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Management of Post Term Pregnancy: This Presenter Has No Financial or Other Conflicts To Report
Management of Post Term Pregnancy: This Presenter Has No Financial or Other Conflicts To Report
Conflict Statement
Management of Post term
Pregnancy This presenter has no financial or
other conflicts to report
David C. Lagrew, Jr.,M.D. BACKGROUND
Regional Executive Medical Director Women’s Services SJHH
Clinical Professor UC Irvine, Dept Ob‐Gyn
https://evidencebasedbirth.com/evidence‐on‐inducing‐labor‐for‐going‐past‐your‐due‐date/
Based on multiple studies by Caughey and colleagues
Neonatal Dysmaturity
https://evidencebasedbirth.com/evidence‐on‐inducing‐labor‐for‐going‐past‐your‐due‐date/
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9/12/2017
Postterm Genetic Factors
The Classic Management Outline ACOG Practice Bulletin
• Management of the problems associated with pregnancies that
extend beyond 294 days of amenorrhea has become increasingly • “Accurate determination of gestational age is
important in obstetrics. essential to accurate diagnosis and appropriate
• This article outlines some of the methods that minimize the risks to management of late‐term and postterm pregnancies.
the mother, fetus, and neonate in postdate pregnancy.
Antepartum fetal surveillance and induction of
• The current management techniques are then given for the
following aspects: 1) accurate diagnosis, 2) antepartum
labor have been evaluated as strategies to decrease
the risks of perinatal morbidity and mortality
MANAGEMENT surveillance, 3) timing of delivery, and 4) intrapartum
management. associated with late‐term and postterm
pregnancies”.
Then and Now
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9/12/2017
No Way It’s a No Brainer?
Group 1 Group 2
VS
Elective Induction:
Women Electively Women Presenting
WHAT ABOUT PREVENTING WITH EFFECT ON CESAREAN SECTION Induced In Spontaneous Labor
2 times CSR
ROUTINE ELECTIVE INDUCTION? Additional 2‐5 hours in labor
Number of women > 12 hours
Modified from Rebecca Dekker at https://evidencebasedbirth.com
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9/12/2017
Why 41 weeks? (fetal reason)
Another look at Hannah, et al.
Group 1 Group 2
10
9 8.85
8
VS 7
6 Morken 2014
Randomly Randomly assigned to
assigned to Expectant Management 5 Weiss 2014
Induction
Elective Induction: 4
3.38
Rosenstein 2012
Combined SB Inf
3
Actually had Induction Actually had Spont Labor Actually had Induction Actually had Spont Labor EFFECT ON INFANT OUTCOME 2
1.4
1.76
Cesarean Section Rate Cesarean Section Rate Cesarean Section Rate Cesarean Section Rate
1 1.26 1.16 1.29 1.08
6.8% 3.6% 9.7% 5.5% 0.52 0.68
0.61
0.21
0.14 0.27
0.18 0.35
0.26 0.42
“a third of women who were assigned to the “expectant management group” were actually 0
induced, while about a third of women who were in the induction group went into labor 37 38 39 40 41 42
spontaneously.”
Rebecca Dekker RN at https://evidencebasedbirth.com/
Rate by Expectant Management Number Needed to Deliver
Back of Envelope Costs*
The ARRIVE Trial
• Using our current induction numbers we estimated
the “cost” of 39 week induction to reduce SB NIH RCT Elective Induction 39 weeks
• Using our differences in admit to delivery times for
spontaneous labor vs. induced labor at SJO (14 vs 22
hr for nulliparous and 6.5 vs 13 hr for multiparous
patients) and 42.5% nulliparous patients, 80% of
deliveries reaching 39 weeks of 4,500 annual births
• Estimate would have to add 26,000 hours/yr of NEW RESEARCH ON ELECTIVE
additional laboring time but would prevent 1.5 SB
per year INDUCTION
*Based on current delivery statistics and NNT by Rosenstein et al
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9/12/2017
Will Undergoing Trials Answer the Elective Maternal Age Effect
Induction question?
• ARRIVE study funded by NIH is randomizing 6,000
patients with induction at 39 weeks focused on
maternal outcomes (CSR) but unlikely to have
sufficient power to evaluation SB and NND
• SWEPIS is Swedish multicenter observational study
of 41 versus 42 weeks induction based on 10,038 OTHER CONFOUNDERS IN
healthy vertex pregnancies should be able to DECISIONS
compare SB rates (NNT higher)
SGA Effect on Perinatal Mortality Maternal Age Effect
Adjusted OR for Perinatal Death using 40 weeks non‐SGA as comparison
20 • NNT analysis revealed that among women younger than age 35
18 years, 4000 pregnancies must be delivered at 39 weeks to avoid 1
16 fetal/infant mortality in the following week, whereas this number is
14 only 2326 in women older than age 35 years.
12 • We would not suggest making clinical recommendations based on
10 Non‐SGA this single retrospective study alone.
8.85 SGA
8 • These findings warrant consideration of the other clinical
6 ramifications and the economic impact of this strategy given the
4 3.6
potential for longer hospital stays and higher costs associated with CONCLUSION
2 induction of labor of a large and growing population of women 35
1.3 1.1 1.5
0.92 1 years old and older.
0
37 38 39 40 41 42
Morken NH et al BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2014; 14: 172
Page E et al Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2013 Oct; 209(4): 375.e1–375.e7.
Management
What are your thoughts
Strategy and questions?
Better Diagnosis Good dating of all pregnancies
Intrapartum Management ET Suctioning of Meconium,
Macrosomia precautions at
delivery
Prevention by 39 week induction TBD (When and Who)