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Treatment Options For Refractoryrelapsed Multiple
Treatment Options For Refractoryrelapsed Multiple
Xian-Wu Luo 1 Background: The refractory/relapsed multiple myeloma (RRMM) remains a big clinical
Xue-Qing Du 2 challenge, due to its biological and clinical complexity. Leading hematologists have performed
Jie-Li Li 2 many randomized controlled trials (RCTs) worldwide, and their findings were summarized in
Xiao-Ping Liu 3,4 a recently published network meta-analysis (NMA) but with certain limitations.
For personal use only.
Materials and methods: We performed an updated NMA of RCTs related to RRMM treat-
Xiang-Yu Meng 3,4
ment, focusing on efficacy measures including the nonresponse rate (NRR), time to progression
1
Department of Health Management,
(TTP), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). The PubMed database was
School of Health Sciences, Wuhan
University, 2Department of searched. We extended the literature search strategy of a previous NMA to June 30, 2017 and
Hematology, Zhongnan Hospital of included additional primary RCTs. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA)
Wuhan University, 3Department
of Evidence-Based Medicine and was calculated to rank the regimens. A weighted-average method was used to rank the regimens
Clinical Epidemiology, Second Clinical by summarizing SUCRAs across different outcome measures.
School, Wuhan University, 4Center Results: Finally, a total of 24 RCTs were included in this updated NMA. According to the
for Evidence-based and Translational
Medicine, Zhongnan Hospital of result, the combination of daratumumab, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone showed better
Wuhan University, Wuhan, China efficacy than other regimens in terms of NRR, TTP, and PFS (NRR: odds ratio [OR] =0.046,
95% credible interval [CrI] =[0.024, 0.085]; TTP: hazard ratio [HR] =0.14, 95% CrI =[0.092,
0.2]; PFS: HR =0.12, 95% CrI =[0.077, 0.18], compared with dexamethasone singlet). The
combination of ixazomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone showed better efficacy than other
regimens in terms of OS (HR =0.30, 95% CrI =[0.17, 0.54], compared with dexamethasone).
The combination of daratumumab, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone ranked first in terms of
overall efficacy (weighted average of SUCRAs =0.920).
Conclusion: The combination of daratumumab, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone may cur-
rently be the most effective regimen in the population of RRMM patients. Triplet regimens
containing daratumumab, ixazomib, carfilzomib, or elotumumab plus lenalidomide and dexa-
methasone can be recommended as first-line therapies for RRMM patients.
Keywords: multiple myeloma, refractory/relapsed, treatment regimens, efficacy, network
meta-analysis
Introduction
Since the early 2000s, the introduction of newly developed agents has dramatically
improved the outcome of patients with multiple myeloma. However, the refractory/
Correspondence: Xiang-Yu Meng relapsed multiple myeloma (RRMM) remains a big challenge, due to its biological
Department of Evidence-Based Medicine
and Clinical Epidemiology, Second Clinical and clinical complexity. In an attempt to find ways to conquer RRMM, world’s leading
School, Wuhan University, 169 Donghu hematologists have performed many randomized controlled trials (RCTs) worldwide.
Road, Wuhan 430071, China
Tel/Fax +86 27 6781 2817
Recently, two research groups have tried to synthesize the results of these trials by
Email mengxy_whu@163.com network meta-analysis (NMA), a statistical analysis method by which a thorough
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c omparison and ranking of all included treatment options is Data extraction and statistical analysis
made possible.1,2 However, the two previous NMAs have cer- Two authors (X.W.L. and X.Q.D) independently reviewed
tain limitations. To name a few, in the NMA by van Beurden- the reports. Supplementary materials of the RCTs were
Tan et al,1 important outcomes such as overall survival (OS) included, and the following information was extracted from
were left uninvestigated and the ranking information was not each study report: name of the first author, year of publica-
provided; and in the other NMA by Botta et al,2 regimens tion, trial identifications, treatment regimens used for the
were grouped into categories before comparison, some of
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outcomes, including the nonresponse rate (NRR), time to methasone” and thalidomide with or without dexametha-
progression (TTP), progression-free survival (PFS) and OS. sone was considered identical and labeled as “thalidomide
Response rate was considered instead of NRR because its ± dexamethasone” as described in van Beurden-Tan et al.1
outcome event, that is, the absence of objective response The dexamethasone monotherapy was set as the common
to treatment, a negative indicator of treatment efficacy and reference regimen. To rank all regimens, the surface under
prognosis, is similar to events of other outcome measures, the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) was calculated
which allows ranking by summarizing results across all these for each outcome as described in Salanti et al 3 for a given
outcome measures. regimen. A larger SUCRA score indicated better efficacy in
terms of a specific outcome measure. For the final ranking
Literature search and study selection regarding the overall efficacy, an arithmetic weighted average
The PubMed database was searched. We adopted the lit- of SUCRA scores across NRR, PFS, and OS was calculated.
erature search strategy described by Botta et al.2 In brief, A 20%, 35%, and 45% weight was given to the NRR, PFS,
all possible combinations of the following search terms and OS, respectively. These weights were given in accordance
were used for searching RCTs concerning RRMM patients: with the importance of the outcome measures. We consid-
“multiple myeloma,” “relapse,” “refractory,” “randomized,” ered the OS the most important, PFS as the surrogate of OS
“management,” “regimen,” and “therapy.” No specific filters the second most important, and NRR that reflects the early
were used during the search. The time range of the search was efficacy the least important. There was only one exception,
between the January 1, 2000 and June 30, 2017. oblimersen plus dexamethasone, for which data on PFS and
The following predefined eligibility criteria were used OS were not available, thus an 80% weight was attributed
for the study selection: 1) the study should be an RCT; 2) to TTP. A larger weighted average of SUCRAs indicated a
the subjects should be RRMM patients; 3) at least two dif- higher rank in terms of overall efficacy. The R software ver-
ferent regimens were compared in the study, except for those sion 3.1.2 and the gemtc package were used to perform all
comparing different dosing schemes or modes of administra- the statistical analyses.
tions; 4) data for at least one of the outcome measures were
available. Studies that did not match any of the above criteria Results
were excluded. Basic information of included RCTs
Two authors (X.W.L. and X.Q.D.) independently per- After literature search and study selection, a total of 29
formed the literature search and study selection and discussed trial reports published between 2005 and 2017 were con-
with the third author (X.M.) to resolve any discrepancies. sidered eligible to be included in the NMA. As a result, 24
2818 submit your manuscript | www.dovepress.com Cancer Management and Research 2018:10
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independent studies, with a total of 10,853 subjects and 21 Ranking of regimens by SUCRA
different regimens were included in the present study. Com- As shown in Table 2, the ranking by SUCRA scores for each
pared with the inclusion results by Botta et al,2 an additional efficacy outcome was generally consistent with NMA find-
seven references4–10 were included, among which four were ings. The combination of daratumumab, lenalidomide, and
newly identified studies4,5,9,10 and three were updated study dexamethasone ranked first for NRR (SUCRA =0.984), TTP
results.6–8 The basic information of the included references (SUCRA =0.988), and PFS (SUCRA =0.999). The combina-
has been summarized in Table 1.
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Ixazomib+Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone
Daratumumab+Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.46 (0.28–0.75)
Regimens HR (95% Crl) Pomalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.52 (0.39–0.69)
Daratumumab+Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.12 (0.077–0.18) Bevacizumab+Bortezomib 0.54 (0.22–1.40)
Daratumumab+Bortezomib+Dexamethasone 0.17 (0.10–0.26) Elotuzumab+Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.55 (0.41–0.74)
Ixazomib+Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.24 (0.18–0.32) Pomalidomide 0.55 (0.37–0.83)
Pegylated liposomal doxorubicin+Bortezomib 0.30 (0.21–0.44) Bortezomib+Thalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.56 (0.35–0.89)
Panobinostat+Bortezomib+Dexamethasone 0 32 (0.22–0.45) Carfilzombib+Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.56 (0.42–0.76)
Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone Elotuzumab+Bortezomib+Dexamethasone 0.64 (0.37–1.10)
0.35 (0.29–0.42)
Bortezomib+Thalidomide+Dexamethasone Daratumumab+Bortezomib+Dexamethasone 0.66 (0.38–1.10)
0.39 (0.24–0.61)
Vorinostat+Bortezomib Carfilzombib+Dexamethasone 0.67 (0.46–0.98)
0.43 (0.30–0.62)
Lenalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.71 (0.59–0.87)
Pomalidomide+Dexamethasone 0.46 (0.36–0.59)
Vorinostat+Bortezomib 0.73 (0.50–1.10)
Siltuximab+Bortezomib 0.47 (0.31– 0.71)
Panobinostat+Bortezomib+Dexamethasone 0.80 (0.61–1.10)
Bortezomib+/-Dexamethason 0.55 (0.41–0.74) Thalidomide+/-Dexamethasone 0.80 (0.64–1.00)
Thalidomide+/-Dexamethasone 0.82 (0.68–0.99)
Pegylated liposomal doxorubicin+Bortezomib 0.81 (0.62–1.10)
Dexamethasone 1 Bortezomib+/-Dexamethason 0.85 (0.69–1.00)
Oblimersen+Dexamethasone 1.10 (0.95–1.20) Carfilzombib 0.97 (0.76–1.20)
Dexamethasone 1
0.05 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 Siltuximab+Bortezomib 1.20 (0.76–1.80)
Figure 1 Forest plots presenting results of network meta-analysis: (A) nonresponse rate, (B) progression-free survival, (C) time to progression, (D) overall survival.
Abbreviations: OR, odds ratio; CrI, credible interval; HR, hazard ratio.
RCTs concerning RRMM treatment were published, in According to our results, the combination of daratu-
which dozens of novel therapeutic regimens were tested and mumab, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone was most effec-
examined. Efforts were made to quantitatively summarize the tive in terms of NRR, TTP, and PFS. However, in terms of
evidence from RCTs by performing NMA, in order to provide OS, it was less effective compared with the combination of
useful and important information for clinical decision-mak- ixazomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone. Ranking by
ing at minimal cost. However, flawed analyses may result in overall efficacy showed that the daratumumab, lenalidomide,
misleading conclusions. On the other hand, updates of NMAs and dexamethasone triplet regimen had better performance
on a timely basis are the key to keep the evidence “alive.” The than other regimens. Interestingly, we noted that the 21
present study included the most recently published trials and regimens investigated in this NMA can be categorized into
updates of previous trial reports, thoroughly investigated the three subgroups based on the weighted average of SUCRA
efficacy profiles of 21 treatment options, and avoided certain scores. The first subgroup includes four regimens (19.0%,
limitations of previous NMAs mentioned above. weighted average from ~0.8 to ~0.9), which are the most
2820 submit your manuscript | www.dovepress.com Cancer Management and Research 2018:10
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Table 2 Included regimens, SUCRAs, weighted averages of SUCRAs across NRR, TTP, and OS, and ranks in terms of overall efficacy
Regimens NRR TTP PFS OS Weighted Rank
average
Daratumumab + lenalidomide + dexamethasone 0.984 0.988 0.999 0.829 0.920 1
Ixazomib + lenalidomide + dexamethasone 0.828 0.828 0.869 0.972 0.907 2
Carfilzomib + lenalidomide + dexamethasone 0.964 NA 0.887 0.697 0.817 3
Elotuzumab + lenalidomide + dexamethasone 0.873 NA 0.855 0.72 0.798 4
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effective ones, with lenalidomide and dexamethasone as the OS, respectively. We did not take safety into account, because
backbone plus one of the four latest agents (daratumumab, to date no adequate data were available to include all treatment
ixazomib, carfilzomib, or elotumumab). The second subgroup options in one network for any single adverse event outcome.
includes 11 regimens (52.4%, weighted average from ~0.4 to A systematic review less quantitatively intense may be a good
~0.7), which show moderate efficacy in RRMM patients and choice for further investigation on safety profiles. We do not
are mostly doublet or triplet regimens. The third subgroup recommend any ranking based on a combined quantitative
includes six regimens (28.6%, weighted average from 0.0 to analysis of efficacy and safety, because they are two facets
0.25), which are mostly singlet or doublet regimens having distinct from one another, and it is very difficult to assign a
limited efficacy. rational and appropriate weight to each outcome.
An important advantage of NMA over traditional meta- The present study, similar to its preceding works, also
analysis is the possibility of ranking multiple treatment options. has some limitations. First, although the relative impor-
The SUCRA score, derived from the probability that a given tance of different outcome measures was considered, the
treatment has a certain rank and calculated from the posterior appropriateness of the arbitrary assignment of weights
distributions of all treatments, is widely used for ranking needs further verification. Besides, it should acknowledge
treatments in Bayesian NMAs. In this study, we applied a the limitations of the NMA fully when comparing benefits
weighted averaging strategy to rank the regimens for overall from the experimental treatments in patient populations that
efficacy. We assigned weights to different outcome measures differ in previous treatments, cytogenetic risks, subsequent
in accordance with their importance. The OS is the “gold stem-cell transplantation, maintenance therapy, and so on.
standard” outcome measure for the evaluation of long-term Although it could be possible to make adjustment by using
anticancer efficacy, the PFS and TTP are widely acknowledged approaches such as network meta-regression, the immatu-
surrogates of OS, and the treatment response associated with rity of methodology, limited number of included trials and
early efficacy may differ from long-term outcomes. Therefore, frequent missingness in certain study-level variables make
we gave a 20%, 35%, and 45% weight to NRR, PFS/TTP, and it difficult and less reliable.
Conclusion 15. Weber DM, Chen C, Niesvizky R, et al. Lenalidomide plus dexametha-
sone for relapsed multiple myeloma in North America. N Engl J Med.
In conclusion, the combination of daratumumab, lenalido- 2007;357(21):2133–2142.
mide, and dexamethasone may currently be the most effec- 16. Chanan-Khan AA, Niesvizky R, Hohl RJ, et al. Phase III randomised
study of dexamethasone with or without oblimersen sodium for patients
tive regimen in the population of RRMM patients. Triplet with advanced multiple myeloma. Leuk Lymphoma. 2009;50(4):
regimens containing daratumumab, ixazomib, carfilzomib, 559–565.
or elotumumab plus lenalidomide and dexamethasone can be 17. Dimopoulos MA, Chen C, Spencer A, et al. Long-term follow-up on
overall survival from the MM-009 and MM-010 phase III trials of
Cancer Management and Research downloaded from https://www.dovepress.com/ by 191.101.19.106 on 21-Aug-2018
recommended as the first-line therapies for RRMM patients. lenalidomide plus dexamethasone in patients with relapsed or refractory
multiple myeloma. Leukemia. 2009;23(11):2147–2152.
Disclosure 18. Garderet L, Iacobelli S, Moreau P, et al. Superiority of the triple
combination of bortezomib-thalidomide-dexamethasone over the dual
The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work. combination of thalidomide-dexamethasone in patients with multiple
myeloma progressing or relapsing after autologous transplantation: the
MMVAR/IFM 2005-04 Randomized Phase III Trial from the Chronic
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