline was used. The definition required that only one low
 6 min − 18 (16) (15, 20) < 0.001 SBP meet the criteria during the various study assessment
 9 min − 17 (15) (15, 19) < 0.001 points. A more stringent definition (repeated low values)
 12 min − 16 (16) (14, 18) < 0.001 would have definitely lowered the incidence.
DBP (mmHg) The previous predictive models of PIH in children have
 0 min − 12 (15) (10, 14) < 0.001 been derived from heterogeneous cohorts including cohorts
 3 min − 18 (15) (16, 20) < 0.001 with a significant percentage of patients having preopera-
 6 min − 23 (13) (21, 24) < 0.001 tive hypotension or those with comorbid conditions [1, 2].
 9 min − 24 (12) (22, 26) < 0.001 By comparison, our study excluded children with preopera-
 12 min − 23 (12) (22, 25) < 0.001 tive hypotension, included only ASA I and II physical status
MAP (mmHg) patients, and found that prediction of factors that correlated
 0 min − 11 (16) (9, 13) < 0.001 with PIH, defined as sustained SBP < 5th percentile for age
 3 min − 16 (16) (14, 19) < 0.001 within 12 min after the induction of anesthesia, was not fea-
 6 min − 20 (13) (19, 22) < 0.001 sible due to low incidence of this outcome [1, 3]. When
 9 min − 21 (13) (19, 23) < 0.001 PIH was defined according to a decline in SBP > 20% from
 12 min − 20 (13) (19, 22) < 0.001 baseline, the estimated incidence of PIH was higher, but
HR (bpm) measures of PIH based on SBP percent decline from base-
 0 min + 12 (26) (8, 15) < 0.001 line demonstrated poor agreement with measures of PIH
 3 min + 16 (28) (12, 19) < 0.001 based on SBP percentile-for-age.
 6 min + 11 (23) (8, 14) < 0.001 Different degrees of hypotension are common during
 9 min + 10 (21) (7, 13) < 0.001 the perioperative period, and the extent of oxygen demand
 12 min + 12 (23) (9, 15) < 0.001 mismatch influences the pathophysiology behind ischemia
of various organs. Specific complications of intraopera-
CI confidence interval, DBP diastolic blood pressure, HR heart rate,
MAP mean arterial pressure, SBP systolic blood pressure, SD stand- tive hypotension (IOH) may include myocardial infarction
ard deviation due to decrease in diastolic blood pressure with possible
ischemic renal injury [11–13]; and infantile postoperative
encephalopathy, due to decrease in the cerebral perfusion
pressure [14]. In adults, low blood pressure intraopera-
tively has been associated with adverse patient outcomes

Table 3  Prevalence and agreement among definitions of pre-incision hypotension (n = 189)


PIH definition Prevalence in Agreement with competing definitions, % agreement (κ)
cohort, N (%)
(2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

SBP < 5th percentile-for-age
(1) Any timepoint 0–12 min after induction 52 (28%) 79% (κ = 0.3) 77% (κ = 0.2) 68% (κ = 0.4) 67% (κ = 0.2) 64% (κ = 0.1)
(2) Median SBP obtained within 12 min after induc- 13 (7%) 97% (κ = 0.7) 49% (κ = 0.1) 71% (κ = 0.2) 71% (κ = 0.1)
tion
(3) Two or more timepoints and sustained at 12 min 8 (4%) 48% (κ = 0.1) 70% (κ = 0.1) 72% (κ = 0.1)
SBP > 20% decline from baseline
(4) Any timepoint 0–12 min after induction 107 (57%) 76% (κ = 0.5) 74% (κ = 0.5)
(5) Median SBP obtained within 12 min after induc- 62 (33%) 91% (κ = 0.8)
tion
(6) Two or more timepoints and sustained at 12 min 58 (31%)

SBP systolic blood pressure

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Table 4  Multivariable logistic regression models of pre-incision hypotension (n = 189)


Variablea PIH ­definitionb
(1) (4) (5) (6)
OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P

Age (years) 0.7 (0.6, 0.9) 0.001 0.5 (0.4, 0.7) < 0.001 0.5 (0.4, 0.7) < 0.001
Female 0.5 (0.3, 1.1) 0.096
BMI-for-age category
 Underweight 1.3 (0.3, 6.2) 0.768 0.9 (0.1, 6.2) 0.900
 Normal weight Ref. Ref.
 Overweight 0.3 (0.1, 0.9) 0.024 0.4 (0.1, 1.0) 0.057
ASA
 I Ref. Ref.
 II 2.6 (1.1, 6.3) 0.030 1.7 (0.8, 3.5)
Premedication 0.5 (0.2, 1.1) 0.094
Preoperative SBP (mmHg) 0.97 (0.94, 1.00) 0.036 1.1 (1.06, 1.14) < 0.001 1.16 (1.10, 1.21) < 0.001 1.21 (1.14, 1.28) < 0.001
Preoperative HR (bpm) 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) 0.030 0.97 (0.95, 0.99) 0.014 0.98 (0.96, 1.01) 0.189 0.97 (0.95, 1.00) 0.050

ASA American Society of Anesthesiologists, BMI body mass index, CI confidence interval, HR heart rate, IV intravenous, OR odds ratio, PIH
preincision hypotension, SBP systolic blood pressure
a
 Variables included in each multivariable model according to stepwise forward selection at inclusion threshold of P < 0.2
b
 PIH definitions with one or more statistically significant covariates: (1) SBP < 5th percentile-for-age at any timepoint within 12 min of induc-
tion; (4) SBP > 20% decline from baseline at any timepoint within 12 min of induction; (5) SBP > 20% decline from baseline at the median SBP
obtained during the 12-min period; or (6) SBP > 20% decline from baseline at two or more timepoints including the final point at 12 min after
induction

after cardiac and non-cardiac surgery, including 30-day and large enough to provide the needed data. Although the initial
1-year mortality [15]. These consequences have motivated intent was to include a study cohort of 200 patients, 11 were
varying approaches to predicting IOH based on retrospective excluded. Given that the final cohort of 189 provided the
data, but this effort has been limited by a lack of consensus needed data, additional 11 patients were not added to the
on the definition of IOH [6, 16–18]. The effective therapy study cohort. We could not include all the variables from
for these BP issues mandates that we develop stricter criteria the past studies, although it is unclear whether inclusion of
for hypotension during the perioperative period. additional variables would have improved prediction of PIH
In our study, definitions of PIH according to SBP per- according to SBP percentile-for-age, given the low incidence
centile-for-age and SBP decline from baseline demonstrated of this outcome. Furthermore, we constructed our data on
poor agreement. Furthermore, no covariates in our analy- PIH from the median of 5 observations collected for the first
sis were consistently associated with the risk of PIH when 12 min after the induction of anesthesia, and did not aim
comparing the available definitions of this outcome. When to characterize the incidence of IOH throughout the subse-
defining PIH as the percent decline in SBP from baseline, a quent procedure. We wanted to present data that were com-
high preoperative SBP was associated with greater odds of parable to the other related studies and as such chose sys-
this outcome, consistent with the findings of Stewart et al., tolic BP rather than mean arterial pressure. Whether mean
who identified preoperative hypertension as predicting PIH arterial pressure is more representative and has a greater
in a heterogeneous cohort of children with a higher ASA physiologic impact has not been determined. Comparing
status [3]. Surprisingly, however, the preoperative high SBP homogenous surgical procedures will be more consistent;
had the opposite (negative) association with the risk of PIH our study population was diverse with regard to surgical
when defined according to SBP percentile-for-age. Without procedures. The present study was not meant to detect the
consensus on which definition of PIH is appropriate in this adverse events. The low kappa statistics and poor percent
setting, it is unclear how preoperative SBP and other char- agreement (Table 3) are not based on statistical null hypoth-
acteristics should be used to predict PIH. esis testing. Despite these limitations, our study provides
This study has certain limitations that merit discussion. additional clinical information regarding potential discrep-
We had a smaller sample size as compared to previous ancies among the definitions of PIH, and the challenges of
studies; however, based on the incidence of incidence of predicting and studying PIH in relatively healthy children
hypotension reported in the literature, the sample size was who are not hypotensive before surgery.

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In conclusion, our study demonstrates disagreement hypotension in a noncardiac pediatric surgical population. Paedi-
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of interest. Author Mohammed Hakim declares he has no conflict of patient outcome: Does “one size fit all?” Anesthesiology
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Yaseer Majid declares he has no conflict of interest. Rebecca Miller report of the second task force on blood pressure in children. Pedi-
declares she has no conflict of interest. Dmitry Tumin declares he has atrics 79:1–7
no conflict of interest. Joseph D. Tobias declares he has no conflict of 17. Bijker JB, van Klei WA, Kappen TH, Wolfswinkel LV, Moons
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