Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Demand and Supply Trends and Construction Industry
Demand and Supply Trends and Construction Industry
In the Sri Lankan Construction Industry by Chitra Weddikkara and Kapila Devapriya
3.1 Demand Side Factors increasing and new projects are in the
Among the demand side factors, the pipeline (Table-1).
following results in trends towards
globalization and have significant The government is also "fast tracking" the
implications on the supply side construction of industrial estates and the
characteristics of the industry. export processing zones. The main
facilitating body for both local and foreign
3.1.1 Government policies private investment, the Board of
Despite allocating 40-45% of public Investment (BOI) in Sri Lanka, has been
investment for infrastructure development, assigned a leading role in this with a sum
the Sri-Lankan government pursues the of $ 21 Million. to fund directly the
policy of private sector led growth. The necessary infrastructure for these projects
government has already undertaken (Central Bank, 1998). During the first ten
institutional, legal and economic reforms months of 1998, 143 new BOI approved
to promote private sector infrastructure projects commenced construction. This
development in sectors such as power represents approximately about 34%
generation and telecommunication. In increment with compared to the same
addition to the sectoral reforms, the period of 1997(EIU, 1999). With the
government's budgetary constraints have implementation of BOO/BOT infrastructure
forced it mainly to introduce a policy on and other high-rise commercial
private sector participation in infrastructure developments, foreign direct investment
development. As a result of this policy, on construction is expected to grow in this
both local and foreign private investments decade.
in BOO/BOT (Built-Operate-Own/Built-
Operate-Transfer) type projects are
SECTOR PROPOSED
INVESTMENT
US$ Million.
(1) Power
A. Thermal - (200- 192
240MW)
B. Coal - (300MW) 480
(2) Port 1020-1320
(3) Road (Expressways - 240
135km)
In addition, the construction sector was 1998). According to the Central Bank,
given a boost with the announcement of a (1998) the growth in the above sectors is
reduction in the tax rate from 35% to 15%, expected to continue steadily for the next
and an exemption from duty on imports of few years. This will favorably affect the
machinery and equipment. As a result of construction sector, as there is a close
certain concessions, e.g. double taxation relationship between the growths of the
relief agreements with numerous two sectors (Fig.2).
countries, and preferential tax rates,
construction related imports would Furthermore, the prediction by the Dept. of
continue to rise year by year. National Planning for their Six-Year
Program Parameters for the period 1999-
The changing nature of the government’s 2004, identifies an increase in GDP
traditional role from a regulator and (Gross Domestic Product) of an average
investor to that of a facilitator in the rate of 6.5% per annum, a steady level of
construction industry is taking place in Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation
many DCs. For example, in China, India, (GDFCF) at about 28% of GDP,
Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand amounting to a total of approximately $ 33
considerable investments in infrastructure billion for the period. Private sector
projects with private participation has investment is predicted to be 70% of total
taken place from 1990 to 1998 (Roger, investment (Dept. of National Planning,
1999). However, the scale of such 1998). Recent experience shows that the
movement differs across the Asian region construction sector has been a pivotal
due to the effectiveness of reforms and ingredient in the robust economic growth
policies to attract private participation in of the Asian economies, as investment in
large-scale projects. building and infrastructure was needed to
expand further growth (Rafferty et al,
3.1.2 Economic condition 1998). Private-sector-led infrastructure
Economic growth has focused mainly on and commercial development are clearly
the manufacturing and services sectors necessary to achieve the forecasted GDP
rather than the dominant agricultural growth pattern in Sri Lanka. It will be
sector. After a moderate growth period followed by the construction growth
from 1983 to 1988 and the economic pattern since there is a close correlation
boom in the first half of the 1990s, between the growth patterns of both
construction growth has increased again. construction and GDP. This is illustrated
At its peak in 1992, the construction in figure 3.
growth prevailed at 8.1% (Central Bank,
30
20
10
0
-10
79
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
Cconstruction Growth Manufacturing Growth
15
10
5
0
-5 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996
20 0 .00
15 0 .00
10 0 .00
5 0 .00
0 .00
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
C ost indices
(Source: Report of the Presidential Task Force on Housing & Urban Development,
1998)
(1) Transport
infrastructure
(Expressway -184km US$ 570-600 Mn
total)
(2) Electricity
(Generation - US$ 598 Mn
Hydropower)
(3) Port development US$ 400 Mn
(4) Water supply project US$ 305 Mn
(Source:ICTAD, 1997)
Sector Year
(in Millions of US$)
1991 % 1992 % 1993 % 1994 % 1995 % 1996 %
Total Aid
Disburseme 898.3 100 557.2 100 736.3 100 576.8 100 641.3 100 583.9 100
nt
(1)
Economic
Infrastructur 195.9 21. 112.2 20. 142.5 19.4 233.7 40. 229 35. 205.9 35.
e 8 1 5 7 3
(2) Social
Infrastructur 78.6 8.7 100.4 18 140.5 19.1 124.8 21. 137.4 21. 125.9 21.
e 6 4 6
(3)Industrial
Developmen 37 4.1 32.7 5.9 24.1 3.3 17.1 2.9 19.9 3.1 26.9 4.6
t
3.1.6 Global and regional economic attributes arising from the impact of
co-operation globalization. Their analysis reveals what
Sri Lanka together with other SAARC changes in supply side characteristics are
(South Asian Association for Regional necessary to accommodate the new
Corporation) member countries formed demand conditions for the benefit of the
SAPTA (SAARC Preferential Trading domestic industry.
Agreement) in 1995 and so far thirty-one
items have been identified for further tariff 3.2.1 Project procurement
concessions under the agreement at the According to Senavirathne (1997) the shift
moment. Such materials included bars from traditional to non-traditional
and rods of high-speed steel, aluminum procurement arrangement (Table-5) has
plates, and sheets that account for a additionally been governed by technology
considerable foreign component in improvements, increases in the size
construction in the domestic industry /volume of projects and client
(ICTAD, 1997). In the context of requirements in the recent past in Sri
increasing construction costs, if the costs Lanka. However, the policy of
of most of the imported construction encouraging private sector participation in
materials and plant can be reduced under large-scale infrastructure projects still has
these agreements, this will have very a direct bearing on new project
positive effect on reducing overall costs, procurement. For example, private
and increasing overall quality (ICTAD, investments in such projects have been
1997). This is particularly important in procured under project finance modalities
view of the increase of private sector such as BOO/BOT and this will continue in
participation in large-scale projects. the foreseeable future.
Identification of the correct construction
materials /items for further tariff The increasing demand for development
concession could, therefore, have a huge financing has changed the industry
impact on the construction industry in the service provider into becoming the client.
short term. They have been forced to utilize their
financial capacity and project financing
3.2 Factors underlying supply side skills to identify opportunities to develop
characteristics projects and then transfer their ownership
(eg. BOT projects). However, continuity of
The above discussion reveals why and BOO/BOT type projects is governed
how demands conditions are changing in largely by favorable financial terms
the construction industry at present. The (including domestic financial market
following supply side factors were also conditions), institutional support and
found subject to the consequences of the healthy economic conditions. The ability to
above changing demand conditions and raise long-term debt finance from the local
PROCUREMENT PERIOD
ROUTE 77-82 82-87 87-92 92-97
Measure and pay 55.00% 50.00% 58.50% 46.00%
Design and Build 14.00% 26.00% 24.00% 30.00%
Lumpsum 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 7.50%
Primecost 10.00% 8.00% 5.00% 4.00%
Design and Manage 8.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00%
Mgt. Contracting 1.00% 1.00% 0.50% 1.00%
Joint Venture 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.50%
capital market averts the inherent foreign assistance to form the local collaboration
exchange risk in these alternative project with the Japanese main contractor of the
procurements and thereby enhances project. However, success of these
continuity in project development and also strategies is strongly governed by the
meets the requirement needed by the management capabilities of the domestic
infrastructure. firms, how the parties honor obligations
and the existence of proper institutional
Furthermore, where projects depend on arrangement to oversee such ventures.
bilateral aid, and the tenders are usually
restricted to contractors of aid giving 3.2.2 Role of the contracting firm
countries, Sri-Lankan contractors are now With the increase of private sector
permitted to bid in collaboration with participation and investment in large-scale
foreign construction contractors from the infrastructure projects, there is a need for
aid giving countries. It is stated that in this a single source solution-requiring co-
context, the minimum share of local operation in the project delivery process
collaboration should be 35% of the based on good partnering relationships. In
contract sum and whereas the foreign this context firms will seek integration to
contractors should have 15% of local provide the entire project services with
collaboration when 100% of the contract horizontal- integration, strategic alliance,
sum is given as an outright grant (ICTAD, joint ventures or consortia to combine their
1997). This arrangement is particularly strengths and to become a single source
important, since foreign aids/loan and problem solver for the client (e.g.
grants will finance a considerable portion BOO/BOT project developments). Raftery
of the planned infrastructure projects et al (1998), observe that vertical
despite the current trend of the private integration of construction projects in Asia
sector participation in the same. is necessitated by an effective way of
overcoming a firm’s weakness or other
However, a move from traditional to non- drawbacks in competitive markets. Aziz
traditional procurement implies that (1993) also asserted that in the global
alternative project arrangements must be market place the role of the contractor
available to the local contractors even in includes a comprehensive range of
donor-funded projects. For example, services from feasibility study, design,
packaging large scale projects within the project financing and start-up to operation,
competence of local contracting firms in on top of the main construction works.
DCs is needed to make it easier for local
contractors to participate in such projects Such a change of roles in the contracting
to gain technology and managerial sectors was recently exhibited in the
capacities (Kummaraswamy, 1998). bidding for the Colombo-Katunayake
Expressway, which will be the first
In a recently completed Japanese expressway in Sri Lanka. Bids were called
Government funded Seethawaka on a Design-Build and Turnkey (DBT)
Industrial Estate Project work packages basis and bidders were also requested to
such as land preparation, water supply, furnish a proposal with regard to the
sewerage scheme and standard factory project financing (RDA, 1999). A leading
buildings were organized and given to local contractor joined the biding with the
local contractors. About eight leading association of foreign contractors who had
contractors were employed as local gained specialized expertise in various
participants (i.e. as domestic contractors) areas such as dredging and road paving.
in the venture in order to give recognition A consortium consisting of 23 other local
of being a partner rather than the usual contractors was arranged to carry out
sub-contractor (Wijesundara, 1999). In the associated structures. This alternative
first ever project in this nature, the project arrangement supported the
National Construction Contractors argument that foreign collaboration is
Association of Sri Lanka (NCCASL) has necessary, particularly in first time large
initiated and provided necessary scale project developments, since the
Wijesundara S.D.G.S.;(1999); An
experience in construction contracting:
Seethawaka industrial estate development
project; Constructor; June/July,1999.