Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 11

Evidence on What CFOs Think About the IPO Process:

Practice, Theory, and Managerial Implications

by James C. Brau and Stanley E. Fawcett, Brigham Young University1

any privately held companies aspire to go public • CFOs strongly base the timing of their IPOs on

M through an initial public offering (IPO). There


are two obvious benefits: First, an IPO can put a
great deal of capital into the company’s coffers.
Second, a successful IPO can generate tremendous wealth
overall stock market conditions, while paying least attention
to IPO market conditions. Yet empirical evidence shows
that IPO market conditions, particularly within industry,
are strongly related to timing.
for company insiders and pre-IPO investors. In recent years, • CFOs choose underwriters based on their overall
IPOs have raised billions of dollars for issuing firms, created reputation and the underwriter’s industry expertise. Surpris-
a multitude of millionaires, and generated considerable ingly, issuers were not very concerned about the underwriter
excitement among the media. fee structure, perhaps indicating general acceptance of the
But going public is not an easy process, nor is it without typical 7% spread.
costs. Many companies have begun the IPO process only to • CFOs view underpricing mainly as a means of
withdraw the offering, often confused and frustrated by the compensating investors for taking on the risk of the IPO.
experience. To improve decision-making—and to mitigate They typically do not believe that underpricing is a result
many of the uncertainties—managers need a clear picture of practices such as “spinning” or “flipping” that are often
of the core issues involved in the IPO process. With this criticized as being detrimental to issuers.
as motivation, we constructed a theoretical-based survey • The two strongest perceived positive signals for issuer
instrument and surveyed 336 CFOs to get their insights quality are a history of strong earnings and a top investment
into the IPO process. We studied six specific aspects of bank. The strongest negative signal is the sale of insider
the IPO process: (1) motives for going public; (2) the shares in the IPO.
timing of IPOs; (3) criteria for choosing an underwriter; • The primary reason cited for staying private is a desire
(4) IPO underpricing; (5) IPO signaling; and (6) reasons to maintain decision-making control.
to stay private. Where possible we also attempted to add The IPO process is time-consuming, expensive,
extra insight by stepping outside of the survey data to test and fraught with uncertainty. Getting it wrong can set a
managerial behavior. company back a year or more, highlighting the importance
By surveying CFOs to obtain a real-world perspective of being well-informed and prepared. The survey results
of the IPO process, we can also compare their beliefs and suggest that most CFOs have a good understanding of the
experiences to both academic theory and the findings of issues, and the divergence between the findings and the
empirical research. Doing so allows us to identify the gaps theory may be a matter of semantics more than anything
between theory and practice, and to begin to bridge those else. Nonetheless, we offer some recommendations on key
gaps through better communication and more targeted points that CFOs need to consider as they think about and
research. In many areas, we find harmony between CFO actually undertake an IPO.
beliefs and academic theory. But in several key areas, we
find that CFO perceptions diverge in significant ways from The Survey
traditional academic theory. Our survey targeted three distinct groups: (1) CFOs of
The main findings from the survey are summarized companies that had successfully completed an IPO from
below: January 2000 through December 2002; (2) CFOs of
• The primary motive for going public is to fund growth companies that had filed a prospectus to go public in the
opportunities. More specifically, IPOs create a currency— same time period, but then subsequently withdrew the
publicly-traded shares—that can be used to grow through offering; and (3) CFOs of private firms that were large
acquisitions. enough to go public in the same time period, but chose not

1. This article draws on and uses the same dataset as our paper “Initial Public Offer-
ings: An Analysis of Theory and Practice,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 61 (2006).

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006 107
Figure 1 Survey Evidence on the Motivations for Going Public

0ERCENTOF#&/S7HO!GREEOR3TRONGLY!GREE
       

4OCREATEPUBLICSHARESFORUSEINFUTUREACQUISITIONS 

4OESTABLISHAMARKETPRICEVALUEFOROURFIRM 

4OENHANCETHEREPUTATIONOFOURCOMPANY 

4OBROADENTHEBASEOFOWNERSHIP 

4OALLOWONEORMOREPRINCIPALSTODIVERSIFYPERSONALHOLDINGS 

4OMINIMIZEOURCOSTOFCAPITAL 

4OALLOWVENTURECAPITALISTS6#S TOCASHOUT 

4OATTRACTANALYSTSATTENTION 

/URCOMPANYHASRUNOUTOFPRIVATEEQUITY 

$EBTISBECOMINGTOOEXPENSIVE 

to. A total of 336 CFOs responded to the survey, with 87, Using variations of these two basic motives, and of the
37, and 212 responses for the three aforementioned groups, assumptions underlying them, we were able to come up with
respectively. A detailed description of the survey method is ten different possible motives for going public. We then
provided in the appendix. asked CFOs to evaluate the importance of each of these ten
motives. The CFO responses, as summarized in Figure 1,
Motives for Going Public yielded two surprises. First is the relatively low importance
Scarcity of data has limited empirical investigation into CFOs appear to place on using an IPO to minimize the cost
perhaps the most fundamental question about the IPO of capital, which ranked only sixth among reasons for going
process: Why do companies choose to go public? Several public. Second, two related questions received the weakest
theories have been advanced in the academic literature. CFO endorsement: “our company has run out of private
Most such theories begin with the assumption that markets equity” (28% agree) and “debt is becoming too expen-
are efficient and that managers aim to maximize firm value. sive” (14% agree). Also contrary to the standard academic
Given such assumptions, the principal reason for companies “trade-off ” theory of optimal capital structure, neither cost-
to go public is to raise capital to fund investment opportu- of-capital nor capital availability arguments were explicitly
nities — and to raise that capital in a way that minimizes recognized as the main drivers of the going-public decision.
the company’s weighted average cost of capital.2 A second Nevertheless, the motive that was cited by the highest
motive, not necessarily consistent with either market effi- percentage of CFOs (nearly 60%)—the creation of public
ciency or value-maximizing behavior by the issuers, is to shares for use in future acquisitions—can be readily inter-
allow insiders to cash out, presumably at the highest price preted as a means of raising equity capital to fund growth
possible, and perhaps diversify their holdings. opportunities.3 Having publicly traded stock enables compa-
2. See J. Scott, “A Theory of Optimal Capital Structure,” Bell Journal of Economics, 3. Funding acquisitions is consistent with theory insofar as theory says IPOs provide
Vol. 7 (1976) and F. Modigliani and M. Miller, “Corporate Income Taxes and the Cost of low-cost equity for funding growth. See M. Barclay and C. Smith, “The Capital Structure
Capital: A Correction,” American Economic Review, Vol. 53 (1963). An alternative theory, Puzzle: Another Look at the Evidence,” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Vol. 12
known as the pecking order theory, suggests that insiders conduct IPOs to gain access (1999), who showed that equity is an appropriate vehicle for companies with growth
to capital when other, cheaper sources of capital (such as internal equity and debt) have opportunities. Many IPO firms are companies with growth strategies that want equity,
been exhausted. See S. Myers, “The Capital Structure Puzzle,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 3, especially for stock swap mergers.
(1984) and S. Myers and N. Majluf, “Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions when
Firms have Information that Investors do not Have,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.
13 (1984).

108 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006
Figure 2 Survey Evidence on the Timing of IPOs

0ERCENTOF#&/S7HO!GREEOR3TRONGLY!GREE
         

/VERALLSTOCKMARKETCONDITIONS 

)NDUSTRYCONDITIONS 

7EWILLNEEDTHECAPITALTOCONTINUETOGROW 

/THERGOODFIRMSARECURRENTLYGOINGPUBLIC 

&IRST DAYSTOCKPERFORMANCEOFRECENT)0/3 

nies to participate in the M&A market by providing them takeover discount can be sharply lowered.8 Managers intent
with a currency for acquiring other firms.4 What’s more, on raising additional capital should also consider private
the only other rationale to receive majority support from placements of debt or equity, which may be less costly than
CFOs—the opportunity to establish a market price—can an IPO.
also be viewed as the first step in the acquisition process.5 One final observation: companies that have never
To further explore acquisition motives, we stepped attempted an IPO view the corporate motives for going
outside of the survey data and investigated M&A activity for public differently from their counterparts. Specifically, the
our sample of IPOs, comparing it to a benchmark portfolio motive for going public most cited by “not-tried” CFOs is
of already public companies.6 We found that, after going the opportunity for principals to cash out and diversify their
public, our 87 IPO firms acquired a total of 141 companies, holdings (a motive that ranked only sixth and eighth for
while only 18 of the IPO firms became targets. Further- successful and withdrawn IPOs, respectively). Also notable,
more, the 141 acquisitions by our IPO firms compared to the CFOs of not-tried companies claim to be less concerned
only 96 acquisitions by pair-matched non-IPO benchmark about their company’s perceived market value or reputation
companies, suggesting that IPOs are designed at least in than CFOs whose firms had either contemplated or done
part to facilitate acquisition activity. Thus, going public an IPO.
appears to be a critical step in acquisition-based growth
strategies for many companies. The Timing of IPOs
An IPO is one way for the firm insiders to achieve their A second important question is the timing of an IPO.
goals of either cashing out or raising capital, but another Here there are two main explanations, again with multiple
way is to be acquired. Depending on the circumstances, variations on each. The life-cycle theory argues that, as a
this may be a more attractive option than an IPO, but at company grows, at some point it is more economical for it
a minimum the two should be considered simultaneously. to obtain external equity financing through an IPO. The
Although an academic study (involving one of the current timing decision is thus a natural consequence of a compa-
authors) has shown that insiders in a takeover do not appear ny’s maturation. According to this theory, companies go
to receive as high a payoff as IPO insiders (in comparable public when they reach a point in their life cycle where they
cases), takeovers will decrease the risk assumed by the need an IPO to raise equity to fund growth and create a
exiting insiders.7 In a follow-on study, the same authors also public and liquid market for firm ownership.
showed that if insiders choose a dual-track strategy (filing The second line of reasoning emphasizes market timing.
for an IPO at the same time as courting acquirers), the The argument here is that insiders use their superior infor-

4. This finding is consistent with J. Brau, B. Francis, and N. Kohers, “The Choice of IPO 7. See J. Brau, B. Francis, and N. Kohers, “The Choice of IPO versus Takeover: Empiri-
versus Takeover: Empirical Evidence,” Journal of Business, Vol. 76 (2003). cal Evidence,” Journal of Business, Vol. 76 (2003) for a complete analysis of IPO versus
5. See A. Mello and J. Parsons, “Going Public and the Ownership Structure of the Firm,” takeover. Also see A. Poulsen, and M. Stegemoller, “Moving from Private to Public Owner-
Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 49 (1998) who argue, “Viewing the IPO as a step in a ship: Selling out to Public Firms vs. Initial Public Offerings,” University of Georgia, Working
more complete process of selling the firm is the result of considering the inherent asym- paper (2005), for a more recent study of the IPO versus takeover decision.
metry of investors together with the strategic behavior on the part of the seller.” 8. See J. Brau and N. Kohers, “Dual-Track versus Single-Track Sell-Outs: An Empiri-
6. The data for this follow-on analysis was obtained from SDC’s M&A database through cal Analysis of Competing Harvest Strategies,” Brigham Young University, Working paper
the end of July 2004. (2006).

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006 109
mation about the firm’s prospects to exploit “windows of to-sales ratios from recent IPOs to determine a value for the
opportunity” by issuing shares that, if not overvalued, are at current IPO leads to more accurate pricing than the use of
least sufficiently fully valued to avoid dilution of the exist- industry-based comparable multiples.11
ing shareholders’ claims.9 To the extent the shares issued in an IPO prove to be
How insiders define such windows is a source of debate. overpriced, timing the issue to exploit windows of oppor-
Some academics suggest they look at general market condi- tunity clearly benefits insiders and pre-IPO investors at
tions as the gauge. Others argue that industry conditions are the cost of new shareholders. Although a matter of debate,
the driving factors. Still others claim it is the momentum of many researchers believe that IPOs have underperformed
the IPO market that matters. Through our questions, we on a risk-adjusted basis over the long run in many countries,
attempt to disentangle the main driver—overall market, including the U.S.12 But this, of course, begs the question:
industry, or IPO market—of issuing windows.10 If successful market timing by issuers implies low returns,
The CFOs were asked which factors most influenced on average, for investors who buy early in the secondary
the timing of their (possible) IPO. As summarized in market, why do outside investors continue to be hungry for
Figure 2, the CFO responses indicate that issuers are clearly IPOs? We argue that IPO investors are seeking not so much
opportunistic in timing their IPOs. First of all, while 66% average returns as the possibility of “home runs.” A line of
of CFOs said they were raising capital to fund continued academic research provides both a theoretical argument
growth, 83% indicated that overall stock market conditions and some supporting evidence that investors often willingly
were the primary determinant in timing their IPOs. These accept lower average pay-offs on securities that offer higher
insiders thus appear to target windows of opportunity to probabilities of a big pay-off.13
maximize the share value and the amount of money that
can be raised through the IPO. And the CFOs of venture Selecting an Underwriter
capital-backed IPOs were particularly intent on exploiting Choosing the right underwriter can greatly enhance the
temporary windows of opportunity. going public process. The underwriter performs a variety of
Moreover, 83% of CFOs said they defined these windows roles, perhaps the most important of which is to generate
in terms of overall stock market conditions, while 70% also market visibility and interest in the offering. To help make
said that general industry conditions play a role in their this marketing effort successful, the underwriter coaches
timing decisions. By contrast, indicators closely related to the company and assists in the preparation of the offering
IPO market conditions were said to receive very little CFO prospectus so it meets SEC requirements and looks attrac-
attention. This was true of the CFOs of all but the smallest tive to potential investors. During the marketing stage,
firms, which claim to rely more heavily on other “quality” the company’s officers go on “roadshows” to pitch the
firms going public as a reliable guide to good timing. IPO. Underwriters provide vital guidance throughout this
The CFOs’ response that IPO market conditions are process and “build the book” of orders by gauging the level
largely irrelevant is at odds with empirical research, which of interest of major institutional investors. After the IPO,
generally finds that IPO market factors such as under- the underwriter usually provides liquidity, often as a market
pricing, especially within an industry, are a significant maker, to maintain the stock’s strength and build momen-
determinant of the timing decision. An explanation for this tum for the future.
contradictory evidence may be that while CFOs focus on We asked the CFOs to indicate “How important are/
broad market conditions, their investment bankers follow were the following criteria in selecting a lead IPO under-
the IPO market closely, and the underwriters have a signifi- writer?”14 Figure 3 reports their responses. Issues that affect
cant effect on the final timing decision. Moreover, CFOs the underwriter’s principal intermediary role—the ability to
might be wise to look closely at IPO market conditions provide the expertise needed to successfully complete the
because they provide a good indication of the valuation IPO—dominate the selection process. CFOs are primar-
investors will likely assign their company. One study found ily interested in the underwriter’s overall reputation (91%
that selecting comparable multiples such as P/Es or price- agree), industry expertise (88%), and research capability and

9. See T. Loughran and J. Ritter, “The New Issues Puzzle,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 50 11. See. M. Kim and J. Ritter, “Valuing IPOs,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.
(1995) for a discussion and evidence of windows of opportunity. 53 (1999).
10. See D. Lucas and R. McDonald, “Equity Issues and Stock Price Dynamics,” 12. See T. Loughran, J. Ritter, and K. Rydqvist, “Initial Public Offerings: International
Journal of Finance, Vol. 45 (1990); J. Ritter and I. Welch, “A Review of IPO Activity, Pric- Insights,” Pacific-Basic Finance Journal, Vol. 2 (1994) and T. Loughran and J. Ritter, “The
ing, and Allocations,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 57 (2002); M. Pagano, F. Panetta, and L. New Issues Puzzle,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 50 (1995).
Zingales, “Why Do Companies Go Public? An Empirical Analysis,” Journal of Finance, 13. In statistical language, IPO investors seem to have a preference for right-skewed
Vol. 53 (1998); M. Lowery, “Why Does IPO Volume Fluctuate So Much?,” Journal of distributions of returns. For a discussion of skewness preference among investors,
Financial Economics Vol. 67 (2002); M. Lowery and W. Schwert, “IPO Market Cycles: see T. Mitton and K. Vorkink, “Equilibrium Underdiversification and the Preference for
Bubbles or Sequential Learning?,” Journal of Finance Vol. 57 (2002); and H. Choe, R. Skewness,” Review of Financial Studies, forthcoming.
Masulis, and V. Nanda, “Common Stock Offerings Across the Business Cycle: Theory 14. We obtain this question from L. Krigman, W. Shaw, and K. Womack, “Why do
and Evidence,” Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 1 (1993). Firms Switch Underwriters?”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 60 (2001).

110 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006
Figure 3 Survey Evidence on Reasons for Selecting an Underwriter

0ERCENTOF#&/S7HO!GREEOR3TRONGLY!GREE
          

5NDERWRITERSOVERALLREPUTATIONANDSTATUS 

5NDERWRITERSINDUSTRYEXPERTISEANDCONNECTIONS 

1UALITYANDREPUTATIONOFTHERESEARCHDEPARTMENTANALYST 

)NSTITUTIONALINVESTORCLIENTBASEOFTHEUNDERWRITER 

-ARKETMAKING TRADINGDESK ANDLIQUIDITYPROVISIONSERVICES 

0RICINGANDVALUATIONPROMISES 

&EESTRUCTURE 

2ETAILCLIENTBASEOFTHEUNDERWRITER 

.ONEQUITY RELATEDSERVICESEG ADVICEON-!DEBT 

5NDERWRITERHASAREPUTATIONFORSPINNING 

quality (83%). Two other criteria received majority support: as a barrier to going public are also of interest. The CFO
the institutional client base (57%) and the market-making responses suggest that they feel they are receiving a service
and trading-desk capabilities of the underwriter (56%). commensurate to the fees paid. A recent academic study
Other criteria such as pricing and valuation promises, fee suggests that, by using the bookbuilding method, under-
structure, the underwriter’s retail client base, and the avail- writers “(1) reduce risk for both issuers and investors and (2)
ability of non-equity-related services received much less control spending on information acquisition, thereby limit-
CFO attention. ing either underpricing or aftermarket volatility.”15
What do these findings imply? First, the importance of One qualification does surface in the subsample tests.
industry expertise highlights a role for boutique underwrit- Although not-tried CFOs also pay close attention to overall
ers who specialize in certain sectors or industries. Second, underwriter reputation, they are somewhat skeptical of
CFOs appear to care much more about institutional inves- the underwriting process. To overcome this skepticism by
tors than they do about retail investors, and to believe that potential clients, investment banks may consider making
if a capable and reputable underwriter is selected, the stock the IPO process more transparent.
valuation and pricing will be reasonable. Third, CFOs
appear to trust the work of highly reputable investment CFO Perceptions of IPO Underpricing
banks and are willing to pay for their services. For many IPO underpricing occurs when the offer price is lower than
CFOs, reputation appears to be a surrogate for an exten- the first-day market closing price.16 The average underpric-
sive selection process, reducing the need to conduct costly ing for U.S. IPOs during the period 1960-2004 was 18%,
analysis of an underwriter’s capability. which means that primary market investors who received
Our findings here also suggest that the fee structure an IPO allocation earned an average immediate one-day
is not a major factor in choosing an underwriter and our return of 18%.17 The widespread existence of underpricing
subsequent finding (reported in Figure 6) that CFOs do suggests that money is consistently “left on the table” by the
not consider the costs of paying prestigious underwriters issuing companies.18 If the goal is to maximize the amount

15. See A. Sherman, “Global Trends in IPO Methods: Book Building versus Auctions 17. The median return over this period was 13.5%. For the time series of data on aver-
With Endogenous Entry,” Journal of Financial Economics, (forthcoming). age monthly underpricing from 1960 through 2004, see Jay Ritter’s website at: http://
16. See R. Ibbotson, J. Sindelar, and J. Ritter “The Market’s Problems with the Pric- bear.cba.ufl.edu/ritter/index.html.
ing of Initial Public Offerings,” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Vol. 7 (1994) for a 18. See J. Ritter, “The Costs of Going Public,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.18
discussion of three IPO phenomena, to include underpricing. (1987) for a discussion of underpricing as a cost to issuers.

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006 111
Figure 4 CFO Perceptions of IPO Underpricing

0ERCENTOF#&/S7HO!GREEOR3TRONGLY!GREE
       

4OCOMPENSATEINVESTORSFORTAKINGTHERISKOFTHE)0/ 

4OINCREASETHEPOST ISSUETRADINGVOLUMEOFTHESTOCK 

5NDERWRITERSUNDERPRICETOINCURTHEFAVOROFINSTITUTIONALINVESTORS 

4OENSUREAWIDEBASEOFOWNERS 

4OINCREASEPUBLICITYONTHEOPENINGDAY 

4OINCREASESTOCKPRICEBYSTARTINGACASCADEEFFECTAMONGINVESTORS 

)NSIDERSAREWILLINGTOUNDERPRICEBECAUSETHE)0/CREATESPERSONALWEALTH 

4OMITIGATEFUTURELITIGATIONBYINVESTORSWHOCLAIMTHEOFFERPRICEWASTOOHIGH 

3OUNDERWRITERSCANMAKEFLIPPINGPOSSIBLE 

4OCOMPENSATEINVESTORSFORTRUTHFULLYREVEALINGTHEPRICETHEYAREWILLINGTOPAY 

5NDERPERFORMINGREDUCESTHENEEDFORADDITIONAL)0/MARKETINGCOSTS 

3OUNDERWRITERSCANMAKESPINNINGPOSSIBLE 

4OCREATEALARGEBLOCKHOLDERTOSERVEASAWATCHDOGOVERMANAGEMENT 

of capital that is raised through an IPO, the obvious ques- underpricing for revealing their true demand for the issue
tion is, Why does underpricing exist? We also attempted to during the bookbuilding process, a necessary step for build-
determine the extent to which CFOs’ expectations about ing demand in the offering.20 Other underpricing theories
underpricing are realistic. have been advanced that rely on different assumptions, some
Focusing first on expectations, we asked CFOs what of which form the basis of questions we posed to CFOs.
level of underpricing they expected prior to the offer. The Figure 4 reports CFO responses when asked why under-
median level of expected underpricing was 10.0%. This pricing exists. Among the numerous theories the CFOs were
expectation compared to an actual median of 13.5%. Thus, asked to evaluate, there was one clear favorite—that under-
with the exception of a few outliers, CFOs appear to be pricing compensates investors for taking on the risk of the
well-informed about the level of underpricing. IPO (60% agree). The supporting logic for this choice is as
Academics have put forth a great deal of effort to explain follows: Because the initial secondary market price is uncer-
why underpricing exists. Many of the proposed theories argue tain when the primary market price is set, IPO investors bear
that underpricing is due to asymmetric information—the risk that would otherwise be borne by issuers or their under-
possibility that managers are better informed than investors, writers. In this sense, primary market investors are effectively
or that some investor groups are more informed than others. insuring issuers against the possibility of an adverse second-
One much cited theory says that, when relatively uninformed ary market reception. Underpricing is the premium charged
investors (say, “retail” investors) are bidding against sophis- by investors for providing such insurance.
ticated well-informed investors (“institutions”), the former In sum, CFOs attributed most of the underpricing to
face a potential “winner’s curse”—the possibility that they market uncertainty and the lack of perfect information. At
will receive allocations of mainly just overpriced IPOs. the same time, however, a large minority (42%) expressed
According to this theory, underpricing is necessary to induce some suspicion that underwriters seek to opportunistically
these uninformed investors to bid, given their vulnerability profit from underpricing by currying favor with institutional
to overpricing.19 Another information-based theory argues investors. Even so, the low scores for “flipping” and “spinning”
that sophisticated investors must be compensated through suggest that CFOs place a great deal of trust in their under-
19. See K. Rock, “Why New Issues are Underpriced,” Journal of Financial Economics, 21. Flipping occurs when investors who received an allocation in the offering immedi-
Vol. 15 (1986). ately sell the shares in the secondary market. Spinning is the practice of allocating shares
20. See L. Benveniste and P. Spindt, “How Investment Bankers Determine the Offer in “hot” offerings to senior executives in other companies in order to curry favor for future
Price and Allocation of New Issues,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 24 (1989) and investment banking business.
L. Benveniste and W. Wilhelm, “A Comparative Analysis of IPO Proceeds Under Alternative
Regulatory Environments,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 28 (1990).

112 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006
Figure 5 Survey Evidence of IPO Signaling

0ERCENTOF#&/S7HO!GREEOR3TRONGLY!GREEWITH0OSITIVEOR.EGATIVE3IGNAL
          

0OSITIVE3IGNALS

(AVINGSTRONGHISTORICALEARNINGS 

5SINGATOPINVESTMENTBANKER 

)NSIDERSCOMMITTOALONGLOCKUP 

5SINGABIG FOURACCOUNTINGFIRM 

!LARGEFIRST DAYSTOCKPRICEJUMP 

(AVINGVENTURECAPITAL6# BACKING 

.EGATIVESIGNALS

3ELLINGINSIDERSHARESINTHE)0/ 

3ELLINGALARGEPORTIONOFTHEFIRMINTHE)0/ 

)SSUINGUNITS 

writers and the underwriting process.21 The bottom line may of a single outlier (Andover.net, which experienced 330%
be that most executives are not greatly troubled by underpric- underpricing), the average underpricing of the remain-
ing and accept it as a cost of going public. ing 10 firms underwritten by Hambrecht drops to 5.8%.
On the other hand, the emergence of a few high-profile However, due to the small number of U.S. IPO auctions to
firms choosing to price their IPOs through Dutch auctions date, it is not possible to make any definitive comparisons
instead of traditional bookbuilding may indicate a degree between bookbuilding and auctions.25
of issuer dissatisfaction with underpricing. For example, One thing CFOs can do to minimize the underpricing is
Google and Morningstar both completed successful IPOs to be more aggressive in negotiating the IPO offer price with
using the auction method. Although IPO auctions have the underwriter. A recent study found that approximately
received more attention of late, they have been relatively 75% of IPOs between 1981 and 2000 had exact integer
rare events.22 For example, WR Hambrecht, a firm that offer prices (round dollar).26 These IPOs experienced on
specializes in bringing firms to market through the Dutch average 25% underpricing, whereas the non-integer priced
auction method, has managed only 14 IPOs since its start IPOs (say, $9.50) experienced only 8% underpricing.
in 1999.23 Formal tests support the assertion that tougher negotiation
It is interesting that according to SDC data, although by the issuing firms (as indicated by the non-integer offer
Google used an auction system to price its IPO, it still prices) reduced the underpricing of their issues.
experienced 18% underpricing (measured from offer price
of $85 to $100.33 on the day after the offer). For the full IPO Signaling
11 IPOs for which WR Hambrecht has acted as the single Outside investors typically know little about a company
lead underwriter since its creation in 1999, the auction when it begins the IPO process. So although the SEC
system has averaged underpricing of 35%.24 But this 35% requires a detailed offering prospectus, company insiders
is somewhat misleading since when we remove the effect possess far more information about the firm than these

22. Auctions have been tried more extensively in countries other than the U.S., but cht are Sunset Financial Resources (with JP Morgan), Bofl Holding (with Seidler) and Hemo-
their track record of success is very poor. Most countries that experimented with auctions Sense (with Lazard Capital Markets). We use SDC offer price and first day close data.
have since abandoned them, with few using them at all anymore. For a discussion of why 25. Another difficulty with making a straight comparison between bookbuilding and
that’s the case, see Ravi Jagannathan and Ann Sherman, “Reforming the Bookbuilding auction underpricing is that it does not control for the various factors that affect underpric-
Process for IPOs,” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance Vol. 17 (2005), pp. 67-72. ing, such as firm and offer size, risk, underwriter reputation, etc.
23. See S. Syre, “The IPO Path Less Taken,” Boston Globe (Sept 1, 2005) for a discus- 26. See D. Bradley, J. Cooney, B. Jordan, and A. Singh, “Negotiation and the IPO Offer
sion of IPO auctions. Our number of 14 IPOs is from the SDC database. Price: A Comparison of Integer vs. Non-Integer IPOs,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative
24. SDC indicates the 11 IPOs are: Ravenswood Winery, Salon.com, Andover.net, No- Analysis, Vol. 39 (2004).
gatech, Peet’s Coffee & Tea, Briazz, Overstock.com, RedEnvelope, Genitope, New River
Pharmaceuticals, and Morningstar. The three firms that have been co-led by WR Hambre-

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006 113
Figure 6 Survey Evidence on Reasons Why Some Firms Choose to Stay Private

0ERCENTOF#&/S7HO!GREEOR3TRONGLY!GREE
      

$ESIRETOMAINTAINDECISION MAKINGCONTROL 

"ADMARKETINDUSTRYCONDITIONS 

4OAVOIDOWNERSHIPDILUTION 

$ISCLOSINGINFORMATIONTOCOMPETITORS 

3%#REPORTINGREQUIREMENTS 

!LREADYHAVEENOUGHCAPITAL 

#OSTSFEESOFAN)0/ 

,OWPRICEOFOURSTOCK 

/FFICERLIABILITY4HE3ARBANES /XLEY!CT 

0REFERTOBEACQUIREDBYANOTHERFIRM 

4OAVOID%03DILUTION 

investors. Recognizing that insiders may be timing the issue most frequently cited signal of firm quality is a track record
to sell overpriced stock, outside investors look for signals of strong historical earnings (91% agree). Past success is
of firm quality. The idea behind signaling theory is that viewed as an indication of future returns and is a trait that
“good” firms take certain actions that “bad” firms are either cannot be easily imitated by lower quality firms. But there is
unwilling or can’t afford to take. a downside: the possibility that window dressing can make
One example of an attempt to signal quality is the use the numbers appear better than they really are.28
of lockups. Insiders in a high-quality issue may agree not to The “certification” provided by an association with
sell their shares for a long period of time after the IPO, confi- reputable financial intermediaries is also widely viewed as a
dent that strong analyst ratings and good future earnings very strong positive signal. A prestigious investment banker
will propel the stock price higher. It’s true that insiders is the most positive signal (89% agree), followed by the
in low-quality firms could try to mimic the strategy of use of a Big 4 accounting firm (74%) and the backing of a
a long lockup to garner a higher offer price, and effectively venture capital firm (40%).
sell overpriced shares. But that would mean running the Finally, commitment to a long lockup (78%) and a
risk that, before the lockup expires, outside investors learn large first-day stock price jump (73%) are also viewed as
through analyst reports and earnings announcements positive signals. This last observation—that leaving a large
that the firm is not as “good” as advertised, and the share amount of money on the table communicates a strong
price falls to its fair value. Insiders who knowingly hold positive signal—requires some comment. Evidently, CFOs
shares in overvalued companies are unlikely to agree to a are willing to bear the cost of underpricing because they
long lockup period.27 feel it functions as valuable advertising. Although this may
What actions do CFOs perceive as reliable signals? We seem inefficient, it is consistent with the argument that
asked the CFOs to evaluate nine possible signals identi- high-quality firms can afford to sacrifice some value in the
fied in the theoretical literature. As shown in Figure 5, the form of underpricing, whereas low-quality firms cannot.29
27. For a complete discussion and theoretical model with empirical tests on this ex- 29. See F. Allen and G. Faulhaber, “Signaling by Underpricing in the IPO Market,” Jour-
ample of IPO lockups serving as signals, see J. Brau, V. Lambson, and G. McQueen, nal of Financial Economics, Vol. 23 (1989); T. Chemmanur, “The Pricing of Initial Public
“Lockups Revisited,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 40 (2005). Offers: A Dynamic Model with Information Production,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 48 (1993);
28. See S. Teoh, I. Welch, and T. Wong, “Earnings Management and the Long-Run Per- and I. Welch, “Seasoned Offerings, Imitation Costs, and the Underpricing of Initial Public
formance of Initial Public Offerings,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 53 (1998) for a discussion of Offerings,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 44 (1989).
window-dressed IPO prospectuses and their impact on subsequent stock performance.

114 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006
Yet several empirical studies have cast doubt on the efficacy never attempted to go public. For now, these CFOs were
of underpricing as a positive signal by showing that compa- satisfied that they have enough capital to finance the firm’s
nies with greater underpricing are also less likely to return investments and operations and so perceived little value in
to the market to raise more equity capital and that firms going public.
with lower underpricing enjoy higher earnings and pay In the minds of CFOs, the second most impor-
higher dividends.30 Although the CFOs generally viewed tant reason not to go public is outside the control of the
a large first-day stock price jump as a positive signal, only company—unfavorable market or industry conditions
23% of them (see Figure 4) felt that a legitimate reason (48% agree). As we’ve already seen, CFOs are opportunis-
for underpricing was “to increase publicity on the opening tic, wanting to take their companies public when an IPO
day.” Thus, although CFOs appear to feel underpricing is will generate as much capital and wealth as possible. CFOs
a positive signal, they don’t appear to assign much value to from the withdrawn sample were extremely sensitive to bad
the signal. market/industry conditions (with 95% agreement). That
CFOs view three corporate actions sometimes associ- such concerns were far more important than control issues
ated with IPOs as negative signals to investors: (1) selling is not surprising, since such firms had already at one point
insider shares in the IPO (80% agree), (2) selling a large decided to go public.
portion of the firm in the IPO (44%), and (3) issuing units The CFOs from the companies that successfully
(43%). The first two are perceived negatively because they completed the IPO process generally agree with their
raise the suspicion that insiders are rushing to cash out counterparts that control and timing were the most impor-
overvalued shares.31 Of course, IPO insiders may still believe tant issues considered as they approached the IPO process.
the shares are fairly (or even under) valued and may simply The only other issue these CFOs considered truly important
desire diversification. But if so, they should take efforts to was concern about disclosing information to competitors.
communicate to potential investors why they need such Most CFOs do not view the expenses of an IPO as a deter-
diversification. Issuing units—offerings in which warrants rent (only 27% cited as “important”). And Sarbanes-Oxley,
are attached to the shares of stock at issuance—may signal despite the hype in the media, received very low scores from
that insiders believe that shares alone are not enough to all three groups of CFOs (only 19%).
successfully float the offer.32
Conclusion
Why do Some Companies Choose to Surveying CFOs about their views on the IPO process
Stay Private? provides a window into their perceptions and understand-
While the prospect of a successful IPO has captured the ing. It enables us to observe where perception might deviate
imagination of many managers, some companies simply from reality, and how this might lead to less than optimal
are not interested in going public. We asked CFOs why decisions during the IPO process. When that appears to be
not. Based on their responses, which are shown in Figure the case, we have tried to offer specific recommendations of
6, company insiders choose to remain private for a variety what can and should be done differently.
of reasons. Not surprisingly, of all the questions posed in Overall, most CFOs understood the basic issues involved
our survey, this one resulted in the greatest differences of in the IPO process and were comfortable with it, but there
opinion between the three subsamples (withdrawn IPOs, were specific details that they were not familiar with and
successful IPOs, and not-tried IPOs). interpretations at odds with available empirical evidence.
The most cited reason in the complete sample to remain For example, IPO market conditions have a strong influ-
private is to maintain decision-making control (56% agree).33 ence on both timing and valuation, yet most CFOs look
Among the CFOs, IPOs are believed to dilute ownership, only at market or industry-wide performance. As a result,
giving insiders a smaller piece of the pie and perhaps reduc- they may be ignoring useful information that could lead to
ing their control over important investment and operating a more successful offering.
decisions. As expected, such control issues were by far the A desire to pursue acquisitions to spur growth—facili-
most important concern for CFOs of companies that have tated by increased cash and a liquid stock—was the number

30. For example, see R. Michaely and W. Shaw, “The Pricing of Initial Public Offer- 32. See P. Schultz, “Unit Initial Public Offerings: A Form of Staged Financing,” Journal
ings: Tests of Adverse-Selection and Signaling Theories,” Review of Financial Studies, of Financial Economics, Vol. 34 (1993).
Vol. 7 (1994); J. Garfinkel, “IPO Underpricing, Insider Selling and Subsequent Equity Of- 33. Not-tried CFOs strongly ranked decision-making control as their top reason. Suc-
ferings: Is Underpricing a Signal of Quality?” Financial Management, Vol. 22 (1993); and cessful CFOs ranked decision-making as their third choice, behind bad market/industry
N. Jegadeesh, M. Weinstein, and I. Welch, “An Empirical Investigation of IPO Returns and conditions and disclosing information to competitors. Withdrawn CFOs ranked decision-
Subsequent Equity Offerings,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 34 (1993). making fifth, behind bad market/industry conditions, low price of stock, already have
31. These first two findings are consistent with the theoretical model of H. Leland enough capital, and officer liability.
and D. Pyle, “Information Asymmetries, Financial Structure, and Financial Intermediation,”
Journal of Finance, Vol. 32 (1977).

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006 115
one reason cited for going public. But CFOs should also several key informants who are well-versed in the going-
consider a dual-track process of filing for an IPO and court- public process. Their feedback was used to improve the
ing acquirers; it raises the attainable value in a takeover and survey.
provides a ready alternative if the IPO market closes. As we built the survey, we constructed three separate
Underpricing was a cost of going public that the CFOs mailing lists. We searched Thomson Financial’s SDC New
readily accepted without much complaint. Yet they may Issues Database to identify companies that had successfully
have the ability to reduce the amount of underpricing and completed an IPO from January 2000 through December
so raise the offer price. They can negotiate harder for a 2002. We also searched SDC for firms that filed a prospectus
higher offer price, even if it’s only for 50 cents, and avoid to go public, but then subsequently withdrew the offering.
any actions, such as insider selling or too large an offering, Our third sample consisted of private firms that were large
that convey a negative signal. Finally, the positive signaling enough to go public, but chose not to conduct an IPO. This
value of a large initial return may be quite limited, and thus group of companies was compiled from Dun and Bradstreet
more costly than it’s worth. and Reference USA and included the largest 1,500 non-
financial privately held firms based on 2002 revenues. Our
jim brau is an Associate Professor of Finance and the Goldman final mailing lists consisted of 340 successful IPOs, 179
Sachs Faculty Fellow at BYU. withdrawn IPOs, and 1,266 non-tried IPO firms for which
stan fawcett is the Donald L. Staheli Professor of Business we could find accurate mailing information.
Management at BYU. Through three rounds of mailings we received completed
surveys from 336 CFOs (212 not-tried (17% response rate),
87 successfully completed (26% response rate), and 37
withdrawn (21% response rate)). The aggregate response
Appendix: Survey Methods and Data rate of 19% is considered excellent in financial research.
To find out how CFOs view the IPO process, we conducted Comparing the respondents to the sampling frame, we
a mail survey using the Dillman Total Design Method, determined that the sample was representative of the overall
which has become a standard for conducting rigorous population. The basic demographics for the sample are
surveys.34 After conducting a thorough review of the IPO reported in Table 1.
literature, we carefully crafted questions to address theo- One concern with our sample may be the sample
retical and process issues. We pre-tested the survey with period—2000-2002 was mostly a bear market. This

Table 1 Sample Descriptive Statistics*

Variable Mean Median Minimum Maximum

Revenues ($ millions) 373 99 0 153,020


Firm Age (years) 25 15 0 153
High Technology (%) 19
Venture Capital Backed IPO (%) 58
Initial Return IPO > 10% (%) 54

Major SIC
Industry description Group Frequency Percentage

Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing 01-09 3 0.9


Mining 10-14 5 1.5
Construction 15-17 22 6.6
Manufacturing 20-39 116 34.9
Transportation, Communications,
Electric, Gas, and Sanitary Services 40-49 27 8.1
Wholesale Trade 50-51 57 17.2
Retail Trade 52-59 29 8.7
Services 70-89 73 22.0
*There are no finance (SIC = 60-67) or public administration (SIC = 91-97) firms in our sample.
Four SIC codes could not be determined, reducing the industry statistics to a sample of 332.

34. See A. Dillman, Mail and Telephone Surveys: The Total Design Method (1978, New
York: John Wiley & Sons) for a thorough discussion on survey methods.

116 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006
market condition begs the question: Can the results of our the two periods. Because our study is unique, it is not
study be generalized to other time periods? In an attempt possible to compare the other questions to extant survey
to determine if our sample is robust to other time periods, responses. Whereas our results may not be 100% repli-
we asked the underwriter selection question directly from cable in different market conditions, we do feel that the
a previous Journal of Financial Economics study that dealt majority of the results can be generalized to other time
with why firms switch underwriters.35 Our data from periods. For example, the CFO opportunistic mindset of
2000-2002 held close correlation to the earlier study timing the offer should not change across time. Similarly,
replies which were from 1993-1995, suggesting that CFO issuing to facilitate M&A should be just as valid in the
sentiment (at least for this one issue) is robust between current market as in the paper’s sample period.

35. See L. Krigman, W. Shaw, and K. Womack, “Why do Firms Switch Underwriters?,”
Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 60 (2001).

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 18 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2006 117

You might also like