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Probability is

® the likelihood of an event


A Program of The Actuarial Foundation occurring. It can be expressed

P werof Pr bability
as a fraction, a decimal, or
The a percentage between
0% and 100%.

If you flip two coins, what is the probability that


both coins will land on heads?

Step 1 Select one of these solution methods:


Make a Table OR Make a Tree Diagram OR Use the Formula for
H Compound Events:
H T
H P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B)
SCHOLASTIC and associated logos are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of Scholastic Inc. All rights reserved. “Expect the Unexpected With Math” is a registered trademark of The Actuarial Foundation.

H HH HT T
T TH TT H P ( H and H  ) = P (H) • P(H)
T P ( H and H ) = ½ • ½
H = Heads T = Tails T

Step 2 Calculate the answer: Step 3 Express your answer:


There are four outcomes and one Use a fraction (in lowest terms),
is favorable, so the probability is decimal, or percentage.
one in four that both coins will
land on heads.
Test your probability skills at:
www.actuarialfoundation.org/
probabilitychallenge ½•½=¼ ¼ = 0.25 = 25%

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