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J Neurol

DOI 10.1007/s00415-015-7992-0

ORIGINAL COMMUNICATION

Association of seizure duration and outcome in refractory


status epilepticus
Dominik Madžar1 • Anna Geyer1 • Ruben U. Knappe1 • Stephanie Gollwitzer1 •
Joji B. Kuramatsu1 • Stefan T. Gerner1 • Hajo M. Hamer1 • Hagen B. Huttner1

Received: 18 October 2015 / Revised: 1 December 2015 / Accepted: 8 December 2015


Ó Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Abstract The aim of the study was to identify factors (AUC = 0.712, p = 0.012, YI = 0.310; NPV = 0.545,
influencing long-term outcome and to evaluate the prog- PPV = 0.750). In conclusion, STESS and RSE duration
nostic power of the Status Epilepticus Severity Score represent relevant scores and parameters impacting long-
(STESS) in refractory status epilepticus (RSE). We retro- term outcome after RSE. A shorter RSE duration is asso-
spectively extracted data on baseline characteristics, RSE ciated with better outcome and, therefore, rapid and ade-
details, and hospital course including complications from quate treatment for seizure termination should be enforced.
all patients treated for RSE in our institution between
January 2001 and January 2013. Functional outcome was Keywords Refractory status epilepticus  Outcome 
assessed using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and was Status Epilepticus Severity Score  Seizure duration
defined as good when either RSE did not lead to functional
decline or when the resulting mRS score was 2 or below.
Seventy-one episodes in 65 patients were analyzed. The Introduction
median follow-up time was 12 weeks (IQR 6–35), two
patients were lost to follow-up. Poor functional long-term Despite the lack of a formal definition, status epilepticus
outcome was observed in 42/69 (60.9 %) episodes. In- (SE) is generally termed refractory when administration
hospital mortality occurred in 13/71 (18.3 %) episodes. of at least two properly dosed antiepileptic drugs (AEDs)
Multivariable analysis revealed that STESS C 3, longer fails to terminate seizures [1]. Around 10–40 % of SE
RSE duration, and sepsis were independently related to episodes progress into refractory SE (RSE) [2] in which
poor functional long-term outcome. Receiver operating therapeutic coma induction is frequently required to
characteristics (ROC) curve analyses confirmed the cut-off achieve seizure control. Compared to SE, RSE has been
dichotomization into STESS C 3 and STESS \ 3 for associated with worse discharge outcome [3, 4], but only
optimal discrimination between good and poor outcome limited data are available regarding long-term functional
(AUC = 0.671, p = 0.002, YI = 0.368, NPV = 0.607, outcome after RSE. While studies consistently report a
PPV = 0.756) and revealed an RSE duration of 10 days as poor long-term prognosis for the majority of patients, a
a significant cut-off point associated with outcome substantial proportion of RSE episodes result in complete
recovery [5–10]. Thus, in light of this wide variety in
outcome and given the lack of approved predictive
parameters, the individual patient’s risk stratification is
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this difficult [1]. While the Status Epilepticus Severity Score
article (doi:10.1007/s00415-015-7992-0) contains supplementary
material, which is available to authorized users. (STESS) prognosticates survival and return to premorbid
functional status in SE, its validity in RSE is uncertain
& Dominik Madžar and remains to be established [11]. The present study
dominik.madzar@uk-erlangen.de
sought: (a) to identify predictors for long-term outcome
1
Department of Neurology, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, and (b) to evaluate the prognostic power of STESS in
Schwabachanlage 6, 91054 Erlangen, Germany RSE.

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Methods term outcome. The latter was assessed using the last
available follow-up data documented in our records. Epi-
Status epilepticus definitions sodes were defined to have resulted in good outcome when
RSE either did not lead to functional decline (i.e., no
According to previous investigations, SE was defined as increase in the mRS score relative to baseline) or when the
clinical and/or electroencephalographic evidence of seizure resulting mRS score after RSE was B2. Otherwise, out-
activity for C5 min or as a series of seizures without come was classified as poor. We a priori decided to per-
interictal clinical recovery [3, 12–14]. RSE was defined as form subanalyses for (a) patients who died in hospital, as
SE with persistence of clinical and/or electroencephalo- well as (b) episodes which resulted in complete return to
graphic seizure activity despite sufficiently dosed treatment premorbid neurological status.
with at least two AEDs [5, 15, 16].
Statistical analysis
Identification of RSE episodes and inclusion/
exclusion criteria Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS
Statistics 20.0 (http://www.spss.com). p values of 0.05 or
The medical records of all patients treated for SE in our less were considered statistically significant. All statistical
institution between January 2001 and January 2013 were tests were two-sided. The Pearson-v2 and the Fisher’s-exact
reviewed for episodes meeting the criteria of RSE. When tests were applied to compare frequency distributions of
chart review confirmed the diagnosis of RSE, episodes categorical variables. The Kolmogorov–Smirnov test was
were included into the study only if the records contained applied to distinguish normal from non-normal distribu-
sufficient data on RSE characteristics, treatment, and tion. Normally distributed data are presented as
complications during the hospital stay. For comparability mean ± standard deviation (SD) (compared using the
with previous studies [5, 17], RSE episodes caused by Student’s t test). Others are displayed as median and
hypoxic encephalopathy, simple-partial, and absence RSE interquartile range (IQR) (compared using the Mann–
episodes were excluded from analysis. Whitney U test). We calculated forward inclusion multi-
variable logistic regression models to identify parameters
independently associated with outcome (including all sig-
Collection of clinical and RSE-specific data
nificant variables upon univariate testing). An exception
was made for the dichotomized STESS which was forced
The following data were extracted from the records: age
into models in case of an absent univariate significance.
at admission, gender, premorbid functional status, history
Variables representing components of STESS were not
of seizures, laboratory findings on admission, need for
entered separately into models. The Hoshmer–Lemeshow
vasopressors, mechanical ventilation, and duration of
goodness-of-fit test was applied to evaluate regression
hospital stay. RSE characteristics included duration of
models. Where appropriate, receiver operating character-
RSE, presumptive etiology of RSE—according to ILAE
istics (ROC) curve analyses were performed for cut-off
criteria [18] including ‘‘potentially fatal’’ etiology as
point determinations.
defined previously [19], number of AEDs administered,
use of anesthetics, and induction of burst suppression.
RSE duration was defined as the time from onset to RSE
Results
termination, with the latter diagnosed either based on
electroencephalography (EEG) results or on documented
Demographics and RSE characteristics
clinical improvement clearly indicative of an end of sei-
zure activity [20]. RSE was graded using the Status
We reviewed 445 SE episodes in 330 patients and among
Epilepticus Severity Score (STESS) and episodes were
these identified 74 RSE episodes in 68 patients. Three
dichotomized into STESS of 3 or higher (STESS C 3) and
episodes had to be excluded from the study due to insuf-
STESS of less than three points (STESS \ 3), as proposed
ficient documentation of the clinical course. All three were
by Rossetti and coworkers [11].
in patients transferred to our institution for further treat-
ment from another hospital. Therefore, 71 episodes in 65
Outcome definition and assessment patients remained for final analysis. The worst seizure
types were complex-partial in 31/71 (43.7 %), generalized
Functional outcome was quantified using the modified convulsive in 31/71 (43.7 %), and nonconvulsive SE
Rankin Scale (mRS) [21]. For every RSE episode we (NCSE) in coma in 9/71 (12.7 %) episodes. Causes of RSE
evaluated two outcomes, one at discharge and one long- were acute symptomatic in 31/71 (43.7 %), cryptogenic in

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Table 1 Overview of patient characteristics and parameters associated with long-term outcome
Total cohort Good long-term outcome Poor long-term outcome p value
(n = 71) (27 of 69 episodes) (42 of 69 episodes)

Demographics
Gender, female 48 (67.6) 19 (70.4) 28 (66.7) 0.747
Age on admission (years) 63.8 (±19.2) 54.1 (±22.0) 69.9 (±15.0) 0.002
Age ‡ 65 years 42 (49.2) 11 (40.7) 29 (69.0) 0.020
Premorbid mRS 3 (1–4) 2 (0–4) 3 (1–4) 0.233
Baseline RSE characteristics
NCSE in coma 9 (12.7) 1 (3.7) 8 (19.0) 0.079
Generalized convulsive SE 31 (43.7) 15 (55.6) 14 (33.3) 0.068
Complex-partial SE 31 (43.7) 11 (40.7) 20 (47.6) 0.575
Stuporous or comatose 44 (61.2) 16 (59.3) 26 (61.9) 0.826
Acute symptomatic etiology 31 (43.7) 12 (44.4) 18 (42.9) 0.897
History of seizures 37 (52.1) 19 (70.4) 17 (40.5) 0.015
Potentially fatal etiology 32 (45.1) 9 (33.3) 22 (52.4) 0.121
STESS 3 (2–4) 2 (2–4) 3 (2–5) 0.016
STESS ‡ 3 43 (60.6) 10 (37.0) 31 (73.8) 0.002
Laboratory findings on admission
Leukocyte count (9103/ll) 9.4 (6.9–12.4) 9.4 (8.1–12.9) 9.4 (6.2–12.2) 0.554
C-reactive protein (mg/l) 16.3 (3.2–53.7) 5.2 (1.6–17.7) 25.2 (5.4–56.3) 0.005
Hemoglobin (g/dl) 11.7 (±1.7) 12.0 (±1.8) 11.5 (±1.7) 0.283
Serum sodium (mmol/l) 137.1 (±7.3) 136.4 (±8.7) 137.4 (±6.4) 0.579
Treatment and complications
Mechanical ventilation 45 (63.4) 16 (59.3) 28 (66.7) 0.532
Use of vasopressors 40 (56.3) 14 (51.9) 26 (61.9) 0.409
Sepsis 19 (26.8) 3 (11.1) 16 (38.1) 0.014
Number of AEDs 5 (4–8) 5 (4–7) 6 (4–9) 0.256
Use of anesthetics 44 (62.0) 16 (59.3) 27 (64.3) 0.674
Induction of burst suppression 29 (40.8) 10 (37.0) 19 (45.2) 0.501
Duration of RSE (days) 10 (4–19) 7 (2–13) 14 (7–24) 0.003
Length of hospital stay (days) 19 (11–36) 17 (10–30) 22 (19–32) 0.331
Length of mechanical ventilation (days) 5 (0–17) 1 (0–15) 9 (0–21) 0.193
AED antiepileptic drug, mRS modified Rankin Scale, SE status epilepticus, NCSE nonconvulsive status epilepticus, RSE refractory status
epilepticus, STESS status epilepticus severity score
Values are n (%), mean (±standard deviation) or median (interquartile range); Parameters significantly (p \ 0.05) associated with long-term
outcome are expressed in bold, parameters showing a statistical trend (p \ 0.1) are expressed in italics

10/71 (14.1 %), progressive symptomatic in 6/71 (8.5 %), episodes were lost to follow-up and, therefore, lacked long-
and remote symptomatic in 24/71 (33.8 %) episodes. A term outcome data. Thirteen of all 71 (18.3 %) episodes
history of seizures was noted in 37/71 (52.1 %) episodes resulted in death during hospital stay (characteristics are
and the median premorbid mRS was 3 (IQR 1–4; see shown in Supplementary Table 1) and 23 patients were
Table 1). Anesthetic AEDs were administered in 44/71 dead at last follow-up. The overall functional outcome is
(62.0 %) episodes using midazolam in 33/71 (46.5 %), presented in Fig. 1. The median mRS score was 5 (IQR
propofol in 32/71 (45.1 %), sodium thiopental in 19/71 4–5) at discharge and 5 (IQR 3–6) at last available follow-
(26.8 %), and ketamine in 5/71 (7.0 %) episodes. up (Fig. 1a). Good long-term outcome was achieved in
27/69 (39.1 %) episodes (Fig. 1b). Of these, 14 showed
mRS = 0–2 and 13 returned to their premorbid baseline
Mortality and functional outcome with mRS [ 2. In sum, 20/71 (28.2 %) episodes returned
to their premorbid baseline during hospital stay and in 5
The median time from RSE resolution to last available more cases there was complete recovery after hospital
follow-up was 12 weeks (IQR 6–35). Two (2.8 %) discharge (characteristics are shown in supplementary

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Fig. 1 Outcome after refractory status epilepticus. a Box plot show- ranges (IQRs) are depicted as ° or *. b Distribution of premorbid mRS
ing median premorbid modified Rankin scale (mRS) scores, mRS scores, mRS scores at discharge and at last available follow-up. The
scores at discharge, and at last available follow-up (solid bars). The values within the bars are the numbers of episodes in which patients
box widths represent the interquartile ranges, the whiskers display were assigned the respective mRS scores
maximum and minimum values. Outliers beyond 1.5 interquartile

Table 2 Multivariable model


Odds ratio 95% confidence interval p value
for prediction of long-term
functional outcome as well as A. Poor long-term outcome
in-hospital mortality
STESS ‡ 3 11.56 1.88–71.04 0.008
Duration of RSE 1.11 1.01–1.22 0.033
Sepsis 10.40 1.24–87.40 0.031
C-reactive protein 1.01 0.99–1.04 0.393
B. In-hospital mortality
STESS C 3 4.99 0.90–27.10 0.066
Mechanical ventilation 7.98 0.61–103.57 0.112
Use of vasopressors 1.87 0.23–14.90 0.831
STESS Status Epilepticus Severity Score, RSE refractory status epilepticus
Parameters significantly (p \ 0.05) associated with poor long-term outcome or in-hospital mortality are
expressed in bold, parameters showing a statistical trend (p \ 0.1) are expressed in italics

Table 2). Poor functional outcome was observed in 47/71 was neither linked to poor long-term outcome nor mortal-
(66.2 %) episodes at hospital discharge and in 42/69 ity, but was observed more frequently in cases which did
(60.9 %) episodes on the long term. A total of six patients not achieve full recovery (see Supplementary Table 2). Of
improved from poor discharge outcome to good long-term note, none of the RSE treatment-related parameters, as
outcome. described previously [5, 22], were significantly linked to
long-term outcome, i.e., neither induction of burst sup-
Parameters associated with outcome pression, nor need for vasopressors, nor use of anesthetics.
and performance of STESS in RSE There was no significant difference in the number of AEDs
applied between patients with good or poor long-term
Table 1 provides an overview of parameters associated outcome.
with outcome. The parameter STESS (specifically its ROC curve analysis confirmed the cut-off dicho-
components age and history of seizures) was significantly tomization into STESS C 3 and STESS \ 3 for optimal
associated with poor long-term outcome in univariate discrimination between good and poor outcome [in-hospi-
analysis, as were higher C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on tal mortality: area under the curve (AUC) = 0.700,
admission, sepsis, and an overall longer RSE duration. p = 0.050, Youden’s Index (YI) = 0.294, negative pre-
Adjustment upon multivariable analysis revealed that dictive value (NPV) = 0.929, positive predictive value
STESS, RSE duration, and sepsis were independently (PPV) = 0.256; poor long-term outcome: AUC = 0.671,
related to poor functional long-term outcome, whereas, p = 0.002, YI = 0.368, NPV = 0.607, PPV = 0.756; see
only the parameter STESS C 3 was associated with in- Fig. 2a]. Given its significance upon multivariable analy-
hospital mortality (Table 2). A potentially fatal etiology sis, the impact of RSE duration on outcome was

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Fig. 2 Receiver operating characteristics curves for a Status Epilep- follow-up. The area under the curve values with the respective 95 %
ticus Severity Score (STESS) and b refractory status epilepticus confidence intervals for each outcome are presented in the legends.
(RSE) duration as predictors for in-hospital mortality, poor short- and Sensitivity, specificity, and Youden’s Index (YI) are given for the
long-term outcome. Short-term outcome is the functional status at respective optimal cut-off points (STESS C 3 and RSE duration
discharge, long-term outcome is the functional status at last available C10 days)

specifically analyzed (Fig. 2b). ROC curve analysis of a very recently published study assessing STESS in new-
revealed an RSE duration of 10 days as significant cut-off onset RSE (NORSE) [25]. By using the previously pro-
point associated with outcome [poor short-term outcome: posed cut-off point, STESS C 3 was independently related
AUC = 0.703, p = 0.002, YI = 0.388, NPV = 0.514, to poor functional long-term outcome in our cohort and we
PPV = 0.833; poor long-term outcome: AUC = 0.712, were able to confirm the high negative predictive value of
p = 0.012, YI = 0.310; NPV = 0.545, PPV = 0.750; see STESS C 3 for in-hospital mortality [11, 26]. The potential
Fig. 2b]. of STESS to predict outcome in RSE appears remarkable,
especially given how early in the course of RSE the score is
calculated [11, 27].
Discussion Third, although we were unable to confirm the previ-
ously reported association with therapeutic measures like
The present study analyzed mortality and functional long- the use of anesthetics or the induction of burst suppression,
term outcome after RSE, (a) verified the prognostic value outcome after RSE was clearly influenced by treatment and
of STESS in RSE, and (b) identified seizure duration as complications in our cohort. On the one hand, elevated
important parameter related to outcome. Several aspects CRP levels on admission and development of sepsis during
deserve attention. the hospital stay predisposed poor outcome, a finding
First, our data are in line with previous investigations which might reflect that epileptic activity per se leads to
which reported mortality rates ranging from 8 to 26 % and systemic inflammatory reactions [28], or, alternatively,
overall poor functional long-term outcome in RSE [3–6, underscores the impact of certain pro-inflammatory path-
23, 24]. Confirming recent data, a substantial subset of ways on neuronal excitability and therefore seizure
patients showed functional improvement over time with refractoriness [29]. On the other hand, duration of RSE was
some of them even returning to their premorbid baseline strongly associated with overall long-term outcome, while
after hospital discharge [5, 7, 20]. Interestingly, clinical it did not show significant impact on in-hospital mortality.
parameters associated both with good long-term outcome The influence of seizure duration on outcome in RSE is
and with return to baseline were very similar. controversially debated and comparing results is difficult
Second, STESS was initially created to predict in-hos- due to heterogeneity in study designs and inconsistent RSE
pital mortality in SE [11] and its value in RSE was definitions. In line with our findings, Cooper and coworkers
uncertain. As demonstrated here, we verified the prognostic did not describe a correlation of length of RSE and in-
power of STESS in RSE. Our results are in line with those hospital mortality [6] and explained this observation as a

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consequence of withdrawal of supportive care and thus Compliance with ethical standards
shortened RSE durations in non-survivors. Marchi and
Conflicts of interest The authors report no conflicts of interest
coworkers indirectly confirmed these findings by describ- relevant to this study.
ing a longer length of hospital stay in patients surviving SE
treated with therapeutic coma [30]. On the contrary, other Ethical standard The study was approved by the local institutional
studies reported on significant correlations of longer RSE review board (Ethics Committee Vote: 48_15Bc).
duration and poor outcome, but outcome assessment was
limited to functional discharge status in these reports [13,
20, 31]. Follow-up data were presented in the analysis of
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