CPT Section D Quantitative Aptitude, Chapter 16 Dr. N.V. Ravi

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CPT Section D Quantitative Aptitude, Chapter 16

Dr. N.V. Ravi


Introduction Involved in the construction of Index
Numbers

Construction of Index number

Methods of Index Numbers

Usefulness of Index Numbers


An index number is a ratio or an average of
ratios expressed as a percentage two or more
time periods are involved, one of which is base
time period.

The value of the base time period serves as the


standard point of composition
Selection of data

Selection of a Base Year

Type of Formula

Selection of Weights

The Data for Index Numbers

Choice of Variables
• Specialized Averages
1

• Measure the net change in a group


2 of related variables

• Measures the effect of changes


3 over a period of time
Aggregative
Simple
Relative
Methods
Aggregative
Weighted
Relative
Price relatives are helpful in understanding
and interpreting changing economic and
business conditions over time.

A price relative shows how the current price


per unit for a given item compares to a
base period price per unit for the same
item.

A price relative expresses the unit price in


each period as a percentage of the unit
price in the base period
Price in period t
Price relative in period t = (100)
Base period price
An aggregate price index is
developed for the specific
An unweighted aggregate
purpose of measuring the
price index in period t,
combined change of a
group of items
Where
 P1=Price of the current year
 P0=Price of the base year
 qo=Quantity of the base year
 Where
 P1=Price of the current year
 P0=Price of the base year
 q1=Quantity of the current year
 Where
 P1=Price of the current year
 P0=Price of the base year
 qo=Quantity of the current year
 q1=Quantity of the current year
 Where
 L= Laspyre’s Price Index number
 P=Paachee’s Price Index number
An index that measures changes
in quantity levels over time is
called a quantity index.

Probably the best known quantity


index is the Index of Industrial
Production.
Unit test

Time reversal test

Factor reversal test

Circular test
The unit test requires that the formula for constructing
an index should be independent of the units in which,
or for which, prices and quantities are quoted. All
formulae except the simple (un weighted) aggregate
index formula satisfy this test.
The Fisher’s ideal index number.

Simple geometric mean of price relatives.

Aggregate with fixed weights.

Marshal-Edge worth Price index number.


A method satisfies time reversal test if
it gives P01 * P10 = 1
where P01 is the price index number for
the current year
P10 is the index number of the base
year, taking current year as the base,

both the indices without the factor 100.


A method satisfies factor reversal test if it gives

where P01 is the price index for the current year

q01 is the quantity index for the current year

Fishers index number only satisfies the factor reversal test


Circular test is an extension of the time reversal test.

Symbolically, the circular test may be written as

P01 .P12 . P23 … Pn-1n .Pn0 = 1

Circular test satisfies the simple geometric


mean of price relatives and weighted
aggregate of fixed weights.
Chain base index numbers is one in which the figures
for each are first expressed as percentage of the
preceding year. The percentage are chained together
by successive multiplication to form a series of chain
index, in chain base year index method the base year
changes from year to year
Year Price
 Find The Index 2001 50
2002 60
numbers by a chain 2003 62
2004 65
based method
2005 70
2006 78
2007 82
2008 84
2009 88
2010 90
When two or more overlapping series of index
numbers are combined into one series, then
this process is known as splicing
Technique of linking two or more index number
series with the same items and a common
overlapping year but with different base period
in order to form a continuous series

Splicing may be forward or backward


Splicing Index no. of old series Index no. of
New series

Forward ={100/Overlapping index No change


Splicing number of old series }*Given
index of No. of old series
Splicing Index no. Index no. of New series
of old
series
Backward No change ={Index number of old
Splicing series/100}*Given index No.of new
series
At times it is preferable to shift the base of
an existing index on account of several
reasons.
to make the base more recent, which will
increase its utility;

to ensure better comparison with some other


index that is available on some other base;
Index Number using new base
Old Index number using old base
X 100

Index number Corresponding new base year


1. As the indices are constructed mostly from
deliberate samples, chances of errors creeping in
cannot be always avoided.

2. Since index numbers are based on some


selected items, they simply depict the broad trend
and not the real picture.

3. Since many methods are employed for


constructing index numbers, the result gives
different values and this at times create confusion.
Index numbers with the same base and items
are useful for a short period. One has,
therefore, to ensure that index does not use a
very remote year as the base.

One who is interpreting an index must be


familiar with general aspects of the economy
and the factors relevant in this regard.
As we know, our indices are of prices and quantities.
The question is: does our index reflect a change in
the quality of a product or item?

Apart from quality changes, there are other aspects,


that are pertinent while we are interpreting index
numbers. We have to ask whether the weights
assigned to different items are appropriate.
 The formula for conversion can be stated as
Year Whole Sale GNP at Real
Price Index Current Prices GNP

2000 113.1 7499 6630

2001 116.3 7935 6823

2002 121.2 8657 7143

2003 127.7 9323 7301


Aggregate Expenditure method

Family budget method

Aggregate expenditure method is a weighted aggregated price index


where weights are the base period quantities. (Laspyre’s Index number)
Weighted Aggregated of price relatives

Index is obtained by taking the average of weighted


price relatives and the value weights are (P0q0) are used

CPI =
∑ PV P1
× 100
∑V P0
V = P0 .Q 0
 From the following data compute the Fisher’s
Price index number
Commodity Base Year Current Year
Price Quantity Price Quantity

A 1 6 5 8
B 2 7 4 7
C 3 8 3 6
D 4 9 2 5
Calculate chain indices and fixed base
indices with 2000 as base from the
following data

Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004


Price of 20 25 30 45 63
item
Per .Kg
Year Price of Rice
(Rs. per Kg)
FBIN

2000 20 100

2001 25 (25/20)*100=125

2002 30 (30/20)*100=150

2003 45 (45/20)*100=225

2004 63 (63/20)*100=315
Convert the following Link relatives in
to price relatives taking 2000 as base
Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Link 80 125 120 150 140


Relative
Year Link relatives Price Relatives
(LR’s) (PR’s)

2000 80 100

2001 125 (125/100)*100=125

2002 120 (120/100)*125=150

2003 150 (150/100)*150=225

2004 140 (140/100)*225=315


MCQ’s
(a) median

(b) geometric mean

(c) mode

(d) arithmetic mean

Answer: b
(a) base year quantities

(b) current year quantities

(c) average of current and base years

(d) none of these

Answer: b
(a) arithmetic mean of Laspyre’s and Paasche’s
index

(b) median of Laspyre’s and Paasche’s index

(c) geometric mean of Laspyre’s and Paasche’s


index

(d) none of these

Answer: c
(a) Simple aggregate index

(b) Paasche’s index

(c) Laspyre’s index

(d) Fisher’s index

Answer: a
(a) price index

(b) quantity index

(c) value index

(d) none of these

Answer: a
(a) circular test

(b) time reversal

(c) factor reversal test

(d) both (b) and (c)

Answer: d
(a) percentage of total quantity

(b) average quantity

(c) prices

(d) none of these

Answer: a
(a) circular test

(b) factor reversal test

(c) time reversal test

(d) none of these

Answer: a
(a) same

(b) different

(c) equal to 100

(d) none of these

Answer: b
(a) Laspyre’s index

(b) Paasche’s index

(c) Bowley’s index

(d) Fisher’s index

Answer: c
A) Splicing

B) Base shifting

C) Deflating

D) None of these

Answer: C
A) Weighted index

B) Price index

C) Quantity index

D) None of these

Answer: A
(a) Time reversal test

(b) Factor reversal test

(c) Circular test

(d) None

Answer: a
A) Backward splicing

B) Base shifting

C) Forward splicing

D) None of the above

Answer: C
A) 10%

B) More than 10%

C) 20%

D) Less than 10%

Answer: D
A) Time reversal test

B) Factor reversal test

C) Circular test

D) Unit test

Answer: C
A) Price index.

B) Quantity index

C) Value index.

D) None of these.

Answer: C
MCQ.18: Fisher's Ideal formula does
not satisfy_________ test.

A) Circular test

B) Unit test

C) Time Reversal test

D) None of these

Answer: A
A) 20

B) 120

C) 220

D) None of these

Answer: B
A) Laspeyre’s index

B) Paasche’s index

C) Simple aggregate price index

D) Base year price

Answer: A
A) Is the reference year from which changes in the index are
measured

B) Is always last year

C) Is the first year the index is created

D) Is the current year the index is created

Answer: A
If the price of all commodities in a place has increased 125 times in comparison
to the base period prices, then the index number of prices for the place is now

A) 100

B) 125

C) 225

D) None of these

Answer: C
A) 2

B) 5

C) 3

D) 4

Answer: D
If ∑PoQo=1360, ∑PnQo=1900, ∑PoQn=1344,∑PnQn=1880Then Laspyres
Index number is

A) 0.71

B) 1.39

C) 1.75

D) None of these

Answer: b

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