Metode Eksponensial

x y ln Y X^2 XlnY Y' e=Y-Y' e^2

1 11 2.397895 1 2.397895 20.91925 -9.91925 98.391535
2 22 3.091042 4 6.182085 20.1545 1.845496 3.4058561
3 28 3.332205 9 9.996614 19.41771 8.582286 73.655635
4 10 2.302585 16 9.21034 18.70786 -8.70786 75.826805
5 22 3.091042 25 15.45521 18.02395 3.976046 15.808942
6 19 2.944439 36 17.66663 17.36505 1.634949 2.6730593
7 26 3.258097 49 22.80668 16.73023 9.269765 85.928543
8 27 3.295837 64 26.36669 16.11863 10.88137 118.40429
9 21 3.044522 81 27.4007 15.52938 5.470624 29.927724
10 30 3.401197 100 34.01197 14.96167 15.03833 226.15144
11 8 2.079442 121 22.87386 14.41471 -6.41471 41.148537
12 6 1.791759 144 21.50111 13.88775 -7.88775 62.216641
Total (∑) 78 230 34.03006 650 215.8698 206.2307 23.7693 833.53901

35

30

25

20

15

10

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
 a 21.71302
ln a 3.077912
b -0.03724
SEE 9.129836

Column C

0 12 14
No X Y XY X^2 X^3 X^4 X^2Y Y'
1 11 11 1 1 1 11 12.7472527473
2 22 44 4 8 16 88 16.8781218781
3 28 84 9 27 81 252 20.1198801199
4 10 40 16 64 256 160 22.4725274725
5 22 110 25 125 625 550 23.9360639361
6 19 114 36 216 1296 684 24.5104895105
7 26 182 49 343 2401 1274 24.1958041958
8 27 216 64 512 4096 1728 22.992007992
9 21 189 81 729 6561 1701 20.8991008991
10 30 300 100 1000 10000 3000 17.9170829171
11 8 88 121 1331 14641 968 14.045954046
12 6 72 144 1728 20736 864 9.2857142857
Jumlah 78 230 1450 650 6084 60710 11280

∂ -306020
δ 540
θ 14140
α -22308
β -1716
a 7.727273
b 5.464535
c -0.44456
SEE 7.026637
e=Y-Y' e^2
-1.7472527473 3.0528921628
5.1218781219 26.2336354954
7.8801198801 62.0962893251
-12.4725274725 155.563941553
-1.9360639361 3.7483435645
-5.5104895105 30.3654946452
1.8041958042 3.2551224999
4.007992008 16.0639999361
0.1008991009 0.0101806286
12.0829170829 145.9968852327
-6.045954046 36.5535603258
-3.2857142857 10.7959183673
3.5527136788E-14 493.7362637363
 Fixed Cost
No Keterangan Jumlah Satuan Harga @ (Rp) Harga (Rp)
1 Gaji Pemilik 1 Orang 5,000,000 5000000
2 Gaji Karyawan 5 Orang 2500000 12500000
3 Air 15 m3 250 3750
4 Listrik 150 Kwh 1500 225000
Total 17728750

Variable Cost Per Unit

No Keterangan Jumlah Satuan Harga @ (Rp) Harga (Rp)
1 Kertas 10 Lembar 200 2000
2 Pulpen 3 Buah 2000 6000
3 Stip X 2 Buah 2000 4000
4 Pinsil 3 Buah 2000 6000
5 Kwitansi 14 Lembar 70 980
6 Bon 14 Lembar 70 980
7 Penghapus 2 Buah 1500 3000
8 Buku 2 Buah 15,000 30000
9 Katalog 1 Buah 45,000 45000
Total 97960
 BEP
No Keterangan Variable Cost Per Unit Harga Jual Per Unit BEP (Produk)
1 Wedding Organizer 97960 8000000 2
BEP (Rp)
17948529.74675
 Data Investasi Non Fisik
No Keterangan Jumlah Satuan Harga @ Harga
1 Surat Izin Usaha 1 Tahun Rp1,500,000 Rp1,500,000
2 PBB 1 Tahun Rp500,000 Rp500,000
3 STNK 1 Tahun Rp600,000 Rp600,000
Total Rp2,600,000

Amortisasi
Keterangan Bulan
1 2 3 4 5
Surat Izin Usaha Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000
PBB Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667
STNK Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000
Total Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667
Amortisasi
Bulan
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000 Rp125,000
Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667 Rp41,667
Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000 Rp50,000
Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667 Rp216,667
 Data Investasi Fisik
No Keterangan Jumlah Satuan Harga @ Harga
1 Handphone 5 Unit Rp2,750,000 Rp13,750,000
2 Kalkulator 5 Unit Rp55,000 Rp275,000
3 Mouse 6 Unit Rp40,000 Rp240,000
4 Laptop 6 Unit Rp5,000,000 Rp30,000,000
5 Mobil 2 Unit Rp176,000,000 Rp352,000,000
6 Meja 5 Unit Rp915,000 Rp4,575,000
7 Kursi 20 Unit Rp395,000 Rp7,900,000

Total Rp408,740,000

No Keterangan 1 2 3 4
1 Handphone Rp572,917 Rp549,045 Rp526,168 Rp504,245
2 Kalkulator Rp11,458 Rp10,981 Rp10,523 Rp10,085
3 Mouse Rp10,000 Rp9,583 Rp9,184 Rp8,801
4 Laptop Rp1,250,000 Rp1,197,917 Rp1,148,003 Rp1,100,170
5 Mobil Rp11,733,333 Rp11,342,222 Rp10,964,148 Rp10,598,677
6 Meja Rp152,500 Rp147,417 Rp142,503 Rp137,753
7 Kursi Rp263,333 Rp254,556 Rp246,070 Rp237,868

Total Rp13,993,542 Rp13,511,720 Rp13,046,600 Rp12,597,598

 Data Umur Ekonomis
No Keterangan Umur Ekonomis Salvage
1 Handphone 4 687500
2 Kalkulator 4 13750
3 Mouse 4 12000
4 Laptop 4 1500000
5 Mobil 5 17600000
6 Meja 5 228750
7 Kursi 5 395000

Depresiasi
Bulan
5 6 7 8 9
Rp483,234 Rp463,100 Rp443,804 Rp425,312 Rp407,591
Rp9,665 Rp9,262 Rp8,876 Rp8,506 Rp8,152
Rp8,435 Rp8,083 Rp7,746 Rp7,424 Rp7,114
Rp1,054,330 Rp1,010,399 Rp968,299 Rp927,953 Rp889,289
Rp10,245,387 Rp9,903,874 Rp9,573,745 Rp9,254,620 Rp8,946,133
Rp133,161 Rp128,722 Rp124,431 Rp120,284 Rp116,274
Rp229,939 Rp222,274 Rp214,865 Rp207,703 Rp200,780

Rp12,164,151 Rp11,745,715 Rp11,341,768 Rp10,951,803 Rp10,575,333

 10 11 12
Rp390,608 Rp374,332 Rp358,735
Rp7,812 Rp7,487 Rp7,175
Rp6,818 Rp6,534 Rp6,262
Rp852,235 Rp816,725 Rp782,695
Rp8,647,929 Rp8,359,664 Rp8,081,009
Rp112,399 Rp108,652 Rp105,030
Rp194,087 Rp187,617 Rp181,364

Rp10,211,887 Rp9,861,012 Rp9,522,269

 Bulan ke- 0 1

Penghasilan Rp 88,000,000.00

Investasi Rp 408,740,000.00
Fixed Cost Rp 17,728,750.00
Variable Cost Rp 1,077,560.00
Laba Kotor Rp (408,740,000.00) Rp 69,193,690.00
Depresiasi Rp 13,993,541.67
Amortisasi Rp 216,666.67
Laba sebelum Pajak Rp (408,740,000.00) Rp 54,983,481.67
PPh Rp 10,379,053.50
Laba Bersih Rp (408,740,000.00) Rp 44,604,428.17

Bulan ke- 1 2
Penjualan 11 22
Harga per unit Rp 8,000,000.00
Variable cost per unit Rp 97,960.00
 Perhitunga
2 3 4
Kas Ma
Rp 176,000,000.00 Rp 224,000,000.00 Rp 80,000,000.00
Kas Kel

Rp 17,728,750.00 Rp 17,728,750.00 Rp 17,728,750.00

Rp 2,155,120.00 Rp 2,742,880.00 Rp 979,600.00
Rp 156,116,130.00 Rp 203,528,370.00 Rp 61,291,650.00
Rp 13,511,720.49 Rp 13,046,600.42 Rp 12,597,598.08
Rp 216,666.67 Rp 216,666.67 Rp 216,666.67
Rp 142,387,742.85 Rp 190,265,102.91 Rp 48,477,385.25
Rp 21,358,161.43 Rp 28,539,765.44 Rp 2,423,869.26
Rp 121,029,581.42 Rp 161,725,337.48 Rp 46,053,515.99

IRR 23%
Bank Rate 6.50%
Kesimpulan Layak

3 4 5
28 10 22
 Perhitungan IRR
5 6 7
Kas Masuk
Rp 176,000,000.00 Rp 152,000,000.00 Rp 208,000,000.00
Kas Keluar

Rp 17,728,750.00 Rp 17,728,750.00 Rp 17,728,750.00

Rp 2,155,120.00 Rp 1,861,240.00 Rp 2,546,960.00
Rp 156,116,130.00 Rp 132,410,010.00 Rp 187,724,290.00
Rp 12,164,150.64 Rp 11,745,715.09 Rp 11,341,767.55
Rp 216,666.67 Rp 216,666.67 Rp 216,666.67
Rp 143,735,312.70 Rp 120,447,628.25 Rp 176,165,855.78
Rp 21,560,296.90 Rp 18,067,144.24 Rp 26,424,878.37
Rp 122,175,015.79 Rp 102,380,484.01 Rp 149,740,977.41

6 7 8
19 26 27
 8 9 10

Rp 216,000,000.00 Rp 168,000,000.00 Rp 240,000,000.00

Rp 17,728,750.00 Rp 17,728,750.00 Rp 17,728,750.00

Rp 2,644,920.00 Rp 2,057,160.00 Rp 2,938,800.00
Rp 195,626,330.00 Rp 148,214,090.00 Rp 219,332,450.00
Rp 10,951,802.59 Rp 10,575,332.54 Rp 10,211,886.91
Rp 216,666.67 Rp 216,666.67 Rp 216,666.67
Rp 184,457,860.75 Rp 137,422,090.79 Rp 208,903,896.42
Rp 27,668,679.11 Rp 20,613,313.62 Rp 31,335,584.46
Rp 156,789,181.63 Rp 116,808,777.17 Rp 177,568,311.96

9 10 11
21 30 8
 11 12

Rp 64,000,000.00 Rp 48,000,000.00

Rp 17,728,750.00 Rp 17,728,750.00
Rp 783,680.00 Rp 587,760.00
Rp 45,487,570.00 Rp 29,683,490.00
Rp 9,861,011.74 Rp 9,522,269.03
Rp 216,666.67 Rp 216,666.67
Rp 35,409,891.59 Rp 19,944,554.30
Rp 1,770,494.58 Rp 997,227.72
Rp 33,639,397.01 Rp 18,947,326.59

12
6
 VERIFIKASI PERAMALAN
X Y Y' e=Y-Y' MR=(En-(En-1)) BKA
1 11 21.6757732828 -10.675773283 0 23.4653694
2 22 21.6385312394 0.3614687606 11.0372420434 23.4653694
3 28 21.6012891959 6.3987108041 6.0372420434 23.4653694
4 10 21.5640471525 -11.564047152 17.9627579566 23.4653694
5 22 21.5268051091 0.4731948909 12.0372420434 23.4653694
6 19 21.4895630656 -2.4895630656 2.9627579566 23.4653694
7 26 21.4523210222 4.5476789778 7.0372420434 23.4653694
8 27 21.4150789787 5.5849210213 1.0372420434 23.4653694
9 21 21.3778369353 -0.3778369353 5.9627579566 23.4653694
10 30 21.3405948919 8.6594051081 9.0372420434 23.4653694
11 8 21.3033528484 -13.303352848 21.9627579566 23.4653694
12 6 21.266110805 -15.266110805 1.9627579566 23.4653694
Total (∑) 78 230 257.6513045267 -27.6513045267 97.0372420434 281.584433
 Pemilihan Metode
1/3 BKA BKB 1/3 BKB SEE Metode Eksponensial 9.130
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 SEE Metode Kuadratik 7.027
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 Pengujian Hipotesis
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 Ho : SEE metode eksponensial ≤ SEE metode kuadratis
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 H1 : SEE metode eksponensial ˃ SEE metode kuadratis
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 α 0.05
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 F Hitung 1.688
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 F Tabel 2.788
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 Kesimpulan Ho diterima
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981
7.82179 -23.46537 -7.82178981 MR 8.822
93.86148 -281.5844 -93.8614778
ujian Hipotesis
onensial ≤ SEE metode kuadratis
onensial ˃ SEE metode kuadratis

a 21.7130153262
b -0.0372420434
17
22
26
17
14
5
26
21 35
18
15 30
8
25
30
20

15

10

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
 Column A

6 8 10 12 14