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13 Sensitivity Analysis
13 Sensitivity Analysis
dimana :
E = nilai awal (Rp 9,200,-) nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar Amerika
Ei = Nilai tukar rata-rata rupiah terhadap dollar Amerika yang di keluarkan oleh BI yang digunakan sebagai klaim bulanan.
L = Upah minimum regional bulanan yang dikeluarkan oleh Gubernur di Propinsi
Li = Upah minimum regional pada bulan penagihan yang dikeluarkan oleh Gubernur Provinsi.
M = Harga indeks awal spareparts = 1.0
Mi = Harga index spareparts yang dikeluarkan oleh dealer resmi.
F = Harga Fuel pada awal perhitungan ($)
Fi = Harga Fuel pada saat bulan penagihan ($)
No. Mine Activities
Block-1 Block-2
1 Total Overburden 216,108.44 LCM 494,640.47 LCM
196,462.22 BCM 449,673.16 BCM
Total Bauxite Ore 1,650,282.64 LCM 3,317,190.96 LCM
Total Concentrate 1,373,035.16 Ton 2,667,237.21 Ton
Mine Life 22.88 Months 44.45 Months
Total Length of Road Access 3,350 m 5,000 m
- Swell Factor 10 %
- Density Overburden 1.60 Ton/m3
- Density Bauxite Ore 1.60 Ton/m3
- Fuel Price 0.69 $/Lt
- Labor 650,000 Rp/month
NOTE: The costs only consist of the fuel and rental costs
Block-3 Block-4 Block-5 Block-6
157,590.92 LCM 73,468.01 LCM 135,985.87 LCM 99,815.99 LCM
143,264.47 BCM 66,789.10 BCM 123,623.51 BCM 90,741.81 BCM
1,003,733.06 LCM 617,131.29 LCM 1,108,498.48 LCM 999,961.68 LCM
835,105.91 Ton 464,082.73 Ton 897,279.49 Ton 778,928.56 Ton
13.92 Months 7.73 Months 14.95 Months 12.98 Months
5,000 m 2,775 m 5,155 m 7,500 m
Fuel Cost Blok-1 Blok-2 Blok-3 Blok-4 Blok-5 Blok-6 Blok-7 Blok-8
Land Clearing & Road Access 0.025 0.027 0.025 0.026 0.025 0.033 0.030 0.023
Overburden Removal 0.066 0.083 0.075 0.055 0.057 0.048 0.079 0.054
Dump Construction 0.012 0.015 0.015 0.013 0.012 0.010 0.016 0.011
Road Maintenance 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003
Ore Production 0.334 0.425 0.487 0.412 0.540 0.765 0.737 1.368
Washing 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781
Feeding & Stockpiling 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781 0.0781
Barge Loading 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.023
Test Pitting 0.002 0.006 0.002 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.012
TOTAL 0.623 0.738 0.786 0.689 0.817 1.040 1.047 1.650
Rental Cost Blok-1 Blok-2 Blok-3 Blok-4 Blok-5 Blok-6 Blok-7 Blok-8
Land Clearing & Road Access 0.030 0.033 0.030 0.031 0.030 0.039 0.036 0.027
Overburden Removal 0.100 0.126 0.112 0.081 0.084 0.071 0.118 0.081
Dump Construction 0.015 0.018 0.018 0.015 0.014 0.012 0.019 0.013
Road Maintenance 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008
Ore Production 0.555 0.710 0.818 0.687 0.908 1.294 1.247 2.328
Washing 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333
Feeding & Stockpiling 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333 0.1333
Barge Loading 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.039
Test Pitting 0.0005 0.0013 0.0003 0.0002 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0028
TOTAL 1.015 1.201 1.292 1.128 1.350 1.730 1.734 2.766
Operating Cost (exclude Fuel) Blok-1 Blok-2 Blok-3 Blok-4 Blok-5 Blok-6 Blok-7 Blok-8
Land Clearing & Road Access 0.030 0.033 0.030 0.031 0.030 0.039 0.036 0.027
Overburden Removal 0.100 0.126 0.112 0.081 0.084 0.071 0.118 0.081
Dump Construction 0.015 0.018 0.018 0.015 0.014 0.012 0.019 0.013
Road Maintenance 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008
Ore Production 0.555 0.710 0.818 0.687 0.908 1.294 1.247 2.328
Washing 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222
Feeding & Stockpiling 0.275 0.275 0.275 0.275 0.275 0.275 0.275 0.275
Barge Loading 0.350 0.350 0.350 0.350 0.350 0.350 0.350 0.350
Sewa Lahan 0.529 0.529 0.529 0.240 0.240 0.240 0.240 0.240
Retribusi -- Pem. & Masy. 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222
Retribusi -- Reklamasi 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
Management & Admin 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037
Labor Cost 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265
General Services 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037
Engineering Services (Consultant) 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100
Test Pitting 0.028 0.024 0.028 0.029 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.018
TOTAL 2.885 3.068 3.163 2.711 2.932 3.313 3.316 4.335
Operating Cost (exclude Rental) Blok-1 Blok-2 Blok-3 Blok-4 Blok-5 Blok-6 Blok-7 Blok-8
Land Clearing & Road Access 0.025 0.027 0.025 0.026 0.025 0.033 0.030 0.023
Overburden Removal 0.066 0.083 0.075 0.055 0.057 0.048 0.079 0.054
Dump Construction 0.012 0.015 0.015 0.013 0.012 0.010 0.016 0.011
Road Maintenance 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003
Ore Production 0.334 0.425 0.487 0.412 0.540 0.765 0.737 1.368
Washing 0.167 0.167 0.167 0.167 0.167 0.167 0.167 0.167
Feeding & Stockpiling 0.219 0.219 0.219 0.219 0.219 0.219 0.219 0.219
Barge Loading 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.335
Sewa Lahan 0.529 0.529 0.529 0.240 0.240 0.240 0.240 0.240
Retribusi -- Pem. & Masy. 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222
Retribusi -- Reklamasi 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
Management & Admin 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037
Labor Cost 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265 0.265
General Services 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037
Engineering Services (Consultant) 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100
Test Pitting 0.029 0.028 0.029 0.030 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.027
TOTAL 2.493 2.604 2.657 2.272 2.400 2.623 2.629 3.220
Operating Cost (exclude Fuel, Rental, Blok-1 Blok-2 Blok-3 Blok-4 Blok-5 Blok-6 Blok-7 Blok-8
and Labor)
Land Clearing & Road Access
Overburden Removal
Dump Construction
Road Maintenance
Ore Production
Washing 0.089 0.089 0.089 0.089 0.089 0.089 0.089 0.089
Feeding & Stockpiling 0.141 0.141 0.141 0.141 0.141 0.141 0.141 0.141
Barge Loading 0.311 0.311 0.311 0.311 0.311 0.311 0.311 0.311
Sewa Lahan 0.529 0.529 0.529 0.240 0.240 0.240 0.240 0.240
Retribusi -- Pem. & Masy. 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222
Retribusi -- Reklamasi 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
Management & Admin 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037
Labor Cost
General Services 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037 0.037
Engineering Services (Consultant) 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100
Test Pitting 0.027 0.023 0.028 0.029 0.028 0.028 0.027 0.015
TOTAL 1.605 1.601 1.606 1.318 1.317 1.317 1.317 1.304
Blok-9
0.046
0.138
0.021
0.011
1.355
0.300
0.353
0.373
0.355
0.222
0.111
0.037
0.265
0.037
0.100
0.030
3.754
Blok-9
0.025
0.083
0.012
0.008
0.849
0.222
0.275
0.350
0.355
0.222
0.111
0.037
0.265
0.037
0.100
0.020
2.971
Blok-9
0.021
0.055
0.010
0.003
0.506
0.167
0.219
0.335
0.355
0.222
0.111
0.037
0.265
0.037
0.100
0.027
2.470
Blok-9
0.089
0.141
0.311
0.355
0.222
0.111
0.037
0.037
0.100
0.017
1.421
Blok-6 Blok-7 Blok-8 Blok-9
74.00%
68.60%
68.00%
67.50% Critical Line of Production Cost at US$ 4.5/ton
66.00% 66.00%
64.00%
64.50% PROFIT AREA
62.00%
60.00%
Rp8,450.00 Rp8,648.00 Rp8,851.00 Rp9,000.00 Rp9,300.00 Rp9,500.00
US$ Exchange Rate
46.00%
LOSS AREA
44.00% 43.80%
f(x) = 0.0010511905x^2 - 0.0003535714x + 0.3746607143
42.68%
42.00%
Percentage of Variables Increasing
40.90%
40.00%
39.70%
39.08%
38.44% Critical Line of Production Cost at US$ 4.5/ton
38.00% 37.80%
37.50%
34.00%
Rp8,400.00 Rp8,500.00 Rp8,600.00 Rp8,700.00 Rp8,800.00 Rp9,000.00 Rp9,300.00 Rp9,500.00
US$ Exchange Rate
50.00%
35.00%
Percentage of Variables Increasing
33.00%
31.95%
30.00% f(x) = 0.0006857143x^2 + 0.0014547619x +29.20%
0.2738928571
29.76% 30.32%
28.04% 28.62%
27.45%
25.00% Critical Line of Production Cost at US$ 4.5/ton
20.00%
PROFIT AREA
15.00%
10.00%
Rp8,500.00 Rp8,600.00 Rp8,700.00 Rp8,800.00 Rp8,900.00 Rp9,000.00 Rp9,300.00 Rp9,500.00
US$ Exchange Rate
60.00%
45.00%
Percentage of Variables Increasing
42.57%
41.43%
40.00% f(x) = 0.0007404762x^2 + 0.0015738095x + 0.3650607143
39.07% 39.67%
37.84% 38.46%
36.57% 37.21%
35.00% Critical Line of Production Cost at US$ 4.5/ton
30.00%
PROFIT AREA
25.00%
20.00%
Rp8,500.00 Rp8,600.00 Rp8,700.00 Rp8,800.00 Rp8,900.00 Rp9,000.00 Rp9,300.00 Rp9,500.00
US$ Exchange Rate
60.00%
45.00%
Percentage of Variables Increasing
42.57%
41.43%
40.00% f(x) = 0.0007404762x^2 + 0.0015738095x + 0.3650607143
39.07% 39.67%
37.84% 38.46%
36.57% 37.21%
35.00% Critical Line of Production Cost at US$ 4.5/ton
30.00%
PROFIT AREA
25.00%
20.00%
Rp8,500.00 Rp8,600.00 Rp8,700.00 Rp8,800.00 Rp8,900.00 Rp9,000.00 Rp9,300.00 Rp9,500.00
US$ Exchange Rate