Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Ten Characteristics of Pseudoscience PP 6 - 10
Ten Characteristics of Pseudoscience PP 6 - 10
Ten Characteristics of Pseudoscience PP 6 - 10
4. Evasion of risky tests: An experiment should provide a risky test, one that a
false hypothesis will not pass. Example: explaining the past is a relatively
weak test of a theory, whereas prediction the future is a riskier test. Pseudo
scientist does prevent evidence; it is often of little value because it is based on
a very weak test.
Falsifiability p 15
For a claim to have the potential of being scientifically meaningful, it must pose a
hypothesis that could be disproved. That is, if the claim is false, there must be a way to
demonstrate its falsity. Example: fire breathing dragons live in garage, you can’t prove
that it does or that it doesn’t because it can’t be tested.
Post-hockery (p 116)
Post hoc “after the fact” are interpretations of alleged phenomena, with only selective
consideration of existing evidence.
Understand the importance of prediction, and the difference between the generation
and testing of hypothesis, and about the context of discovery and the context of
verification (p 116)
In the context of discovery, our outstanding pattern recognition and reasoning abilities are
indispensable. We can detect potentially relevant information and formulate sophisticated
hypotheses about underlying causal relationships. However, unaided judgment can fail us
in the context of verification. We do not routinely subject our cherished beliefs to
rigorous tests, and we often accept the first proffered exploitation as fact.
Hot Hand: if a player has scored 5 times then the belief is that they are more likely to
score than anyone else because of their “wining streak” however they have the same
odds as any other play or making or missing the point.