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Here's Why The China Trade Deal Fell Apart
Here's Why The China Trade Deal Fell Apart
by Tyler Durden
Wed, 05/08/2019 - 05:50
Readers who have been paying close attention to every leak related to the ongoing US-China trade talks
might remember this FT story from six weeks ago about Beijing's penchant for returning trade-deal draft
proposals to Washington riddled with red-line stikeouts.
We only bring it up now because, according to a play-by-play published by Reuters Wednesday morning, it
appears President Trump finally lost his patience with Beijing when they returned a draft trade deal with
strikeouts eliminating virtually all of the major concessions made during the past few weeks.
Though reports about Beijing's unwillingness to compromise had begun appearing with more regularity
during the preceding week, according to Reuters, it appears Beijing was deliberately trying to provoke
President Trump. And if this was indeed China's goal, it appears it succeeded.
The diplomatic cable from Beijing arrived in Washington late on Friday night, with systematic edits
to a nearly 150-page draft trade agreement that would blow up months of negotiations
between the world’s two largest economies, according to three U.S. government sources and
three private sector sources briefed on the talks.
The document was riddled with reversals by China that undermined core U.S. demands, the sources
told Reuters.
In each of the seven chapters of the draft trade deal, China had deleted its commitments to change
laws to resolve core complaints that caused the United States to launch a trade war: theft of U.S.
intellectual property and trade secrets; forced technology transfers; competition policy; access
to financial services; and currency manipulation.
U.S. President Donald Trump responded in a tweet on Sunday vowing to raise tariffs on $200 billion
worth of Chinese goods from 10 to 25 percent on Friday – timed to land in the middle of a
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scheduled visit by China’s Vice Premier Liu He to Washington to continue trade talks.
One administration insider said the changes "undermines the core architecture of the deal", particularly
since Robert Lighthizer has prioritized an enforcement regime that's closer to something typically used for
punitive economic sanctions than a trade deal.
Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said earlier this week that Trump's tariff threats were
prompted by Beijing reneging on its promises. But they refused to disclose any details. It now appears that
Beijing has gone back on practically all of the concessions it had made during the negotiations, including
deals on currency stabilization, enforcement and market access for cloud-computing firms, to name a few.
But despite the steady stream of optimistic trade rhetoric, the only real surprise here - as one
administration insider put it - is that it took this long for the White House to blow up the deal.
Lighthizer and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin were taken aback at the extent of the
changes in the draft. The two cabinet officials on Monday told reporters that Chinese backtracking
had prompted Trump’s tariff order but did not provide details on the depth and breadth of the
revisions.
Liu last week told Lighthizer and Mnuchin that they needed to trust China to fulfil its pledges
through administrative and regulatory changes, two of the sources said. Both Mnuchin and
Lighthizer considered that unacceptable, given China’s history of failing to fulfil reform pledges.
One private-sector source briefed on the talks said the last round of negotiations had gone very
poorly because "China got greedy."
"China reneged on a dozen things, if not more...The talks were so bad that the real surprise is
that it took Trump until Sunday to blow up," the source said.
"After 20 years of having their way with the U.S., China still appears to be miscalculating with this
administration."
Though Vice Premier Liu He will visit Washington later this week, the notion that a deal can be salvaged, at
least in the short term, looks almost impossibly remote. And it's not hard to see why.
Even as the standoff in the Pacific between the US and China has grown increasingly tense - thanks in part
to Washington's belligerently pro-Taiwan (and its refusal to allow Beijing to have its cake and eat it, too
when it comes to contested islands in the South China Sea) - Beijing has put on a happy face and parroted
Washington's line that American military meddling in the region is a separate issue.
But as Washington prepares to sell billions of dollars in arms to Taiwan (only months after President Xi
vowed to bring the errant province back under Beijing's control), it appears the Chinese might finally be
losing their patience.
On Tuesday, Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang told reporters that Beijing had lodged "stern
representations" with the US over a House bill expressing support for Taiwan. Beijing complained that this
"severely violates" the longstanding "One China" policy and represents "gross interference" in China's
affairs.
While the Communist Party might have been willing to countenance repeated American intrusions into the
South China Sea, Xi earlier this year threatened to smite anybody who dares interfere with Beijing's plans for
Taiwan.
Walking away from the trade-deal table might only be the beginning.
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China has, practically forever, demanded foreigners disclose technology secrets if they want to do
business in China. 1000 years ago, this was standard practice. To change now would be a shift of
historical magnitude. The other areas of trade conflict are a function of Chinese hubris that also
dates back to practically forever. Getting them to change broadly will be just the other side of
impossible. Even to negotiate with them seriously would be just as difficult.
Also, the communist leadership makes fortunes personally from the skim. Removing these trade
barriers would hit them personally in their pocket books. They have both personal and historical
reasons to leave things just as they have been for centuries. Maintaining the status quo is, likely,
existential for the communist party. It's like asking Wall Street to pretty please stop with the HFT.
Regarding the US, Obama and his predecessors would be out-negotiated easily. Obama would take
any deal and brag about making a 'Deal With China!'. The Chinese would have publicly sang
praises to him and allowed the people of the US to think he was a masterful victor. The Globalists
would agree and praise Obama as 'their guy in the White House'.
The US and Trump just wants them to be more honest, steal a lot less, and manipulate a lot less.
This is asking too much.
China will wait out the US until Trump caves in (doubtful) or someone new takes over in the White
House who will be more like Trump's predecessors.
Fortunately, China needs US more than we need them. We can afford to let them wait forever if
need be.
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See, you can't trust the Chinese at all. Hit them with billions more in tariffs, make them sweat.
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Lovely.
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Show More Replies
Must Watch Video on STEM High School "shooting" HOAX! ( Sorry for thread "Hijack" )
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What about:
Killary?
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Look for made in USA products. Chinese clothes are made poorly, Ill fitting and they cut
corners.
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Oh, and the Chinese government doesn't do 'Food stamps'... the American, welfare
recipients wouldn't last five minutes here... no grape/kool aid, no 'mega bags of chips',
no 'free riceroni'...
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china is pissed the USA is acting like an independent country for once ..and pissed at the
above..
those evil NWO traitors better fear china hit men..collecting on that debt.
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Tyler, you are NYT writer material, use LinkedIn, and apply for a internship. (I don't think they pay
their fiction writers.)
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When China uses this technique, under circumstances like this, you can pretty much guarantee it is
a case of reciprocity.
And don't even bother listening to the justifications, declarations and protestations that come out
of American diplomats mouths. They are proven liars, and no-one trusts anything they say
anymore.
America is now faced with a major power facing up to them and saying: put up, or shut up, and we
are fed up with you thinking you can dictate terms, and that we will just have to accept your
demands... see how you like this big F***Y** back at you.
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China is our friend, our benefactor of free **** forever. Anyone who resists is "dicking
them around" ******* with their PLAN.
Too many fools seem to think world domination by Chicoms will be superior to the mess
we have.
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**** Chinese clothes made too small and half assed. Can do without.
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The doublecrossing Americans draw up contracts with the implicit intend to break their side of the
deal anyway , it is just the other side that should sign away her rights.
Good luck with those negotiations , this pair of crooks will only agree on ganging up on a third
party.
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More Lies and Anti-China "Fear ****", to Try and get the American people on board World War
Three against China ( Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Russia, Syria, etc., etc., etc., )
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The Chinese have a $500 billion annual trade surplus with us. A rational person might think that
negotiating this surplus down to $200 or $300 billion would be preferable to having a full scale
trade war.
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ours is growing
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" exactly how many jobs does it cost us?" MILLIONS, DUMMY. Why do you think the
Chinks are negotiating so hard?
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he must have been one of those assholes that fat drunk clinton said was asking her advice
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goodbye joe
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FWIW on STEM High School Hoax "shooting" ( Sorry for thread "Hijack" )!
Proof "shooting" was a HOAX...STEM story, was posted on Google, numerous times before May 7th!
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https://153news.net/watch_video.php?v=1W1748HB6K92
https://www.lyrn.ai/2018/12/26/a-style-based-generator-architecture-for-generative-
adversarial-networks/
One way to check if "victims" are real or AI generated is finding them in school yearbooks,
birth certificates etc.
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They will probably want to get rid of those T bills. There will be pain, but I feel like we the public
through our collective apathy have more than earned it.
Prepare accordingly.
https://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/mfh.txt
If they sold them all at once, our federal reserve would up their balance sheet with a few
keystrokes on their numeric keyboard and buy them up with this newly created free money.
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YIPPEEE
So when folks focus on only one pillar, they miss the full picture. The US has been reneging on
erstwhile agreed protocols regarding issues such as Taiwan, amongst others, the Chinese are
simply responding asymmetrically, no more, no less.
And before you bloviate, I'm not ethnic Chinese, I'm simply laying out the reality hidden from
folks.
Anyhow, life is metaphysical, my physical ethnicity is not germane to the issue, cheers...
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Somehow the media the offshore manufacturers and the Dems will portray this as Trump's being
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Somehow, the media, the offshore manufacturers, and the Dems will portray this as Trump s being
unreasonable.
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We've been in a trade war waaaaay before Trump- he's just the only one with balls to
address it!
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Even if this report is true (big if on anonymous rumor) it begs the question as to why China would
junk the trade talks ...
All the answers are not good from USA's viewpoint ...
impeached
everyday for years
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It may seem dumb (it is). But it's another international institution shown to be toothless
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**** off!
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Billions to protect Germany through NATO, mostly protection from Russia- as Germany
buys billions of dollars of energy from Russia- putting billions in their pockets- it
make no sense- and Trump called them on it.
Fed-up with being Sick and Tired 1 hour ago
It is a strange world these days: DOLLAR strength and OIL shoots higher and the last time we saw
$4 unleaded In Cal was when Oil was $147 a barrel. Trump imposes Tariffs and people are acting
as if INFLATION IS GOOD (I cannot believe how many regular folks are saying, "higher oil is
good.")... in fact, the KOOLAID is being drunk by regular folks who believe all of this ******** about
POLITICS, as if politicians, or Trump himself mean anything they say about anything in the MSM.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VXcYMvzZ7jk
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The US markets are just a hot air balloon waiting to crash. The huff and puff is to keep it all up in
the air. We all know that it can only end very badly. For us that is. The money power will make even
more out of us when they decide to let it go.
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Just stating this so there's no more need for OJDS (Obsessive *** Derangement Syndrom) sufferers
to start ranting on this thread.
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Hey look! Futures are creeping up. Looks like the trade war panic of 19 lasted 24 hours. It’s all BS
theater anyway. Waiting on the upcoming attack on Iran. They’re setting the stage for that part of
the script. And the Oscar goes to Pompeo and Bolton.
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Can someone find him another sister in law to crank?, it seems he has used up the last one!
" according to three U.S. government sources and three private sector sources briefed on the talks.
"
what really happened?..............typical trump negotiating style. get near to closing the deal and
then make a series of insane demands, and claim the other side was at fault.
one must assume team trump added some poison pills to which the chinese side responded with
taking back some of the tentative agreements.....as expected/planned.
seems team trump knows they won't win this one, and simply want some way to blame the
chinesers.
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Oh yeah. Nothing. Just random speculation which only speaks to what YOU want to be true.
Because remember Orange Man Bad.
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"...the real surprise is that it took Trump this long to blow it up.
Hahahahaha! 😂
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ne tiger 1 h (Edit d)
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ne-tiger 1 hour ago (Edited)
Blame them all on the black **** which is still got stuck in trumptards' throats after all
these years.
Lavrov 1 hour ago
You forgot the most important ISSUE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Keep fighting WARS for
ISRAHELL!!!!!!. That's JUSA main problem.
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liars lying
cheats cheating
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With about 1/3 of the world's population all it has to do is loosen controls and allow more self
employment and have people keep more of the money earned. Once the income per household
increases they really won't need to trade as much with other countries! It will be self sustaining!
However at this point before that happens is a long way away!
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I think we should take care of this planet, but we can't when we keep tossing good stuff out
that other people can use. Then we buy even more stuff that we toss after a short time, even
though there is nothing wrong with it in many cases. Because we have money, we can afford
to buy and toss, buy and toss. This creates pollution. This country has to be less wasteful
and more conservative. One mans trash that is in good condition is another mans
necessity. If it wasn't, the original buyer would not have purchased it in the first place. In
addition to giving money to the poor, merchandise can be given to the poor also. But,
because of our screwed up monetary system, if we buy less and conserve more, people
would be put out of work and the rich can't get richer because of us buyers and tossers,
buyers and tossers. Wasteful people are great for this screwed up economy, those who
conserve aren't.
What I'm getting at is that since China grew so quickly in such a short time, the whole
country and it's waters have become more like our local city dump. They really need to clean
up their mess.
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Nothing made in China isn't made in other nations. And, Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia, the
world is more than happy to make it.
For now the Chinese will eat the 25% . They will push that down their supply chain. State
owned enterprises will just hit Beijing for more script.
The Communists were, in their eyes, right to strike out enforcement mechanisms. A. They
dont have them. B. Independent courts, anything, are a mortal threat to the Party.
The Communist Party only exports for one thing. Dollars, Euros, Yen. The Communist Party,
elite, don't even want the Yuan . That is chump script. People that sell to China, want to be
paid in Dollars. Yuan is for suckers. Enron notes.
I imagine all the way down the China,supply chain everyone will be less happy with less
Dollars and more Yuan. I don't feel they will spend Yuan profits/savings in China. They'll try
to sell/convert Yuan to Dollars. Beijing will want to put more currency controls on the Yuan
to keep its price up. Maybe Soros will short it, if possible. ( that is a joke )
Anything anyone must have from China, even if 25% more, after you throw in other costs in
the US, or from Korea, or where ever these goods go to, in and out, domestic labor, design,
insurance, taxes,( equal to ir greater than China component cost) isn't going to go up 25% in
total costs.
I dont know about you, but I have too much stuff. I already have two car I can't get my car
in.
Everybody all over the world wants to, and is, going up the Asian Tiger manufacuring chain
model and shipping to the US. For Dollars.
If, if, the tariff has little domestic effect in the US, and the US gets used to it. Oh, boy. We
had high tarriffs for a couple hundred years.....to support American manufacturing and
labor.
Zero Point 1 hour ago
There's good news and bad news.
The bad news is that your Christmas tree lights will cost 15 bucks instead of 5 bucks.
The good news is that they will work, and not catch fire and kill your family.
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However, those lights are contracted in China for $1. So the price at China might go to
$1.25. The rest of the $5 ( shipping , insurance, port fees, distribution, trucking, retail
overhead, profits ) stay the same. So the final price goes from $5--->$5.25.
I hope Trump gets it right on enforcement, otherwise this is all just a sideshow in the declining
America circus.
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America circus.
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No "***" hate here, just awareness before God, America's King, the Edomite false-Jews'
weekly liturgy states we Americans are "sub-human animals," "Goyim," "a mindless
herd of cattle" "to lie to, cheat, rob, enslave, and kill, with impunity" by satanically
possessed ritually sodomized "gods chosen by God to rule the world."
God knows America is "Zion": one People under the one God by Bible prophecy, which
also informs us the Beast, Gog and Babylon ride, Golgotha's Fasces-bearing Christ-
killers who together ran "the Wall Street of slavery" at Rome for over 2,000 years yet
enslaving Latin America, whose Fifth Column funded Hitler, staged the Holohoax, took
us to Korea as papal catspaw and to Vietnam after murdering JFK after he ended their
FedScam, and MLK, is going down, killed by the Wall. Praise God.
You don't like it only because you are not American, and because you're a satanically
possessed ****.
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The goal should not be trade but in removing the Communists from power.
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"After 20 years of having their way with the U.S., China still appears to be miscalculating with this
administration."
LOL!
Never mind US government & CEO's shipping American jobs overseas so the US could have its way
with China cheap labor
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I see you called me a ***** or **** or whatever it was, further down the comments.
I have blonde hair, blue eyes white skin I'm 6 foot 4 (and a bit) slim/athletic build and
can trace my ancestry back nearly 600 years.
Definitely stupid.
Peasant!
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Peasant!
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Tariffs are meant to generate revenue from Trumps tax heist for the rich.
And yet China maintains a surplus while our deficit increases and as Midwestern farmers go
bankrupt in record numbers allowing corporate farms to buy their acreage at pennies on the
dollar. I now believe this is deliberate too
This is fast becoming one of the most destructive Administrations in history. Meanwhile the
American sheeple graze...
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that is an excellent idea. start with plastic pumpkins. i hate those things.
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https://www.alhambrapartners.com/2017/06/21/basic-china-money-math-still-doesnt-
add-up-to-a-solution/
https://www.alhambrapartners.com/2018/10/17/the-aid-of-tic-in-sorting-sorts-and-
shortages/
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And the trompetar devotees are still drinking the kool-aid, waiting for the day when they
waike up to the promised land of MAGA (miga) & “drain the swamp”, delivered by their
HisraHell messiah – If only pigs could fly.
The Sanders devotees think that their man is the true Hisrahell messiah, forget about the
other messiah. He is the one who is going to deliver Amerika to the land of milk & honey.
The devotees don't believe that the JUSA evil & criminal empire is sinking to the bottom of
the ocean & that there is no amount of manifest destiny, exceptionalism, divine rights,
h th t ill t th fi l ll
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hegemony that will prevent the final collapse.
Trampa could ask Gorby how to soft-land the JUSA empire in the final crash
The sooner the JUSA titanic sink the better for the entire globe, no more Amerikan
exceptionalism and nonstop interventionism - "karma is a bitch".
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China has no intention of being locked into producing low-end manufacturing of basic goods but
is determined to move into high-tech products. A key part of the plan centers around both state-
owned and private firms investing in and acquiring foreign companies for the purpose of stealing
their technological innovations.
Subsidizing those companies working within its system in a multitude of ways helps China achieve
this goal. Countries that export goods at slightly below cost in exchange for manufacturing
jobs are not stupid they are predatory and we in America are their prey. More on this subject
in the article below.
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China is now number one in tech innovation. They are far ahead of the US in 5G too.
Anyone seen the new ZTE phone China just released to the Chinese public now being bought
in record numbers?
I owned a ZTE and it was the best phone I ever owned. Unfortunately, Trump banned ZTE
from the US, cutting off US consumers from remarkable Chinese innovation and tech.
Must. Buy. Apple..
But I'm glad people that never had one, have one.
America = Socialism.
HorseBuggy 2 hours ago
There is US Steel and China Steal, which one makes more money?
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1-cheap labour
3-technology transfer
The US gets 2 out of 3, in return China expects n.3. Unless it is so, then it's hardly a 'trade deal',
but attempted neo-colonialism on the world's emerging superpower and largest nation. Good luck.
The only ones surprised by it not working are the idiots in the White House. They still don't
understand that they are the ones asking for a deal and think they can dictate terms. China knows
that time is on their side and the longer they wait, the less n.3 will be a factor in negotiations, they
are already ahead in 5G and soon AI too.
The only time the US negotiates is when war is not an option; might be time to learn the former
and stop practising the latter.. they clearly suck at diplomacy. Meanwhile China is taking over the
world without firing a single shot. Now that is clever.
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xi = *******.
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FIFY
In each of the seven chapters of the draft trade deal, China had deleted its commitments to
change laws to resolve core complaints that caused the United States to launch a trade
war: theft of U.S. intellectual property and trade secrets; forced technology transfers;
competition policy; access to financial services; and currency manipulation.
Wait, how is the US launching a trade war if China has already been doing all of these things?
Sounds like the US is finally responding to the ongoing trade war.
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I can tell you what they don't learn... diversity, basket weaving or LGBTQ studies.
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Exceptional!
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This is why more rich Chinese (and other nationalities) have been emigrating to the US for the past
20 years.
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Now dream on :)
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5/8/2019 Here's Why The China Trade Deal Fell Apart | Zero Hedge
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Below is a list highlighting 15 of China’s top trading partners in terms of export sales.
That is, these countries imported the most Chinese shipments by dollar value during
2018. Also shown is each import country’s percentage of total Chinese exports.
Over two-thirds (67.8%) of Chinese exports in 2018 were delivered to the above 15 trade
partners.
1 4
China has been doing the US a favor in buying from an economy that makes nothing
anymore..
2 1
7 4
Henderson, NV Housing Prices Crater 10% YOY As Las Vegas Housing Glut Expands
https://www.movoto.com/henderson-nv/market-trends/
2
6 2
17 1
16 4
4 1
5 22
A paper tiger like America fighting a country that has 'proper' weapons!
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3 12
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5/8/2019 Here's Why The China Trade Deal Fell Apart | Zero Hedge
If you do, best you call them up now and tell them you don't love them!
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https://i.pinimg.com/236x/3d/3a/5e/3d3a5e4bf42d1c998ebec740ca2edb47.jpg
1 6
But Bolton is just arrogant and incompetent enough to believe that the US could
win such a war. It cannot.
2 2
5 2
All the GMO's and a good dose of Roundup ought to do the trick.
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21 14
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6 2
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5/8/2019 Here's Why The China Trade Deal Fell Apart | Zero Hedge
Pliskin 51 minutes ago
That's a lot of anger you've got going on there, life not working out too well for you
sweetheart?
9 5
I had a client two years ago (since gone into receivership) with an A/P Aging that
extended out past 24 months! All were payables to Chinese companies and all of
them simply required a renewing an annual confirmation to keep write-offs from hitting
their books apparently.
8 1
So China reneged.
Also, US did not "launch a trade war" US is finally responding to China's trade war against US for
the last 30 years.
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27 1
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5/8/2019 Here's Why The China Trade Deal Fell Apart | Zero Hedge
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Godless commie cannot be trusted in any case because for them cheating, lying, treason is not a
sin
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8 3
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