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Commodity Research Report 12 March 2019 Ways2Capital
Commodity Research Report 12 March 2019 Ways2Capital
Market Wrap-Up
Copper 30-Apr-19 462.65 462.00 462.65 447.20 450.15 -2.70% -17.01% -18.56%
Crude Oil 19-Mar-19 3,973 3,990 4,050 3,823 3,886 -2.19% -5.34% 9.03%
Gold 05-Apr-19 32640 32550 32550 31777 32167 -1.45% -16.32% -3.46%
Lead 29-Mar-19 152.1 151.50 151.50 145.65 145.9 -4.08% -32.37% 20.70%
Natural Gas 26-Mar-19 202.90 202.90 205.50 197.50 201.20 -0.84% -25.37% 2.02%
Nickel 29-Mar-19 935.20 939.70 969.00 912.30 914.20 -2.25% -19.67% 15.69%
Silver 03-May-19 38301 38199 38799 37701 38728 1.11% -12.92% -3.67%
Zinc 29-Mar-19 199.60 198.00 198.75 189.15 191.45 -4.08% -6.25% -10.46%
Castor Seed 19-Mar-19 5248.00 5242.00 5308.00 5136.00 5308.00 1.14% 177.22% 1.77%
Chana 19-Mar-19 4116.00 4116.00 4167.00 4085.00 4114.00 -0.05% 32.31% 6.86%
Dhaniya 16-Apr-19 6201.00 6200.00 6460.00 6150.00 6420.00 3.53% 84.77% -3.26%
COCUDAKL 19-Mar-19 1937.00 1938.00 1981.50 1938.00 1957.50 1.06% 45.59% 2.51%
Guargum5 18-Jan-19 8375.00 8385.00 8648.00 8265.00 8619.00 2.91% 251.37% -6.78%
Guarseed10 18-Jan-19 4225.00 4240.00 4319.00 4181.00 4319.00 2.22% 141.06% -5.02%
Jeera 19-Mar-19 15565.00 15600.00 15715.00 15365.00 15715.00 0.96% 163.48% -4.09%
RMseed 16-Apr-19 3842.00 3832.00 3869.00 3802.00 3846.00 0.10% 35.53% 9.30%
Ref Soya Oil 19-Mar-19 762.70 762.50 767.50 758.10 762.20 -0.07% 34.51% -0.92%
Soyabean 19-Mar-19 3649.00 3640.00 3718.00 3640.00 3661.00 0.33% 0.42% -4.85%
Turmeric 16-Apr-19 6314.00 6322.00 6458.00 6320.00 6400.00 1.36% -32.37% 0.07%
Mentha Oil 29-Mar-19 1611.50 1611.50 1644.00 1587.60 1633.00 1.33% 33.34% 14.29%
Currency Market Wrap-Up
Previous Change in
Currency Pair Contract Open High Low Close
Close Price (in%)
USDINR 27-Mar-19 71.1300 71.1700 71.1700 69.9500 70.2900 -1.18%
LME Inventory
Closing (As on 8th Mar 19) Closing (As on 1st Mar 19)
Commodity % Change in Price
In tones in tones
Continued…….
4 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 12/03/2019
Inventory Updates
18:00 USD Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jan) 0.10% 0.10%
Crude Oil 19-Mar-19 4374 4147 4016 3920 3789 3693 3466
Natural Gas 26-Mar-19 217.40 209.40 205.30 201.40 197.30 193.40 185.40
Castor Seed 19-Mar-19 5595 5423 5365 5251 5193 5079 4907
Ref Soya Oil 19-Mar-19 781.40 772.00 767.10 762.60 757.70 753.20 743.80
Mentha Oil 29-Mar-19 1734.4 1678.0 1655.5 1621.5 1599.1 1565.1 1508.7
BULLION
Gold in the European market settled on Monday near the highest in a week sup-
ported by the decline of the US dollar against a basket of currencies and thanks to
this decline prices on Friday gained the biggest daily profit in the last three
weeks.Gold prices rose 1.0% on Friday the first gain in three days with the biggest
daily gain in three weeks and the highest in a week at $1,300.73 an ounce based on
the decline of the dollar after disappointing job data in the United States..
BASE METALS
Copper stabilized during the day as the dollar steadied against most major curren-
cies and upon the outcome of trade negotiations between the USA and China. Al-
though there have been positive developments in the trade talks between Washing-
ton and Beijing, markets are still waiting for any concrete results for a trade deal or
agreement.
ENERGY
Oil prices rose in the European market on Monday to bounce from the lowest
level in three registered weeks on Friday this rise comes after the Saudi state-
ments about the exclusion of stops OPEC cuts before June comes, in addition to
the decline in drilling and exploration rigs in the United States for the third con-
secutive week.
SPICES
Technically Jeera market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop
in open interest by 0.15% to settled at 4062 while prices up 75 rupees. Now
NCDEX Jeera is getting support at 15237 and below same could see a test of
15153 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 15377, a move above
could see prices testing 15433.
OILSEEDS
Technically Ref. Soya Oil market is under fresh buying as market has wit-
nessed gain in open interest by 5.45% to settled at 47190 while prices up 1.25
rupees. Now NCDEX Ref. Soya Oil is getting support at 738 and below same
could see a test of 735 level And resistance is now likely to be seen at 744, a
move above could see prices testing 747.
GUAR COMPLEX
A demand spurt from millers and exporters and a simultaneous supply deficit
are likely to firm up Guar futures in the short term analysts and traders said.
Supply of Guar in man dis is short but demand from exporters is still there and
likely to continue in the coming months. Guar prices have started rising and are
expected to remain firm said Damodar Prasad Saraswat a trader from the Jodh-
pur man dis in Rajasthan.
OTHERS
Technically Mustard Seed market is under short covering as market has wit-
nessed drop in open interest by 9.18% to settled at 20180 while prices up 22
rupees.Now NCDEX Mustard Seed is getting support at 3818 and below same
could see a test of 3789 level And resistance is now likely to be seen at 3872
a move above could see prices testing 3897.Technically Turmeric market is
under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -
2.11% to settled at 10230 while prices up 70 rupees.
Last week, CRUDEOIL MAR Futures started the week on positive note but it failed to maintain it and all the gain were
erase. It made a low of 3823 during the week and closed at 3886 with the overall lose of 2.15% on weekly ba-
sis .Technically it is consolidating and given trendline breakout on daily chart. For this week, Traders can adopt selling
on the basis of trendline breakout strategy and below the level of 3820 it can test the level of 3700 during the
week .Traders can make sell position in it by maintaining a stop loss of 3890.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PARTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 3700
SL 3890
LEAD
Last week, LEAD MAR Futures started the week on negative note and countinue the same .It made a low of 145.65 dur-
ing the week and closed at 145.90 with the overall lose of 4.07% on weekly basis.Technically it given pullback on daily
chart and also given pullback from 61.80% of fibonacci retracement. For this week, Traders can adopt buying on the
basis of technical pattern and above the level of 148.10 it can test the level of 150.50 during the week.Traders can
make buy position in it by maintaining a stop loss of 146.70
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PARTICULAR DETAILS
Action Buy
Target 150.50
SL 146.70
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PARTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 3565
SL 3755
GUARSEED
Overall trend of the commodity is sideways for long term . For short term it is bullish phase. Last week, it started on
positive note and showed bullish movement throughout the week . On daily chart it has formed double bottom price
pattern and trading above its major resistance levels 4300. If it manages to sustain above the levels of 4365 than fur-
ther upside move can be seen in it.
For this week, traders can adopt buy on lower level strategy in it and above the level of 4365 it can test the level of Rs.
4485 during the week. Trades can make buy position in it by maintaining a Stop Loss of Rs.4295.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PARTICULAR DETAILS
Action Buy
Target 4485
SL 4295
PARTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 62.7525
SL 63.4525
GBPINR
Last week, GBPINR Mar Futures started the week on negative note and continued the same for the entire week. It
made a low of 91.7050 during the week and closed at 92.0250 with the overall loss of 2.41% on weekly basis. Techni-
cally it’s in sharp bearish trend and also broke the major support level of 91.50 during the week. For this week, we can
further downside movement in it. For this week, Traders can adopt selling on the basis of support level breakout strat-
egy in it and below the level of 91.0500 it can test the level of 90.5525 during the week. Traders can make sell position
in it by maintaining a stop loss of 91.4050.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PARTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 70.4125
SL 71.2225
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and all its representatives will not make any trades in the market.
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