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YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT

1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
1991 44521 8998
9174.5

POPULATION @ 2011 = =(44521+(2*9174.5))


62870

GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT GEOMETRIC INCREASE RATE OF GROWTH

1971 26172
1981 35523 9351 0.3572902338
1991 44521 8998 0.2533006784
9174.5

IG 0.3008

POPULATION @ 2011 75333.12217344

INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT INCREMENTAL INCREASE


1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
1991 44521 8998 -353
9174.5

POPULATION @ 2011 61811

EXPONETIAL METHOD

YEAR POPULATION GROWTH RATE


1971 26172
1981 35523 0.3572902338
1991 44521 0.2533006784
0.3052954561

POPULATION @ 2011 81988


62870
75334
61811
81988
70500.75

20.08%

75334
ARITHMATIC INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT


1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
1991 44521 8998
9174.5

Population @ 2001 53695.5


Population @ 2011 62870
Population @ 2019 70209.6
Population @ 2029 80301.55
Population @ 2039 88558.6

GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT

1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
1991 44521 8998
9174.5

IG

Population @ 2001 57914.4869781852


Population @ 2011 75337.2072043839
Population @ 2019 92979.5326686597
Population @ 2029 120951.055321687
Population @ 2039 157337.398495667

INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT

1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
1991 44521 8998
9174.5

Population @ 2001 53342.5


Population @ 2011 61811
Population @ 2019 68331.64
Population @ 2029 76164.74
Population @ 2039 253308.04

EXPONETIAL METHOD

YEAR POPULATION GROWTH RATE


1971 26172
1981 35523 0.3572902338
1991 44521 0.2533006784
0.3052954561

Population @ 2001 60416.4239


Population @ 2011 81987.0237
Population @ 2019 104668.7904
Population @ 2029 142038.9034
Population @ 2039 192751.3445

YEAR ARITHMATIC GEOMETRIC


2001 53696 57915
2011 62870 75338
2019 70210 92980
2029 80302 120952
2039 88559 157338
GEOMETRIC INCREASE
RATE OF GROWTH

0.3572902338
0.2533006784

0.3008352683

INCREMENTAL INCREASE

-353
INCREMENTAL INCREASE EXPONENTIAL AVERAGE
53343 60417 56343
61811 81988 70502
68332 104669 84048
76165 142039 104865
253309 192752 172990
ARITHMATIC INCREASE METHOD

YEAR TOWN POPULATION INCREMENT

1971 6520
1981 8654 2134
1991 11526 2872
2503

Population @ 2001 14029 14029


Population @ 2011 16532 16532
Population @ 2019 18534.4 18535
Population @ 2029 21287.7 21288
Population @ 2039 23540.4 23541

GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD


GEOMETRIC INCREASE RATE OF
YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT GROWTH
1971 6520
1981 8654 2134 0.3273006135
1991 11526 2872 0.3318696557
2503

IG 0.3295772169

Population @ 2001 15324.7070019176 15325


Population @ 2011 20375.3812853222 20376
Population @ 2019 25590.3718228716 25591
Population @ 2029 34024.3753475304 34025
Population @ 2039 45238.0342811187 45239

INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT INCREMENTAL INCREASE


1971 6520
1981 8654 2134
1991 11526 2872 738
2503
Population @ 2001 14767 14767
Population @ 2011 18746 18746
Population @ 2019 22460.56 22461
Population @ 2029 27767.96 27768
Population @ 2039 61937.04 61938

EXPONETIAL METHOD

YEAR POPULATION GROWTH RATE


1971 6520
1981 8654 0.3273006135
1991 11526 0.3318696557
0.3295851346

Population @ 2001 16025.6487 16026


Population @ 2011 22281.9207 22282
Population @ 2019 29004.2894 29005
Population @ 2029 40327.3083 40328
Population @ 2039 56070.734 56071

YEAR ARITHMATIC GEOMETRIC INCREMENTAL INCREASE EXPONENTIAL


2001 14029 15325 14767 16026
2011 16532 20376 18746 22282
2019 18535 25591 22461 29005
2029 21288 34025 27768 40328
2039 23541 45239 61938 56071
AVERAGE
15037
19484
23898
30852
46697
ARITHMATIC INCREASE METHOD

YEAR RURAL POPULATION INCREMENT

1971 19652
1981 26869 7217
1991 32995 6126
6671.5

Population @ 2001 39667


Population @ 2011 46338
Population @ 2019 51675
Population @ 2029 59014
Population @ 2039 65018

GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD


GEOMETRIC INCREASE RATE
YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT OF GROWTH
1971 19652
1981 26869 7217 0.3672399756
1991 32995 6126 0.2279950873
6671.5

IG 0.2893594828

Population @ 2001 42542


Population @ 2011 54852
Population @ 2019 67220
Population @ 2029 86670
Population @ 2039 111749

INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT INCREMENTAL INCREASE


1971 19652
1981 26869 7217
1991 32995 6126 -1091
6671.5
Population @ 2001 38576
Population @ 2011 43065
Population @ 2019 45871
Population @ 2029 48397
Population @ 2039 186457

EXPONETIAL METHOD

YEAR POPULATION GROWTH RATE


1971 19652
1981 26869 0.3672399756
1991 32995 0.2279950873
0.2976175314

Population @ 2001 44433


Population @ 2011 59835
Population @ 2019 75920
Population @ 2029 102238
Population @ 2039 137678

YEAR ARITHMATIC GEOMETRIC INCREMENTAL INCREASE EXPONENTIAL


2001 39667 42542 38576 44433
2011 46338 54852 43065 59835
2019 51675 67220 45871 75920
2029 59014 86670 48397 102238
2039 65018 111749 186457 137678
26172 6520 19652
35523 8654 26869
44521 11526 32995
AVERAGE
41304
51023
60172
74080
125226
YEAR 2001 2011 2019
ARITHMATIC 53696 62870 70210
GEOMETRIC 57915 75338 92980
53343 61811 68332
60417 81988 104669
56343 70502 84048

POPULATION PROJECTION VALIDATION


300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
2001 2011 2019 2029 203
ARITHMATIC INCREASE METHOD
GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD
INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD
EXPONENTIAL METHOD
AVERAGE
Li near (AVERAGE)
2029 2039
80302 88559
120952 157338
76165 253309
142039 192752
104865 172990

ROJECTION VALIDATION

2019 2029 2039


RITHMATIC INCREASE METHOD
EOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD
NCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD
XPONENTIAL METHOD
VERAGE
i near (AVERAGE)
YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT

1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
1991 44521 8998
2001 55957 11436
2011 70937 14980
11191.25

Population @ 2039 102272.5 102273


102273

GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD

GEOMETRIC INCREASE RATE


YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT OF GROWTH

1971 26172
1981 35523 9351 0.3572902338
1991 44521 8998 0.2533006784
2001 55957 11436 0.2568675457
2011 70937 14980 0.2677055596

IG 0.2808704378

Population @ 2039 141868.959772443

INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD

YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT INCREMENTAL INCREASE


1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
1991 44521 8998 -353
2001 55957 11436 2438
2011 70937 14980 3544
11191.25 1876.3333333333
POPULATION @ 2039 112254.593333333

EXPONETIAL METHOD

YEAR POPULATION GROWTH RATE


1971 26172
1981 35523 0.3572902338
1991 44521 0.2533006784
2001 55957 0.2568675457
2011 70937 0.2677055596
0.2837910044

POPULATION @ 2039  P0 x ekΔt 


POPULATION @ 2039 70937 x e 0.283791004 x 2.8
POPULATION @ 2039 157025.3049 157026
Population @ 2039
102273
141869
112255
157026
128355.8 128356

141869
112255

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