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Numbers Can Be Deceiving... Even Wrong Sometimes
Numbers Can Be Deceiving... Even Wrong Sometimes
In the land of diagnostic tests, a test may be provide less than accurate results. For
example, to receive an anti-viral medication for flu requires a positive test for flu antigens.
There is a chance (although small) that you test negative for flu and actually have flu and
a chance that you test positive for the flu and don’t actually have the flu.
Test +
Flu
Test -
Test +
No flu
Test -
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/professionals/laboratory/antigenic.htm
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/professionals/diagnosis/clinician guidance ridt.htm
Sensitivities of RIDTs are generally approximately 50-70%, but a range of 10-80% has been
reported compared to viral culture or RT-PCR. Specificities of RIDTs are approximately
90-95% (range 85-100%). Thus false negative results occur more commonly than false
positive results.
Name:
Mock Flu Test
Use the following criteria to determine your flu test and status:
• If your sum ends in an odd number, you do not have the flu symptoms.
• If your number sum is even and is divisible by 8, then you test positive for flu and
don’t actually have the flu. (false positive)
• If your number sum is odd and divisible by 7, 5, or 3, then you test negative for the
flu and actually have the flu. (false negative)
• If your number sum is even and not divisible by 8, then you have flu symptoms and
test positive for the flu. (true positive)
• If your number sum is odd and not divisible by 3, 5, or 7, then you did not have
symptoms and tested negative. (true negative)
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