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Bora Assignment Final
Bora Assignment Final
Investment Appraisal
Sub: ADMT
Lecturer: S. Palan
Student: Bora ASLAN
Student ID: B0164KEKE0810
London city
2010
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CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION (p. 3)
3. STATEMENT (p. 4)
6. BIBLIOGRAPHY (p.12)
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1. INTRODUCTION
This report has been prepared to provide information about investment appraisal of two
thought projects that can be undertaken; as well as to recommend the more beneficial
project.
2. INITIAL INFORMATION
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3.STATEMENT
Since these types of investments bring a considerable amount of cash inflows as well as
risk correlated to them; managers should evaluate projects before they are accepted.
When the managers of an organization make plans for the long term, they must be able to
answer number of questions including:
While selecting an acceptable project, managers can use different methods in order to
correspond different criterions. To evaluate the investments in monetary terms, managers
can use either Traditional Method or Discounted Cash Flow(DCF) analysis.
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PAYBACK METHOD
The payback method gauges the time-span needed to recover the initial cash outflow. If
there are numerous different projects, the one which has the quickest time period of
payback, which minimizes the risk of future uncertainty would be recommended to
undertake in an investment decision making. (Proctor,2009)
(b) What is the payback period of each project? If AP Ltd imposes a 3 year maximum
payback period which of these projects should be accepted?
FOR PROJECT A:
FOR PROJECT B:
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Because of annuity we can calculate the payback time needed with an other equation
which will give us the same solution;
It is the most simple investment appraisal method among the others. And it is used as an
indicator of risk. But it has some weaknesses as compared to other methods.
One weakness of this method is that it only concerns about the payback time period and
and it ignores the cash received after the payback period. Another weakness is that the
Payback method does not try to calculate project’s total profit over the whole expected
life of the money invested. Therefore; projects with shorter payback period can be
accepted although they are not as gainful as projects, which have longer time period of
payback. (Dyson, 2007, p.424)
(d) Determine the NPV for each of these projects? Should they be accepted – explain
why?
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Years Net cash flow Discount factor Present value
£000 12% £000
1 40 0.8931 35.724
2 40 0.7971 31.884
3 40 0.7121 28.484
4 40 0.6361 25.444
5 40 0.5671 22.684
_______
Total present value 144.22
Less: Initial investment 110
------------
Net present value 34.22
Both projects should be undertaken, since both Net Present Values are positive according
to ACCEPT-REJECT decision making techniques.
If we use RANKING decision making techniques;
As it can be seen from the rankings Project B is more preferable with a higher NPV.
Because of the weaknesses of Traditional methods, DCF Discounted Cash Flow method
is more superior among investment appraisal techniques. Unlike traditional method, the
time value of the money is considered in DCF methods such as; Net Present Value (NPV)
and Internal Rate of Return.
If £10 is invested at a interest rate of 10% per year, at the end of the year one the money
will grow to £11. Suppose it has been promised for an investor to receive £10 in one
year’s time and the interest rates are 10%. If the investor does not want to wait one year
to receive cash; the money would be £9.091.
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This amount can be calculated by the usage of the present value formula, which is useful
during the calculation of the present value of a sum of £1 that can be received at the
ending of n years with an interest rate of r% per year;
1
(1+r)n
The process, which aims to calculate the present value of the money, is known as
‘discounting’. And the interest rate can be called either ‘discount rate’ or ‘cost of
capital’. (Weetman, 2009, p.666)
The sum total of the present values of all cash flows that come from the project, is called
the ‘Net Present Value’.
After calculating the results interpreting must be done in order to decide about the
projects. During the decision making;
1. Accept the project, if the project has a positive NPV; which means that project is
profitable.
2. Reject the project, if the project has a negative NPV; which means that there is a
loss.
3. If there are several projects are being considered for an investment, choose the
project with the highest NPV.
The only weakness of this method is that the discount rate (cost of capital) is assumed
that it won’t be changed over the years with any factors, which is more likely to be not
true; especially when longer period of time is involved. (Proctor, 2009, p.190)
If the cost of the capital rises, discount factors decreases; which causes a decrease in
present values of cash inflows. Since NPV is the sum of present values of cash inflows
minus initial investment cost, NPV decreases as well.
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(2) The cost of capital decreased?
(g) Determine the IRR for each project. Should they be accepted?
This method is a similar method to the NPV and it is based on discounting as well. But
unlike the NPV method, it calculates approximately the rate of return that is needed in
order to make sure that total NPV equates the total initial investment cost.
In theory, if the project’s calculated internal rate of return is higher than the cost of
capital, project can be accepted.
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IRR= positive rate + ×range of
1 40 0.819 0.787
2 40 0.671 0.620
3 40 0.550 0.488
4 40 0.451 0.384
5 40 0.369 0.302
Since both project’s IRR are bigger then cost of capital; both of them can be accepted.
(h) How does a change in the cost of capital affect the project’s IRR?
If there is a change in cost of capital IRR does not change. However, managers should
evaluate the results again to accept the project. Since the IRR must be still greater than or
same as the new cost of capital.
(i) Why is the NPV method often regarded to be superior to the IRR method?
While dealing a simple investment appraisal projects, in general both NPV and IRR
methods result the similar decision. But in some cases there may be a conflict between
these two results.
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When there is a conflict NPV method often regarded to be superior than the IRR method.
Because; NPV results are expressed in pounds, which can directly show the financial
position. IRR results are shown as a proportion, and these results must be put side by side
with a minimum rate of return previous to the evaluation can be done. In another word;
Comparing two projects IRR’s is meaningless unless referred to the initial outlays.
(Gaultier and Underdown, 2001, p.493)
Another reason for preferring NPV rather than IRR is that, IRR method provides only a
fairly accurate rate of return, which can be false in some complex investment appraisal
situations. (Dyson, 2007, p.433)
The most important reason is that; in some situations multiple rate of returns can be
found due to irregular pattern of cash inflow.
4.CONCLUSION
Based on information above both projects are profitable and can be undertaken. But; with
higher positive NPV, IRR and shorter payback period it can be said that project B is more
favorable.
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5.REFERENCES
Dyson, J.R. (2007), Accounting for non-accounting students, (6th Edn), Pearson
education. (p.424-433)
Gaultier, M.W.E. and Underdown, B (2001), Accounting Theory and Practice,
(7th Edn), Prentice Hall. (p.493)
Mott, G (2005), Accounting for Non-Accountants, (6th Edn), Kogan Page. (p.205)
Proctor, R (2009), Managerial accounting for business decisions, (3rd Edn),
Pearson Education. (p.190)
Weetman, P (2009), Financial & Management Accounting: An Introduction, (5th
Edn), Prentice Hall. (p.660-666)
6.BIBLIOGRAPHY
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