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Porth - Pathophysiology Concepts of Alte
Prognosis of patients presenting extreme acidosis (pH < 7) on admission to
Intensive Care Unit
Jérôme Allyn MD, David Vandroux MD, Julien Jabot MD, Caroline
Brulliard MD, Richard Galliot MD, Xavier Tabatchnik MD, Patrice Combe
MD, Olivier Martinet MD, Nicolas Allou MD
PII: S0883-9441(15)00506-7
DOI: doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2015.09.025
Reference: YJCRC 51962
Please cite this article as: Allyn Jérôme, Vandroux David, Jabot Julien, Brulliard Caro-
line, Galliot Richard, Tabatchnik Xavier, Combe Patrice, Martinet Olivier, Allou Nicolas,
Prognosis of patients presenting extreme acidosis (pH < 7) on admission to Intensive Care
Unit, Journal of Critical Care (2015), doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2015.09.025
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Prognosis of patients presenting extreme acidosis (pH <7) on admission to Intensive Care Unit.
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Jérôme Allyn, MD , David Vandroux, MD a, Julien Jabot, MD a, Caroline Brulliard, MD a, Richard Galliot,
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a
Intensive care unit, CHU Félix Guyon, La Réunion, Bellepierre 97405 Saint-Denis cedex, France.
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b
Biology laboratory, CHU Félix Guyon, La Réunion, Bellepierre 97405 Saint-Denis cedex, France.
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* Corresponding author:
Dr Jérôme Allyn, Réanimation Polyvalente, CHU La Réunion Félix Guyon, Bellepierre 97405 Saint-Denis
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cedex, France.
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Phone number: 00262 262905690
E-mail: allyn.jer@gmail.com
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Abstract
Purpose: To determine prognosis of patients presenting extreme acidosis (pH <7) on admission to Intensive
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Materials and methods: We retrospectively analyzed all patients who presented with extreme acidosis within
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24 hours of admission to a polyvalent ICU in a University hospital between January 2011 and July 2013.
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Multivariate analysis and survival analysis were used.
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Results: Among the 2,156 patients admitted, 77 patients (3.6%) presented extreme acidosis. Thirty (39%)
patients suffered cardiac arrest before admission. While the mortality rate predicted by severity score was 93.6%,
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death occurred in 52 cases (67.5%), in a median delay of 13 (5-27) hours. Mortality rate was depended on reason
for admission, varying between 22% for cases linked to diabetes mellitus, and 100% for cases of mesenteric
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infarction (P=0.002), cardiac arrest before admission (P<0.001), type of lactic acidosis (P=0.007), high SAPS II
Conclusions: Patients with extreme acidosis on admission to ICU, have a less severe than expected prognosis.
While mortality is almost 100% in cases of cardiac arrest before admission, mortality is much lower in the
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absence of cardiac arrest before admission, which justifies aggressive ICU therapies.
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Keywords: Acidosis-Lactate-Prognosis
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1. Introduction
Acidosis is a potentially life-threatening abnormality of the acid-base balance that has effects on the
cardiovascular, pulmonary and immune functions [1,2]. The causes can be many and varied, with each requiring
specific treatments. Otherwise, acidosis itself may require symptomatic treatment in severe cases [3-5].
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The existing literature on acidosis in intensive care unit (ICU) mainly consists of analyses of specific causes of
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metabolic acidosis, with little on management of severe cases; there is no study comparing different causes [6–
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9]. As regards to shock with severe lactic acidosis with pH <7.2, observed mortality rate is about 50%, while
several study have reported universal mortality in case of shock with lactic acidosis under pH 7.0 [10–13]. Only
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one study examined the causes and prognosis of patients with extreme acidosis in intensive care, but this study
included only 28 patients, and pH criterion, at 6.8, was very extreme [14].
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The prognosis of patients with extreme acidosis on admission to ICU is unknown, and it is likely that the cause
of acidosis and management in ICU is related to mortality. The objective of this study was to describe causes and
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prognosis of patients with extreme acidosis (pH <7) admitted to ICU, and to identify mortality risk factors.
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We conducted a retrospective observational study, in a 23-bed adult medical-surgical ICU in a French University
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hospital between January 2011 and July 2013. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Reunion
Island University Hospital (reference R14007), and no consent was need. We retrospectively analyzed all
patients who presented with acidosis with an arterial pH <7 during the first 24 hours after admission to ICU.
Patients with arterial pH <7 were identified via arterial blood gas results obtained from the hospital biochemistry
department. Our ICU does not currently have a management protocol for such patients.
Demographic data, test results, therapeutics used and patient progress were analyzed. The primary outcome was
the mortality rate during hospitalization in ICU. Therapeutics used included renal replacement therapy,
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Blood gas analyses were performed on a Cobas b 221 system (Roche Diagnostics GmbH, Mannheim, Germany)
with the integrated AutoQC drawer option and electrodes for PO 2, PCO2, pH, a reference electrode and an ISE
electrode measuring Na+, K+ and Cl-. Specimens were analyzed using our Standard Operating Procedure which
included preanalytical protocols (such as safety, temperature and transportation time) by trained authorized
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laboratory technicians, with automated internal quality control and direct connection to our laboratory software
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24 hours a day. External quality controls were performed at least four times a year with samples.
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2.3. Definitions
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Extreme acidosis was arbitrary defined by an arterial pH of <7.00. Acidosis was arbitrary considered as
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corrected if arterial pH was greater than 7.30.
Cases of acidosis were classified as metabolic (PaCO2 <40 mmHg and HCO3- <24 mmol.l-1), respiratory (PaCO2
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>40 mmHg and HCO3- >24 mmol.l-1) and mixed (PaCO2 >40 mmHg and HCO3- <24 mmol.l-1) [15].
Causes of acidosis were determined by analysis of patients’ medical charts. Criterion suggesting metformin
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associated lactic acidosis (MALA) was the presence of metabolic lactic acidosis with arterial lactate higher than
5 mmol.L-1, no other cause of elevated lactate, and a metformin accumulation assessed by plasma levels, if
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available [6].
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Cases of acidosis with arterial lactate > 4 mEq.l-1 were classified into two categories (Type-A and Type-B),
based on the presence (Type-A) or not (Type-B) of an evident impaired tissue oxygenation [16].
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Results are expressed as median (first and third quartile) and numbers (proportions) as appropriate. Ninety-five
percent confidence intervals are provided. Continuous variables were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test
and categorical variables using the Chi-square test or Fischer’s exact test, as appropriate. A P value less than
The risk factors found to be predictive of mortality in the bivariate analysis with P<0.05 were entered into a
multivariate logistic regression analysis with backward selection with P=0.05. Model calibration was assessed
using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and the Nagelkerke and Cox/Snell R squares were calculated. Analysis was
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ICU survival rates were analyzed and comparisons were made between patients having suffered cardiac arrest
before admission to ICU and those that had not, using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and the LogRank test.
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3. Results
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During the 30-month study period, 2,156 patients were admitted to ICU. Among them, 77 (3.6%) had extreme
acidosis with an arterial pH <7 in the first 24 hours after admission, forming our study cohort.
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3.1. Characteristics of patients on admission to ICU
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The clinical and biologic characteristics of the 77 patients are presented in Table 1. The median age was 57 (47-
69) years old and the median simplified acute physiology score (SAPS) II at admission was 82 (69-93).
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3.2. Type and cause of acidosis
Median pH was 6.94 (6.86-6.97), PaCO2 was 44 (30-64.5) mmHg, HCO3- was 8.6 (6.1-13.4) mmol.l-1, and
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Thirty patients (39%) had suffered cardiac arrest prior to being admitted to ICU, including 9 cases of hypoxic
cardiac arrest (3 drowning, 1 hanging, 3 pneumonia, 1 cardiogenic pulmonary edema, 1 severe acute asthma), 8
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cardiac arrests of cardiac origin (including 3 cases of pulmonary embolism), 4 cases of hemorrhage (2 cases of
gastrointestinal bleeding, 1 postpartum hemorrhage, 1 traumatic splenic injury), 1 case of septic shock, 1 case of
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alcoholism, 1 case of fulminant hepatitis, 1 case of mesenteric infarction and 3 cases of unknown origin.
Among the 47 patients (61%) who did not suffer cardiac arrest before admission to ICU, there were 14 patients
with septic shock, 7 cases of MALA, 7 cases of isolated hypercapnic respiratory failure, 4 cases of mesenteric
infarction, 3 cases of cardiogenic shock, 3 cases of hemorrhagic shock, 2 cases of diabetic ketoacidosis, 1
microangiopathy, 1 case of status epilepticus, 1 hypovolemic shock related to diarrhea, 1 case of unknown shock
in a cirrhotic patient and 1 case of unknown shock in a patient with a bronchopulmonary adenocarcinoma.
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Among the 12 patients who were treated with metformin, acidosis was attributed solely to MALA in 7 cases
while in 5 cases, other causes were identified (2 cases of septic shock, 1 pulmonary embolism, 1 myocardic
Arterial lactate was greater than 4 mEq.l-1 in 66 cases (86%), classified as Type-A in 57 cases and Type-B in 9
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cases (7 cases of MALA, 1 case of thiamine deficiency, and 1 case of status epilepticus). Only six patients
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(7.8%) had no metabolic cause in their acidosis (Table 1).
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3.3. Therapy and follow-up
Seventy four patients (96%) were under mechanical ventilation and 74 (96%) under vasopressors. Extra renal
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replacement therapy was used in 40 cases (52%), sodium bicarbonate in 26 cases (34%), and extracorporeal
hours. With survivors, the median time delay for pH >7.3 was 17 (9.5-22) hours. In the group of patients who
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3.4. Mortality
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Death occurred in 52 cases (67.5%). Only 3 patients survived of the 30 who had suffered cardiac arrest before
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ICU admission (mortality rate of 90%, 1 case of B1 deficiency, 1 case of thrombotic microangiopathy and 1 case
of cardiogenic shock). In these all 3 cases, the cardiac arrest had occurred in the presence of a medical team, who
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immediately started resuscitation (“no flow” 0 minute in all cases). Two of these three patients were relatively
young (35 and 37 years old). The 27 deaths, among these 30 patients, occurred from refractory shock in 17 cases
Of the 47 patients who did not suffer cardiac arrest before ICU admission, 25 patients (53%) died in 12 (5-17)
hours. Cause of death was refractory shock in 22 cases and a decision to limit therapeutics in 3 cases (i.e. death
Mortality was statistically associated with the presence of lactic acidosis (P=0.004), and also with the type of
Figure 1 presents the Kaplan Meier analysis: survival was significantly higher in patients who did not suffer
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Within the overall population of 77 patients, mortality was significantly related to SAPS II (P <0.001), incidence
of cardiac arrest prior to admission (P =0.001). Mortality was also inversely related to serum creatinine level and
prothrombin activity (P =0.01), presence of diabetes mellitus (P =0.01). After exclusion of patients with B-type
lactic acidosis, arterial lactate was found to be related to ICU mortality (P =0.04).
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Mortality varied significantly depending on the cause of acidosis: 100% in cases of hypoxic cardiac arrest prior
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to admission or mesenteric infarction; 0% in cases of diabetic ketoacidosis, thiamine deficiency or thrombotic
microangiopathy (P =0.002). Mortality rates in cases of septic, cardiogenic and hemorrhagic shock were 66%,
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73% and 86%, respectively (Table 2). In the overall population, the mortality rate predicted by SAPS II was
93.6%. Figure 2 presents mortality rates for causes of ICU admission compared with the mortality rate predicted
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by SAPS II [17]. Mortality rate of patients with A-Type Lactic acidosis, B-Type lactic acidosis, and patients
without lactic acidosis were 82.4%, 22.2% and 27.3%, respectively; while their predicted mortality were 94.7%,
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90.1% and 80.6% respectively.
Variables with a p-value <0.05 were entered into the logistic regression (Table 3): diabetes mellitus, serum
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creatinine, prothrombin activity, SAPS II, A-Type lactic acidosis. The “Cardiac arrest prior to admission to ICU”
variable was excluded because of multicollinearity. Three variables were significantly associated with an
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increased risk of mortality: presence of a A-Type lactic acidosis, serum creatinine and SAPS II.
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4. Discussion
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To our knowledge, our study of patients with extreme acidosis is the largest recorded. Paz et al., whose study
was recently published, involved 28 patients with a more severe acidosis criterion of pH <6.80. This study
reported only 9 survivors (mortality rate: 68%) [14]. In agreement with these results, we report an overall
mortality rate of 67.5%, lower than SAPS II could predict (93.6%) [17].
Mortality rate in patients having suffered cardiac arrest prior to ICU admission was very high (90%), with
survival only when cardiac arrest occurred in the presence of a medical team, and in relatively young patients.
Our results are in agreement with Donnino et al., a prospective study of lactate levels following cardiac arrest,
which recorded a mortality rate of 80% in patients where initial lactate was greater than 10 mmol.l-1 [8].
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Furthermore, survival analysis shows that the deaths occur almost exclusively in the first 2 days in patients who
did not suffer cardiac arrest before admission. This supports a very aggressive initial management in ICU during
We highlight the critical role of the cause of ICU admission, and the possible occurrence of cardiac arrest prior
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to admission as essential prognostic criteria. In addition, multivariate analysis identified three variables
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independently associated with mortality: presence of an A-Type lactic acidosis, creatinine and SAPS II.
Surprisingly, there was an inverse relationship between mortality and serum creatinine, which had a protective
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effect against death. To explore this point, we performed a specific statistical analysis. We found that patients
who had suffered cardiac arrest before admission had a lower value of serum creatinine than patients who did not
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suffer cardiac arrest (158 (130-228) micromol.l-1), versus 229 (138-406) micromol.l-1, P=0.03). It is likely that
serum creatinine on admission does not accurately reflect renal function. Unfortunately, creatinine clearance
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cannot be assessed in such acute pathology. Therefore, we think that interpreting creatinine results is difficult
We report a mortality rate of 29% in cases of MALA. Seidowsky’s retrospective study focused on 42 ICU
patients with MALA [6]. Mean pH was 7.1 and mortality was 33%; pH was related to mortality in bivariate
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Moreover, we found a significant association between mortality and presence and type of lactic acidosis, and
also a significant association between mortality and arterial lactate after exclusion of patients with B-type lactic
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acidosis. We did not find evidence of changes in mortality rates with differing PaCO2, an easily modifiable
factor under mechanical ventilation. Pure respiratory acidosis was a very marginal element of the overall
population; the most frequent case was mixed acidosis, probably because of the circulatory effects of acidosis
We found no significant association between mortality and ICU therapy used or with the delay in acidosis
correction. The mortality difference observed regarding the renal replacement therapy was close to be significant
(P =0.06).
Our study has some limitations including the retrospective nature of the analysis and a low statistical power. Our
retrospective approach did not permit a fine biochemical analysis of acidosis, for example by the Stewart
method, which requires albumin values [19,20]. However, for some authors, this “modern” approach does not
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change the applied management of patients [21,22]. Our study can be considered as a pragmatic approach to the
problem.
On the methodology of the study, we selected only arterial samples (arterial catheter only), and pH threshold we
established (7.00) was based on studies reporting a very severe mortality in case of shock with lactic acidosis
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under pH 7.0 [10–13]. We found that with a value of 7.00, prevalence was not exceptional because it almost
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corresponds to the 4th percentile in our ICU.
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Moreover, we present 7 patients with MALA diagnosis based on a retrospective analysis of charts but without
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available metformine plasma levels.
5. Conclusions NU
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Patients admitted to ICU with extreme acidosis have a bleak prognosis but less than expected in absence of
cardiac arrest before admission. While mortality is almost universal in patients suffering cardiac arrest before
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admission, mortality is much lower in the absence of cardiac arrest before admission, which justifies aggressive
ICU therapy.
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Competing interest: All authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Authors’ contributions:
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JA designed the study, contributed to acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data; drafted the manuscript and
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has given final approval of this version; DV contributed to analysis and interpretation of data; drafted the
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manuscript and has given final approval of this version; JJ contributed to analysis and interpretation of data,
drafted the manuscript and has given final approval of this version; CB contributed to analysis and interpretation
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of data, drafted the manuscript and has given final approval of this version; RG contributed to acquisition,
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analysis and interpretation of data; drafted the manuscript and has given final approval of this version; XT
contributed to acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data; drafted the manuscript and has given final
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approval of this version; PC contributed to analysis and interpretation of data, revised the manuscript critically
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for important intellectual content and has given final approval of this version; OM contributed to analysis and
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interpretation of data, revised the manuscript critically for important intellectual content and has given final
approval of this version; NA designed the study, contributed to acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data;
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drafted the manuscript and has given final approval of this version. All authors read and approved the final
manuscript.
Acknowledgments: Andrew Hobson provided assistance for the English language review, which was funded by
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[17] Le Gall JR, Lemeshow S, Saulnier F. A new Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II) based on a
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Figure 1 Kaplan-Meier ICU survival curve for patients who suffered cardiac arrest before admission to
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Figure 2 Observed and predicted mortality rates, determined by cause of admission in patients who did
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not suffer cardiac arrest before ICU admission (n=47).
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*including MALA (n=7) and diabetic ketoacidosis (n=2).
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Gender, male, n (%) 50 (64.9) 17 (68) 33 (63.5) 0.8
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Hypertension, n (%) 34 (44.2) 13 (52) 21 (40.4) 0.46
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COPD, n (%) 4 (5.2) 2 (8) 3 (5.8) 0.66
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Congestive heart failure, n (%) 16 (20.8) 9 (36) 10 (19.2) 0.16
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Diabetes mellitus, n (%) 24 (31.2) 13 (52) 11 (21.2) 0.01
Cardiac arrest before ICU admission, n (%) 30 (39) 3 (12) 27 (51.9) 0.001
mmol.l-1)
mmol.l-1)
mmol.l-1)
Blood arterial lactate (mmol.l-1) 15.8 (9.9-20.5) 12.7 (3.4-18.9) 17 (11.4-22.3) 0.08
PaO2 (mm Hg) 143 (101-210) 134 (117-191) 145 (96-235) 0.93
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Base excess (mmol.l ) -23 (-26, -19) -24 (-26, -20) -23 (-26, -19) 0.84
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HCO3- (mEq.l-1) 8.6 (6.1, 13.4) 7.3 (5.9-12) 9.2 (6.4-13.5) 0.69
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Anionic gap (mEq.l ) 29 (23-37.3) 30.3 (20-40.6) 27.9 (23.4-33.4) 0.36
Serum creatinine (micromol.l-1) 178 (137-340) 347 (140-438) 166 (135-237) 0.01
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Prothrombin activity (%) 38 (17-56) 50 (28-65) 28.5 (16-46.3) 0.01
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Na+ (mEq.l-1) 138 (132-145) 137 (132-142) 139 (134-145.5) 0.29
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+ -1
K (mEq.l ) 5.15 (4.1-5.9) 5.1 (4.6-6.1) 5.2 (4-5.8) 0.32
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AST (UI.l-1) 313 (75-1029) 119 (48-1410) 330 (109-858) 0.17
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LVEF (%) 47.5 (30-60) 45 (30-60) 50 (32.5-60) 0.7
Length of ICU stay (days) 1.1 (0.4-6) 8 (4-15) 0.5 (0.2-1.1) < 0.001
*metabolic acidosis versus others (respiratory and mixed), **A-Type Lactic acidosis versus others, £data from 21
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patients, §data from 23 patients, ¤data from 32 patients (25 versus 7). Results are expressed as median (first and
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ALT: alanine transaminase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease;
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ICU: intensive care unit, LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction, PaO2: partial pressure of arterial oxygen, SaO2:
arterial oxygen saturation, SAPS II: simplified acute physiology score II.
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Septic shock, n (%) 15 (19.5) 5 (20) 10 (66)
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Cardiogenic shock, n (%) 11 (14.3) 3 (12) 8 (73)
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Hypoxic cardiac arrest, n (%) 9 (11.7) 0 (0) 9 (100)
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Hemorrhagic shock, n (%) 7 (9.1) 1(4) 6 (86)
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Mesenteric infarction, n (%) 5 (6.5) 0 (0) 5 (100)
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Table 3 Risk factors independently associated with death in ICU, assessed in multi-variate analysis.
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SAPS II 1.054 (1.014-1.095) 0.008
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A-Type lactic acidosis 7.93 (1.78-35.35) 0.007
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CI: confidence intervals.
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We included, in the model, significantly different parameters (p <0.05) after bi-variate comparison: diabetes
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mellitus, prothrombine activity, SAPS II, A-Type lactic acidosis and serum creatinine. The “cardiac arrest before
admission” variable was not included due to multicollinearity. Prothrombine activity, and diabetes mellitus were
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excluded from the equation (P=0.33, and P=0.78, respectively). The Hosmer/Lemeshow test showed a good
model calibration (P=0.66). The Nagelkerke and Cox/Snell R squares were respectively 0.56 and 0.4.
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Figure 1
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Figure 2
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