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Financing Real Estate Svfeb2019 PDF
Financing Real Estate Svfeb2019 PDF
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Effect of Mortgage Interest Rates on
Property Market
◼ Tuesday, January 31, 2006, South China Morning Post
High rates sink sales in primary market
“Only 100 units expected to have been sold this month as
homebuyers stay put.”
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Reported Issues on Negative Equity
◼ Friday, January 13, 2006, South China Morning Post
Negative equity: Who bears most pain
◼ 70pc of affected households bought at 1997 peak, says HKMA
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Contents
◼ Mortgage Design
◼ Term Loan (Straight Loan)
◼ Special Mortgages:
◼ Shared-Appreciation Mortgages (SAM)
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I. Mortgage Design
◼ Term Loan (Straight Loan)
Loan I I I I I …… Principal + I
0 1 2 3 4 5 n
0 1 2 3 4 5 n
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I. Mortgage Design
◼ Partially Amortized Mortgages
Loan P P P P P ………. P + Balloon
0 1 2 3 4 5 n
0 1 2 3 4 5 n
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Example
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1 − (1 + 𝑟)−𝑛
Example 𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑛 = 𝑃𝑀𝑇 ×
𝑟
◼ Consider a 10-year, 10% mortgage loan of $1,000,000 requiring
monthly payments.
◼ Determine the mortgage payments for fully amortized mortgage.
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1 − (1 + 𝑟)−𝑛 𝐵𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑜𝑛
Example 𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑛 = 𝑃𝑀𝑇 × +
𝑟 (1 + 𝑟)𝑛
◼ Consider a 10-year, 10% mortgage loan of $1,000,000 requiring
monthly payments of $9,000.
◼ Determine the mortgage payments for partially amortized mortgage.
◼ Special Mortgages:
◼ Shared-Appreciation Mortgages (SAM)
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II. Fixed Rate Mortgages (FRMs)
◼ Advantages??
◼ Disadvantages??
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Assets Liabilities +Equity
Important Issues Mortgages Deposits + Equity
◼ Mortgage lending is long-term, usually 10 years or even 30 years.
1. Mortgages are subject to high interest rate risk.
◼ Market interest rate increases ➔ MV of mortgages decreases
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Schedule of Payments and Amortization for GEM
GEM Loan = $10,000, Mortgage Interest Rate = 12%,
Annual increase of payments = 3.75%, Term = 20 years
Contd Year
Monthly
Payment
Annual
Interest
Annual % Principal Remaining
Principal repaid Balance
0 10,000
1 $110.11 1193.10 128.20 1.3% $9,871.80
2 $114.24 1174.02 196.83 3.3% $9,674.97
◼ Schedule of
3 $118.52 1146.14 276.12 6.0% $9,398.85
Payments and 4 $122.97 1108.08 367.51 9.7% $9,031.34
Amortization 5 $127.58 1058.33 472.60 14.4% $8,558.74
6 $132.36 995.12 593.21 20.3% $7,965.52
◼ How would 7 $137.33 916.50 731.40 27.7% $7,234.12
the 8 $142.47 820.23 889.47 36.6% $6,344.65
payments 9 $147.82 703.78 1070.04 47.3% $5,274.62
10 $153.36 564.28 1276.04 60.0% $3,998.57
compare 11 $159.11 398.52 1510.82 75.1% $2,487.76
with those 12 $165.08 202.84 1778.10 92.9% $709.66
under 12+1 month $171.27 7.10 164.17 94.5% $545.49
convention 12+2 $171.27 5.45 165.81 96.2% $379.67
al fixed rate 12+3 $171.27 3.80 167.47 97.9% $212.20
mortgage?? 12+4 $171.27 2.12 169.15 99.6% $43.05
12+5 $43.48 0.43 43.05 100.0% $0.00
TOTAL 10299.86
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GEM Contd.
◼ If the mortgage is a conventional 20-year, fixed rate
mortgage, then the monthly payment will be $110.11
for 240 months.
◼ Total interest will be $16,426.07
◼ (= 110.11 * 240 - 10,000).
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RPM Contd.
◼ Example.
◼ Consider a $1,000,000, 12.5% fixed-rate mortgage.
−𝑛 ◼ r is the periodic
1 − (1 + 𝑟) interest rate
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑛 = 𝑃𝑀𝑇 ×
𝑟 ◼ n is the total no.
of payments
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3. Biweekly Mortgages
◼ Biweekly mortgage is another variation of the
conventional fixed rate mortgage.
◼ Banks in Hong Kong also offer biweekly option to
mortgage borrowers.
◼ Main difference between biweekly and the traditional,
say 20 year, fixed rate mortgage is that the borrower
makes a payment every 2 weeks instead of every
month.
◼ Biweekly payments reduce the principal balance faster,
resulting in a much shorter loan term.
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3. Biweekly Mortgages 1 − (1 + 𝑟)−𝑛
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑛 = 𝑃𝑀𝑇 ×
𝑟
◼ With the traditional 20-year, fixed rate mortgage on a $10,000
loan at 12.5%, the monthly payments are $113.61, and the
loan is of course paid off in 20 years.
◼ During the term of the loan, the borrower will have paid
interest totaling $17,266.4 (=113.61 * 240 - 10000).
◼ With the biweekly loan, the biweekly payment is
$113.61/2 = $56.81
◼ Loan will be paid off in 15 years; and the total interest is
$12,181.27-- a savings of $5085.17.
◼ Details ?
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Biweekly Mortgage Payments (Excel)
Biweekly Mortgage of $10,000 at 12.5% amortized over 20 years
◼ Payment
Biweekly Biweekly Biweekly Biweekly
Period Payment Interest Principal Balance
Scheme 0 10000
1 56.80703 48.07692 8.730104 9991.270
2 56.80703 48.03495 8.772076 9982.498
◼ Biweekly interest
3 56.80703 47.99278 8.814250 9973.684
= 12.5%/26 * 4 56.80703 47.95040 8.856626 9964.827
Previous Loan 5 56.80703 47.90782 8.899206 9955.928
6 56.80703 47.86504 8.941990 9946.986
Balance
7 56.80703 47.82205 8.984981 9938.001
st 8 56.80703 47.77885 9.028178 9928.973
◼ 391 Biweekly
9 56.80703 47.73545 9.071582 9919.901
period = 391/26 10 56.80703 47.69183 9.115196 9910.786
11 56.80703 47.64801 9.159019 9901.627
= Year 15.04 12 56.80703 47.60397 9.203053 9892.424
388 56.80703 0.944378 55.86265 140.567
389 56.80703 0.675807 56.13122 84.436
390 56.80703 0.405946 56.40108 28.035
391 28.17040 0.134787 28.03561 0
TOTAL $12,181.27
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4. Graduated Payment Mortgage (GPM)
◼ GPM provides for reduced monthly payments during the early
years of the loan.
Payment Level
|
| GPM
| ____________________________________
|
| ________
|
| ________ CPM
|....................................................................
| ________
|
|_______
|
|_______|_______|_______|_______|_______|______.....________________|_
0 1 2 3 4 5...................... n years
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GPM
◼ Negative Amortization
◼ Whenever the monthly payment on a loan is
insufficient to cover all the interest charges, the
deferred (unpaid) interest charges are added to the
loan balance.
◼ In this instance, the loan balance actually increases
rather than decreases -- negative amortization.
◼ Negative amortization is not always bad.
◼ If the homeowner lives in an apartment where the
value of housing is growing at a faster rate than the
outstanding loan balance is increasing yearly, it would
pay for the borrower to buy the house now using a
GPM mortgage.
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Example-Negative Amortization
◼ Consider a 10-year, 12%, $1 million mortgage. The monthly
payments for the first 4 years are fixed at $8,000.
◼ The monthly payment for CPM is:
æ1- (1+12% /12)- 120 ö
1000000 = pmt ç ÷Þ pmt = $14, 347.1
è 12% /12 ø
The monthly payments
PMT = ??? beginning from the first
month of year 5 is
CPM: $14347
$22,011.
$8000
4 yrs 10 yrs
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Example-Negative Amortization Contd
◼ Recall the 12%, 10-year mortgage of $1m with monthly payments equal to
$8,000 for the first 4 years and $22011 for the remaining term.
:
48 8000 1125871
49 22011 1115119
:
120 22011 0
◼ Risk indicator (quality indicator) for mortgages is the LOAN/VALUE ratio!!
◼ LOAN/VALUE > 1 ➔ mortgage is risky (Negative Net Worth to Homeowners)
◼ LOAN/VALUE < 1 ➔ mortgage is safe (usually less than 70%).
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Negative Net Worth
Number of Cases
Source: Hong Kong Monetary Authority
120000
105697
100000
80000
60000
40000
10948
20000
2568
0
Q203
Q303
Q403
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Q107
Q207
Q407
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q103
Q104
Q205
Q307
Q408
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Contents
◼ Mortgage Design
◼ Term Loan (Straight Loan)
◼ Special Mortgages:
◼ Shared-Appreciation Mortgages (SAM)
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III. Mortgage Products in Hong Kong
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ARMs in Hong Kong
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Example-Elastic ARMs
Adjustable Rate Mortgage: Monthly Mortgage Payments and Interest Rates
(Mortgage Balance = 1,000,000)
Mortgage
Interest 5 years 10 years 12 years 15 years 20 years
Rates
6.0% $19,332.80 $11,102.05 $9,758.50 $8,438.57 $7,164.31
6.5% $19,566.15 $11,354.80 $10,019.21 $8,711.07 $7,455.73
7.0% $19,801.20 $11,610.85 $10,283.81 $8,988.28 $7,752.99
7.5% $20,037.95 $11,870.18 $10,552.26 $9,270.12 $8,055.93
8.0% $20,276.39 $12,132.76 $10,824.53 $9,556.52 $8,364.40
8.5% $20,516.53 $12,398.57 $11,100.56 $9,847.40 $8,678.23
9.0% $20,758.36 $12,667.58 $11,380.31 $10,142.67 $8,997.26
9.5% $21,001.86 $12,939.76 $11,663.73 $10,442.25 $9,321.31
10.0% $21,247.04 $13,215.07 $11,950.78 $10,746.05 $9,650.22
10.5% $21,493.90 $13,493.50 $12,241.41 $11,053.99 $9,983.80
11.0% $21,742.42 $13,775.00 $12,535.55 $11,365.97 $10,321.88
11.5% $21,992.61 $14,059.54 $12,833.17 $11,681.90 $10,664.30
12.0% $22,244.45 $14,347.09 $13,134.19 $12,001.68 $11,010.86
12.5% $22,497.94 $14,637.62 $13,438.57 $12,325.22 $11,361.41
13.0% $22,753.07 $14,931.07 $13,746.25 $12,652.42 $11,715.76
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Fixed-Rate Mortgage in Hong Kong
◼ July 20, 2016
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Discussion
◼ How would you compare the mortgage loan between HSBC and Bank of
China? Assume that the price of property is HK$2 million, 70% lending, with
mortgage term of 20 years. The risk of HSBC mortgage is that its prime rate
may increase to the same level as all other banks.
Comparison HSBC Bank of China
5% for the first half year, P–2%
Mortgage Rate P–2.75
to P – 2.5% thereafter
Actual Mortgage Rate 5% (Prime is 7.75%) 6% (Prime is 8%; Prime–2%)
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Mortgages in Hong Kong
◼ Adjustable Rate Mortgage
◼ Terms: Loan Amount, Tenor, Interest Rate
◼ Mortgage Interest Rate in Hong Kong:
more stable
◼ Option 1: Prime minus (e.g. Prime – 2.5%) Option 1 > Option 2
more volatile
◼ Option 2: HIBOR plus (e.g. HIBOR + 1.6%)
◼ The borrower can also consider setting a sinking fund
alongside the mortgage to cushion against the increase in
mortgage payments due to interest rate hike—the sinking
fund makes your mortgage behave like a FIXED rate
mortgage.
◼ Mortgage Term:
◼ (30-Property Age);
◼ Min(2047-Year of Mortgage; 30-Property Age)
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Deposit-Linked Mortgage
◼Mortgage plan with deposit interest rate linked to mortgage
rate in order to reduce interest cost.
Example 1: HSBC STANDARD HIBOR-DEPOSIT
HIBOR-DEPOSIT LINK HIBOR LINKED
Mortgage Amount $3,000,000 $3,000,000
Hibor Rate 0.23% 0.23%
Hibor Plus 1.60% 1.60%
Mortgage Rate 1.83% 1.83%
Deposit Rate 0.01% 1.83%
Mortgage Tenor (Years) 25 25
Deposit Amount $500,000 $500,000
The deposit-linked rate only applies to savings balance not more than 50% of the
mortgage balance. The interest rate for the excess balance will be set equal to the
standard savings rate.
◼ How much interest is saved?
◼ See Excel file: Financing Real Estate
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Deposit-Linked Mortgage
◼ Mortgage plan with deposit interest rate linked to mortgage
rate in order to reduce interest cost.
Example 2: Citibank STANDARD PRIME-DEPOSIT
PRIME-DEPOSIT LINK PRIME LINKED
Mortgage Amount $3,000,000.00 $3,000,000.00
Prime Rate 5.25% 5.25%
Prime Minus 3.10% 3%
Mortgage Rate 2.15% 2.25%
Despoit Rate 0.01% 2.25%
Mortgage Tenor (Years) 20 20
Deposit Amount $500,000.00 $500,000.00
The deposit-linked rate only applies to savings balance not more than 50% of the
mortgage balance. The interest rate for the excess balance will be set equal to the
standard savings rate.
◼ How much interest is saved?
◼ See Excel file: Financing Real Estate
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Contents
◼ Mortgage Design
◼ Term Loan (Straight Loan)
◼ Special Mortgages:
◼ Shared-Appreciation Mortgages (SAM)
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V. Shared-Appreciation Mortgages (SAM)
◼ Shared-appreciation (or equity participation) loan has been
mainly used by commercial lenders in the United States.
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æ1- (1+ 9% /12)- 360 ö
6mill = PMT ç ÷Þ PMT = 48, 277.35
9% /12
Example-SAM è ø
æ1- (1+ 9% /12)- 240 ö
Balanceyr10 = 48277.35ç ÷= 5, 365, 784.6
è 9% /12 ø
◼ Suppose a developer has a real estate project valued at $7.5 mill and
borrows a 30-yr, $6 mill below market fixed rate SAM mortgage at 9%
interest in exchange for giving up one third of the property
appreciation to the lender.
◼ The developer is required to pay the lender her share of the
appreciation either in 10 years or when the property sells, whichever
occurs first.
◼ Now suppose the property appreciates 10 percent per year, or doubles
in value over the 10 years.
◼ At the end of year 10
◼ Buyer owes the lender 1/3 of the $7.5mill appreciation ($2.5 mill).
◼ Problem ?? k s tse 43
æ1- (1+ 9% /12)- 360 ö
6mill = PMT ç ÷Þ PMT = 48, 277.35
è 9% /12 ø
Example-SAM æ1- (1+ 9% /12)- 240 ö
Balanceyr10 = 48277.35ç ÷= 5, 365, 784.6
è 9% /12 ø
◼ Problem
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Advantages and Disadvantages of SAM
◼ The advantage of a SAM to the lender is the ability to
share in any property appreciation.
◼ Property values however, may not appreciate for a long
time.
◼ Some areas may even experience severe losses in
property value.
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Advantages and Disadvantages of SAM
◼ Questions regarding SAM:
◼ Who determines the price appreciation of the property, the
lender or the borrower?
◼ How to handle property improvements made by the property
owner?
◼ Does the lender also share in any property loss?
◼ Is the appreciation payment made to the lender regarded as
interest income or long-term capital gain? Is it deductible
interest expense or is it subject to capital gain tax?
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SAM: Agency Problem?
◼ How would the borrower manage the property?
◼ Discussion….
Mortgage
Insolvency No Profit Profit Sharing with lender:
Payoffs Bankruptcy Sharing 1/3 of price appreciation
Property
Value
Mortgage Initial
Balance: Property
$5,365,800 Value
$7,500,000
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End
◼ Financing Real Estate
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