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Relationship of Kidney Injury Biomarkers With Long-Term Cardiovascular Outcomes After Cardiac Surgery
Relationship of Kidney Injury Biomarkers With Long-Term Cardiovascular Outcomes After Cardiac Surgery
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ABSTRACT
Clinical AKI, measured by serum creatinine elevation, is associated with long-term risks of adverse cardiovas-
cular (CV) events and mortality in patients after cardiac surgery. To evaluate the relative contributions of urine
kidney injury biomarkers and plasma cardiac injury biomarkers in adverse events, we conducted a multicenter
prospective cohort study of 968 adults undergoing cardiac surgery. On postoperative days 1–3, we measured
five urine biomarkers of kidney injury (IL-18, NGAL, KIM-1, L-FABP, and albumin) and five plasma biomarkers of
cardiac injury (NT-proBNP, H-FABP, hs-cTnT, cTnI, and CK-MB). The primary outcome was a composite of
long-term CV events or death, which was assessed via national health care databases. During a median
3.8 years of follow-up, 219 (22.6%) patients experienced the primary outcome (136 CV events and 83 addi-
tional deaths). Compared with patients without postsurgical AKI, patients who experienced AKI Network
stage 2 or 3 had an adjusted hazard ratio for the primary composite outcome of 3.52 (95% confidence interval,
2.17 to 5.71). However, none of the five urinary kidney injury biomarkers were significantly associated with the
primary outcome. In contrast, four out of five postoperative cardiac injury biomarkers (NT-proBNP, H-FABP,
hs-cTnT, and cTnI) strongly associated with the primary outcome. Mediation analyses demonstrated that
cardiac biomarkers explained 49% (95% confidence interval, 1% to 97%) of the association between AKI
and the primary outcome. These results suggest that clinical AKI at the time of cardiac surgery is indicative
of concurrent CV stress rather than an independent renal pathway for long-term adverse CV outcomes.
It is broadly accepted that clinical AKI, defined by an Received January 17, 2017. Accepted July 5, 2017.
acute rise in the concentration of serum creatinine, Published online ahead of print. Publication date available at
is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular www.jasn.org.
disease (CVD) and mortality.1,2 We have previously Correspondence: Dr. Chirag R. Parikh, Section of Nephrology,
shown that kidney injury confers increased risk for Yale University School of Medicine, 60 Temple Street, Suite 6C,
New Haven, CT 06510. Email: chirag.parikh@yale.edu
long-term all-cause mortality among cardiac sur-
gery recipients. In addition, the risk of long-term Copyright © 2017 by the American Society of Nephrology
mortality was seen even in those with “subclinical AKI,” who outcome of CV events and mortality, as well as with CV
are patients without clinical AKI but have high levels of kidney events alone. Additionally, we performed mediation analyses
injury biomarkers.3 Animal studies have suggested that AKI to assess the contribution of cardiac injury versus kidney
results in distant organ effects, including cardiac injury4,5; injury on the relationship between clinical AKI and the pri-
however, it is unclear whether these processes occur in hu- mary outcome.
mans and directly link AKI to CVD.
The rise in serum creatinine indicating clinical AKI that
occurs after cardiac surgery is either caused by structural kid- RESULTS
ney damage or hemodynamic derangements that reduce GFR
without significant injury to the kidney. There are novel urine The final analytic cohort included 968 adults who underwent
and plasma biomarkers that can specifically separate these two cardiac surgery between July of 2007 and December of 2009
distinct processes. Urinary biomarkers such as IL-18, neutro- (Figure 1). Baseline characteristics of patients stratified by se-
phil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), kidney injury rum creatinine–based AKI status are presented in Table 1. The
molecule 1 (KIM-1), and liver-type fatty acid–binding protein average age was 73.4 years and 69% were men. Most surgeries
(L-FABP) are associated with clinical AKI and specifically de- were elective (81%) and used cardiopulmonary bypass (90%).
note acute damage to the tubular cells. Plasma biomarkers The mean preoperative eGFR was 66.5 ml/min per 1.73 m2.
including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT- Three hundred forty eight (36%) patients developed serum
proBNP), heart-type fatty acid–binding protein (H-FABP), creatinine–based AKI after surgery. Patients who developed
high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), cardiac tropo- AKI were more likely to have a history of diabetes, hyperten-
nin I (cTnI), and creatine kinase MB (CK-MB) are also asso- sion, and congestive heart failure. All results exhibited no sex-
ciated with clinical AKI. These instead track cardiac injury based differences.
and dysfunction leading to reduced perfusion and hemody-
namic imbalance, which could lead to reduced glomerular Postoperative Creatinine-Based AKI and Risk of CV
filtration and increase in serum creatinine. It is unknown Events and Mortality
which of these two processes, or both, are direct causes of During a median follow-up of 3.8 (3.1–4.6) years, 219 (22.6%)
long-term cardiovascular events. patients experienced the primary composite outcome of CV
To explore these concepts, we analyzed data from a pro- events or death. Of these, 136 (14.1%) experienced a CVevent,
spective cohort study of adults undergoing cardiac surgery and 83 (8.6%) died without a CV event. Figure 2A shows the
and examined the relationships among serum creatinine– event rates of the primary composite outcome, after patients
defined clinical AKI, urinary biomarkers specific for kidney were stratified according to AKI stage. AKI Network stages
injury, and plasma biomarkers specific for cardiac function. were independently associated with the primary composite
We quantified the independent associations of each indi- outcome. Compared with patients without AKI, the adjusted
vidual biomarker with the long-term composite primary hazard ratios were 1.99 (95% confidence interval [95% CI],
3700 Journal of the American Society of Nephrology J Am Soc Nephrol 28: 3699–3707, 2017
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Table 1. Baseline characteristics stratified by AKI status in Figure 4A and Supplemental Table 2.
Characteristic AKI (n=348) No AKI (n=620) P Value In unadjusted analyses, urine L-FABP con-
Demographics centration, urinary albumin, and albumin-to-
Age at the time of surgery, yr 73.3 (8.3) 73.5 (8.3) 0.78 creatinine ratio were modestly associated
Male 253 (73%) 417 (67%) 0.08 with the primary composite outcome.
White 330 (95%) 601 (97%) 0.10 However, adjustment for patient and op-
Medical history (time of surgery) erative characteristics attenuated these
Diabetes 147 (42%) 219 (35%) 0.03 relationships, and they were no longer
Hypertension 293 (84%) 479 (77%) 0.01 statistically significant.
Congestive heart failure 108 (31%) 120 (19%) ,0.001
Left ventricular ejection fraction ,40% 35 (10%) 58 (9%) 0.72
Peak Postoperative Plasma
Previous myocardial infarction 89 (26%) 155 (25%) 0.67
Biomarkers and Risk of CV Events and
eGFR, ml/min per 1.73 m2 63.7 (18.6) 68.1 (18.1) ,0.001
eGFR 0.01
Mortality
.60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 209 (60%) 421 (68%) Plasma biomarkers of kidney injury were
30–60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 123 (35%) 186 (30%) associated with AKI in this cohort (Sup-
,30 ml/min per 1.73 m2 16 (5%) 13 (2%) plemental Figure 1). The correlation
Serum creatinine, mg/dl 1.1 (0.9–1.3) 1.0 (0.9–1.2) ,0.001 coefficients between urine and plasma
Cardiac catheterization (72 h preoperative) 54 (9%) 34 (10%) 0.62 biomarkers are shown in Supplemental
STS score 9.5 (3.6) 10.2 (3.9) ,0.01 Table 1. Urine L-FABP and NGAL had
Surgical characteristics weak to moderate correlations with the
Elective surgery 255 (73%) 531 (86%) ,0.001 cardiac biomarkers, whereas the other
Isolated CABG or valve surgery 261 (75%) 494 (80%) 0.19
three urinary biomarkers were not corre-
Off-pump 34 (10%) 63 (10%) 0.83
lated with the cardiac biomarkers. Four
Reoperation 4 (1%) 10 (2%) 0.16
Perfusion time, min 122 (64) 103 (50) ,0.001
of the cardiac injury biomarkers were sig-
Crossclamp time, min 84 (48) 70 (39) ,0.001 nificantly associated with the primary
Number of diseased coronary vessels 0.67 composite outcome in unadjusted and
None 82 (24%) 159 (26%) adjusted analyses (Figure 4B, Supplemental
One 48 (14%) 92 (15%) Table 2). Associations were strongest for
Two 67 (19%) 126 (20%) NT-proBNP, followed by H-FABP, hs-
Three 150 (43%) 239 (39%) cTnT, and cTnI, whereas CK-MB showed
Postoperative complications no significant association.
AKI Network stage
Stage 1 98 (28%) 0 (0%) N/A
Mediation Analyses
Stage 2 or 3 20 (6%) 0 (0%) N/A
We performed mediation analyses to as-
AKI duration
1–2 d 63 (18%) 0 (0%) N/A
sess and compare the presumptive effects
3–6 d 34 (10%) 0 (0%) N/A of cardiac injury versus kidney injury for
$7 d 21 (6%) 0 (0%) N/A attenuating the association between clin-
Ventilator .48 h 32 (9%) 6 (1%) ,0.001 ical AKI and the primary outcome (Table
ICU LOS 2 (1–4) 2 (1–3) ,0.001 2). Approximately half of the association
Hospital LOS 7.0 (6–11) 6.0 (5) ,0.001 between clinical AKI and the primary
Values reported are mean (SD), n (%), or median (interquartile range). Small cell counts are only pre- composite outcome was explained by
sented for data collected by TRIBE-AKI and not from ICES data holdings. LOS, length of stay. the five cardiac pathway biomarkers (49%;
95% CI, 1% to 97%). In contrast, the esti-
1.46 to 2.71) for patients who experienced stage 1 AKI and mated proportion of the effect mediated by the five kidney
3.52 (95% CI, 2.17 to 5.71) for patients who experienced stage injury biomarkers was essentially zero (1%; 95% CI, 218%
2 or 3 AKI (Figure 3A). Additionally, duration of AKI was to 19%).
significantly associated with the primary composite outcome
in a graded manner (Figures 2B and 3B). Sensitivity Analysis for CV Events Alone
We examined the associations of clinical AKI by serum creat-
Peak Postoperative Urine Biomarkers and Risk of CV inine, urinary kidney injury biomarkers, and plasma cardiac
Events and Mortality injury biomarkers with CVevents alone (excluding mortality).
Postoperative urine biomarkers were associated with AKI in The findings paralleled those for the composite outcome, re-
this cohort (Supplemental Figure 1). The unadjusted and vealing strong associations for AKI stage and duration with
adjusted associations of five peak postoperative urine bio- CV events. None of the urinary kidney injury biomarkers had
markers with the primary composite outcome are presented a significant association with CV events, whereas four of the
J Am Soc Nephrol 28: 3699–3707, 2017 AKI and CVD after Cardiac Surgery 3701
CLINICAL RESEARCH www.jasn.org
Figure 2. Increased Risk for CV events or death by increasing AKI stage or duration of AKI. Differently dashed lines indicate different AKI
stages or duration, as explained in the figure.
3702 Journal of the American Society of Nephrology J Am Soc Nephrol 28: 3699–3707, 2017
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J Am Soc Nephrol 28: 3699–3707, 2017 AKI and CVD after Cardiac Surgery 3703
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CONCISE METHODS
Study Population
The detailed methods of the TRIBE-AKI cohort
have been described previously.12 Between July
of 2007 and December of 2009, we prospec-
tively enrolled 1219 adults undergoing cardiac
surgery (cardiopulmonary bypass grafting or
valve surgery) who were at high risk for AKI at
six academic medical centers in North Amer-
ica. The study was approved by the institu-
tional review board of each participating site,
and written informed consent was obtained
from all participants. Patients who died during
hospitalization (n=20) were excluded from the
analyses.3
3704 Journal of the American Society of Nephrology J Am Soc Nephrol 28: 3699–3707, 2017
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Table 2. Mediation analysis using univariable Cox held at the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES). These
proportional hazards models with the primary composite datasets were linked using unique, encoded identifiers and analyzed at
outcome of cardiovascular events and death ICES. We identified patients with CV events using International Classi-
Log-Transformed Proportion of Effect fication of Diseases, 9th and 10th revisions, Ontario Health Insurance
Source
Biomarker Explained (95% CI), % Plan, and Canadian Classification of Health Interventions codes (Sup-
Plasma CK-MB 12 (217 to 41) plemental Table 4).20–28 These codes have been shown to be highly
NT-proBNP 34 (22 to 70) sensitive, with excellent positive predictive value.29–31 Patients who
hs-cTnT 21 (211 to 53) could not be linked were excluded from the analyses (Figure 1).
cTnI 16 (214 to 46)
H-FABP 37 (23 to 77)
All plasma 49 (1 to 97) Statistical Analyses
Urine Albumin 8 (23 to 18) Descriptive statistics were reported as mean (SD) or median
IL-18 23 (219 to 13) (interquartile range) for continuous variables, and as frequency (per-
KIM-1 0 (212 to 13) centage) for categorical variables. Continuous variables were com-
L-FABP 12 (23 to 27) pared with Wilcoxon rank sum tests or Kruskal–Wallis tests, and
NGAL 1 (212 to 14) categorical variables were compared via chi-squared or Fisher exact
All urine 1 (218 to 19) tests as appropriate.
We used Cox regression models to estimate the associations be-
The primary outcome of this study was a composite of CV events tween AKI, urinary kidney biomarkers, and plasma cardiac bio-
and death. We obtained vital status after discharge using several markers with the primary composite outcome. We used Schoenfeld
methods, and crossreferenced when possible. For patients living in residuals to evaluate the proportional hazards assumption. Peak post-
the United States, we called patients’ homes, reviewed hospital re- operative biomarker concentrations from days 1–3 were modeled as
cords, and searched the National Death Index. For Canadian partic- log-transformed (base e) continuous variables. The statistical model
ipants, we called patients’ homes and utilized data from the Institute adjusted for the following variables: Society of Thoracic Surgery
for Clinical Evaluative Sciences. There was complete ascertainment score,32 sex, cardiopulmonary bypass time .120 minutes, nonelec-
of vital status in the cohort. tive surgery, hypertension, congestive heart failure, preoperative
CV events were defined as major adverse cardiovascular events: urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, and cardiac catheterization in
hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome, myocardial infarction, the 72 hours before surgery. The STS score is a previously published
congestive heart failure, coronary bypass, and percutaneous coronary score to estimate the risk of postoperative dialysis in patients undergo-
intervention. For patients living in the United States, information ing cardiac surgery and is comprised of preoperative serum creatinine,
about CV events was obtained through linkages with Center for age, surgery type, diabetes, chronic lung disease, recent myocardial
Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) databases. Variables used in infarction, race, reoperation, New York Heart Association class, and
the probabilistic matching to CMS data included surgery site, surgery cardiogenic shock. Chronic lung disease was not captured in the
date, age, sex, race, admission date, discharge date, death date, and zip TRIBE-AKI Study, thus in calculating the STS score, we assumed
code. For Canadian participants, information was obtained from data that none of the patients had this condition.
Figure 5. Schematic displaying that CVD risk in not significantly associated with urine biomarkers but is significantly associated with plasma
biomarkers. Solid lines represent associations presented in Figure 3 (AKI to composite outcome of CV events and death) and Figure 3
(biomarkers to composite outcome of CV events and death). Dashed lines represent models explored in mediation analyses and reported in
Table 2. CV, cardiovascular; Cr, creatinine.
J Am Soc Nephrol 28: 3699–3707, 2017 AKI and CVD after Cardiac Surgery 3705
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3706 Journal of the American Society of Nephrology J Am Soc Nephrol 28: 3699–3707, 2017
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