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PA RT

O
NE
Basic Concepts
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A. INTRODUCTION

As you begin your studies, you are probably wondering, Why study eco-
nomics? In fact, people do it for a number of reasons.
Many study economics because they hope to make money.
Some people worry that they will be considered illiterate if they
cannot understand the laws of supply and demand.
Others are interested in learning about how comput-
ers and the information revolution are shaping our so-
ciety or why inequality in the distribution of income
CHAPTER
in the United States has risen so sharply in recent
years.

1 For Whom the Bell Tolls


All these reasons, and many more, make good
sense. Still, as we have come to realize, there
is one overriding reason for learning the ba-
sic lessons of economics: All your life—from
cradle to grave and beyond—you will run
up against the brutal truths of economics.
The Fundamentals of As a voter, you will make decisions on is-
sues that cannot be understood until you
Economics have mastered the rudiments of this sub-
ject. Without a study of economics, you
cannot be fully informed about interna-
tional trade, the economic impact of the
Internet, or the trade-off between infla-
tion and unemployment.
Choosing your life’s occupation is the
most important economic decision you will
make. Your future depends not only on
your own abilities but also on how economic
forces beyond your control affect your wages.
Also, your knowledge of economics may help
The Age of Chivalry is gone; that you invest the nest egg you save from your
of sophisters, economists, and earnings. Of course, studying economics can-
not make you a genius. But without economics
calculators has succeeded.
the dice of life are loaded against you.
Edmund Burke There is no need to belabor the point. We
hope you will find that, in addition to being useful,
economics is a fascinating field in its own right. Gen-
erations of students, often to their surprise, have discov-
ered how stimulating economics can be.

3
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4 CHAPTER 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ECONOMICS

SCARCITY AND EFFICIENCY: man desires were fully satisfied, what would be the
THE TWIN THEMES OF ECONOMICS consequences? People would not worry about
stretching out their limited incomes because they
What is economics? Over the last half-century, the could have everything they wanted; businesses would
study of economics has expanded to include a vast not need to fret over the cost of labor or health care;
range of topics. What are the major definitions of governments would not need to struggle over taxes
these growing subjects?1 The important ones are that or spending or pollution because nobody would care.
economics Moreover, since all of us could have as much as we
● analyzes how a society’s institutions and technol- pleased, no one would be concerned about the dis-
ogy affect prices and the allocation of resources tribution of incomes among different people or
among different uses. classes.
● explores the behavior of the financial markets, In such an Eden of affluence, all goods would be
including interest rates and stock prices. free, like sand in the desert or seawater at the beach.
● examines the distribution of income and suggests All prices would be zero, and markets would be un-
ways that the poor can be helped without harm- necessary. Indeed, economics would no longer be a
ing the performance of the economy. useful subject.
● studies the business cycle and examines how But no society has reached a utopia of limitless
monetary policy can be used to moderate the possibilities. Ours is a world of scarcity, full of eco-
swings in unemployment and inflation. nomic goods. A situation of scarcity is one in which
● studies the patterns of trade among nations and goods are limited relative to desires. An objective ob-
analyzes the impact of trade barriers. server would have to agree that, even after two cen-
● looks at growth in developing countries and pro- turies of rapid economic growth, production in the
poses ways to encourage the efficient use of re- United States is simply not high enough to meet
sources. everyone’s desires. If you add up all the wants, you
● asks how government policies can be used to pur- quickly find that there are simply not enough goods
sue important goals such as rapid economic and services to satisfy even a small fraction of every-
growth, efficient use of resources, full employment, one’s consumption desires. Our national output
price stability, and a fair distribution of income. would have to be many times larger before the av-
erage American could live at the level of the average
This list is a good one, yet you could extend it doctor or big-league baseball player. Moreover, out-
many times over. But if we boil down all these defi- side the United States, particularly in Africa and Asia,
nitions, we find one common theme: hundreds of millions of people suffer from hunger
Economics is the study of how societies use scarce and material deprivation.
resources to produce valuable commodities and dis- Given unlimited wants, it is important that an
tribute them among different people. economy make the best use of its limited resources.
That brings us to the critical notion of efficiency.
Behind this definition are two key ideas in eco- Efficiency denotes the most effective use of a soci-
nomics: that goods are scarce and that society must ety’s resources in satisfying people’s wants and needs.
use its resources efficiently. Indeed, economics is an By contrast, consider an economy with unchecked
important subject because of the fact of scarcity and monopolies or unhealthy pollution or unwarranted
the desire for efficiency. government interferences. Such an economy may
Consider a world without scarcity. If infinite produce less than would be possible without these
quantities of every good could be produced or if hu- factors, or it may produce a disorted bundle of goods
that leaves consumers worse off than they otherwise
1 could be—either situation is an inefficient allocation
This list contains several specialized terms from economics.
To master the subject, you will need to understand its vo- of resources.
cabulary. If you are not familiar with a particular word or
phrase, you should consult the Glossary at the back of this In economics, we say that an economy is produc-
book. The Glossary contains most of the major technical eco-
nomic terms used in this book. All terms printed in boldface ing efficiently when it cannot make anyone economi-
are defined in the Glossary. cally better off without making someone else worse off.
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THE LOGIC OF ECONOMICS 5

The essence of economics is to acknowledge the vesting, persuading, and threatening. The ultimate
reality of scarcity and then figure out how to organ- purpose of economic science and of this text is to
ize society in a way which produces the most efficient understand this complex undertaking. How do econ-
use of resources. That is where economics makes its omists go about their task?
unique contribution. Economists use the scientific approach to under-
stand economic life. This involves observing eco-
Microeconomics and Macroeconomics nomic affairs and drawing upon statistics and the his-
Adam Smith is usually considered the founder of the torical record. For complex phenomena like the
field of microeconomics, the branch of economics impacts of budget deficits or the causes of inflation,
which today is concerned with the behavior of indi- historical research has provided a rich mine of in-
vidual entities such as markets, firms, and house- sights.
holds. In The Wealth of Nations (1776), Smith consid- Often, economics relies upon analyses and the-
ered how individual prices are set, studied the ories. Theoretical approaches allow economists to
determination of prices of land, labor, and capital, make broad generalizations, such as those con-
and inquired into the strengths and weaknesses of the cerning the advantages of international trade and
market mechanism. Most important, he identified specialization or the disadvantages of tariffs and
the remarkable efficiency properties of markets and quotas.
saw that economic benefit comes from the self-inter- In addition, economists have developed a spe-
ested actions of individuals. These remain important cialized technique known as econometrics, which ap-
issues today, and while the study of microeconomics plies the tools of statistics to economic problems.
has surely advanced greatly since Smith’s day, he is Using econometrics, economists can sift through
still cited by politicians and economists alike. mountains of data to extract simple relationships.
The other major branch of our subject is macro- Budding economists must also be alert to com-
economics, which is concerned with the overall per- mon fallacies in economic reasoning. Because eco-
formance of the economy. Macroeconomics did not nomic relationships are often complex, involving
even exist in its modern form until 1935, when John many different variables, it is easy to become con-
Maynard Keynes published his revolutionary General fused about the exact reason behind events or the
Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. At the time, impact of policies on the economy. The following are
England and the United States were still stuck in the some of the common fallacies encountered in eco-
Great Depression of the 1930s, with over one-quar- nomic reasoning:
ter of the American labor force unemployed. In his ● The post hoc fallacy. The first fallacy involves the
new theory Keynes developed an analysis of what inference of causality. The post hoc fallacy occurs
causes business cycles, with alternating spells of high when we assume that, because one event occurred be-
unemployment and high inflation. Today, macro- fore another event, the first event caused the second
economics examines a wide variety of areas, such as event.2 An example of this syndrome occurred in
how total investment and consumption are deter- the Great Depression of the 1930s in the United
mined, how central banks manage money and in- States. Some people had observed that periods
terest rates, what causes international financial crises, of business expansion were preceded or accom-
and why some nations grow rapidly while others stag- panied by rising prices. From this, they con-
nate. Although macroeconomics has progressed far cluded that the appropriate remedy for depres-
since his first insights, the issues addressed by Keynes sion was to raise wages and prices. This idea led
still define the study of macroeconomics today. to a host of legislation and regulations to prop
The two branches—microeconomics and macro- up wages and prices in an inefficient manner. Did
economics—converge to form the core of modern these measures promote economic recovery? Al-
economics. most surely not. Indeed, they probably slowed re-
covery, which did not occur until total spending
THE LOGIC OF ECONOMICS
2
“Post hoc” is shorthand for post hoc, ergo propter hoc. Translated
Economic life is an enormously complicated hive of from the Latin, the full expression means “after this, there-
activity, with people buying, selling, bargaining, in- fore necessarily because of this.”
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6 CHAPTER 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ECONOMICS

began to rise as the government increased mili- These examples contain no tricks or magic.
tary spending in preparation for World War II. Rather, they are the results of systems of inter-
● Failure to hold other things constant. A second pit- acting individuals. Often the behavior of the ag-
fall is failure to hold other things constant when gregate looks very different from the behavior of
thinking about an issue. For example, we might individual people.
want to know whether raising tax rates will raise
We mention these fallacies only briefly in this in-
or lower tax revenues. Some people have put
troduction. Later, as we introduce the tools of eco-
forth the seductive argument that we can eat our
nomics, we will provide examples of how inattention
fiscal cake and have it too. They argue that cut-
to the logic of economics can lead you to false and
ting tax rates will at the same time raise govern-
sometimes costly errors. When you reach the end of
ment revenues and lower the budget deficit. They
this book, you can look back to see why each of these
point to the Kennedy-Johnson tax cuts of 1964,
paradoxical examples is true.
which lowered tax rates sharply and were fol-
lowed by an increase in government revenues in
1965. Hence, they argue, lower tax rates produce COOL HEADS AT THE SERVICE
higher revenues.
OF WARM HEARTS
What is wrong with this reasoning? This ar-
gument overlooks the fact that the economy Economics has, over the last century, grown from a
grew from 1964 to 1965. Because people’s in- tiny acorn into a mighty oak. Under its spreading
comes grew during that period, government rev- branches we find explanations of the gains from in-
enues also grew, even though tax rates were ternational trade, advice on how to reduce unem-
lower. Careful studies indicate that revenues ployment and inflation, formulas for investing your
would have been even higher in 1965 had tax retirement funds, and even proposals for selling the
rates not been lowered in 1964. Hence, this rights to pollute. Throughout the world, economists
analysis fails to hold other things (namely, total are laboring to collect data and improve our under-
incomes) constant. standing of economic trends.
Remember to hold other things constant when you You might well ask, What is the purpose of this
are analyzing the impact of a variable on the economic army of economists measuring, analyzing, and cal-
system. culating? The ultimate goal of economic science is
● The fallacy of composition. Sometimes we assume to improve the living conditions of people in their
that what holds true for part of a system also everyday lives. Increasing the gross domestic prod-
holds true for the whole. In economics, however, uct is not just a numbers game. Higher incomes
we often find that the whole is different from the mean good food, warm houses, and hot water. They
sum of the parts. When you assume that what is true mean safe drinking water and inoculations against
for the part is also true for the whole, you are commit- the perennial plagues of humanity.
ting the fallacy of composition. Higher incomes mean even more. They allow gov-
Here are some true statements that might sur- ernments to build schools so that young people can
prise you if you ignored the fallacy of composi- learn to read and develop the skills necessary to invent
tion: (1) If one farmer has a bumper crop, she new technologies like artificial intelligence. As incomes
has a higher income; if all farmers produce a rise further, nations can afford deep scientific inquiries
record crop, farm incomes will fall. (2) If one into biology and discover still more vaccines against
person receives a great deal more money, that still more diseases. With the resources freed up by eco-
person will be better off; if everyone receives a nomic growth, talented artists have the opportunity to
great deal more money, the society is likely to be write poetry and compose music, while others have the
worse off. (3) If a high tariff is put on the prod- leisure time to read, to listen, and to perform. Al-
uct of a particular industry, the producers in that though there is no single pattern of economic devel-
industry are likely to profit; if high tariffs are put opment, and the evolution of culture will differ around
on all industries, most producers and consumers the world, freedom from hunger, disease, and the el-
will be worse off. ements is a universal human aspiration.
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COOL HEADS AT THE SERVICE OF WARM HEARTS 7

But centuries of human history also show that ties are produced, how these goods are made, and for
warm hearts alone will not feed the hungry or heal whom they are produced.
the sick. A free and efficient market will not neces- Indeed, these three fundamental questions of
sarily produce a distribution of income that is socially economic organization—what, how, and for whom—
acceptable. Determining the best route to economic are as crucial today as they were at the dawn of hu-
progress or an equitable distribution of society’s out- man civilization. Let’s look more closely at them:
put requires cool heads, ones that objectively weigh
● What commodities are produced and in what
the costs and benefits of different approaches, try-
quantities? A society must determine how much
ing as hard as humanly possible to keep the analysis
of each of the many possible goods and services
free from the taint of wishful thinking. Sometimes,
it will make and when they will be produced.
economic progress will require shutting down an out-
Will we produce pizzas or shirts today? A few
moded factory. Sometimes, as when the formerly so-
high-quality shirts or many cheap shirts? Will we
cialist countries adopted market principles, things
use scarce resources to produce many con-
get worse before they get better. Choices are partic-
sumption goods (like pizzas)? Or will we pro-
ularly difficult in the field of health care, where lim-
duce fewer consumption goods and more in-
ited resources literally involve life and death.
vestment goods (like pizza-making machines),
You may have heard the saying, “From each ac-
which will boost production and consumption
cording to his ability, to each according to his need.”
tomorrow.
Governments have learned that no society can long
● How are goods produced? A society must deter-
operate solely on this utopian principle. To main-
mine who will do the production, with what re-
tain a healthy economy, governments must preserve
sources, and what production techniques they
incentives for people to work and to save. Societies
will use. Who farms and who teaches? Is elec-
can support the unemployed for a while, but when
tricity generated from oil, from coal, or from the
unemployment insurance covers too much for too
sun? Will factories be run by people or robots?
long, people come to depend upon the government
● For whom are goods produced? Who gets to eat
and stop looking for work. If they begin to believe
the fruit of economic activity? Is the distribution
that the government owes them a living, this may
of income and wealth fair and equitable? How is
dull the sharp edge of enterprise. Just because gov-
the national product divided among different
ernment programs derive from lofty purposes does
households? Are many people poor and a few
not mean that they should be pursued without care
rich? Do high incomes go to teachers or athletes
and efficiency.
or autoworkers or Internet entrepreneurs? Will
society provide minimal consumption to the
Society must find the right balance between the
poor, or must people work if they are to eat?
discipline of the market and the compassion of gov-
ernment social programs. By using cool heads to in-
form our warm hearts, economic science can do its
part in ensuring a prosperous and just society. Positive economics versus normative
economics
In thinking about economic questions, we
must distinguish questions of fact from ques-
B. THE THREE PROBLEMS OF tions of fairness. Positive economics describes
the facts of an economy, while normative eco-
ECONOMIC ORGANIZATION
nomics involves value judgments.
Positive economics deals with questions such as:
Every human society—whether it is an advanced in- Why do doctors earn more than janitors? Does free trade
dustrial nation, a centrally planned economy, or an raise or lower the wages of most Americans? What is the
isolated tribal nation—must confront and resolve impact of computers on productivity? Although these are
three fundamental economic problems. Every soci- difficult questions to answer, they can all be resolved by
ety must have a way of determining what commodi-
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8 CHAPTER 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ECONOMICS

government keeps its hands off economic decisions,


reference to analysis and empirical evidence. That puts
is called a laissez-faire economy.
them in the realm of positive economics.
By contrast, a command economy is one in which
Normative economics involves ethical precepts
the government makes all important decisions about
and norms of fairness. Should poor people be required to
production and distribution. In a command econ-
work if they are to get government assistance? Should un-
omy, such as the one which operated in the Soviet
employment be raised to ensure that price inflation does
Union during most of the twentieth century, the gov-
not become too rapid? Should the United States break up
ernment owns most of the means of production (land
Microsoft because it has violated the antitrust laws? There
and capital); it also owns and directs the operations
are no right or wrong answers to these questions because
of enterprises in most industries; it is the employer
they involve ethics and values rather than facts. They can
of most workers and tells them how to do their jobs;
be resolved only by political debate and decisions, not by
and it decides how the output of the society is to be
economic analysis alone.
divided among different goods and services. In short,
in a command economy, the government answers the
major economic questions through its ownership of
MARKET, COMMAND, AND resources and its power to enforce decisions.
No contemporary society falls completely into ei-
MIXED ECONOMIES
ther of these polar categories. Rather, all societies are
What are the different ways that a society can answer mixed economies, with elements of market and com-
the questions of what, how, and for whom? Different mand. There has never been a 100 percent market
societies are organized through alternative economic economy (although nineteenth-century England
systems, and economics studies the various mecha- came close).
nisms that a society can use to allocate its scarce re-
sources. Today most decisions in the United States are
We generally distinguish two fundamentally dif- made in the marketplace. But the government plays
ferent ways of organizing an economy. At one ex- an important role in overseeing the functioning of
treme, government makes most economic decisions, the market; governments pass laws that regulate eco-
with those on top of the hierarchy giving economic nomic life, produce educational and police services,
commands to those further down the ladder. At the and control pollution. Most societies today operate
other extreme, decisions are made in markets, where mixed economies.
individuals or enterprises voluntarily agree to ex-
change goods and services, usually through pay-
ments of money. Let’s briefly examine each of these
two forms of economic organization.
In the United States and most democratic coun- C. SOCIETY’S TECHNOLOGICAL
tries, most economic questions are solved by the mar- POSSIBILITIES
ket. Hence their economic systems are called market
economies. A market economy is one in which indi-
viduals and private firms make the major decisions Every gun that is made, every warship
about production and consumption. A system of launched, every rocket fired signifies, in
prices, of markets, of profits and losses, of incentives the final sense, a theft from those who
and rewards determines what, how, and for whom.
hunger and are not fed.
Firms produce the commodities that yield the high-
est profits (the what) by the techniques of produc- President Dwight D. Eisenhower
tion that are least costly (the how). Consumption is
determined by individuals’ decisions about how to Each economy has a stock of limited resources—
spend the wages and property incomes generated by labor, technical knowledge, factories and tools, land,
their labor and property ownership (the for whom). energy. In deciding what and how things should be
The extreme case of a market economy, in which the produced, the economy is in reality deciding how to
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INPUTS AND OUTPUTS 9

allocate its resources among the thousands of dif- the land, teaching school, or baking pizzas. Thou-
ferent possible commodities and services. How sands of occupations and tasks, at all skill levels,
much land will go into growing wheat? Or into hous- are performed by labor. It is at once the most fa-
ing the population? How many factories will pro- miliar and the most crucial input for an advanced
duce computers? How many will make pizzas? How industrial economy.
many children will grow up to play professional ● Capital resources form the durable goods of an
sports or to be professional economists or to pro- economy, produced in order to produce yet
gram computers? other goods. Capital goods include machines,
Faced with the undeniable fact that goods are roads, computers, hammers, trucks, steel mills,
scarce relative to wants, an economy must decide how automobiles, washing machines, and buildings.
to cope with limited resources. It must choose among As we will see later, the accumulation of special-
different potential bundles of goods (the what), se- ized capital goods is essential to the task of eco-
lect from different techniques of production (the nomic development.
how), and decide in the end who will consume the
Restating the three economic problems in terms of
goods (the for whom).
inputs and outputs, a society must decide (1) what
outputs to produce, and in what quantity; (2) how to
produce them—that is, by what techniques inputs
INPUTS AND OUTPUTS
should be combined to produce the desired outputs;
To answer these three questions, every society must and (3) for whom the outputs should be produced
make choices about the economy’s inputs and out- and distributed.
puts. Inputs are commodities or services that are
used to produce goods and services. An economy
uses its existing technology to combine inputs to pro- THE PRODUCTION-POSSIBILITY
duce outputs. Outputs are the various useful goods FRONTIER
or services that result from the production process
Societies cannot have everything they want. They are
and are either consumed or employed in further
limited by the resources and the technology available
production. Consider the “production” of pizza. We
to them. Take defense spending as an example.
say that the eggs, flour, heat, pizza oven, and chef’s
Countries must decide how much of their limited re-
skilled labor are the inputs. The tasty pizza is the out-
sources goes to their military and how much goes
put. In education, the inputs are the time of the fac-
into other activities (such as new factories or educa-
ulty, the laboratories and classrooms, the textbooks,
tion). Some countries, like Japan, allocate only 1 per-
and so on, while the outputs are informed, produc-
cent of their national output to their military. The
tive, and well-paid citizens.
United States spends 4 percent of its national output
Another term for inputs is factors of production.
on defense, while a fortress economy like North Ko-
These can be classified into three broad categories:
rea spends up to 20 percent of its national output on
land, labor, and capital.
the military. The more output that goes for defense,
● Land—or, more generally, natural resources— the less there is available for consumption and in-
represents the gift of nature to our productive vestment.
processes. It consists of the land used for farm- Let us dramatize this choice by considering an
ing or for underpinning houses, factories, and economy which produces only two economic goods,
roads; the energy resources that fuel our cars and guns and butter. The guns, of course, represent mil-
heat our homes; and the nonenergy resources itary spending, and the butter stands for civilian
like copper and iron ore and sand. In today’s con- spending. Suppose that our economy decides to
gested world, we must broaden the scope of nat- throw all its energy into producing the civilian good,
ural resources to include our environmental re- butter. There is a maximum amount of butter that
sources, such as clean air and drinkable water. can be produced per year. The maximal amount of
● Labor consists of the human time spent in pro- butter depends on the quantity and quality of the
duction—working in automobile factories, tilling economy’s resources and the productive efficiency
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10 CHAPTER 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ECONOMICS

produce 15,000 guns of a certain kind if no butter


Alternative Production Possibilities
is produced.
Butter Guns
Possibilities (millions of pounds) (thousands) These are two extreme possibilities. In between
are many others. If we are willing to give up some
A 0 15 butter, we can have some guns. If we are willing to
B 1 14 give up still more butter, we can have still more guns.
C 2 12
A schedule of possibilities is given in Table 1-1.
D 3 9
Combination F shows the extreme, where all butter
E 4 5
F 5 0 and no guns are produced, while A depicts the op-
posite extreme, where all resources go into guns. In
TABLE 1-1. Limitation of Scarce Resources Implies the
between—at E, D, C, and B—increasing amounts of
Guns-Butter Tradeoff butter are given up in return for more guns.
How, you might well ask, can a nation turn but-
Scarce inputs and technology imply that the production of
ter into guns? Butter is transformed into guns not
guns and butter is limited. As we go from A to B . . . to F, we
are transferring labor, machines, and land from the gun in- physically but by the alchemy of diverting the econ-
dustry to butter and can thereby increase butter production. omy’s resources from one use to the other.
We can represent our economy’s production
possibilities more vividly in the diagram shown in

15
A
B The Production-Possibility Frontier

12 G
C A
15
B
Guns (thousands)

9
D C
12

6
Guns (thousands)

9 D I
E

3
6 U
E
F
0 1 2 3 4 5 3
Butter (millions of pounds)
FIGURE 1-1. The Production Possibilities in a Graph F
B
This figure displays the alternative combinations of pro- 0 1 2 3 4 5
duction pairs from Table 1-1. Butter (millions of pounds)

FIGURE 1-2. A Smooth Curve Connects the Plotted


Points of the Numerical Production Possibilities
with which they are used. Suppose 5 million pounds
This frontier shows the schedule along which society can
of butter is the maximum amount that can be pro- choose to substitute guns for butter. It assumes a given state
duced with the existing technology and resources. of technology and a given quantity of inputs. Points out-
At the other extreme, imagine that all resources side the frontier (such as point I ) are infeasible or unat-
are instead devoted to the production of guns. tainable. Any point inside the curve, such as U, indicates
Again, because of resource limitations, the econ- that the economy has not attained productive efficiency,
omy can produce only a limited quantity of guns. as is the case, for instance, when unemployment is high
For this example, assume that the economy can during severe business cycles.
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THE PRODUCTION-POSSIBILITY FRONTIER 11

Figure 1-1. This diagram measures butter along the PPF represents the menu of goods and services avail-
horizontal axis and guns along the vertical one. (If able to society.
you are unsure about the different kinds of graphs
or about how to turn a table into a graph, consult
Putting the PPF to Work
the appendix to this chapter.) We plot point F in Fig-
The PPF in Figure 1-2 was drawn for guns and but-
ure 1-1 from the data in Table 1-1 by counting over
ter, but the same analysis applies to any choice of
5 butter units to the right on the horizontal axis and
goods. Thus the more resources the government uses
going up 0 gun units on the vertical axis; similarly,
to build public goods like highways, the less will be
E is obtained by going 4 butter units to the right and
left to produce private goods like houses; the more
going up 5 gun units; and finally, we get A by going
we choose to consume of food, the less we can con-
over 0 butter units and up 15 gun units.
sume of clothing; the more society decides to con-
If we fill in all intermediate positions with new
sume today, the less can be its production of capital
blue-colored points representing all the different
goods to turn out more consumption goods in the
combinations of guns and butter we have the con-
future.
tinuous blue curve shown as the production-possibility
The graphs in Figures 1-3 to 1-5 present some im-
frontier, or PPF, in Figure 1-2.
portant applications of PPFs. Figure 1-3 shows the ef-
The production-possibility frontier (or PPF ) fect of economic growth on a country’s production
shows the maximum amounts of production that possibilities. An increase in inputs, or improved tech-
can be obtained by an economy, given its technologi- nological knowledge, enables a country to produce
cal knowledge and quantity of inputs available. The more of all goods and services, thus shifting out the

(a) Poor Nation (b) High-Income Nation

L L
Luxuries (cars, stereos, . . . )

Luxuries (cars, stereos, . . . )

A A

F F
Necessities (food, . . .) Necessities (food, . . .)
FIGURE 1-3. Economic Growth Shifts the PPF Outward
(a) Before development, the nation is poor. It must devote almost all its resources to food
and enjoys few comforts. (b) Growth of inputs and technological change shift out the PPF.
With economic growth, a nation moves from A to B, expanding its food consumption little
compared with its increased consumption of luxuries. It can increase its consumption of
both goods if it desires.
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 12

12 CHAPTER 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ECONOMICS

(a) Frontier Society (b) Urban Society

Pu Pu
Public goods (highways, . . .)

Public goods (highways, . . .)


B

A A

Pr Pr
Private goods (food, . . .) Private goods (food, . . .)

FIGURE 1-4. Economies Must Choose Between Public Goods and Private Goods
(a) A poor frontier society lives from hand to mouth, with little left over for public goods
like highways or public health. (b) A modern urbanized economy is more prosperous and
chooses to spend more of its higher income on public goods and government services (roads,
environmental protection, and education).

(a) Before Investment (b) After Investment

I I

Co
Capital investment

Capital investment

un
try
3
Co
un
try
2
Co B3
un
try
1
A3
B2
A2
A1 B1
C C
0 Current consumption 0 Future consumption
FIGURE 1-5. Investment for Future Consumption Requires Sacrificing Current Consumption
A nation can produce either current-consumption goods (pizzas and concerts) or investment
goods (pizza ovens and concert halls). (a) Three countries start out even. They have the same
PPF, shown in the panel on the left, but they have different investment rates. Country 1 does
not invest for the future and remains at A1 (merely replacing machines). Country 2 abstains
modestly from consumption and invests at A2. Country 3 sacrifices a great deal of current con-
sumption and invests heavily. (b) In the following years, countries that invest more heavily forge
ahead. Thus thrifty Country 3 has shifted its PPF far out, while Country 1’s PPF has not moved
at all. Countries that invest heavily have higher investment and consumption in the future.
sam14885_ch01_013 10/18/00 1:15 PM Page 13

THE PRODUCTION-POSSIBILITY FRONTIER 13

PPF. The figure also illustrates that poor countries The concept of opportunity cost can be illus-
must devote most of their resources to food pro- trated using the PPF. Examine the frontier in Fig-
duction while rich countries can afford more luxu- ure 1-2, which shows the trade-off between guns
ries as productive potential increases. and butter. Suppose the country decides to in-
Figure 1-4 depicts the electorate’s choice be- crease its gun purchases from 9000 guns at D to
tween private goods (bought at a price) and public 12,000 units at C. What is the opportunity cost of
goods (paid for by taxes). Poor countries can afford this decision? You might calculate the cost in dol-
little of public goods like public health and scientific lar terms. But in economics we always need to
research. But with economic growth, public goods as “pierce the veil” of money to examine the real im-
well as environmental quality take a larger share of pacts of alternative decisions. On the most funda-
output. mental level, the opportunity cost of moving from
Figure 1-5 portrays an economy’s choice between D to C is the butter that must be given up to pro-
(a) current-consumption goods and (b) investment duce the extra guns. In this example, the oppor-
or capital goods (machines, factories, etc.). By sacri- tunity cost of the 3000 extra guns is 1 million
ficing current consumption and producing more pounds of butter forgone.
capital goods, a nation’s economy can grow more Or consider the real-world example of the cost
rapidly, making possible more of both goods (con- of opening a gold mine near Yellowstone National
sumption and capital) in the future. Park. The developer argues that the mine will have
but a small cost because Yellowstone’s revenues will
hardly be affected. But an economist would answer
that the dollar receipts are too narrow a measure of
The trade-off of time cost. We should ask whether the unique and precious
The production-possibility frontier can also qualities of Yellowstone might be degraded if a gold
show the crucial economic notion of trade- mine were to operate, with the accompanying noise,
offs. One of the most important decisions water and air pollution, and degradation of amenity
all people make is how to use their time. Peo- value for visitors. While the dollar cost might be
ple have limited time available to pursue differ- small, the opportunity cost in lost wilderness values
ent activities. For example, as a student, you might have might be large indeed.
10 hours to study for upcoming tests in both economics
and history. If you study only history, you will get a high In a world of scarcity, choosing one thing means
grade there and do poorly in economics, and vice versa. giving up something else. The opportunity cost of a
Treating the grades on the two tests as the “output” of decision is the value of the good or service forgone.
your studying, sketch out the PPF for grades, given your
limited time resources. Alternatively, if the two student Efficiency
commodities are “grades” and “fun,” how would you All of our explanations up to now have implicitly as-
draw this PPF? Where are you on this frontier? Where sumed that the economy is producing efficiently—
are your lazy friends? that is, it is on, rather than inside, the production-
possibility frontier. Remember that efficiency means
that the economy’s resources are being used as ef-
fectively as possible to satisfy people’s needs and de-
Opportunity Costs sires. One important aspect of overall economic ef-
Life is full of choices. Because resources are scarce, ficiency is productive efficiency.
we must always consider how to spend our limited
Productive efficiency occurs when an economy
incomes or time. When you decide whether to
cannot produce more of one good without produc-
study economics, buy a car, or go to college, in each
ing less of another good; this implies that the econ-
case you must consider how much the decision will
omy is on its production-possibility frontier.
cost in terms of forgone opportunities. The cost of
the forgone alternative is the opportunity cost of the Let’s see why productive efficiency requires be-
decision. ing on the PPF. Start in the situation shown by point
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 14

14 CHAPTER 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ECONOMICS

D in Figure 1-2. Say the market calls for another of the most dramatic declines in production oc-
million pounds of butter. If we ignored the con- curred during the early 1990s after countries threw
straint shown by the PPF, we might think it possi- off their socialist planning systems and adopted free
ble to produce more butter without reducing gun markets. Because of the disruptions to organizations
production, say, by moving to point I, to the right and production patterns, output fell and unem-
of point D. But point I is outside the frontier, in ployment rose as firms responded to changing mar-
the “infeasible” region. Starting from D, we cannot kets and the new rules of capitalism. No period of
get more butter without giving up some guns. peacetime history saw such sustained declines in out-
Hence point D displays productive efficiency, while put as the “real business cycles” of the postsocialist
point I is infeasible. economies.
One further point about productive efficiency However, economists expect that this downturn
can be illustrated using the PPF: Being on the PPF will be but a temporary setback. Already, the
means that producing more of one good inevitably economies that have made the most thorough re-
requires sacrificing other goods. When we produce forms—such as Poland and the Czech Republic—
more guns, we are substituting guns for butter. Sub- have turned the corner and are beginning to recover.
stitution is the law of life in a full-employment econ- Their PPFs are once again shifting outward, and their
omy, and the production-possibility frontier depicts incomes are likely to surpass the incomes of coun-
the menu of society’s choices. tries like Ukraine or Belarus, which have been re-
luctant reformers.
Unemployed Resources and Inefficiency. Even ca- As we close this introductory chapter, let us re-
sual observers of modern life know that society has turn briefly to our opening theme, Why study eco-
unemployed resources in the form of idle workers, nomics? Perhaps the best answer to the question
idle factories, and idled land. When there are un- is a famous one given by Keynes in the final lines
employed resources, the economy is not on its pro- of The General Theory of Employment, Interest and
duction-possibility frontier at all but, rather, some- Money:
where inside it. In Figure 1-2, point U represents a The ideas of economists and political philosophers,
point inside the PPF; at U, society is producing only both when they are right and when they are wrong,
2 units of butter and 6 units of guns. Some re- are more powerful than is commonly understood.
sources are unemployed, and by putting them to Indeed the world is ruled by little else. Practical
work, we can increase our output of all goods; the men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt
economy can move from U to D, producing more from any intellectual influences, are usually the
butter and more guns, thus improving the econ- slaves of some defunct economist. Madmen in
omy’s efficiency. We can have our guns and eat authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling
their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few
more butter too.
years back. I am sure that the power of vested
One source of inefficiency occurs during busi- interests is vastly exaggerated compared with the
ness cycles. From 1929 to 1933, in the Great De- gradual encroachment of ideas. Not, indeed,
pression, the total output produced in the United immediately, but after a certain interval; for in the
States declined by almost 25 percent. This occurred field of economic and political philosophy there
not because the PPF shifted in but because various are not many who are influenced by new theories
shocks reduced spending and pushed the economy after they are twenty-five or thirty years of age, so
inside its PPF. Then the buildup for World War II ex- that the ideas which civil servants and politicians
panded demand, and output grew rapidly as the and even agitators apply to current events are not
economy pushed back to the PPF. Similar forces were likely to be the newest. But, soon or late, it is
at work in much of the industrial world between 1990 ideas, not vested interests, which are dangerous
for good or evil.
and 1996 as macroeconomic factors pushed Europe
and Japan inside their PPFs. To understand how the powerful ideas of econom-
Business-cycle depressions are not the only rea- ics apply to the central issues of human societies—
son why an economy might be inside its PPF. One ultimately, this is why we study economics.
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 15

SUMMARY 15

SUMMARY

A. Introduction economy is guided by an informal system of prices and


1. What is economics? Economics is the study of how so- profits in which most decisions are made by private in-
cieties choose to use scarce productive resources that dividuals and firms. All societies have different com-
have alternative uses, to produce commodities of var- binations of command and market; all societies are
ious kinds, and to distribute them among different mixed economies.
groups. We study economics to understand not only
C. Society’s Technological Possibilities
the world we live in but also the many potential worlds
that reformers are constantly proposing to us. 6. With given resources and technology, the production
2. Goods are scarce because people desire much more choices between two goods such as butter and guns
than the economy can produce. Economic goods are can be summarized in the production-possibility frontier
scarce, not free, and society must choose among the (PPF ). The PPF shows how the production of one
limited goods that can be produced with its available good (such as guns) is traded off against the produc-
resources. tion of another good (such as butter). In a world of
3. Microeconomics is concerned with the behavior of in- scarcity, choosing one thing means giving up some-
dividual entities such as markets, firms, and house- thing else. The value of the good or service forgone is
holds. Macroeconomics views the performance of the its opportunity cost.
economy as a whole. Through all economics, beware 7. Productive efficiency occurs when production of one
of the fallacy of composition and the post hoc fallacy, good cannot be increased without curtailing produc-
and remember to keep other things constant. tion of another good. This is illustrated by the PPF.
When an economy is on its PPF, it can produce more
B. The Three Problems of Economic Organization of one good only by producing less of another good.
4. Every society must answer three fundamental ques- 8. Production-possibility frontiers illustrate many basic
tions: what, how, and for whom? What kinds and quan- economic processes: how economic growth pushes out
tities are produced among the wide range of all pos- the frontier, how a nation chooses relatively less food
sible goods and services? How are resources used in and other necessities as it develops, how a country
producing these goods? And for whom are the goods chooses between private goods and public goods, and
produced (that is, what is the distribution of income how societies choose between consumption goods and
and consumption among different individuals and capital goods that enhance future consumption.
classes)? 9. Societies are sometimes inside their production-possi-
5. Societies answer these questions in different ways. The bility frontier. When unemployment is high or when
most important forms of economic organization today revolution or inefficient government regulations ham-
are command and market. The command economy is di- per economic activity, the economy is inefficient and
rected by centralized government control; a market operates inside its PPF.

CONCEPTS FOR REVIEW


Fundamental Concepts Key Problems of Economic Choice Among Production
Organization Possibilities
scarcity and efficiency
free goods vs. economic goods what, how, and for whom inputs and outputs
macroeconomics and microeco- alternative economic systems: com- production-possibility frontier (PPF)
nomics mand vs. market productive efficiency and inefficiency
normative vs. positive economics laissez-faire opportunity cost
fallacy of composition, post hoc mixed economies
fallacy
“keep other things constant”
cool heads, warm hearts
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 16

16 CHAPTER 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ECONOMICS

FURTHER READING AND INTERNET WEBSITES

Further Reading Log onto one of the Internet reference sites for econom-
Robert Heilbroner, The World Philosophers, Seventh Edition, ics such as Resources for Economists on the Internet
1999, Touchstone Books provides a lively biography of the (www.rfe.org or rfe.wustl.edu/EconFAQ.html). Browse
great economists along with their ideas and impact. The through some of the sections to familiarize yourself with
authoritative work on the history of economic analysis is the site. You might want to look up your college or uni-
Joseph Schumpeter, History of Economic Analysis (McGraw- versity, look at recent news in a newspaper or magazine,
Hill, New York, 1954). or check some economic data.
Two sites for excellent analyses of public policy issues in
Websites economics are those of the Brookings Institution
One of the greatest books of all economics is Adam Smith, (www.brook.edu) and of the American Enterprise Institute
The Wealth of Nations (many publishers, 1776). Every eco- (www.aei.org and www.aei.org/eo/eofront.htm). Each of
nomics student should read a few pages to get the flavor these publishes books and has policy briefs on line.
of his writing. The Wealth of Nations can be found at
www.bibliomania.com/NonFiction/Smith/Wealth/index.
html.

QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION

1. The great English economist Alfred Marshall (1842– Are these statements positive or normative econom-
1924) invented many of the tools of modern eco- ics? Discuss Stigler’s view in light of Alfred Marshall’s
nomics, but he was most concerned with the applica- quote in question 1. Is there a conflict?
tion of these tools to the problems of society. In his in- 3. Define each of the following terms carefully and give
augural lecture, Marshall wrote: examples: PPF, scarcity, productive efficiency, inputs,
outputs.
It will be my most cherished ambition to increase the
numbers who Cambridge University sends out into the
4. As people become wealthier, time becomes their ma-
world with cool heads but warm hearts, willing to give jor scarce resource. Suppose that you are very rich but
some of their best powers to grappling with the social have only a few hours a week of spare time. Give some
suffering around them; resolved not to rest content till examples of steps you can take to economize on your
they have opened up to all the material means of a re- use of time. Compare time use of a wealthy person with
fined and noble life. [Memorials of Alfred Marshall, A. C. that of a poor person.
Pigou, ed. (MacMillan and Co., London, 1925), p. 174, 5. Assume that Econoland produces haircuts and shirts
with minor edits.] with inputs of labor. Econoland has 1000 hours of la-
Explain how the cool head might provide the essen- bor available. A haircut requires 1/2 hour of labor, while
tial positive economic analysis to implement the nor- a shirt requires 5 hours of labor. Construct Econo-
mative value judgments of the warm heart. Do you land’s production-possibility frontier.
agree with Marshall’s view of the role of the teacher? 6. Assume that scientific inventions have doubled the
Do you accept his challenge? productivity of society’s resources in butter production
2. The late George Stigler, an eminent conservative without altering the productivity of gun manufacture.
Chicago economist, wrote as follows: Redraw society’s production-possibility frontier in Fig-
ure 1-2 to illustrate the new trade-off.
No thoroughly egalitarian society has ever been able to 7. Many scientists believe that we are rapidly depleting
construct or maintain an efficient and progressive eco- our natural resources. Assume that there are only two
nomic system. It has been universal experience that some
inputs (labor and natural resources) producing two
system of differential rewards is necessary to stimulate
workers. [The Theory of Price, 3d ed. (Macmillan, New
goods (concerts and gasoline) with no improvement
York, 1966), p. 19.] in society’s technology over time. Show what would
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 17

QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION 17

happen to the PPF over time as natural resources are given Diligent’s limited time resources. If Diligent stud-
exhausted. How would invention and technological ies inefficiently by listening to loud music and chatting
improvement modify your answer? On the basis of this with friends, where will Diligent’s grade “output” be
example, explain why it is said that “economic growth relative to the PPF? What will happen to the grade PPF
is a race between depletion and invention.” if Diligent increases study inputs from 10 hours to 15
8. Say that Diligent has 10 hours to study for upcoming hours?
tests in economics and history. Draw a PPF for grades,
sam14885_ch01_018 10/18/00 12:40 AM Page 18

Appendix 1
HOW TO READ GRAPHS

A picture is worth a thousand Production-Possibility Graph. The data


words. shown in Table 1A-1 can also be pre-
Chinese Proverb sented as a graph. To construct the graph,
we represent each of the table’s pairs of data
Before you can master economics, you must have a by a single point on a two-dimensional plane. Fig-
working knowledge of graphs. They are as indis- ure 1A-1 displays in a graph the relationship between
pensable to the economist as a hammer is to a car-
penter. So if you are not familiar with the use of di-
agrams, invest some time in learning how to read Alternative Production Possibilities
them—it will be time well spent. Possibilities Food Machines
What is a graph? It is a diagram showing how two
A 0 150
or more sets of data or variables are related to one
B 10 140
another. Graphs are essential in economics because,
C 20 120
among other reasons, they allow us to analyze eco- D 30 90
nomic concepts and examine historical trends. E 40 50
You will encounter many different kinds of F 50 0
graphs in this book. Some graphs show how variables
change over time (see, for example, the inside of the
TABLE 1A-1. The Pairs of Possible Outputs of Food and
front cover); other graphs show the relationship be- Machines
tween different variables (such as the example we
The table shows six potential pairs of outputs that can be
will turn to in a moment). Each graph in the book
produced with the given resources of a country. The coun-
will help you understand an important economic re- try can choose one of the six possible combinations.
lationship or trend.

150
A
THE PRODUCTION-POSSIBILITY B
FRONTIER
The first graph that you encountered in this text was 120
C
the production-possibility frontier. As we showed in
the body of this chapter, the production-possibility
90
Machines

frontier, or PPF, represents the maximum amounts D


of a pair of goods or services that can both be pro-
duced with an economy’s given resources, assuming 60
that all resources are fully employed. E
Let’s follow up an important application, that
of choosing between food and machines. The es- 30
sential data for the PPF are shown in Table 1A-1,
which is very much like the example in Table 1-1.
F
Recall that each of the possibilities gives one level
0 10 20 30 40 50
of food production and one level of machine pro- Food
duction. As the quantity of food produced in-
creases, the production of machines falls. Thus, if FIGURE 1A-1. Six Possible Pairs of Food-Machines
the economy produced 10 units of food, it could Production Levels
produce a maximum of 140 machines, but when This figure shows the data of Table 1A-1 in graphical form.
the output of food is 20 units, only 120 machines The data are exactly the same, but the visual display pre-
can be manufactured. sents the data more vividly.

18
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 19

HOW TO READ GRAPHS 19

the food and machines outputs shown in Table 1A- change in machinery production that would take
1. Each pair of numbers is represented by a single place. Slope is an exact numerical measure of the rela-
point in the graph. Thus the row labeled “A” in Table tionship between the change in Y and the change in X.
1A-1 is graphed as point A in Figure 1A-1, and simi- We can use Figure 1A-3 to show how to measure
larly for points B, C, and so on. the slope of a straight line, say, the slope of the line
In Figure 1A-1, the vertical line at left and the between points B and D. Think of the movement
horizontal line at bottom correspond to the two vari- from B to D as occurring in two stages. First comes
ables—food and machines. A variable is an item of a horizontal movement from B to C indicating a 1-
interest that can be defined and measured and that unit increase in the X value (with no change in Y ).
takes on different values at different times or places. Second comes a compensating vertical movement up
Important variables studied in economics are prices, or down, shown as s in Figure 1A-3. (The movement
quantities, hours of work, acres of land, dollars of in- of 1 horizontal unit is purely for convenience. The
come, and so forth. formula holds for movements of any size.) The two-
The horizontal line on a graph is referred to as step movement brings us from one point to another
the horizontal axis, or sometimes the X axis. In Fig- on the straight line.
ure 1A-1, food output is measured on the black hor- Because the BC movement is a 1-unit increase in
izontal axis. The vertical line is known as the vertical X, the length of CD (shown as s in Figure 1A-3) in-
axis, or Y axis. In Figure 1A-1, it measures the num- dicates the change in Y per unit change in X. On a
ber of machines produced. Point A on the vertical graph, this change is called the slope of the line ABDE.
axis stands for 150 machines. The lower left-hand Often slope is defined as “the rise over the run.”
corner, where the two axes meet, is called the origin. The rise is the vertical distance; in Figure 1A-3, the
It signifies 0 food and 0 machines in Figure 1A-1. rise is the distance from C to D. The run is the
horizontal distance; it is BC in Figure 1A-3. The rise
over the run in this instance would be CD over BC.
A Smooth Curve. In most economic relationships,
Thus the slope of BD is CD/BC.
variables can change by small amounts as well as by the
large increments shown in Figure 1A-1. We therefore
generally draw economic relationships as continuous
The Production-Possibility Frontier
curves. Figure 1A-2 shows the PPF as a smooth curve
in which the points from A to F have been connected.
A
By comparing Table 1A-1 and Figure 1A-2, we can 150
B
see why graphs are so often used in economics. The
smooth PPF reflects the menu of choice for the econ-
120 C
omy. It is a visual device for showing what types of
goods are available in what quantities. Your eye can
see at a glance the relationship between machine and D
90
food production.
Machines

Slopes and Lines. Figure 1A-2 depicts the relationship 60


E
between maximum food and machine production.
One important way to describe the relationship be-
30
tween two variables is by the slope of the graph line.
The slope of a line represents the change in one
variable that occurs when another variable changes. F
0 10 20 30 40 50
More precisely, it is the change in the variable Y on
Food
the vertical axis per unit change in the variable X on
the horizontal axis. For example, in Figure 1A-2, say FIGURE 1A-2. A Production-Possibility Frontier
that food production rose from 25 to 26 units. The A smooth curve fills in between the plotted pairs of points,
slope of the curve in Figure 1A-2 tells us the precise creating the production-possibility frontier.
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 20

20 APPENDIX 1 HOW TO READ GRAPHS

(a) Inverse Relation (b) Direct Relation

Y Y
E
A
D
1 C
s
B B
s
1 C

D
A

E
X X

FIGURE 1A-3. Calculation of Slope for Straight Lines


It is easy to calculate slopes for straight lines as “rise over run.” Thus in both (a) and (b),
the numerical value of the slope is rise/run  CD/BC  s/1  s. Note that in (a), CD is neg-
ative, indicating a negative slope, or an inverse relationship between X and Y.

(a) (b) FIGURE 1A-4. Steepness


is not the Same as Slope
Y Y Note that even though (a)
looks steeper than (b),
2 2 they display the same re-
lationship. Both have a
slope of 1/2 but the X axis
has been stretched out in
1 1 (b).

X X
0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4

The key points to understand about slopes are same direction (that is, they increase or decrease
the following: together); inverse relationships occur when the
variables move in opposite directions (that is, one
1. The slope can be expressed as a number. It meas-
increases as the other decreases).
ures the change in Y per unit change in X, or
“the rise over the run.” Thus a negative slope indicates the X-Y relation
2. If the line is straight, its slope is constant every- is inverse, as it is in Figure 1A-3(a). Why? Because an
where. increase in X calls for a decrease in Y.
3. The slope of the line indicates whether the rela- People sometimes confuse slope with the ap-
tionship between X and Y is direct or inverse. Di- pearance of steepness. This conclusion is often but
rect relationships occur when variables move in the not always valid. The steepness depends on the scale
sam14885_ch01_ 9/5/00 2:59 PM Page 21

HOW TO READ GRAPHS 21

of the graph. Panels (a) and (b) in Figure 1A-4 both Y J


portray exactly the same relationship. But in (b),
the horizontal scale has been stretched out com-
pared with (a). If you calculate carefully, you will M N
H
see that the slopes are exactly the same (and are
equal to 1/2). E
D

Slope of a Curved Line. A curved or nonlinear line


is one whose slope changes. Sometimes we want to
know the slope at a given point, such as point B in Fig-
ure 1A-5. We see that the slope at point B is positive, G
B
but it is not obvious exactly how to calculate the slope.
To find the slope of a smooth curved line at a
point, we calculate the slope of the straight line that
just touches, but does not cross, the curved line at
the point in question. Such a straight line is called a F
X
tangent to the curved line. Put differently, the slope A
of a curved line at a point is given by the slope of
FIGURE 1A-5. Tangent as Slope of Curved Line
the straight line that is tangent to the curve at the
By constructing a tangent line, we can calculate the slope
given point. Once we draw the tangent line, we find
of a curved line at a given point. Thus the line FBMJ is tan-
the slope of the tangent line with the usual right-
gent to smooth curve ABDE at point B. The slope at B is
angle measuring technique discussed earlier. calculated as the slope of the tangent line, that is, as
To find the slope at point B in Figure 1A-5, we NJ/MN.
simply construct straight line FBJ as a tangent to the
curved line at point B. We then calculate the slope
of the tangent as NJ/MN. Similarly, the tangent line
GH gives the slope of the curved line at point D.
Another example of the slope of a nonlinear line Y
is shown in Figure 1A-6. This shows a typical micro- Zero slope
economics curve, which is dome-shaped and has a C
maximum at point C. We can use our method of
slopes-as-tangents to see that the slope of the curve
e

Ne
l op

ga
is always positive in the region where the curve is
es

tiv
B D
itiv

rising and negative in the falling region. At the peak


es
s

l op
or maximum of the curve, the slope is exactly zero.
Po

e
A zero slope signifies that a tiny movement in the X
variable around the maximum has no effect on the
value of the Y variable.1
1
For those who enjoy algebra, the slope of a line can be re-
A E
membered as follows: A straight line (or linear relationship)
is written as Y  a  bX. For this line, the slope of the curve
X
is b, which measures the change in Y per unit change in X.
A curved line or nonlinear relationship is one involving FIGURE 1A-6. Different Slopes of Nonlinear Curves
terms other than constants and the X term. An example of a
nonlinear relationship is the quadratic equation Y  (X  2)2. Many curves in economics first rise, then reach a maxi-
You can verify that the slope of this equation is negative for mum, then fall. In the rising region from A to C the slope
X < 2 and positive for X > 2. What is its slope for X  2? is positive (see point B). In the falling region from C to E
For those who know calculus: A zero slope comes where
the derivative of a smooth curve is equal to zero. For exam- the slope is negative (see point D). At the curve’s maxi-
ple, plot and use calculus to find the zero-slope point of a mum, point C, the slope is zero. (What about a U-shaped
curve defined by the function Y  (X  2)2. curve? What is the slope at its minimum?)
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22 APPENDIX 1 HOW TO READ GRAPHS

Shifts of and Movement Along Curves. An important curve, while in the second case (from D to G) we see
distinction in economics is that between shifts of a shift of the curve.
curves and movement along curves. We can exam-
ine this distinction in Figure 1A-7. The inner pro-
Some Special Graphs. The PPF is one of the most
duction-possibility frontier reproduces the PPF in
important graphs of economics, one depicting the
Figure 1A-2. At point D society chooses to produce
relationship between two economic variables (such
30 units of food and 90 units of machines. If society
as food and machines or guns and butter). You will
decides to consume more food with a given PPF, then
encounter other types of graphs in the pages that
it can move along the PPF to point E. This movement
follow.
along the curve represents choosing more food and
fewer machines.
Suppose that the inner PPF represents society’s Time Series. Some graphs show how a particular
production possibilities for 1990. If we return to the variable has changed over time. Look, for example,
same country in 2000, we see that the PPF has shifted at the graphs on the inside front cover of this text.
from the inner 1990 curve to the outer 2000 curve. The left-hand graph shows a time series, since the
(This shift would occur because of technological American Revolution, of a significant macroeco-
change or because of an increase in labor or capital nomic variable, the ratio of the federal government
available.) In the later year, society might choose to debt to total gross domestic product, or GDP — this
be at point G, with more food and machines than at ratio is the debt-GDP ratio. Time-series graphs have
either D or E. time on the horizontal axis and variables of interest
The point of this example is that in the first case (in this case, the debt-GDP ratio) on the vertical axis.
(moving from D to E) we see movement along the This graph shows that the debt-GDP ratio has risen
sharply during every major war.

Scatter Diagrams. Sometimes individual pairs of


points will be plotted, as in Figure 1A-1. Often, com-
210
binations of variables for different years will be plot-
ted. An important example of a scatter diagram from
180
macroeconomics is the consumption function, shown
in Figure 1A-8. This scatter diagram shows the na-
150
tion’s total disposable income on the horizontal axis
and total consumption (spending by households on
Machines

120
G goods like food, clothing, and housing) on the ver-
D tical axis. Note that consumption is very closely
90
linked to income, a vital clue for understanding
changes in national income and output.
60
E

30 Diagrams with More Than One Curve. Often it is


2000
useful to put two curves in the same graph, thus ob-
1990
taining a “multicurve diagram.” The most important
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
example is the supply-and-demand diagram, shown in
Food
Chapter 3 (see page 47). Such graphs can show two
FIGURE 1A-7. Shift of Curves Versus Movement Along different relationships simultaneously, such as how
Curves consumer purchases respond to price (demand) and
In using graphs, it is essential to distinguish movement along how business production responds to price (supply).
a curve (such as from high-investment D to low-investment By graphing the two relationships together, we can
E ) from a shift of a curve (as from D in an early year to G determine the price and quantity that will hold in a
in a later year). market.
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HOW TO READ GRAPHS 23

7000 FIGURE 1A-8. Scatter Di-


agram of Consumption
Consumption expenditures (billions of 1996 dollars)

6000 Function Shows Impor-


1999
tant Macroeconomic Law
Observed points of con-
5000
sumption spending fall
near the CC line, which
4000 1990 displays average behavior
over time. Thus, the blue-
colored point for 1999 is
3000 so near the CC line that it
1980
could have been quite ac-
2000 curately predicted from
1970 that line even before the
year was over. Scatter dia-
1000 grams allow us to see how
close the relationship is
between two variables.
0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
Disposible income (billions of 1996 dollars)

This concludes our brief excursion into graphs. graphs in this book, and in other areas, can be both
Once you have mastered these basic principles, the fun and instructive.

SUMMARY TO APPENDIX

1. Graphs are an essential tool of modern economics. in X. If it is upward- (or positively) sloping, the two
They provide a convenient presentation of data or of variables are directly related; they move upward or
the relationships among variables. downward together. If the curve has a downward (or
2. The important points to understand about a graph are: negative) slope, the two variables are inversely related.
What is on each of the two axes (horizontal and ver- 4. In addition, we sometimes see special types of graphs:
tical)? What are the units on each axis? What kind of time series, which show how a particular variable
relationship is depicted in the curve or curves shown moves over time; scatter diagrams, which show obser-
in the graph? vations on a pair of variables; and multicurve diagrams,
3. The relationship between the two variables in a curve which show two or more relationships in a single
is given by its slope. The slope is defined as “the rise graph.
over the run,” or the increase in Y per unit increase
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24 APPENDIX 1 HOW TO READ GRAPHS

CONCEPTS FOR REVIEW

Elements of Graphs Examples of Graphs


horizontal, or X, axis time-series graphs
vertical, or Y, axis scatter diagrams
slope as “rise over run” multicurve graphs
slope (negative, positive, zero)
tangent as slope of curved line

QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION

1. Consider the following problem: After your 8 hours a point that corresponds to 6 hours of leisure. Now con-
day of sleep, you have 16 hours a day to divide between sider a movement along the curve: Assume that you de-
leisure and study. Let leisure hours be the X variable cide that you need only 4 hours of leisure a day. Plot
and study hours be the Y variable. Plot the straight- the new point.
line relationship between all combinations of X and Y 4. Next show a shift of the curve: You find that you need
on a blank piece of graph paper. Be careful to label less sleep, so you have 18 hours a day to devote to
the axes and mark the origin. leisure and study. Draw the new (shifted) curve.
2. In question 1, what is the slope of the line showing the 5. Keep a record of your leisure and study for a week.
relationship between study and leisure hours? Is it a Plot a time-series graph of the hours of leisure and
straight line? study each day. Next plot a scatter diagram of hours
3. Let us say that you absolutely need 6 hours of leisure of leisure and hours of study. Do you see any rela-
per day, no more, no less. On the graph, mark the tionship between the two variables?

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